New algorithm improves on static methods in Active Simple Hypothesis Testing.
problem Optimizing Active Simple Hypothesis Testing with active sampling.
method Game-theoretic formulation, differential games, PDEs, Blackwell Approachability.
result Proposes an efficient algorithm that outperforms static methods in ASHT.
Paper extends Chernoff sampling for active testing and parameter estimation, improving neural network and regression models.
problem Reducing sample complexity in hypothesis testing and model parameter estimation.
method Developed an extension of Chernoff sampling for active learning and parameter estimation.
result Non-asymptotic bounds for sample complexity and estimation error in active learning.
Efficient algorithms identify true hypothesis from many options with minimal actions.
problem Identifying true hypothesis from a large set of options with minimal actions.
method Greedy approximation algorithms for active sequential hypothesis testing.
result First approximation guarantees for ASHT, independent of the number of hypotheses.
Hypothesis testing is an important problem with applications in target localization, clinical trials etc. Many active hypothesis testing strategies operate in two phases: an exploration phase and a verification phase. In the exploration phase, selection of experiments is such that a moderate level of confidence on the …
New algorithms for decision trees with noisy outcomes improve learning efficiency.
problem Learning with noisy outcomes in active learning.
method Approximation algorithms for optimal decision trees with persistent noise.
result Approximation algorithms provide nearly optimal performance guarantees.
Active inference uses machine learning to prioritize data labeling for more efficient statistical inference.
problem Efficiently collecting data points for statistical inference with limited labels.
method A machine learning-assisted approach that identifies uncertain data points for labeling.
result Achieves the same level of accuracy with fewer samples, resulting in smaller confidence intervals and more powerful p-values.
The paper tests if LLMs' capabilities are executed by small subnetworks (circuits).
problem Understanding how LLMs execute their capabilities.
method Formalized criteria for circuits, developed hypothesis tests, applied to six circuits.
result Synthetic circuits align with idealized properties, while Transformer circuits vary in their alignment.
Determining the extent to which different cognitive modalities (understood here as the set of cognitive processes underlying the elaboration of a stimulus by the brain) rely on overlapping neural representations is a fundamental issue in cognitive neuroscience. In the last decade, the identification of shared activity …
Bayesian method optimizes interventions for causal discovery.
problem Active interventions are needed for causal discovery when observational data is insufficient.
method Bayesian optimization-based approach using observational data and pre-experimental evaluation of interventions.
result Demonstrated effectiveness through various experiments.
MARLA uses deep reinforcement learning for multi-agent AHT, reducing Bayes risk.
problem Decentralized active hypothesis testing among multiple agents.
method MARLA algorithm using deep multi-agent reinforcement learning.
result MARLA outperforms single-agent learning in AHT problems.
A new stopping criterion for active learning based on deterministic generalization bounds.
problem Determining the optimal stopping point for active learning when data acquisition is costly.
method The proposed stopping criterion is based on the difference in expected generalization errors and hypothesis testing, derived from PAC-Bayesian theory.
result The proposed stopping criterion effectively stops active learning by combining an upper bound with a statistical test.
We develop a novel computationally efficient and general framework for robust hypothesis testing. The new framework features a new way to construct uncertainty sets under the null and the alternative distributions, which are sets centered around the empirical distribution defined via Wasserstein metric, thus our approa…
In this paper we address the problem of pool based active learning, and provide an algorithm, called UPAL, that works by minimizing the unbiased estimator of the risk of a hypothesis in a given hypothesis space. For the space of linear classifiers and the squared loss we show that UPAL is equivalent to an exponentially…
Recent advances in statistical theory, together with advances in the computational power of computers, provide alternative methods to do mass-univariate hypothesis testing in which a large number of univariate tests, can be properly used to compare MEEG data at a large number of time-frequency points and scalp location…
A graph-based method for two-sample testing across connected nodes.
problem Identifying nodes where two probability distributions differ significantly.
method Collaborative non-parametric two-sample testing (CTST) framework.
result CTST outperforms independent node tests by leveraging graph structure.
In this work, we give the first algorithms for tolerant testing of nontrivial classes in the active model: estimating the distance of a target function to a hypothesis class C with respect to some arbitrary distribution D, using only a small number of label queries to a polynomial-sized pool of unlabeled examples drawn…
This paper proposes an improved design of the perceptron unit to mitigate the vanishing gradient problem. This nuisance appears when training deep multilayer perceptron networks with bounded activation functions. The new neuron design, named auto-rotating perceptron (ARP), has a mechanism to ensure that the node always…
A framework for hypothesis testing on attributed graphs using sampling.
problem Statistical testing on graph data, especially large attributed graphs.
method Sampling-based framework with PHASE and PHASEopt for accurate and efficient hypothesis testing.
result PHASE and PHASEopt improve accuracy and efficiency of hypothesis testing in attributed graphs.
The paper sets thresholds for testing correlation in hypergraphs, distinguishing between independent and correlated states.
problem Testing correlation between two hypergraphs under different models.
method Derives sharp information-theoretic thresholds for distinguishing between null and alternative hypotheses.
result The testing threshold decreases as the hypergraph's uniformity (m) increases, making correlation testing easier for higher uniformity.
User releases data to service provider while balancing privacy and utility.
problem Balancing user privacy and service utility in data release.
method Formulated as a Markov decision process (MDP) and solved using deep reinforcement learning (RL).
result Achieved a trade-off between revealing useful information and protecting sensitive data.
Establishes upper bounds on generalization error in active learning.
problem Improving query algorithms in active learning.
method Derives upper bounds on generalization error using informativeness and representativeness query strategies.
result Validates the use of regularization techniques to ensure bounds' validity.
Study robust hypothesis testing under Hellinger distance, proving lower bounds and providing tests.
problem Testing close variants of specified distributions robustly to Hellinger distance.
method Lower bound on slack factor, testing with Hellinger balls, symmetric chi-squared distance analysis.
result Lower bound on slack factor quantifies robustness under misspecification.
Paper resolves open problems on sample complexity in binary hypothesis testing.
problem Open problems in distributed simple binary hypothesis testing under information constraints.
method One-shot lower bound on Bayes error, streamlined sample complexity formula, reverse data-processing inequality.
result Optimally tight sample complexity bounds for communication-constrained simple binary hypothesis testing.
In statistical inference problems, we wish to obtain lower bounds on the minimax risk, that is to bound the performance of any possible estimator. A standard technique to obtain risk lower bounds involves the use of Fano's inequality. In an information-theoretic setting, it is known that Fano's inequality typically doe…
Transforms any test into anytime-valid with sample savings.
problem Sequential data invalidates classical test guarantees.
method Predicts test outcomes to create anytime-valid stopping rules.
result Ensures Type-I error control and near-optimal power.
Paper proposes a new framework for hypothesis testing in imaging.
problem Challenges in hypothesis testing for imaging data.
method Combines self-supervised imaging, vision-language models, and non-parametric hypothesis testing.
result Demonstrates improved power and robust error control in image-based phenotyping.
Paper proposes a robust hypothesis testing method using Sinkhorn distance.
problem Hypothesis testing for small samples.
method Data-driven approach using Sinkhorn uncertainty sets.
result The method provides a more flexible detector compared to Wasserstein robust test.
Study hypothesis testing under quantized samples with communication constraints, achieving near-optimal sample complexity.
problem Optimizing hypothesis testing with quantized samples and communication constraints.
method Developed a polynomial-time algorithm achieving near-optimal sample complexity under communication constraints.
result Achieved near-optimal sample complexity under communication constraints, with a logarithmic factor increase over unconstrained setting.
New private algorithm for sequential hypothesis testing with privacy and error rate guarantees.
problem Privacy protection in sequential hypothesis testing for sensitive data.
method Renyi differential privacy, Wald's Sequential Probability Ratio Test (SPRT).
result Private algorithm with strong privacy guarantees and theoretical performance analysis.
Robust test for distributions under Hellinger distance, simpler than optimal tests.
problem Testing and estimating distributions robustly under Hellinger distance.
method Simple robust hypothesis test with optimal sample complexity, robust to Hellinger distance perturbations.
result Empirically demonstrated robustness and power of the test on canonical distributions.
Neural networks can learn distance metrics affecting model performance.
problem Understanding how neural networks learn and represent data.
method Experiments with six MNIST architectures, constrained to learn either distance or intensity representations.
result Distance-based learning affects model performance, validating the geometric framework.
Unified Bayesian framework improves clinical trial hypothesis testing.
problem Lack of transparency and inability to quantify evidence in traditional P-values.
method Interval null hypothesis framework combined with Bayes factor-based tests.
result Bayesian interval hypothesis testing ensures frequentist error control and interpretability.
The problem of multiple hypothesis testing arises when there are more than one hypothesis to be tested simultaneously for statistical significance. This is a very common situation in many data mining applications. For instance, assessing simultaneously the significance of all frequent itemsets of a single dataset entai…
New framework compares credal sets for hypothesis testing with epistemic uncertainty.
problem Comparing distributions with partial ignorance and epistemic uncertainty.
method Credal two-sample testing framework for convex sets of probability measures.
result Direct integration of epistemic uncertainty in hypothesis testing.
Develops GLRT for defending against adversarial attacks in hypothesis testing.
problem Adversarial attacks on machine learning models causing misclassification.
method Generalized likelihood ratio test applied to composite hypothesis testing problem.
result GLRT approach yields competitive robustness-accuracy tradeoff under various attacks.
Framework for online hypothesis testing across various data types.
problem Testing various nonparametric hypotheses in data streams.
method Unified framework using operators on data distributions, leveraging ML models.
result Efficient, adaptive, and error-controlled sequential tests.
Proposes a new model for testing causal structural priors and synthesizing data.
problem Testing and synthesizing causal structural priors using nonparametric knowledge and neural networks.
method Causal Structural Hypothesis Testing (C-SHT) and Causal Structural Variational Hypothesis Testing (C-SVHT) using deep neural networks.
result Demonstrates out-of-distribution generalization error as a proxy for causal structural prior hypothesis testing.
Unseen data conditions can inflict serious performance degradation on systems relying on supervised machine learning algorithms. Because data can often be unseen, and because traditional machine learning algorithms are trained in a supervised manner, unsupervised adaptation techniques must be used to adapt the model to…
Formula derived for sample complexity in binary hypothesis testing.
problem Determine the minimum number of samples to distinguish between two distributions.
method Developed a formula for sample complexity in both prior-free and Bayesian settings, using Jensen-Shannon and Hellinger divergences.
result Formula characterizes sample complexity for a wide range of error parameters, up to multiplicative constants.
We show that the disagreement coefficient of certain smooth hypothesis classes is O(m), where m is the dimension of the hypothesis space, thereby answering a question posed in \cite{friedman09}.
Develops a hypothesis testing framework for generalized Thurstone models.
problem Determining whether pairwise comparison data fits a generalized Thurstone model.
method Introduces separation distance and derives upper and lower bounds for testing.
result Critical threshold for testing depends on observation graph topology and scales as Θ((nk)−1/2) for complete graphs. Hypothesis testing is an important cognitive process that supports human reasoning. In this paper, we introduce a computational hypothesis testing approach based on memory augmented neural networks. Our approach involves a hypothesis testing loop that reconsiders and progressively refines a previously formed hypothesis…
We study "active" decision making over sensor networks where the sensors' sequential probing actions are actively chosen by continuously learning from past observations. We consider two network settings: with and without central coordination. In the first case, the network nodes interact with each other through a centr…
New framework for valid hypothesis testing in complex data settings.
problem Challenges in classical hypothesis testing frameworks.
method Add and subtract external noise to partition data, orthogonalize, and test hypotheses.
result Valid hypothesis tests can be conducted under minimal assumptions.
Develops a test to distinguish between standard and rough volatility.
problem Determining whether asset volatility follows a standard semimartingale or a rough process.
method Uses sample autocovariance of high-frequency asset return data to detect negative autocorrelation at high frequencies.
result Evidence of rough volatility in SPY high-frequency data.
Markov regime switching models have been used in numerous empirical studies in economics and finance. However, the asymptotic distribution of the likelihood ratio test statistic for testing the number of regimes in Markov regime switching models has been an unresolved problem. This paper derives the asymptotic distribu…
New method reduces computational cost for selective inference.
problem Over-conditioning in selective inference.
method Parametric programming-based selective inference (PP-based SI) with bounded p-values.
result Reduced computational cost while maintaining desired precision.
We propose a methodology for testing linear hypothesis in high-dimensional linear models. The proposed test does not impose any restriction on the size of the model, i.e. model sparsity or the loading vector representing the hypothesis. Providing asymptotically valid methods for testing general linear functions of the …