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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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67133200266 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for adaptive MCMC

We propose a method to construct a proposal density for the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm in Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations of the GARCH model. The proposal density is constructed adaptively by using the data sampled by the MCMC metho d itself. It turns out that autocorrelations between the data generated …

2009-01-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a gradient-based learning method to automatically adapt Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) proposal distributions to intractable targets. We define a maximum entropy regularised objective function, referred to as generalised speed measure, which can be robustly optimised over the parameters of the proposal di…

2019-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

It is known that the Langevin dynamics used in MCMC is the gradient flow of the KL divergence on the Wasserstein space, which helps convergence analysis and inspires recent particle-based variational inference methods (ParVIs). But no more MCMC dynamics is understood in this way. In this work, by developing novel conce…

2019-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

New method reduces Gibbs partition function estimation complexity.

problem Estimating partition functions of Gibbs distributions.
method Doubly-adaptive MCMC with adaptive cooling schedule and mean estimator.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms in computational complexity and robustness.

New MCMC method improves sampling efficiency across diverse structural models.

problem Low sampling efficiency in generic MCMC methods for specific problems.
method Adaptive Principal-Component (PC) Meta-learning Stochastic Gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (APM-SGHMC) algorithm.
result Universal samplers achieve zero-shot generalization across structurally distinct models.

The modern scale of data has brought new challenges to Bayesian inference. In particular, conventional MCMC algorithms are computationally very expensive for large data sets. A promising approach to solve this problem is embarrassingly parallel MCMC (EP-MCMC), which first partitions the data into multiple subsets and r…

2015-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper proposes a new randomized strategy for adaptive MCMC using Bayesian optimization. This approach applies to non-differentiable objective functions and trades off exploration and exploitation to reduce the number of potentially costly objective function evaluations. We demonstrate the strategy in the complex s…

2011-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm optimizes MCMC sampling for structural dynamic models.

problem Time-consuming retraining of neural networks in MCMC methods.
method Adaptive meta-learning SGHMC algorithm that optimizes sampling strategy.
result Trained sampler can be applied to various problems without retraining.

A new method reduces complexity of normalizing flows for MCMC preconditioning.

problem Improving sampling efficiency in MCMC algorithms for complex target distributions.
method Factorized preconditioning architecture combining a linear component and a conditional NF.
result Significantly better tail samples and higher effective sample sizes on various distributions.

RLMH improves adaptive MCMC by optimizing contrastive divergence reward.

problem Tuning MCMC samplers is challenging and time-consuming.
method Formulated Metropolis-Hastings as a Markov decision process and used RL to adaptively tune it.
result A novel reward function based on contrastive divergence outperforms existing ones.

New MCMC algorithm reduces subset selection passes to 2 for optimal kk-dimensional subspace approximation.

problem Subset selection for kk-dimensional subspace approximation with εε-approximation.
method MCMC sampling algorithm reducing passes to 2 for p=2p=2 case, poly(k/ε) size subset.
result Subset selection of nearly optimal size in 2 passes, (1+ε)(1+ε) approximation.

Bayesian neural networks tutorial via MCMC in Python.

problem Bayesian inference for parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification in deep learning models.
method MCMC sampling methods to implement Bayesian inference, including advanced proposal distributions.
result Challenges in sampling multi-modal posterior distributions for Bayesian neural networks.

A Kernel Adaptive Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is introduced, for the purpose of sampling from a target distribution with strongly nonlinear support. The algorithm embeds the trajectory of the Markov chain into a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS), such that the feature space covariance of the samples informs the…

2013-07-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are widely used in machine learning. One of the major problems with MCMC is the question of how to design chains that mix fast over the whole state space; in particular, how to select the parameters of an MCMC algorithm. Here we take a different approach and, similarly to paralle…

2018-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a new MCMC-based Wishart prior for Gaussian Process covariance matrix.

problem Difficult inference for multivariate Gaussian Processes with multiple lengthscale parameters.
method Introduces a self-assembled Wishart prior and uses MCMC for Bayesian inference on kernel hyperparameters.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the new prior in GP-based learning with empirical results.

Adaptive Bayesian model for covariate-dependent power spectra analysis.

problem Estimating complex relationships and interactions between covariates and power spectra.
method Bayesian sum of trees model with local power spectrum estimation and reversible-jump MCMC for tree modifications.
result The method can accurately recover both smooth and abrupt changes in power spectra across multiple covariates.

Adaptive Monte Carlo schemes developed over the last years usually seek to ensure ergodicity of the sampling process in line with MCMC tradition. This poses constraints on what is possible in terms of adaptation. In the general case ergodicity can only be guaranteed if adaptation is diminished at a certain rate. Import…

2015-07-21abs ↗pdf ↗

New method speeds up Bayesian inverse problem solving with neural operators.

problem Solving infinite-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems with high computational cost.
method Delayed-acceptance geometric MCMC driven by derivative-informed neural operator surrogates.
result Significant speedup in generating posterior samples (3-9 times faster).

Adaptive-stepsize MCMC sampling inspired by Adam optimizer.

problem Improving numerical stability and convergence speed in MCMC sampling.
method Time-rescaled Langevin dynamics with an auxiliary relaxation equation and adaptive stepsize control.
result Automatic stepsize control improves accuracy and stability in numerical experiments.

In this work, we introduce a novel class of adaptive Monte Carlo methods, called adaptive independent sticky MCMC algorithms, for efficient sampling from a generic target probability density function (pdf). The new class of algorithms employs adaptive non-parametric proposal densities which become closer and closer to …

2013-08-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Bounded rationality investigates utility-optimizing decision-makers with limited information-processing power. In particular, information theoretic bounded rationality models formalize resource constraints abstractly in terms of relative Shannon information, namely the Kullback-Leibler Divergence between the agents' pr…

2018-09-04abs ↗pdf ↗

New PDMP samplers improve BNN inference with accelerated computation.

problem Inference on Bayesian Neural Networks violates independence and posterior assumptions.
method Piecewise Deterministic Markov Process (PDMP) with adaptive thinning for inhomogenous Poisson Process (IPPs) sampling.
result PDMP samplers accelerate inference in BNNs, improving accuracy and mixing performance.

ESS improves MCMC efficiency for correlated & multimodal distributions.

problem Slice Sampling's sensitivity to initial length scale and difficulty with correlated distributions.
method Adaptive tuning and parallel walkers for efficient sampling.
result ESS improves efficiency by more than an order of magnitude on correlated distributions.

Monte Carlo methods represent the "de facto" standard for approximating complicated integrals involving multidimensional target distributions. In order to generate random realizations from the target distribution, Monte Carlo techniques use simpler proposal probability densities to draw candidate samples. The performan…

2015-05-18abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method reduces variance in SGMCMC by preferentially subsampling data.

problem High variance in stochastic gradient estimates impacts sampler performance.
method Use a non-uniform probability distribution to preferentially subsample data points and adaptively adjust subsample size.
result Maintains accuracy while substantially reducing average subsample size.

Many recent Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers leverage continuous dynamics to define a transition kernel that efficiently explores a target distribution. In tandem, a focus has been on devising scalable variants that subsample the data and use stochastic gradients in place of full-data gradients in the dynamic s…

2015-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a novel adaptive empirical Bayesian method for sparse deep learning, where the sparsity is ensured via a class of self-adaptive spike-and-slab priors. The proposed method works by alternatively sampling from an adaptive hierarchical posterior distribution using stochastic gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (M…

2019-10-23abs ↗pdf ↗