Variational Inference shows promise for Bayesian GARCH model estimation.
problem Bayesian estimation of GARCH-family models using Monte Carlo sampling.
method Variational Inference as an alternative to Monte Carlo sampling.
result Variational Inference is a reliable and competitive method for Bayesian learning in GARCH-like models.
A new variational method speeds up Bayesian phylogenetic inference.
problem Slow and inefficient MCMC methods in Bayesian phylogenetic inference.
method Combining subsplit Bayesian networks with variational inference for efficient tree topology and branch length estimation.
result Variational approach provides competitive performance with significantly fewer iterations.
We review three algorithms for Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA). Two of them are variational inference algorithms: Variational Bayesian inference and Online Variational Bayesian inference and one is Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm -- Collapsed Gibbs sampling. We compare their time complexity and performance.…
BayesPy is an open-source Python software package for performing variational Bayesian inference. It is based on the variational message passing framework and supports conjugate exponential family models. By removing the tedious task of implementing the variational Bayesian update equations, the user can construct model…
CATVI improves variational inference for Bayesian nonparametric models by reducing divergence and improving prediction accuracy.
problem Limitations of current variational inference methods in characterizing latent correlations and inferring true posterior dimensions.
method CATVI integrates conditional and adaptive truncation into variational inference, maximizing nonparametric evidence lower bound and using Monte Carlo integration.
result CATVI outperforms traditional methods in Bayesian nonparametric topic models, reducing perplexity and improving topic-word clustering.
Paper proposes Walsh-Hadamard Variational Inference for efficient approximate inference in large models.
problem Over-regularization in variational inference for large models.
method Walsh-Hadamard factorization strategies to reduce parameterization, accelerate computations, and increase posterior expressiveness.
result Efficient approximate inference achieved in over-parameterized models.
NVGD uses neural networks to infer distributions without kernel choices.
problem Challenges in choosing kernel functions for SVGD.
method NVGD parameterizes the witness function of the Stein discrepancy with a neural network.
result NVGD achieves good performance on various inference problems.
New framework for variational coresets simplifies Bayesian inference for complex models.
problem Efficient Bayesian inference for complex models like neural networks.
method Black-box variational inference for coresets that handle intractable posterior distributions.
result Principled application of variational coresets to Bayesian neural networks.
Improved Bayesian inference via variational approximations of generalized rho-posteriors.
problem Robust Bayesian inference under model misspecification and data contamination.
method Introducing a modified ρ-posterior and using PAC-Bayesian analysis with variational approximations. result Theoretical guarantees for tractable inference with competitive robustness and computational efficiency.
Bayesian priors and penalties are equivalent in variational inference.
problem Understanding the relationship between Bayesian priors and penalties in variational inference.
method Characterizing the regularizers that can arise in variational inference and providing a systematic way to compute the prior corresponding to a given penalty.
result Equivalence between Bayesian priors and penalties in variational inference.
The paper proves that certain variational inference methods preserve generalization guarantees in online learning.
problem Generalization guarantees of Bayesian inference with model mismatch and adversaries.
method Derive generalization bounds for several online, tempered variational inference algorithms.
result Variational inference methods can preserve generalization properties of Bayesian inference.
Variational Prediction simplifies Bayesian inference without test time costs.
problem Bayesian inference's computational costs and posterior predictive distribution marginalization.
method Variational Prediction learns a variational approximation to the posterior predictive distribution using a variational bound.
result Directly learns a variational approximation to the posterior predictive distribution without test time marginalization costs.
PIVID infers DAG structures from data using variational inference and permutations.
problem Estimating the structure of Bayesian networks from observational data.
method PIVID uses variational inference and continuous relaxations of discrete distributions to infer a distribution over permutations and DAGs.
result PIVID outperforms deterministic and Bayesian approaches in estimating DAG structures from data.
The article describe the model, derivation, and implementation of variational Bayesian inference for linear and logistic regression, both with and without automatic relevance determination. It has the dual function of acting as a tutorial for the derivation of variational Bayesian inference for simple models, as well a…
Post-process Bayesian inference speeds up posterior approximation.
problem Leveraging pre-existing model evaluations for quick posterior approximation.
method Variational Sparse Bayesian Quadrature (VSBQ) using sparse Gaussian process (GP) surrogate model.
result VSBQ builds high-quality posterior approximations from existing optimization traces.
A new upper bound for variational inference improves the efficiency of Bayesian deep learning.
problem Improving variational inference in Bayesian deep learning.
method Presented a new upper bound (EUBO) for evidence, derived from KL-divergence and log marginal likelihood, and used SGD for optimization.
result The new upper bound (EUBO) is tighter than previous methods and outperforms state-of-the-art results in Bayesian neural networks.
Bayesian neural networks ignore data in infinite units limit.
problem Pathological behavior of posterior in over-parameterized networks.
method Mean-field variational inference in infinite hidden units limit.
result Posterior mean converges to zero, ignoring data.
CoSMIC extends flow-based SVI to transdimensional problems.
problem Bayesian structure learning and model selection with multi-model parameter spaces.
method Normalizing flows with a combined stochastic variational transdimensional inference approach.
result Improved performance on high-cardinality model spaces.
A tutorial on variational inference for high-dimensional models.
problem Approximating marginal likelihood and posterior in Bayesian models.
method Parametric approach to variational inference.
result Variational inference is now preferred for high-dimensional models and large datasets.
New method for better initializations in variational Bayes for deep models.
problem Effective initializations for stochastic variational inference in deep models.
method Layer-wise initialization strategy based on Bayesian linear models.
result Faster and better convergence compared to alternatives.
Proposes MOPED method for choosing priors in Bayesian DNNs.
problem Challenges in specifying meaningful priors for deep neural networks.
method Two-stage hierarchical modeling with empirical Bayes.
result MOPED enables scalable variational inference and reliable uncertainty quantification.
A new method reduces over-regularization in Bayesian deep learning.
problem Bayesian inference for over-parameterized models is challenging.
method Walsh-Hadamard Variational Inference (WHVI) using factorization strategies.
result WHVI avoids over-regularization issues and yields speedups and model reductions.
BLISS detects and separates astronomical sources quickly and accurately.
problem Detecting and separating overlapping astronomical sources in large images.
method Bayesian Light Source Separator (BLISS) using deep generative models and variational inference.
result BLISS can process megapixel images in seconds and produce highly accurate catalogs.
Variational Bayesian inference and (collapsed) Gibbs sampling are the two important classes of inference algorithms for Bayesian networks. Both have their advantages and disadvantages: collapsed Gibbs sampling is unbiased but is also inefficient for large count values and requires averaging over many samples to reduce …
VBMC combines variational inference and Bayesian quadrature for efficient posterior and model evidence estimation.
problem Efficient inference for models with expensive, black-box likelihoods.
method Combines variational inference with Gaussian-process based active-sampling Bayesian quadrature.
result Produces both a nonparametric approximation of the posterior and an approximate lower bound of the model evidence efficiently.
Optimizes decision-making with variational Bayesian methods for continuous utilities.
problem Inference approximations for continuous utilities without full posterior knowledge.
method Automatic pipeline that co-opts continuous utilities into variational inference algorithms.
result Consistent improvement in decision-making when calibrating approximations for specific utilities.
Advances Bayesian inference by deriving GVI posteriors for robust predictions.
problem Severe misalignment between priors, likelihoods, and computing power in standard Bayesian inference.
method Introduces Generalized Variational Inference (GVI) by addressing three assumptions: well-specified priors, likelihoods, and computing power.
result GVI posteriors are a large and tractable family of belief distributions with appealing properties, including consistency and an interpretation as approximate ELBO.
Improves Bayesian neural networks inference efficiency and accuracy.
problem Inflexibility of factorized structure in Dropout posterior.
method Introduces Variational Structured Dropout (VSD) with orthogonal transformation.
result VSD induces adaptive regularization and better generalization.
ADVI speeds up Bayesian inference for bridge regression models.
problem Slow MCMC for large datasets in bridge regression.
method Automatic Differentiation Variational Inference (ADVI) for Bayesian inference.
result ADVI implementation speeds up inference for large datasets.
Bayesian nonparametric Hawkes process model with EM-variational inference.
problem Limited model flexibility in classical Hawkes processes.
method Gaussian process modulated Hawkes process with EM-variational inference.
result Recover underlying baseline intensity and triggering kernel without parametric restriction.
New variational inference approach using Hilbert space for robotic state estimation.
problem Robotic state estimation with high-dimensional data.
method Variational inference reformulated in a Bayesian Hilbert space, using iterative projection.
result Variational inference can be seen as iterative projection in Euclidean space.
TM-VI uses flexible transformation models to approximate complex posteriors in Bayesian models.
problem Approximating complex posteriors in Bayesian models with limited flexibility.
method Transformation models for variational inference (TM-VI).
result TM-VI allows accurate approximation of complex posteriors in models with one parameter and works in a mean-field fashion for multi-parameter models.
A new method combines VI and IS to improve Bayesian inference accuracy.
problem Bayesian inference often underestimates posterior tails, leading to miscalibration and degeneracy.
method Proposes a novel combination of optimization and sampling techniques using the forward KL divergence.
result The method guarantees asymptotic consistency and fast convergence to optimal IS and variational approximations.
Variational inference is a scalable technique for approximate Bayesian inference. Deriving variational inference algorithms requires tedious model-specific calculations; this makes it difficult to automate. We propose an automatic variational inference algorithm, automatic differentiation variational inference (ADVI). …
Improved uncertainty estimation in neural networks with VBLL.
problem Improving uncertainty estimation in neural networks.
method Deterministic variational formulation for training Bayesian last layer neural networks.
result Improves predictive accuracy, calibration, and out-of-distribution detection.
Derives a new variational approach to information bottleneck.
problem Information theoretic inference and predictive modeling.
method Variational lower bound of predictive information bottleneck.
result Generalizes modern inference procedures and suggests new ones.
The paper develops scalable variational inference for Bayesian neural networks under model and parameter uncertainty.
problem Combining structural and parameter uncertainties in scalable Bayesian neural networks.
method Adapted variational inference with reparametrization for model space constraints.
result Comparable accuracy with sparse inference compared to ordinary BNNs.
Algorithm improves variational inference in Wasserstein distance.
problem Improving variational inference methods for complex models.
method Wasserstein contraction analysis of coordinate ascent.
result General and sharp convergence guarantees for various models.
Paper introduces variational inference for Bayesian inverse problems with gamma hyperpriors.
problem Bayesian inverse problems with sparse solutions.
method Variational iterative alternating scheme for hierarchical models with gamma hyperpriors.
result Accurate reconstruction and meaningful uncertainty quantification.
Study trade-offs between statistical and computational efficiency in variational inference.
problem Optimizing statistical accuracy vs. computational efficiency in Bayesian inference.
method Case study on Gaussian inferential models with diagonal plus low-rank precision matrices, analyzing Bayesian posterior inference and frequentist uncertainty quantification errors.
result Lower-rank models reduce variance and accelerate convergence but increase posterior inference error.
We present a scalable approach to performing approximate fully Bayesian inference in generic state space models. The proposed method is an alternative to particle MCMC that provides fully Bayesian inference of both the dynamic latent states and the static parameters of the model. We build up on recent advances in compu…
SMI uses mixture models to improve SVGD's performance in Bayesian inference.
problem Variance collapse in SVGD for Bayesian inference, especially with small models.
method Generalizes SVGD to Stein mixture models, optimizing an ELBO lower bound.
result SMI avoids variance collapse and accurately estimates uncertainty for small BNNs.
New method makes variational inference robust for Bayesian neural networks.
problem Fragility of variational Bayes in neural networks.
method Deterministic approximation of moments and hierarchical prior selection.
result Good predictive performance in heteroscedastic regression.
SNVI combines likelihood estimation with variational inference for efficient Bayesian inference.
problem Bayesian inference in models with intractable likelihoods.
method Sequential Neural Variational Inference (SNVI) that combines likelihood-estimation with variational inference.
result SNVI is more computationally efficient than previous algorithms without sacrificing accuracy.
Stacking improves inference for multimodal Bayesian posterior distributions.
problem Difficulty of MCMC in moving between modes and underestimation of posterior uncertainty.
method Parallel runs of MCMC, variational, or mode-based inference, combined using Bayesian stacking.
result Stacking efficiently samples from multimodal posterior distributions and represents uncertainty better than variational inference.
A new method learns posterior and predictive distributions together, reducing computational cost.
problem Sequential two-stage Bayesian inference is computationally expensive.
method Amortized variational inference targeting posterior-predictive distribution.
result Efficient online inference with more accurate predictive distributions.
PVI seeks a posterior that makes predictions closer to true data, not approximating the Bayesian posterior.
problem Finding meaningful posterior distributions under model misspecification.
method Predictive variational inference (PVI) seeks an optimal posterior density for close predictive matching to true data.
result PVI learns a posterior that is not the same as the Bayesian posterior, but is closer to the true data generating process.
The paper connects neural network ensembles to Bayesian inference using variational methods.
problem Explaining the behavior of ensemble methods in neural networks.
method Deriving conditions for ensemble optimization to reduce divergence to the posterior distribution.
result Ensemble methods can be a valid alternative to approximate Bayesian inference.