This study examines yield aggregators in DeFi, summarizing strategies and analyzing performance.
problem Understanding and optimizing yield farming strategies in DeFi.
method Summarizes yield farming protocols and tokens, analyzes performance through simulations and empirical data.
result Plausible connection between data anomalies and historical events in yield aggregators.
Survey of yield farming protocols in DeFi.
problem Understanding and evaluating yield farming mechanisms in DeFi.
method Analyzed smart contracts, performed simulations, reviewed literature.
result Characterized major yield aggregators and identified risks.
Paper analyzes sparse aggregation in GLMs with Kullback-Leibler risk bounds.
problem Sparse aggregation in GLMs for parameter approximation.
method Exponential weighted aggregation scheme with Kullback-Leibler risk bounds.
result Sharp oracle inequality for Kullback-Leibler risk with leading constant 1 and minimax-optimal rate of aggregation.
This work analyzes two methods for combining multiple binary labels in bipartite ranking.
problem Combining multiple binary labels for optimal bipartite ranking.
method Loss aggregation vs. label aggregation approaches.
result Label aggregation is preferable to loss aggregation due to label dictatorship issues.
The paper uses tensor decompositions to improve neural network models for tree data.
problem Encoding structural knowledge from tree-structured data efficiently.
method Introduces new aggregation functions using Canonical and Tensor-Train decompositions.
result Proposed models outperform traditional methods on tree classification tasks.
SACP aggregates nonconformity scores from multiple predictors to create more efficient uncertainty sets.
problem Combining predictive uncertainties from multiple models for efficient and reliable uncertainty quantification.
method SACP (Symmetric Aggregated Conformal Prediction) aggregates nonconformity scores using a flexible symmetric aggregation function.
result SACP consistently improves efficiency and often outperforms state-of-the-art model aggregation baselines.
A new aggregation strategy improves GNN performance and learning dynamics.
problem Improving expressivity and learning dynamics of GNNs.
method Proposes a variance-preserving aggregation function (VPA) for GNNs.
result VPA leads to increased predictive performance and improved learning dynamics.
New LCM aggregator improves GNN performance and efficiency.
problem Graph neural networks' sensitivity to aggregation function choice.
method Learnable commutative monoid for graph aggregation.
result LCM aggregator achieves performance competitive with recurrent aggregators.
The financial crisis showed the importance of measuring, allocating and regulating systemic risk. Recently, the systemic risk measures that can be decomposed into an aggregation function and a scalar measure of risk, received a lot of attention. In this framework, capital allocations are added after aggregation and can…
Adaptive Bayesian learning aggregates experts to improve performance.
problem Bayesian online learning's performance depends on inferential choices.
method Treat Bayesian update rules as experts and aggregate them based on sequential predictive losses.
result The aggregate competes with the best expert in hindsight at a low aggregation cost.
Paper improves probabilistic forecasts of electricity prices.
problem Combining multivariate probabilistic forecasts with dependencies.
method Online learning algorithm using Bernstein Online Aggregation (BOA).
result Significant improvement in CRPS over uniform combination.
FedNNNN improves FL by adjusting model update vector norms.
problem Slow convergence and low prediction accuracy in FL.
method Norm-Normalized Neural Network Aggregation (FedNNNN) with momentum control.
result Up to 5.4% accuracy improvement on multiple datasets.
Partial fusion combines neural networks to balance accuracy and efficiency.
problem Balancing accuracy and computational cost in neural networks.
method Extending weight aggregation methods based on neuron-level similarity, using partial optimal transport to match similar neurons.
result Achieves a flexible tradeoff between computational cost and performance.
Using Monte Carlo simulation to calculate the Value at Risk (VaR) as a possible risk measure requires adequate techniques. One of these techniques is the application of a compound distribution for the aggregates in a portfolio. In this paper, we consider the aggregated loss of Gamma distributed severities and estimate …
DAGgr aggregates multiple DAGs to stabilize causal structure learning.
problem Stability in learning causal structure from data.
method Model averaging of candidate DAGs weighted by predictive likelihood, with acyclicity enforced.
result DAGgr consistently outperforms individual DAGs and bootstrap-aggregation baselines.
Bayesian CNN improves MRI stroke diagnosis accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
problem Uncertainty quantification in automated image analysis for medical decision-making.
method Bayesian Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) with aggregation methods for patient-level diagnoses.
result Bayesian CNN achieved 95.33% accuracy on 511 patients, 2% higher than non-Bayesian.
For a GJR-GARCH specification with a generic innovation distribution we derive analytic expressions for the first four conditional moments of the forward and aggregated returns and variances. Moment for the most commonly used GARCH models are stated as special cases. We also the limits of these moments as the time hori…
Optimal risk sharing without convex preferences using aggregate convexity.
problem Risk sharing among non-convex preferences.
method Aggregate convexity principles and Lyapunov convexity, combined with approximation arguments for law invariant risk measures.
result Derivation of a computationally tractable formula for the conjugate of the value function.
Label aggregation makes learning robust to noisy labels.
problem Learning from noisy labels.
method Label aggregation and risk consistency.
result Aggregated labels lead to stronger consistency guarantees.
Satellite imagery and remote sensing provide explanatory variables at relatively high resolutions for modeling geospatial phenomena, yet regional summaries are often desirable for analysis and actionable insight. In this paper, we propose a novel method of inducing spatial aggregations as a component of the machine lea…
The ability to adequately model risks is crucial for insurance companies. The method of "Copula-based hierarchical risk aggregation" by Arbenz et al. offers a flexible way in doing so and has attracted much attention recently. We briefly introduce the aggregation tree model as well as the sampling algorithm proposed by…
New framework models uncertainty in classification debates.
problem Weak interpretability of existing uncertainty quantification methods.
method Courtroom analogy and Mixture of Dirichlet Experts (MoDEX) model.
result MoDEX achieves state-of-the-art uncertainty quantification performance.
Optimal transport aggregation combines distributed MoE models efficiently.
problem Combining local MoE models trained on distributed datasets.
method Optimal transport for minimizing divergence between local and global estimators, with MM algorithm for optimization.
result Aggregated estimator achieves performance comparable to centralized training but with reduced computation time.
New method aggregates Gaussian experts by detecting conditional independence violations.
problem Aggregation of dependent Gaussian experts leads to sub-optimal solutions.
method Uses Gaussian graphical model to detect and correct conditional independence violations.
result Improves aggregation of Gaussian experts, outperforming SOTA DGP approaches.
Calibrated models can lead to miscalibrated aggregations in strategic interactions.
problem Miscalibration in aggregated predictions from multiple calibrated models.
method Analysis of strategic interactions between calibrated predictors, proving conditions for miscalibration and comparing VCG and Brier-score aggregation methods.
result VCG aggregation method outperforms Brier-score in strategic settings, providing robustness and comparable accuracy.
New method improves LLM judge accuracy by accounting for dependencies in aggregated binary labels.
problem Classical label aggregation methods fail to account for dependencies among LLM judges, leading to miscalibrated predictions.
method Dependence-aware models based on Ising graphical models and latent factors.
result The proposed method outperforms classical methods on real-world datasets, reducing excess risk.
A new method combines Gaussian graphical models for better distributed Gaussian process predictions.
problem Poor results from traditional DGP due to violated conditional independence assumption.
method Proposes using Gaussian graphical models to aggregate local predictions from subsets of data.
result Our method outperforms other state-of-the-art DGP approaches on both synthetic and real datasets.
Unified approach for federated learning using MM optimization.
problem Scaling stochastic optimization to federated learning.
method Unified Majorize-Minimize (MM) framework for stochastic optimization, extended to federated learning.
result Unified algorithm \QSMM\ for federated learning that aggregates surrogate majorizing functions.
This paper focuses on the discrimination capacity of aggregation functions: these are the permutation invariant functions used by graph neural networks to combine the features of nodes. Realizing that the most powerful aggregation functions suffer from a dimensionality curse, we consider a restricted setting. In partic…
Robust VB framework handles contamination using min-max median aggregation.
problem Handling contamination and outliers in datasets.
method Partition data into subsets, formulate robust optimization problem, use min-max median KL divergence.
result Min-max median formulation improves robustness and statistical rates.
New method tests Granger non-causality in panel data with cross-sectional dependencies.
problem Testing Granger non-causality in panel data with cross-sectional dependencies.
method Proposes a new approach to aggregate p-values from panel members to test Granger non-causality, showing lower FDR.
result Our approach discovers true causal relations in panel data, unlike state-of-the-art methods.
This paper shows how to combine optimal tests into log-optimal processes.
problem How to combine optimal sequential tests into log-optimal processes.
method Using a new class of WAIT e-processes, the paper aggregates asymptotically optimal sequential tests into asymptotically log-optimal processes.
result It is possible to aggregate asymptotically optimal sequential tests into asymptotically log-optimal e-processes.
Boosting framework for vector-valued prediction with geometric stability.
problem Lack of a general theoretical understanding of aggregation for structured prediction.
method Identifies (α,β)-stability property and proposes a boosting framework based on exponential reweighting and geometric-median aggregation. result Obtains exponential decay of empirical divergence error under weak learner condition and (α,β)-stability. We provide a general construction of time-consistent sublinear expectations on the space of continuous paths. It yields the existence of the conditional G-expectation of a Borel-measurable (rather than quasi-continuous) random variable, a generalization of the random G-expectation, and an optional sampling theorem that…
Transforms ensemble predictions to maintain interpretability.
problem Loss of interpretability in deep ensembles.
method Proposes transformation ensembles that aggregate predictions while preserving interpretability.
result Transformation ensembles yield better predictions than individual models and maintain interpretability.
LASG improves communication efficiency in distributed learning.
problem Efficiently communicating gradients in distributed machine learning.
method Develops a new stochastic gradient descent approach, LASG, that predicts and selects significant communication rounds.
result Achieves communication savings by an order of magnitude in federated learning.
A fundamental problem in risk management is the robust aggregation of different sources of risk in a situation where little or no data are available to infer information about their dependencies. A popular approach to solving this problem is to formulate an optimization problem under which one maximizes a risk measure …
Understanding and accurately predicting within-field spatial variability of crop yield play a key role in site-specific management of crop inputs such as irrigation water and fertilizer for optimized crop production. However, such a task is challenged by the complex interaction between crop growth and environmental and…
The purpose of this paper relies on the study of long term affine yield curves modeling. It is inspired by the Ramsey rule of the economic literature, that links discount rate and marginal utility of aggregate optimal consumption. For such a long maturity modelization, the possibility of adjusting preferences to new ec…
GRAIN: Group Aggregation via Min-Norm Objective
problem Learning instability in large models
method Replacing mean aggregation with min-norm convex combination
result Improves performance and reduces variance
Statistical mechanics explains income and wealth distribution in developed economies.
problem Understanding the distribution of income and wealth in developed economies.
method Derive the distribution from firm dynamics using maximum entropy and mixture aggregation.
result Derive the robust two-class structure of income and wealth distribution.
This work improves multi-modal generative models by using permutation-invariant neural networks.
problem Improving multi-modal generative models with tighter variational objectives.
method Developed more flexible aggregation schemes based on permutation-invariant neural networks.
result Our variational objective and flexible aggregation models can better approximate the true joint distribution.
Proposes a method for stable variable selection in high-dimensional data.
problem Challenges of variable selection in high-dimensional, correlated data.
method Resample-aggregate framework using diffusion models.
result Stable subset of predictors with calibrated stability scores.
A new method sorts projects using Quicksort and Bradley-Terry model for uncertain long-term benefits.
problem Selecting projects with uncertain long-term benefits.
method Combining Quicksort and Bradley-Terry model for ranking projects based on uncertain long-term benefits.
result Proposed methods outperform existing aggregation methods and can be combined with sampling techniques.
A new method for feature selection robust to noise and design variability.
problem Feature selection in high-dimensional regression under sampling variability and measurement error.
method Injects controlled additive noise into the design matrix, fits a base selector, and aggregates selection frequencies.
result Improved robustness compared to Stability Selection and standard base selectors.
We propose a new algorithm for finite sum optimization which we call the curvature-aided incremental aggregated gradient (CIAG) method. Motivated by the problem of training a classifier for a d-dimensional problem, where the number of training data is m and m≫d≫1, the CIAG method seeks to accelerate increme…
Combining forecasts of 16 ED causes improves accuracy and stability.
problem Forecasting accuracy and stability for ED admissions is poor due to model uncertainty and limited data.
method High-dimensional forecast combinations of 16 cause-specific ED forecasts using extensive covariates.
result Forecast combinations yield forecast accuracies of 3.81%-23.54% across causes, outperforming individual models in 50% of scenarios.
DUA-D2C refines D2C for better deep learning generalization.
problem Overfitting in deep learning models due to data outliers and noise.
method Dynamic uncertainty-aware aggregation of D2C subsets.
result Significant improvement in generalization performance.