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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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136271407542 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Weighted observations

A new weighted MCC measure improves classifier performance evaluation.

problem Lack of measures sensitive to observation weights in multiclass classification.
method Proposes weighted versions of Pearson-Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) for binary and multiclass classification.
result Weighted MCC values are higher for classifiers that perform better on highly weighted observations.

Improved averaging method for noisy observations converges strongly.

problem Noisy observations from random dynamical systems require stable estimates.
method Introduced pp-EMA, a modified exponential moving average with subharmonic weight decay.
result Stochastic convergence guarantees for pp-EMA under mild assumptions.

Neural networks' weights don't converge to stationary points but training loss stabilizes.

problem The disconnect between theoretical analyses and neural network training practice.
method An invariant measure perspective inspired by ergodic theory of dynamical systems.
result The distribution of weights converges to an approximate invariant measure, explaining loss stabilization.

Efficient policy learning from observational data using weighted classification reductions.

problem Efficient policy evaluation does not necessarily lead to efficient estimation of policy parameters.
method Proposed an estimation approach based on generalized method of moments, efficient for policy parameters.
result Demonstrated empirical efficiency and regret benefits of a proposed method.

A novel Bayesian computation method using importance weighting improves numerical stability and performance.

problem Bayesian computation stability and performance issues.
method Nonparametric approach via feature means, importance weighting, and kernel Bayes' rule.
result Importance weighted kernel Bayes' rule yields superior numerical stability and performance.

In this paper we study convex stochastic search problems where a noisy objective function value is observed after a decision is made. There are many stochastic search problems whose behavior depends on an exogenous state variable which affects the shape of the objective function. Currently, there is no general purpose …

2010-06-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Improves causal inference with observational data by balancing features and weights.

problem Achieving balance in predictive features for causal inference with observational data.
method Integrates balancing weights into representation learning for causal learning.
result Developed an algorithm for accurate estimation of causal effects.

Traditionally, there are three species of classification: unsupervised, supervised, and semi-supervised. Supervised and semi-supervised classification differ by whether or not weight is given to unlabelled observations in the classification procedure. In unsupervised classification, or clustering, all observations are …

2013-07-13abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm for online learning with noisy side observations.

problem Online learning with noisy side feedback and graph-structured dependencies.
method Proposes an algorithm using a weighted directed graph to model dependencies and guarantees a regret bound of O(√α* T).
result Guarantees a regret of O(√α* T) after T rounds, where α* is the effective independence number.

Proposes DSW for unbiased ITE estimation with dynamic confounders.

problem Estimating ITE from dynamic observational data with time-varying confounders.
method Deep Sequential Weighting (DSW) infers hidden confounders using current treatment assignments and historical information.
result DSW generates unbiased and accurate treatment effects.

Unweighted matrix factorization can match or outperform weighted methods in recommender systems.

problem Improving recommendation performance with matrix factorization on implicit feedback data.
method Systematic study of various weighting schemes and matrix factorization algorithms.
result Training with unweighted data can perform comparably to, and sometimes outperform, training with weighted data.

A new method for matrix completion with model-free weights.

problem Matrix completion under non-uniform missing structures.
method Constructs weights via convex optimization to adjust for non-uniformity without modeling observation probabilities.
result Recover matrix with stronger theoretical guarantees, especially in heterogeneous missing settings.

Proposes efficient estimators for weighted cumulative treatment effects in observational studies.

problem Inconsistent and inefficient estimators due to model misspecification and lack of overlap.
method Double/debiased machine learning for weighted cumulative causal effects.
result Proposed estimators are consistent, asymptotically linear, and reach semiparametric efficiency bounds.

Generative framework improves causal estimation from observational data.

problem Estimating individualized treatment effects from non-randomized data.
method Importance-Weighted Diffusion Distillation (IWDD) combining diffusion models and IPW.
result IWDD achieves state-of-the-art prediction performance and significantly improves causal estimation.

FAWMF adapts weights for implicit feedback recommendation efficiently.

problem Challenges in treating unobserved data as negative in implicit feedback recommendation.
method FAWMF uses a variational auto-encoder with a parameterized neural network to adaptively assign personalized data confidence weights, and fBGD for efficient learning.
result FAWMF and fBGD outperform existing methods in real-world datasets.

Probabilistic models analyze data by relying on a set of assumptions. Data that exhibit deviations from these assumptions can undermine inference and prediction quality. Robust models offer protection against mismatch between a model's assumptions and reality. We propose a way to systematically detect and mitigate mism…

2016-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose combinatorial cascading bandits, a class of partial monitoring problems where at each step a learning agent chooses a tuple of ground items subject to constraints and receives a reward if and only if the weights of all chosen items are one. The weights of the items are binary, stochastic, and drawn independe…

2015-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

New method combines experimental and observational data for causal inference.

problem Combining internal validity of experiments and larger sample sizes of observations.
method Empirical risk minimization (ERM) framework with cross-validation.
result Efficacy and reliability demonstrated on real and synthetic data.

The paper analyzes methods for estimating linear functionals from observational data, proving upper bounds and showing optimal procedures.

problem Estimating linear functionals from observational data in causal inference and bandit literature.
method Two-stage procedures that first estimate treatment effect function, then use it to estimate the linear functional.
result Proves non-asymptotic upper bounds on mean-squared error for two-stage procedures and shows instance-dependent optimality.

Enhances flexibility in data reweighting with optimal transport and maximum entropy principles.

problem Adapting empirical distributions to predefined constraints on moments, tail behavior, etc.
method Nonparametric distributional constraints, maximum entropy principle, optimal transport.
result Maximum entropy weight adjusted empirical distribution close to a specified distribution in optimal transport metric.

Tests assess if predictions are prudent by comparing observations and predictions.

problem Assessing the prudence of predictions in samples of observations and predictions.
method Bootstrap and normal approximation algorithms for testing unweighted and weighted means, accounting for randomness.
result Tests reveal whether predictions are prudent by showing significantly negative mean differences.

The multi-label classification framework, where each observation can be associated with a set of labels, has generated a tremendous amount of attention over recent years. The modern multi-label problems are typically large-scale in terms of number of observations, features and labels, and the amount of labels can even …

2017-03-14abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes a method to solve L1 regression with fewer labels using Lewis weights.

problem Finding an approximate solution to L1 regression with limited labels.
method Sampling rows of the data matrix XX according to its Lewis weights and using the empirical minimizer.
result The method succeeds with high probability and has an optimal error bound.

We consider the problem of estimating a low-rank matrix from a noisy observed matrix. Previous work has shown that the optimal method depends crucially on the choice of loss function. In this paper, we use a family of weighted loss functions, which arise naturally for problems such as submatrix denoising, denoising wit…

2019-02-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian priors for neural networks are improved by incorporating weight correlations and tail behavior.

problem Improving Bayesian priors for neural networks to better reflect true beliefs and performance.
method Analyzed summary statistics of neural network weights in different architectures and incorporated these observations into new priors.
result Improved performance on image classification datasets by using new priors that account for weight correlations and tail behavior.

Matrix factorization (MF) has been widely used to discover the low-rank structure and to predict the missing entries of data matrix. In many real-world learning systems, the data matrix can be very high-dimensional but sparse. This poses an imbalanced learning problem, since the scale of missing entries is usually much…

2018-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Weight Squeezing transfers knowledge from large models to smaller ones, improving performance and speed.

problem Transfer learning and model compression for faster and more efficient training.
method Reparameterization of weights from a large model to a smaller one.
result Weight Squeezing outperforms other methods on GLUE benchmark with faster training.

Proposes a method to estimate personalized treatments from high-dimensional data.

problem Estimating individualized treatment regimes (ITRs) from high-dimensional covariates.
method Directly targets the contrast between potential outcomes, using dimension-reduced outcome-weighted learning.
result Achieves universal consistency, converging to the Bayes risk under mild conditions.

Data analysis in high energy physics has to deal with data samples produced from different sources. One of the most widely used ways to unfold their contributions is the sPlot technique. It uses the results of a maximum likelihood fit to assign weights to events. Some weights produced by sPlot are by design negative. N…

2019-10-17abs ↗pdf ↗