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168,695 papers · 148 categories

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1122 · Apr 202619922001200920172026
6 results for Welsch

Robust X-Learner improves HTE estimation in imbalanced and heavy-tailed data.

problem Estimating HTE in imbalanced and heavy-tailed data.
method Integrates γ-divergence objective and Proxy Hessian strategy into gradient boosting.
result Reduces PEHE metric by 98.6% in semi-synthetic Criteo Uplift dataset.

We present a generalization of the Cauchy/Lorentzian, Geman-McClure, Welsch/Leclerc, generalized Charbonnier, Charbonnier/pseudo-Huber/L1-L2, and L2 loss functions. By introducing robustness as a continuous parameter, our loss function allows algorithms built around robust loss minimization to be generalized, which imp…

2017-01-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian X-Learner calibrates uncertainty and robustness for CATE estimation under heavy-tailed data.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects with calibrated uncertainty and robustness to heavy-tailed outcomes.
method Bayesian X-Learner using cross-fitted doubly robust pseudo-outcomes and MCMC for a full posterior over CATE.
result Bayesian X-Learner achieves robust and calibrated CATE estimation on real and contaminated data.

New method estimates extreme outcomes in heavy-tailed data, breaking circular dependence.

problem Estimating outcomes for extreme events in heavy-tailed data.
method Proposes an ADRF estimator that includes a structured tail-shape output and a diagnostic to evaluate tail shape.
result Successfully reduces MAE in deep-tail and conditional-shortfall predictions.

SHIFT improves robustness in estimating dose-response functions with heavy-tailed contamination.

problem Outliers bias estimates of average dose-response functions in heavy-tailed data.
method SHIFT combines cross-fit nuisance orthogonalization, Welsch-loss, and defensive OLS refit.
result SHIFT reduces RMSE from 1.03 to 0.33 on localized contamination test.