Using artificial neural network for the prediction of heat demand has attracted more and more attention. Weather conditions, such as ambient temperature, wind speed and direct solar irradiance, have been identified as key input parameters. In order to further improve the model accuracy, it is of great importance to und…
Study assesses risk of upward lightning at wind turbines using direct measurements and machine learning.
problem Risk underestimation of upward lightning at wind turbines due to limited detection by current standards.
method Direct UL measurements linked to meteorological reanalysis data using random forests.
result Risk maps based on case study events show high probabilities coincide with actual UL events.
Solves time-optimal navigation on slippery slopes with cross gravitational wind.
problem Time-optimal navigation on a slippery cross slope under gravitational wind.
method New Finsler metric derived for the problem, considering both lateral and longitudinal gravitational effects.
result Conditions for strong convexity and purely geometric solution provided.
Simulation of high-speed train aerodynamics using RANS and machine learning.
problem Aerodynamic analysis of high-speed trains under turbulent flow conditions.
method RANS equations with turbulence model, machine learning (GEP, GPR, RF) for predictions.
result Random Forest (RF) provides the most accurate predictions for aerodynamic coefficients.
Study predicts wind energy potential in Gulf of Oman using climate models.
problem Predicting future wind energy potential in the Gulf of Oman.
method Used ERA5 and MENA simulations to project historical and future wind energy variability.
result Selected locations have suitable potential for wind power turbine construction.
Study geodesics on a special cylinder with arbitrary wind.
problem Global behavior of geodesics on a Randers metric cylinder.
method Solve Zermelo's navigation problem to define the Randers metric; analyze geodesics, conjugate, and cut loci.
result Characterize geodesics and their properties on the base manifold.
Wind farm layout optimisation tackles space constraints with Bayesian multi-objective approach.
problem Optimizing wind farm layout due to limited space and conflicting objectives.
method Set-based multi-objective Bayesian optimisation using Gaussian process.
result Demonstrates potential of set-based Bayesian multi-objective optimisation for wind farm layout.
New findings on diffusion rates in wind-tree model with rational parameters.
problem Understanding diffusion rates in the wind-tree model with rational parameters.
method Analyzing real numbers in [0,1) as diffusion rates and providing a criterion for Lyapunov spectrum.
result Exhibit an infinite family of wind-tree billiards with the interior of the Lyapunov spectrum being the full square (0,1)^2.
New system studies trapped light paths in Euclidean space.
problem Trapping of light paths in Euclidean space with negative refractive index.
method Introduces wind-tree tiling billiards system to study trajectories of rays in Euclidean space with rectangular obstacles.
result Almost every configuration of the system traps trajectories with initial vertical direction in an infinite strip.
Generative model improves wind field downscaling from coarse climate models.
problem Limited spatial resolution and biases in GCMs for wind energy studies.
method SerpentFlow for domain alignment and conditional fine-scale learning.
result Improved spatial coherence, inter-variable consistency, robustness under climate change.
Study geodesics on neck-degenerate manifolds, focusing and winding behavior observed.
problem Geodesics behavior on neck-degenerate manifolds with cuspidal singularities.
method Detailed multiscale analysis, blow-up techniques.
result Geodesics exhibit focussing and winding behavior as the neck degenerates.
Solves time-minimizing navigation on a mountain slope using Riemann-Finsler geometry.
problem Time-minimizing navigation on a mountain slope under gravity.
method Riemann-Finsler geometry, Zermelo navigation problem, anisotropic deformation of the background Riemannian metric, rescaled gravitational wind.
result A new Finsler metric for optimal navigation on slippery mountain slopes.
DeepMIDE forecasts wind speeds across space, time, and height for offshore wind energy.
problem Forecasting wind speeds across multiple heights for large offshore wind turbines.
method Statistical deep learning model that jointly models wind speeds at different heights using a multi-output integro-difference equation.
result DeepMIDE forecasts outperform traditional methods in real-world offshore wind energy data.
Wind energy resource quantification, air pollution monitoring, and weather forecasting all rely on rapid, accurate measurement of local wind conditions. Visual observations of the effects of wind---the swaying of trees and flapping of flags, for example---encode information regarding local wind conditions that can pote…
Study short-term wind power and speed predictions using machine learning.
problem Accurate short-term wind power and speed predictions for energy systems.
method Combining numerical weather prediction models with local observations, using machine learning for variable selection and forecasting.
result Improved wind power and speed predictions for 4-hour ahead using machine learning.
An extreme wind speed estimation method that considers wind hazard climate types is critical for design wind load calculation for building structures affected by mixed climates. However, it is very difficult to obtain wind hazard climate types from meteorological data records, because they restrict the application of e…
Bayesian model predicts circular data with fast Gibbs sampling.
problem Predicting circular data in scientific fields.
method Expressive von Mises quasi-processes with Stratonovich augmentation for posterior inference.
result Fast Gibbs sampling for posterior inference.
In this study, the wind data series from five locations in Aegean Sea islands, the most active `hotspots' in terms of refugee influx during the Oct/2015 - Jan/2016 period, are investigated. The analysis of the three-per-site data series includes standard statistical analysis and parametric distributions, auto-correlati…
WindDragon forecasts wind power with deep learning.
problem Accurate short-term wind power forecasting is crucial for grid operation.
method Automated Deep Learning combined with Numerical Weather Predictions.
result Automated Deep Learning improves wind power forecasting accuracy.
Precisely forecasting wind speed is essential for wind power producers and grid operators. However, this task is challenging due to the stochasticity of wind speed. To accurately predict short-term wind speed under uncertainties, this paper proposed a multi-variable stacked LSTMs model (MSLSTM). The proposed method uti…
New method calculates winding of geodesics on surfaces.
problem Understanding the distribution of geodesics on surfaces.
method Introducing a new construction of winding numbers for geodesics on cusped hyperbolic orbifolds.
result Winding numbers can be expressed by Rademacher symbols for various arithmetic families of surfaces.
Improved wind speed forecasts for power generation using machine learning.
problem Improving the accuracy and reliability of wind speed predictions for power generation.
method A novel machine learning approach for calibrating wind speed ensemble forecasts.
result The proposed method improves the calibration and accuracy of probabilistic and point forecasts.
DA improves solar wind forecasts by updating model boundary conditions.
problem Improving solar wind forecasting accuracy.
method Variational Data Assimilation with solar wind model and in-situ observations.
result DA forecasts are more accurate than non-DA forecasts, especially when STEREO-B's latitude is offset from Earth.
The energy output a photo voltaic(PV) panel is a function of solar irradiation and weather parameters like temperature and wind speed etc. A general measure for solar irradiation called Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI), customarily reported in Watt/meter2, is a generic indicator for this intermittent energy resour…
Wind power, as an alternative to burning fossil fuels, is abundant and inexhaustible. To fully utilize wind power, wind farms are usually located in areas of high altitude and facing serious ice conditions, which can lead to serious consequences. Quick detection of blade ice accretion is crucial for the maintenance of …
Suppose a smooth planar curve γ is 2π-periodic in the x direction and the length of one period is ℓ. It is shown that if γ self-intersects, then it has a segment of length ℓ−2π on which it self-intersects and somewhere its curvature is at least 2π/(ℓ−2π). The proof involves the projection Γ …
Method reconstructs missing wind farm data using graph theory and nearest neighbors.
problem Missing data in wind farm records due to sensor failures.
method Combines spectral graph theory and k-Nearest Neighbors to estimate missing data.
result Significant improvement in data reconstruction over existing methods.
New method predicts wind farm power and wakes using weather patterns.
problem Inefficient and computationally intensive wind energy resource assessment.
method Unsupervised clustering of ERA5 data on wind velocity, WRF simulations at cluster centers, and post-processing.
result Accurate long-term predictions of power and wakes with reduced computational time.
Bayesian method models multivalued power data from wind farms.
problem Accurate modeling of power curves with multivalued relationships.
method Overlapping mixture of probabilistic regression models.
result Model accurately represents practical power data.
Study uses ANFIS to assess wind power under climate change.
problem Tackles climate change impact on wind power potential.
method Employed ANFIS to match climate model data with reference data.
result Real wind power potential lower than projected.
We focus on wind power modeling using machine learning techniques. We show on real data provided by the wind energy company Ma{ï}a Eolis, that parametric models, even following closely the physical equation relating wind production to wind speed are outperformed by intelligent learning algorithms. In particular, the CA…
Model for directed synthesis of audio textures using multi-scale RNNs.
problem Challenges in modeling complex audio textures with traditional methods.
method Combining multi-scale RNNs with a conditioning strategy for user-directed synthesis.
result Demonstrated improved performance on various audio texture datasets.
Wind power prediction is of vital importance in wind power utilization. There have been a lot of researches based on the time series of the wind power or speed, but In fact, these time series cannot express the temporal and spatial changes of wind, which fundamentally hinders the advance of wind power prediction. In th…
A detailed understanding of wind turbine performance status classification can improve operations and maintenance in the wind energy industry. Due to different engineering properties of wind turbines, the standard supervised learning models used for classification do not generalize across data sets obtained from differ…
Numerous studies have been carried out to measure wind pressures around circular cylinders since the early 20th century due to its engineering significance. Consequently, a large amount of wind pressure data sets have accumulated, which presents an excellent opportunity for using machine learning (ML) techniques to tra…
We study periodic wind-tree models, billiards in the plane endowed with Z2-periodically located identical connected symmetric right-angled obstacles. We show asymptotic formulas for the number of (isotopy classes of) closed billiard trajectories (up to Z2-translations) on the wind-tree billiard.…
We introduce a measure for estimating the best risk-return relation of power production in wind farms within a given time-lag, conditioned to the velocity field. The velocity field is represented by a scalar that weighs the influence of the velocity at each wind turbine at present and previous time-steps for the presen…
MLM models match or exceed RN in generating wind power time series without location info.
problem Generating accurate long-term wind power time series without location information.
method Applied neural networks to MERRA2 wind speed data with and without location info.
result MLM models produce time series of equal or better quality than RN.
In this paper, we applied the multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis to the daily means of wind speed measured by 119 weather stations distributed over the territory of Switzerland. The analysis was focused on the inner time fluctuations of wind speed, which could be more linked with the local conditions of the hi…
Case study shows impact of co-optimizing energy and reserve for wind energy.
problem Impact of lack of co-optimization of energy and reserve in high wind penetration scenarios.
method Developed two models with and without co-optimization, calibrated with Spanish market parameters.
result Models show significant differences in energy and reserve management.
CESAR improves wind speed and power forecasting for high-resolution simulations.
problem Accurate high-resolution wind forecasting for efficient power grid management.
method A spatio-temporal neural network model using deep convolutional autoencoder and echo state network.
result CESAR provides up to 17% improvement in wind speed and power forecasting compared to best alternatives.
We define winding numbers of regular closed curves on surfaces with a nice euclidean or hyperbolic geometry. We prove that two regular closed curves are regularly homotopic if and only if they are freely homotopic and have the same winding number.
Study uses CNNs to upscale wind speed data from 100 km to 3 km, improving subgrid-scale variability.
problem Recovering fine-scale wind speed information from coarse data.
method Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) with different input configurations (coarse wind speed, fine-scale topography, diurnal cycle) were tested.
result CNN models with coarse wind and fine topography inputs perform best in generalizing to unseen regions.
Flexible GP model improves wind power prediction accuracy.
problem Accurate probabilistic prediction of wind power for grid stability.
method Heteroscedastic non-stationary Gaussian process with generalised spectral mixture kernel.
result The proposed model outperforms conventional GP models in wind power prediction.
Novel framework improves wind power forecasts by bundling assets and using machine learning.
problem Inaccurate forecasts of intermittent renewable generation, especially wind power.
method Bundle-Predict-Reconcile (BPR) framework integrating asset bundling, machine learning, and forecast reconciliation.
result Significant improvement in forecast accuracy, especially at the fleet level.
Wind energy forecasting helps to manage power production, and hence, reduces energy cost. Deep Neural Networks (DNN) mimics hierarchical learning in the human brain and thus possesses hierarchical, distributed, and multi-task learning capabilities. Based on aforementioned characteristics, we report Deep Belief Network …
Hybrid model improves wind speed prediction accuracy using MLP and WOA.
problem Improving wind speed prediction accuracy for renewable energy control.
method Combining MLP with Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA) for data preprocessing and model optimization.
result The hybrid MLP-WOA model outperformed standalone MLP model in wind speed prediction accuracy.
Optimal wind farm placement using quantile constraints for better power output.
problem Optimizing wind farm placement to maximize power output considering spatial and temporal wind speed correlations.
method Used a probabilistic neural network with ReLU activation functions to reformulate constraints as linear ones, embedding them into a two-stage stochastic optimization problem.
result The constraint learning approach outperforms classical methods, especially for risk-averse investors.