arXiv research

Modeling firm default with a variable threshold based on management decisions.

The paper develops a test for independence of selected Gaussian variables after thresholding correlations.

A simple thresholding technique improves graph selection in neural connectivity studies.

FILTER model uses fusion penalized logistic threshold regression for high-dimensional data with unknown cut points.

Paper improves anomaly detection by using non-uniform random choices in isolation forests.

I show the equivalence between a model of financial contagion and the threshold model of global cascades proposed by Watts (2002). The model financial network comprises banks that hold risky external assets as well as interbank assets. It is shown that a simple threshold model can replicate the size and the frequency o…

This paper explains a mechanism called phase collapse that improves image classification accuracy.

This paper treats the problem of screening for variables with high correlations in high dimensional data in which there can be many fewer samples than variables. We focus on threshold-based correlation screening methods for three related applications: screening for variables with large correlations within a single trea…

Researchers identify critical protein residues using advanced graph theory.

New method identifies extreme risk propagation in financial networks.

Group model selection is the problem of determining a small subset of groups of predictors (e.g., the expression data of genes) that are responsible for majority of the variation in a response variable (e.g., the malignancy of a tumor). This paper focuses on group model selection in high-dimensional linear models, in w…

The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is a very useful tool for analyzing the diagnostic/classification power of instruments/classification schemes as long as a binary-scale gold standard is available. When the gold standard is continuous and there is no confirmative threshold, ROC curve becomes less useful…

We consider the problem of sparsity-constrained $M$-estimation when both explanatory and response variables have heavy tails (bounded 4-th moments), or a fraction of arbitrary corruptions. We focus on the $k$-sparse, high-dimensional regime where the number of variables $d$ and the sample size $n$ are related through $…

We study confidence intervals based on hard-thresholding, soft-thresholding, and adaptive soft-thresholding in a linear regression model where the number of regressors $k$ may depend on and diverge with sample size $n$. In addition to the case of known error variance, we define and study versions of the estimators when…

Bayesian method discovers PDEs with variable coefficients robustly.

Study proposes active learning method for estimating robust regions in uncertain function evaluations.

Threshold tests have recently been proposed as a useful method for detecting bias in lending, hiring, and policing decisions. For example, in the case of credit extensions, these tests aim to estimate the bar for granting loans to white and minority applicants, with a higher inferred threshold for minorities indicative…

Graphical lasso may fail to fit models when data points are insufficient.

Study active learning of PTFs with derivative access.

This paper deals with prediction of anopheles number, the main vector of malaria risk, using environmental and climate variables. The variables selection is based on an automatic machine learning method using regression trees, and random forests combined with stratified two levels cross validation. The minimum threshol…

In this paper, we propose a communication- and computation-efficient algorithm to solve a convex consensus optimization problem defined over a decentralized network. A remarkable existing algorithm to solve this problem is the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM), in which at every iteration every node up…

Azure (the cloud service provided by Microsoft) is composed of physical computing units which are called nodes. These nodes are controlled by a software component called Fabric Controller (FC), which can consider the nodes to be in one of many different states such as Ready, Unhealthy, Booting, etc. Some of these state…

The paper extends risk measures to two-step approximations and studies log-concave distributions.

Study compares two methods for predicting extreme atmospheric events.

In this paper, we consider the Graphical Lasso (GL), a popular optimization problem for learning the sparse representations of high-dimensional datasets, which is well-known to be computationally expensive for large-scale problems. Recently, we have shown that the sparsity pattern of the optimal solution of GL is equiv…

Study proposes an active subsampling method for estimating individualized thresholds in high-dimensional data.

Paper proposes efficient AL algorithms for optimizing product performance under environmental variability.

TPM improves medical image segmentation by separating foreground and background.

We win EVA2025 by estimating extreme precipitation events using Peaks Over Thresholds and martingale testing.

Learning β for k-SAT with one sample is hard, especially for low degrees.

Model-based clustering defines population level clusters relative to a model that embeds notions of similarity. Algorithms tailored to such models yield estimated clusters with a clear statistical interpretation. We take this view here and introduce the class of G-block covariance models as a background model for varia…

New method calculates sensitivity of system failure probability.

We study the problem of robust linear regression with response variable corruptions. We consider the oblivious adversary model, where the adversary corrupts a fraction of the responses in complete ignorance of the data. We provide a nearly linear time estimator which consistently estimates the true regression vector, e…

Method selects the best deep learner for time-series prediction using Bayesian networks.

Gaussian graphical models are widely utilized to infer and visualize networks of dependencies between continuous variables. However, inferring the graph is difficult when the sample size is small compared to the number of variables. To reduce the number of parameters to estimate in the model, we propose a non-asymptoti…

In active learning, the user sequentially chooses values for feature $X$ and an oracle returns the corresponding label $Y$. In this paper, we consider the effect of feature noise in active learning, which could arise either because $X$ itself is being measured, or it is corrupted in transmission to the oracle, or the o…

In this paper, we address the challenging problem of selecting tuning parameters for high-dimensional sparse regression. We propose a simple and computationally efficient method, called path thresholding (PaTh), that transforms any tuning parameter-dependent sparse regression algorithm into an asymptotically tuning-fre…

Many in-hospital mortality risk prediction scores dichotomize predictive variables to simplify the score calculation. However, hard thresholding in these additive stepwise scores of the form "add x points if variable v is above/below threshold t" may lead to critical failures. In this paper, we seek to develop risk pre…

Graphical Lasso (GL) is a popular method for learning the structure of an undirected graphical model, which is based on an $l_1$ regularization technique. The objective of this paper is to compare the computationally-heavy GL technique with a numerically-cheap heuristic method that is based on simply thresholding the s…

Paper proposes a new sparse group k-max regularization for sparsity constraints.

Improved estimation of hedge fund tail risks using a novel model.

High-dimensional sparse modeling via regularization provides a powerful tool for analyzing large-scale data sets and obtaining meaningful, interpretable models. The use of nonconvex penalty functions shows advantage in selecting important features in high dimensions, but the global optimality of such methods still dema…

Study models extreme skew surges along French Atlantic coast.

The sparse inverse covariance estimation problem is commonly solved using an $\ell_{1}$-regularized Gaussian maximum likelihood estimator known as "graphical lasso", but its computational cost becomes prohibitive for large data sets. A recent line of results showed--under mild assumptions--that the graphical lasso esti…

To better understand the spatial structure of large panels of economic and financial time series and provide a guideline for constructing semiparametric models, this paper first considers estimating a large spatial covariance matrix of the generalized $m$-dependent and $β$-mixing time series (with $J$ variables and $T$…

New method corrects bias in CVaR estimation for extreme risks.

New diagnostics detect variability in individual risk estimates from machine learning models in healthcare.

New algorithm robustly estimates sparse models in high dimensions with corrupted data.