Urban spatial-temporal flows prediction is of great importance to traffic management, land use, public safety, etc. Urban flows are affected by several complex and dynamic factors, such as patterns of human activities, weather, events and holidays. Datasets evaluated the flows come from various sources in different dom…
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48 results for “Urban flow prediction”
MIP framework improves urban flow prediction by adapting to distribution shifts.
problem Distribution shifts in urban flow data make prediction models unreliable.
method Memory-enhanced Invariant Prompt learning with learnable memory bank.
result MIP ensures robust predictions by focusing on invariant features.
Paper proposes a method for predicting future passenger flow in urban transportation.
problem Predicting future passenger flow in urban transportation development.
method Multi-view localized correlation learning method with adaptive-weight.
result Our method achieves excellent performance compared with other baselines.
Recurrent Flow Networks: A Recurrent Latent Variable Model for Density Modelling of Urban Mobilitystat.ML
RFN models urban mobility demand by separating temporal and spatial variability.
problem Aligning supply and demand in MoD systems for efficient transportation.
method Recurrent flow networks with latent variables and normalizing flows.
result RFN models explicitly disentangle temporal and spatial variability in urban mobility.
Human mobility has a significant impact on several layers of society, from infrastructural planning and economics to the spread of diseases and crime. Representing the system as a complex network, in which nodes are assigned to regions (e.g., a city) and links indicate the flow of people between two of them, physics-in…
Paper presents UrbanFM and UrbanPy models for inferring fine-grained urban flows.
problem Reduce cost of urban flow monitoring while maintaining data accuracy and granularity.
method Develops UrbanFM and UrbanPy models to infer fine-grained urban flows from coarse-grained observations.
result UrbanPy model demonstrates favorable performance for larger-scale inference tasks.
Model predicts traffic speed using urban incidents.
problem Accurately predicting traffic speed in urban areas.
method Deep Incident-Aware Graph Convolutional Network (DIGC-Net).
result Model outperforms competing benchmarks in traffic speed prediction.
Human mobility is well described by closed-form gravity-like models learned automatically from dataphysics.soc-ph
New models predict mobility flows as well as complex machine learning but are simpler and interpretable.
problem Incomplete understanding and modeling of human mobility flows.
method Developed simple machine-learned, closed-form models of mobility.
result These models predict mobility flows more accurately than gravity or complex machine/deep learning models.
Making predictions of future frames is a critical challenge in autonomous driving research. Most of the existing methods for video prediction attempt to generate future frames in simple and fixed scenes. In this paper, we propose a novel and effective optical flow conditioned method for the task of video prediction wit…
Understanding the causes of crime is a longstanding issue in researcher's agenda. While it is a hard task to extract causality from data, several linear models have been proposed to predict crime through the existing correlations between crime and urban metrics. However, because of non-Gaussian distributions and multic…
CityTFT models urban building energy using a data-driven approach.
problem Current UBEM methods are time-consuming and based on physics.
method CityTFT uses a TFT framework with an augmented loss function.
result CityTFT predicts energy demands with high accuracy.
Quantile regression improves urban water demand forecasting.
problem Improving probabilistic urban water demand forecasting.
method Comparing five quantile regression algorithms and their combinations for one-day ahead forecasting.
result Linear boosting algorithm performs best for probabilistic urban water demand forecasting.
In this study, we present a machine learning approach to infer the worker and student mobility flows on daily basis from static censuses. The rapid urbanization has made the estimation of the human mobility flows a critical task for transportation and urban planners. The primary objective of this paper is to complete i…
Urban transformations within large and growing metropolitan areas often generate critical dynamics affecting social interactions, transport connectivity and income flow distribution. We develop a statistical-mechanical model of urban transformations, exemplified for Greater Sydney, and derive a thermodynamic descriptio…
The paper uses GIS data to predict urban sprawl.
problem Overgrowth and expansion of low-density areas with car dependency and segregation.
method Data mining algorithms (Apriori, J4.8) adapted for geospatial analysis using ArcGIS.
result Prototype spatial decision support system (SDSS) predicts urban sprawl and estimates impact variables.
VisitHGNN predicts visit probabilities between neighborhoods and POIs using graph neural networks.
problem Estimating visit probabilities between neighborhoods and POIs for urban planning.
method Heterogeneous, relation-specific graph neural network (VisitHGNN) trained on mobility data.
result Strong predictive performance with high fidelity to observed travel behavior.
While it is believed that denoising is not always necessary in many big data applications, we show in this paper that denoising is helpful in urban traffic analysis by applying the method of bounded total variation denoising to the urban road traffic prediction and clustering problem. We propose two easy-to-implement m…
Paper optimizes urban navigation with deep learning models.
problem Real-time urban pathfinding challenges.
method Enhanced A* algorithm and neural network model.
result Neural network model outperforms traditional methods, reducing travel times by up to 40%.
Understanding Urban Dynamics via Context-aware Tensor Factorization with Neighboring Regularizationcs.LG
Recent years have witnessed the world-wide emergence of mega-metropolises with incredibly huge populations. Understanding residents mobility patterns, or urban dynamics, thus becomes crucial for building modern smart cities. In this paper, we propose a Neighbor-Regularized and context-aware Non-negative Tensor Factoriz…
Hybrid model predicts flow and pressure in water systems.
problem Predicting flow and pressure in water distribution systems with complex spatial-temporal correlations.
method Hybrid dual-stage spatial-temporal attention-based recurrent neural networks (hDS-RNN).
result Our model outperformed 9 baseline models in flow and pressure series prediction.
Dockless bike sharing systems need effective bike flow prediction models.
problem Imbalanced and dynamic use of bikes leads to mandatory rebalancing operations.
method Divide urban area into regions, model spatio-temporal bike flows, extract traffic patterns, and predict bike flows.
result Interpretable bike flow prediction model provides valuable insights into bike flow analysis.
Traffic flow prediction is crucial for urban traffic management and public safety. Its key challenges lie in how to adaptively integrate the various factors that affect the flow changes. In this paper, we propose a unified neural network module to address this problem, called Attentive Crowd Flow Machine~(ACFM), which …
New neural network predicts traffic flow across different cities.
problem Forecasting traffic flow across different cities is challenging due to spatio-temporal correlations.
method Proposes a local-spacetime neural network (STNN) that captures universal spatio-temporal correlations.
result Improves prediction accuracy by 4% over state-of-the-art methods.
OpFlow predicts robust OD flows by learning choice potentials conditioned on spatial exposures.
problem Deep models trained on raw counts are vulnerable to distribution shift.
method OpFlow learns row-centered choice potentials and reconstructs flows by combining them with a calibrated origin scale.
result OpFlow improves robustness under environment shifts, as shown by controlled synthetic shifts and a real-world experiment.
CoverNet predicts urban driving trajectories using diverse sets of possible actions.
problem Multimodal probabilistic trajectory prediction for urban driving.
method Frame trajectory prediction as classification over a diverse set of trajectories; dynamically generate sets based on current state.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art methods on real-world self-driving datasets.
PIP-Net predicts pedestrian crossing intentions with up to 4-second lead.
problem Accurate pedestrian intention prediction for autonomous vehicles in real-world scenarios.
method Recurrent and temporal attention-based model using kinematic and spatial features.
result PIP-Net predicts pedestrian crossing intentions up to 4 seconds in advance.
Model predicts urban population using mobile data traffic.
problem Estimating urban population dynamics from mobile data.
method Data-driven approach combining NetMob 2023 and ENACT datasets.
result NetMob 2023 data can estimate urban population with XGBoost models.
New framework predicts urban traffic with high accuracy.
problem Urban traffic prediction challenges.
method Interpretable attention-based neural network combining multiple modules.
result Framework outperforms state-of-the-art alternatives.
Although various linear log-distance path loss models have been developed, advanced models are requiring to more accurately and flexibly represent the path loss for complex environments such as the urban area. This letter proposes an artificial neural network (ANN) based multi-dimensional regression framework for path …
The paper evaluates different graph input representations for urban network analysis.
problem Challenges in analyzing urban networks due to their size and complexity.
method Design and evaluation of six graph input representations considering topological and temporal characteristics.
result Temporal information in graph input representations significantly improves model accuracy (RMSE of 1.42).
Accurately forecasting urban development and its environmental and climate impacts critically depends on realistic models of the spatial structure of the built environment, and of its dependence on key factors such as population and economic development. Scenario simulation and sensitivity analysis, i.e., predicting ho…
GraphSVR forecasts urban air pollution robustly across stations and seasons.
problem Nonlinear, nonstationary, spatiotemporally dependent urban air pollution forecasting challenges.
method Combines graph convolutional learning and support vector regression.
result GraphSVR improves predictive accuracy and maintains stable performance across seasons and outlier-prone episodes.
An Effective Dynamic Spatio-temporal Framework with Multi-Source Information for Traffic Predictioncs.LG
Proposes a dynamic model for urban traffic volume prediction.
problem Urban traffic volume prediction for better traffic management and driver planning.
method Combines bidirectional LSTM, attention mechanism, and external features.
result Improves prediction precision by 3-7 percent on NYC-Taxi and NYC-Bike datasets.
Short Term Prediction of Parking Area states Using Real Time Data and Machine Learning Techniquescs.LG
Model predicts parking area states up to 60 mins ahead.
problem Predicting parking area states for urban traffic management.
method Neural Network-based model using real-time and historic data.
result Model outperforms naive models by over 150% at 60 mins prediction.
The paper predicts travel times using tree-based ensembles.
problem Predicting travel times between urban points over short and long horizons.
method Tree-based ensemble methods trained on taxi trip records with additional features from weather and routing data.
result Adding routing data improves model performance and short-term predictions require less data.
PhysVarMix predicts diverse urban trajectories with physics constraints.
problem Predicting complex urban agent trajectories with multiple plausible scenarios.
method Physics-informed variational mixture model combining learning and physics constraints.
result Superior performance compared to existing methods on benchmark datasets.
TrajGAIL: Generating Urban Vehicle Trajectories using Generative Adversarial Imitation Learningcs.LG
Generative model learns vehicle trajectory distributions for better data generalization.
problem Data sparsity and privacy issues in urban vehicle trajectory analysis.
method Generative adversarial imitation learning framework for urban vehicle trajectory generation.
result TrajGAIL model produces synthetic trajectories similar to real ones, achieving significant performance gains.
Vehicular Ad-hoc NETworks (VANET) can efficiently detect traffic congestion, but detection is not enough because congestion can be further classified as recurrent and non-recurrent congestion (NRC). In particular, NRC in an urban network is mainly caused by incidents, workzones, special events and adverse weather. We p…
Study improves cross-modal bike-share and transit demand prediction.
problem Cross-modal ripple effects in urban transportation demand.
method Transfer learning and stacked LSTM models for cross-modal demand prediction.
result Transfer learning models outperform unimodal models in cross-modal demand prediction.
Proposes FairDRL-ST for fair spatio-temporal mobility prediction.
problem Fairness concerns in spatio-temporal AI applications.
method Disentangled representation learning, adversarial learning.
result Achieves fairness in spatio-temporal mobility prediction without performance loss.
A long-standing question for urban and regional planners pertains to the ability to describe urban patterns quantitatively. Cities' transport infrastructure, particularly street networks, provides an invaluable source of information about the urban patterns generated by peoples' movements and their interactions. With t…
Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks: A Deep Learning Framework for Traffic Forecastingcs.LG
Timely accurate traffic forecast is crucial for urban traffic control and guidance. Due to the high nonlinearity and complexity of traffic flow, traditional methods cannot satisfy the requirements of mid-and-long term prediction tasks and often neglect spatial and temporal dependencies. In this paper, we propose a nove…
UrbanRhythm reveals urban dynamics from mobility data.
problem Understanding changing urban activities over time.
method Extracting staying, leaving, arriving attributes; using Saak transform; clustering for city states; motif analysis for short-term regularity.
result Characterized urban dynamics as city state transformations over time.
Study compares deep learning models for traffic forecasting, highlighting graph elements' impact.
problem Challenges in forecasting spatial-temporal traffic patterns.
method In-depth comparative study of four deep neural network models with different basic elements.
result Graph attention improves long-term predictions in traffic forecasting models.
Graph embeddings from commute networks identify socioeconomic disparities in urban areas.
problem Urban delineation and socioeconomic group identification.
method Graph Neural Network (GNN) for modeling commute networks and deriving node embeddings.
result GNNs effectively capture socioeconomic disparities between urban communities.
Understanding cities is central to addressing major global challenges from climate and health to economic resilience. Although increasingly perceived as fundamental socio-economic units, the detailed fabric of urban economic activities is only now accessible to comprehensive analyses with the availability of large data…
Paper uses DeePC to improve urban traffic lights, reducing congestion and emissions.
problem Urban traffic congestion in expanding cities.
method Behavioral system theory, data-driven control, DeePC algorithm.
result DeePC outperforms existing traffic control methods in travel time and CO2 emissions.
Hybrid deep learning model predicts urban floods with high accuracy.
problem Urban flood prediction and situation awareness using channel network sensors data.
method FastGRNN-FCN hybrid deep learning model trained on Harris County, Texas flood data.
result Test accuracy and F-measure reach 97.8% and 0.792, respectively.