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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,932 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Urban Forecasting

Novel graph model forecasts urban traffic with reduced spatial complexity.

problem Challenges in traffic forecasting due to spatio-temporal complexity, especially in urban environments.
method MW-TGC network model that combines spatial and temporal dependencies using multi-weighted adjacency matrices and graph convolution operations.
result MW-TGC network outperforms other models in urban-core and urban-mix sites, reducing variance in heterogeneous environments.

GraphSVR forecasts urban air pollution robustly across stations and seasons.

problem Nonlinear, nonstationary, spatiotemporally dependent urban air pollution forecasting challenges.
method Combines graph convolutional learning and support vector regression.
result GraphSVR improves predictive accuracy and maintains stable performance across seasons and outlier-prone episodes.

NoTMF forecasts sparse urban road movement speeds with nonstationary temporal matrix factorization.

problem Sparse and nonstationary movement speed data from urban roads.
method Nonstationary Temporal Matrix Factorization (NoTMF) model.
result NoTMF outperforms baseline models in forecasting urban road movement speeds.

Proposes a method to improve urban spatiotemporal forecasting using multi-modal graph interaction.

problem Improving spatiotemporal forecasting in urban areas using graph convolution networks.
method Develops modality interaction mechanisms for multi-graph convolution networks to reduce generalization error.
result Proposed techniques improve prediction accuracy and model robustness compared to state-of-the-art baselines.

Accurate and real-time traffic forecasting plays an important role in the Intelligent Traffic System and is of great significance for urban traffic planning, traffic management, and traffic control. However, traffic forecasting has always been considered an open scientific issue, owing to the constraints of urban road …

2018-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Survey of urban flows prediction methods using various datasets.

problem Predicting urban flows influenced by human activities, weather, events, and holidays.
method Analysis of four main factors, preparation of multi-sources spatial-temporal data, detailed comparison of five categories of prediction methods.
result Facilitates researchers to choose suitable methods and datasets for urban flows prediction.

The paper predicts travel times using tree-based ensembles.

problem Predicting travel times between urban points over short and long horizons.
method Tree-based ensemble methods trained on taxi trip records with additional features from weather and routing data.
result Adding routing data improves model performance and short-term predictions require less data.

New model predicts urban sprawl sensitivity from remote sensing data.

problem Forecasting urban sprawl sensitivity to economic factors.
method Physics-constrained conditional GANs for image-to-image translation.
result Model accurately predicts urban sprawl sensitivity without detailed data.

MIP framework improves urban flow prediction by adapting to distribution shifts.

problem Distribution shifts in urban flow data make prediction models unreliable.
method Memory-enhanced Invariant Prompt learning with learnable memory bank.
result MIP ensures robust predictions by focusing on invariant features.

Study improves crash rate forecasting in Washington, D.C. using stochastic volatility model.

problem Forecasting crash rates in areas with irregular traffic patterns and exogenous events.
method Adopted a stochastic volatility model to capture heterogeneity and temporal instability.
result The stochastic volatility model outperforms conventional models in forecasting crash rates in Washington, D.C.

Study compares deep learning models for traffic forecasting, highlighting graph elements' impact.

problem Challenges in forecasting spatial-temporal traffic patterns.
method In-depth comparative study of four deep neural network models with different basic elements.
result Graph attention improves long-term predictions in traffic forecasting models.

Quantile gradient boosted trees outperform other models in predicting NO2 concentration distributions.

problem Forecasting high NO2 concentration episodes for effective air quality management.
method Compared 10 probabilistic forecasting models for NO2 concentration prediction.
result Quantile gradient boosted trees model outperformed others in predicting NO2 concentration distributions.

Proposes a dynamic model for urban traffic volume prediction.

problem Urban traffic volume prediction for better traffic management and driver planning.
method Combines bidirectional LSTM, attention mechanism, and external features.
result Improves prediction precision by 3-7 percent on NYC-Taxi and NYC-Bike datasets.

A long-standing question for urban and regional planners pertains to the ability to describe urban patterns quantitatively. Cities' transport infrastructure, particularly street networks, provides an invaluable source of information about the urban patterns generated by peoples' movements and their interactions. With t…

2019-05-14abs ↗pdf ↗

PSTN improves traffic condition forecasting with deep neural networks.

problem Challenges in accurately forecasting traffic conditions due to complex spatiotemporal correlations.
method Proposes PSTN with three modules: graph convolutional network, temporal convolutional network, and gated recurrent unit framework.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art benchmarks in short-term traffic conditions forecasting.

Hybrid model predicts flow and pressure in water systems.

problem Predicting flow and pressure in water distribution systems with complex spatial-temporal correlations.
method Hybrid dual-stage spatial-temporal attention-based recurrent neural networks (hDS-RNN).
result Our model outperformed 9 baseline models in flow and pressure series prediction.

Is there a general economic pathway recapitulated by individual cities over and over? Identifying such evolution structure, if any, would inform models for the assessment, maintenance, and forecasting of urban sustainability and economic success as a quantitative baseline. This premise seems to contradict the existing …

2018-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

New neural network predicts traffic flow across different cities.

problem Forecasting traffic flow across different cities is challenging due to spatio-temporal correlations.
method Proposes a local-spacetime neural network (STNN) that captures universal spatio-temporal correlations.
result Improves prediction accuracy by 4% over state-of-the-art methods.

Graph embeddings from commute networks identify socioeconomic disparities in urban areas.

problem Urban delineation and socioeconomic group identification.
method Graph Neural Network (GNN) for modeling commute networks and deriving node embeddings.
result GNNs effectively capture socioeconomic disparities between urban communities.

Dynamic sample pruning speeds up spatio-temporal forecasting models.

problem Training deep learning models on large, redundant datasets is computationally expensive.
method Dynamic sample pruning based on real-time learning state.
result Significant acceleration of training speed with improved performance.

Interpretable additive models outperform complex DL and hybrid pipelines for air quality forecasting.

problem Accurate forecasting of urban air pollution for public health and policy guidance.
method Investigated lightweight additive models (FBP, NP) vs. deep learning and hybrid pipelines on Beijing PM2.5 and PM10 data.
result Facebook Prophet consistently outperformed NeuralProphet and traditional models, achieving high R2R^2 values.

New method combines simple forecasting techniques for river flow predictions.

problem Improving accuracy of long-term hydrological forecasts.
method Combines at least two forecasting methods using median combiner.
result Performs well in long-term forecasts, especially with multiple methods.

Understanding the causes of crime is a longstanding issue in researcher's agenda. While it is a hard task to extract causality from data, several linear models have been proposed to predict crime through the existing correlations between crime and urban metrics. However, because of non-Gaussian distributions and multic…

2017-12-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Study characterizes PM2.5 dynamics in Bujumbura using low-cost sensors.

problem Characterize spatio-temporal variability of PM2.5 in Bujumbura.
method Used low-cost sensors to collect data from August 2022 to August 2023. Analyzed hourly, daily, and seasonal PM2.5 concentrations using RNN with LSTM.
result Hourly and annual PM2.5 concentrations in Bujumbura exceed WHO standards.

Model predicts traffic speed using urban incidents.

problem Accurately predicting traffic speed in urban areas.
method Deep Incident-Aware Graph Convolutional Network (DIGC-Net).
result Model outperforms competing benchmarks in traffic speed prediction.

Deep learning agent improves pedestrian navigation in urban environments.

problem Autonomous driving among pedestrians in urban areas.
method Multi-objective deep reinforcement learning using a deep Q-learning variant.
result The multi-objective DQN agent outperforms single-objective DQN in various environments.

Bayesian network framework assesses urban risks across multiple domains.

problem Complex interdependencies in urban systems.
method Bayesian Belief Networks (BBNs) with DAGs, Hill-Climbing search, BIC, K2 scoring, synthetic data, SMOTE.
result Identifies key risk factors and quantifies likelihood of cascading failures.

AirRL uses RL to infer urban air quality from selected stations.

problem Inferring fine-grained urban air quality from limited monitoring stations.
method Reinforcement learning model with a dynamic station selector and air quality regressor.
result AirRL achieves highest performance in air quality inference experiments.

MMformer improves forecasting of environmental time series data.

problem Accurately forecasting environmental change trends for policy-making.
method Meta-learning MTS model combining self-attention and adaptive transferable multi-head attention.
result MMformer outperforms other models in air quality and climate datasets, reducing prediction errors by 50% in MSE and 20% in MAE.

Deep Recurrent Q-Network improves autonomous driving in urban areas with pedestrians.

problem Challenges in urban autonomous driving due to complex road structures and unpredictable pedestrian behavior.
method Combines Deep Q-Network with LSTM for long-term memory, designed a 3-D state representation, and uses a reward function.
result The proposed DRQN-based approach outperforms rule-based methods in dense urban scenarios.