Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

8.3%16.7%25.0%33.3% · Jan 199319922001200920182026
48 results for adaptive window switching

Proposes AWS method for precise speech enhancement using DNN.

problem T-F resolution problem in fixed-resolution short-time frequency transforms.
method Incorporates trainable adaptive window switching into speech enhancement procedure.
result Achieved higher signal-to-distortion ratio than conventional methods.

Adaptive beamforming collapses in highly non-stationary environments, but the Universal Switching Beamformer resolves this by dynamically adjusting memory length.

problem Adaptive beamforming performance degrades in highly non-stationary environments.
method Integrating sequential prediction into the beamforming architecture.
result The USB achieves agility and precision in tracking highly non-stationary scenes.

LINTEL improves INTEL's time series prediction by optimizing computation and accuracy.

problem Online prediction of time series with regime switching and outliers.
method Gaussian process-based approach with exact filtering distribution and constant-time updates.
result LINTEL is over five times faster with better quality predictions.

Algorithm minimizes control regret for non-stationary LQR systems.

problem Control of non-stationary LQR systems with unknown dynamics.
method Adaptive non-stationarity detection and OLS estimator with small bias.
result Achieves optimal dynamic regret of $ ilde{\mathcal{O}}\left(V_T^{2/5}T^{3/5} ight)$.

Adaptive Bayesian Optimization for resource-constrained experiments with switching costs.

problem Sequential experimental design with varying costs for changing design variables.
method Adapted batch algorithms to sequential problem, proposing cost-aware and cost-ignorant methods.
result Cost-aware algorithm outperforms tuned process-constrained algorithms in all settings considered.

ITF improves DSR but inflates curvature, while marginal likelihood reduces it, affecting QoIs.

problem Curvature mismatch between teacher forcing and marginal likelihood in chaotic dynamical systems.
method Comparing objective-induced curvatures of ITF and marginal likelihood in a probabilistic switching augmentation of AL-RNNs.
result Curvature inflation by ITF and reduction by marginal likelihood affect dynamical quantities of interest.

We study the power of different types of adaptive (nonoblivious) adversaries in the setting of prediction with expert advice, under both full-information and bandit feedback. We measure the player's performance using a new notion of regret, also known as policy regret, which better captures the adversary's adaptiveness…

2013-02-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal switching regret for all segmentations in online convex optimisation.

problem Non-stationary online convex optimisation problems.
method Developed an efficient algorithm to achieve optimal switching regret on every possible segmentation.
result Achieved asymptotically optimal switching regret on every possible segmentation simultaneously.

A hybrid framework for American option pricing under time-varying rough volatility.

problem Pricing American options under time-varying rough volatility.
method Signature method combined with gradient-boosted ensemble for Hurst parameter estimation, regime switch, and Random Fourier Features for acceleration.
result The proposed hybrid framework improves performance over fixed-roughness baselines and reduces duality gaps in some regimes.

The paper proposes a method for distribution-free prediction sets that adapt to unknown temporal changes.

problem Distribution-free prediction sets require reliable calibration data, which is often unavailable in real-world settings with temporal changes.
method The method selects an adaptive window to construct prediction sets, optimizing a bias-variance tradeoff.
result The method provides sharp coverage guarantees and is shown to be adaptive to temporal drift through numerical experiments.

New method forecasts time series with changing variances.

problem Real-world processes with changing variances cannot be captured by classical models.
method State-space model with Markov switching variances, using online learning and expert aggregation.
result Proposed method outperforms traditional expert aggregation and is robust to misspecification.

New RL algorithm reduces policy switching cost to loglog(T) with similar regret.

problem Low policy switching cost in real-life RL applications.
method Stage-wise exploration and adaptive policy elimination.
result Regret of O(HSAloglogT)O(HSA \log\log T) with O(HSAloglogT)O(HSA \log\log T) switching cost.

A new policy switching technique improves offline RL performance.

problem Challenges in adapting off-policy algorithms to different datasets and tasks.
method Combines off-policy RL and BC, using epistemic uncertainty for policy switching.
result Outperforms individual algorithms and state-of-the-art methods on benchmarks.

SAHMM-VAE separates sources adaptively using hidden Markov priors.

problem Unsupervised blind source separation.
method Source-wise adaptive Hidden Markov prior variational autoencoder.
result Different latent dimensions align with different source-specific temporal organizations.

TAKDE optimizes kernel density estimation for real-time dynamic processes.

problem Real-time density estimation in applications like computer vision and signal processing.
method Derives asymptotic mean integrated squared error (AMISE) upper bound for 'sliding window' kernel density estimator and proposes TAKDE as a novel, theoretically optimal estimator.
result TAKDE outperforms other dynamic density estimators in terms of test log-likelihood and runtime.

Deep switch networks generate discrete data and language.

problem Generating high-dimensional discrete data and natural language.
method Adaptive switches model conditional distributions of discrete random variables. Maximum-likelihood objective function training with stochastic gradient descent.
result Stable and interpretable training of deep networks without backpropagation.

Efficient RL algorithms for linear function approximation with limited adaptivity constraints.

problem Limited adaptivity in reinforcement learning with linear function approximation.
method Proposed two efficient online RL algorithms for episodic linear Markov decision processes under batch learning and rare policy switch models.
result Achieved efficient regret bounds for both batch learning and rare policy switch models, with substantial reduction in adaptivity.

Researchers adaptively analyze market regimes to reveal investor behavior shifts.

problem Market relationships shift across different regimes, affecting investor behavior.
method Combining Kalman filtering, Markov-switching, and asymmetric response estimation.
result Foreign investors' predictive power increases during crises, while individual investors react more strongly to positive shocks.

PCGS-TF uses a Transformer to adaptively control expert switching in non-stationary environments.

problem Static regret is insufficient for strictly online prediction in non-stationary settings.
method Policy-Controlled Generalized Share (PCGS) with a Transformer as an update controller.
result PCGS-TF achieves the lowest dynamic regret in non-stationary families and expert pools.

New algorithm for nonstationary multi-armed bandits with optimal performance.

problem Nonstationary multi-armed bandits with changing model parameters over time.
method Adaptive Resetting Bandit (ADR-bandit) algorithm using adaptive windowing techniques.
result ADR-bandit achieves nearly optimal performance in both abrupt and gradual changes.

BN refines local partition geometry in piecewise-affine networks during training.

problem Understanding the effect of BN on the function realized during training in piecewise-affine networks.
method Analyzing the geometry of switching hyperplanes and affine-region partition conditioned on a mini-batch.
result BN increases expected local partition refinement in ReLU and piecewise-affine networks.

ADVISOR dynamically balances imitation and reinforcement learning to overcome the imitation gap.

problem The gap between imitation learning and reinforcement learning when teaching agents have privileged information.
method Adaptive Insubordination (ADVISOR) dynamically weights imitation and reward-based reinforcement learning losses.
result On-the-fly switching with ADVISOR outperforms pure imitation, pure reinforcement learning, and their combinations.

Markovian RNN adapts to nonstationary data using HMM for better time series prediction.

problem Nonstationary sequential data in real-life applications.
method Markovian RNN with HMM for regime switching and end-to-end optimization.
result Significant performance gains over vanilla RNN and Markov Switching ARIMA.

Study prenatal PM2.5 exposure and 4th grade reading scores, identifying critical windows of susceptibility.

problem Understanding the impact of prenatal PM2.5 exposure on educational outcomes.
method Developed a locally adaptive Bayesian regression model with B-spline basis expansion and dynamic shrinkage priors.
result Prenatal PM2.5 exposure during early and late pregnancy is most adverse for 4th grade reading scores.

This study uses HMM and RL to dynamically allocate equities, Treasuries, and gold based on market regimes.

problem Developing a dynamic portfolio allocation strategy for different market conditions.
method Characterizes market regimes using Markov switching models and HMM, then applies RL for allocation decisions.
result RL-based allocation outperforms passive strategies, providing lower drawdowns and higher Sharpe ratios.

New algorithm minimizes cumulative loss in dynamic linear bandits without prior knowledge of comparator switches.

problem Minimizing cumulative loss in dynamic linear bandits with unknown number of switches.
method Combining several bandit algorithms to adapt to unknown number of switches without prior knowledge.
result First algorithm achieving optimal regret guarantee of O(d(1+ST)T)\mathcal{O}\big(\sqrt{d(1+S_T) T}\big) up to poly-logarithmic terms.

Paper proposes a new method for forecasting interest rates using Vasicek and CIR models.

problem Forecasting interest rates with Vasicek and CIR models.
method Rolling windows partitioning of data to capture time changes in volatility.
result The new approach outperforms traditional methods in low to negative interest rate environments.

Efficient algorithms for online convex optimization with limited switching decisions.

problem Online convex optimization with limited switching decisions.
method Presented computationally efficient algorithms for both general and strongly convex losses.
result Regret bounds of O(T/S)O(T/S) for general convex losses and O~(T/S2)\widetilde O(T/S^2) for strongly convex losses.

The study uses State Switching Markov Autoregressive models to identify and predict market regimes.

problem Adapting to abrupt changes in financial markets and identifying stable investment strategies.
method State Switching Markov Autoregressive models and Wyckoff Price Regimes.
result A dynamically adaptive trading system that outperforms traditional alphas.

HireVAE adapts to market regimes for online stock prediction.

problem Building an online and adaptive factor model for stock prediction.
method HireVAE uses a hierarchical latent space to estimate latent factors from historical market information.
result HireVAE outperforms previous methods in active returns across benchmarks.

Framework models multiscale dynamics with Bayesian learning for regime changes.

problem Analyzing complex interactions between fast and slow processes.
method Hierarchical state-space modeling with Sequential Monte Carlo.
result Bayesian approach accurately tracks state transitions and identifies switching dynamics.

Adaptive activity monitoring framework for wearable sensors.

problem Efficiently monitor human activities with low power consumption.
method Switching Gaussian process model with block circulant embedding and FFT for inference.
result Optimized trade-off between sensor power consumption and prediction performance.

Statistical test verifies long-term rating system calibration with overlapping time windows.

problem Verifying supervisory requirements for overlapping time windows in rating systems.
method Analyzes long-run default rate distribution and correlation effects; presents conservative calibration test methods.
result Developed a test for individual and portfolio levels that can handle unknown variance.

A new method learns time-varying autoregressive models from multivariate time series.

problem Learning interpretable spatiotemporal structure in multivariate time series data.
method Windowed low rank tensor approach with non-smooth and non-convex optimization.
result The method can identify the true rank of a switching linear system in noisy data.