arXiv research

This paper corrects an error in [Keller-Ressel, M. and Steiner T. "Yield curve shapes and the asymptotic short rate distribution in affine one-factor models." Finance and Stochastics 12.2 (2008): 149-172]. The error concerns the correct expression for the boundary between normal and humped yield curve behavior in affin…

In this paper, we study the problem of finding the affine factorable surfaces in a 3-dimensional isotropic space with prescribed Gaussian (K) and mean (H) curvature. Because the absolute figure two different types of these surfaces appear by permutation of coordinates. We firstly classify the affine factorable surfaces…

New method constructs translationally equivariant hyperbolic affine spheres.

For an affine two factor model, we study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood and least squares estimators of some appearing parameters in the so-called subcritical (ergodic) case based on continuous time observations. We prove strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimators in question.

Long term optimal investment problems are studied in a factor model with matrix valued state variables. Explicit parameter restrictions are obtained under which, for an isoelastic investor, the finite horizon value function and optimal strategy converge to their long-run counterparts as the investment horizon approache…

Affine term structure models have gained significant attention in the finance literature, mainly due to their analytical tractability and statistical flexibility. The aim of this article is to present both theoretical foundations as well as empirical aspects of the affine model class. Starting from the original one-fac…

This paper constructs and studies the long-term factorization of affine pricing kernels into discounting at the rate of return on the long bond and the martingale component that accomplishes the change of probability measure to the long forward measure. The principal eigenfunction of the affine pricing kernel germane t…

This paper introduces a new transfer learning method for regression.

This article provides the mathematical foundation for stochastically continuous affine processes on the cone of positive semidefinite symmetric matrices. This analysis has been motivated by a large and growing use of matrix-valued affine processes in finance, including multi-asset option pricing with stochastic volatil…

Formula derived for discrete improper affine spheres.

In this paper, we explicitly construct the Calabi composition of multiple affine hyperspheres possibly including some points viewing as 0-dimensional hypersheres. Then we compute all the basic affine invariants of the composed affine hyperspheres, proving that the composed affine hypersphere is symmetric one if and onl…

We define a fuchsian affine action of a surface group to be such that the linear part factors through a representation of $SL(2,{\mathbb R})$. We prove a fuchsian affine action of a surface group is never proper.

We study the existence of a unique stationary distribution and ergodicity for a 2-dimensional affine process. The first coordinate is supposed to be a so-called alpha-root process with α\in(1,2]. The existence of a unique stationary distribution for the affine process is proved in case of α\in(1,2]; further, in case of…

The recent financial crisis has led to so-called multi-curve models for the term structure. Here we study a multi-curve extension of short rate models where, in addition to the short rate itself, we introduce short rate spreads. In particular, we consider a Gaussian factor model where the short rate and the spreads are…

We consider a stochastic factor financial model where the asset price process and the process for the stochastic factor depend on an observable Markov chain and exhibit an affine structure. We are faced with a finite time investment horizon and derive optimal dynamic investment strategies that maximize the investor's e…

In the context of multi-curve modeling we consider a two-curve setup, with one curve for discounting (OIS swap curve) and one for generating future cash flows (LIBOR for a give tenor). Within this context we present an approach for the clean-valuation pricing of FRAs and CAPs (linear and nonlinear derivatives) with one…

A new model reduces noise and speeds up subspace segmentation.

Novel method for estimating currency option parameters with improved accuracy.

We introduce a regularization approach to arbitrage-free factor-model selection. The considered model selection problem seeks to learn the closest arbitrage-free HJM-type model to any prespecified factor-model. An asymptotic solution to this, a priori computationally intractable, problem is represented as the limit of …

Bernstein processes are Brownian diffusions that appear in Euclidean Quantum Mechanics. Knowledge of the symmetries of the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation associated with these processes allows one to obtain relations between stochastic processes (Lescot-Zambrini, Progress in Probability, vols 58 and 59). More recentl…

We propose an affine extension of the Linear Gaussian term structure Model (LGM) such that the instantaneous covariation of the factors is given by an affine process on semidefinite positive matrices. First, we set up the model and present some important properties concerning the Laplace transform of the factors and th…

Study pricing options on forward contracts using infinite-dimensional affine models.

Improves predictions by integrating forward-looking views into dynamic factor models.

We show that, when considering the anisotropic scaling factors and their derivatives as affine variables, the coefficients of the heat kernel expansion of the Dirac-Laplacian on $SU(2)$ Bianchi IX metrics are algebro-geometric periods of motives of complements in affine spaces of unions of quadrics and hyperplanes. We …

The study analyzes pricing and hedging of STCDOs using an affine model with a catastrophic risk component.

New PSDMF algorithms derived from PR and ARM methods.

Proposes iVDFM for identifying latent factors in multivariate time series.

Proposes a new framework for discount models.

The paper studies affine connections on singular warped products and their curvature.

Optimizes portfolios with constraints and stochastic factors, deriving explicit solutions.

New invariants found for mappings between non-symmetric affine spaces.

We determine an explicit formula for the Laplace transform of the price of an option on a maximal interest rate when the instantaneous rate satisfies Cox-Ingersoll-Ross's model. This generalizes considerably one result of Leblanc-Scaillet.

Interventional data helps identify latent factors without distributional assumptions.

We prove that affine invariant manifolds in strata of flat surfaces are algebraic varieties. The result is deduced from a generalization of a theorem of Möller. Namely, we prove that the image of a certain twisted Abel-Jacobi map lands in the torsion of a factor of the Jacobians. This statement can be viewed as a split…

The analytical tractability of affine (short rate) models, such as the Vasicek and the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross models, has made them a popular choice for modelling the dynamics of interest rates. However, in order to account properly for the dynamics of real data, these models need to exhibit time-dependent or even stochast…

Framework uses optimal transport to quantify model risk in stochastic path laws.

In a financial market model, we consider the variance-optimal semi-static hedging of a given contingent claim, a generalization of the classic variance-optimal hedging. To obtain a tractable formula for the expected squared hedging error and the optimal hedging strategy, we use a Fourier approach in a general multidime…

We study affine maps between CAT(0) spaces with geometric actions, and show that they essentially split as products of dilations and linear maps (on the Euclidean factor). This extends known results from the Riemannian case. Furthermore, we prove a splitting lemma for the Tits boundary of a CAT(0) space with geometric …

We introduce a new method to measure model risk using optimal transport on path signatures.

We propose a unified framework for equity and credit risk modeling, where the default time is a doubly stochastic random time with intensity driven by an underlying affine factor process. This approach allows for flexible interactions between the defaultable stock price, its stochastic volatility and the default intens…

New model improves European inflation and interest rate predictions.

New calculus for invariant differential operators in parabolic geometries.

We provide a general and flexible approach to LIBOR modeling based on the class of affine factor processes. Our approach respects the basic economic requirement that LIBOR rates are non-negative, and the basic requirement from mathematical finance that LIBOR rates are analytically tractable martingales with respect to …

We consider a model for interest rates, where the short rate is given by a time-homogenous, one-dimensional affine process in the sense of Duffie, Filipovic and Schachermayer. We show that in such a model yield curves can only be normal, inverse or humped (i.e. endowed with a single local maximum). Each case can be cha…

This paper develops a spectral theory of Markovian asset pricing models where the underlying economic uncertainty follows a continuous-time Markov process X with a general state space (Borel right process (BRP)) and the stochastic discount factor (SDF) is a positive semimartingale multiplicative functional of X. A key …

Study of symmetries in deformed q-map spaces reveals a complex group structure.

The paper studies the continuous-time dynamics of VIX with stochastic volatility and jumps in VIX and volatility. Built on the general parametric affine model with stochastic volatility and jump in logarithm of VIX, we derive a linear relation between the stochastic volatility factor and VVIX index. We detect the exist…

Dynamic Black-Litterman integrates expert views with portfolio optimization over varying time horizons.