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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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120240360480 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Upper/Lower Confidence Bound

Upper and lower bounds on regret for noisy optimization of Brownian motion.

problem Optimizing a one-dimensional Brownian motion with noisy observations.
method Upper bound uses confidence bounds and Markov property; lower bound uses hypothesis testing reduction.
result Upper and lower bounds are tight up to a factor of O((logT)1.5)O((\log T)^{1.5}).

New bounds for Bayesian bandits show prior improves performance.

problem Improving regret bounds for Bayesian bandits.
method Upper confidence bound algorithm with finite-time logarithmic regret bounds.
result Derives O(cΔlogn)O(c_Δ\log n) and O(chlog2n)O(c_h \log^2 n) upper bounds for Bayesian bandits.

Upper bound on withdrawal success for geometric Levy alpha-stable wealth process.

problem Estimating the probability of completing a withdrawal schedule.
method Constructing a log-Levy alpha-stable lower bound and applying it to a schedule of withdrawals.
result Necessary conditions on initial investment and parameters for a 95% confidence of completing kk withdrawals.

Study optimizes dynamic product selection and pricing using censored preference feedback.

problem Maximizing revenue from dynamic assortment and pricing decisions.
method Proposes a censored multinomial logit model and LCB pricing strategy combined with UCB or TS product selection.
result Achieves optimal regret bounds for dynamic pricing and selection.

BILBO optimizes bilevel problems without repeated lower-level optimizations.

problem Challenges in bilevel optimization, especially in noisy, constrained, and derivative-free settings.
method BILevel Bayesian Optimization (BILBO) that optimizes both levels simultaneously, using confidence-bounds and function query selection.
result Theoretical and empirical evidence of BILBO's effectiveness on various problems.

Algorithm aggregates rewards from multiple players to learn related tasks in online bandit learning.

problem Learning related but slightly different tasks in an online setting with heterogeneous feedback.
method RobustAgg(ε)(ε) algorithm that aggregates rewards from different players.
result Achieves instance-dependent regret guarantees and nearly matching lower bounds.

A new algorithm for better decision-making in recommendation systems.

problem Stochastic multi-armed bandit problem and cold start problem in recommender systems.
method Proposes Hellinger-UCB, a variant of UCB algorithm using squared Hellinger distance.
result Hellinger-UCB reaches the theoretical lower bound and outperforms other algorithms in practical applications.

This paper analyzes regret bounds for Gaussian process Thompson sampling.

problem Analyzing the performance of Gaussian process Thompson sampling (GP-TS) in Bayesian optimization.
method The paper derives several regret bounds for GP-TS, including a lower bound, upper bounds on the second moment of cumulative regret, expected lenient regret, and improved cumulative regret.
result The paper provides improved regret upper bounds for GP-TS, showing that it suffers from a polynomial dependence on 1/δ1/δ with probability δδ.

I introduce and analyse an anytime version of the Optimally Confident UCB (OCUCB) algorithm designed for minimising the cumulative regret in finite-armed stochastic bandits with subgaussian noise. The new algorithm is simple, intuitive (in hindsight) and comes with the strongest finite-time regret guarantees for a hori…

2016-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm optimizes online decision-making with dynamically generated actions.

problem Balancing action generation costs with optimal decision-making in online learning.
method Doubly-optimistic algorithm using LCB for action selection and UCB for action generation.
result Achieves optimal regret bound of O(Tdd+2ddd+2+dTlogT)O(T^{\frac{d}{d+2}}d^{\frac{d}{d+2}} + d\sqrt{T\log T}).

We study an original problem of pure exploration in a strategic bandit model motivated by Monte Carlo Tree Search. It consists in identifying the best action in a game, when the player may sample random outcomes of sequentially chosen pairs of actions. We propose two strategies for the fixed-confidence setting: Maximin…

2016-02-15abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm reduces regret in linear mixture SSPs without cost bounds.

problem Learning optimal paths in stochastic environments with cost constraints.
method Extended value iteration with variance-aware confidence set.
result Achieves nearly minimax optimal regret bound of O(dBK)O(dB_*\sqrt{K}).

A new federated multi-armed bandit framework with personalization balances generalization and personalization.

problem Balancing generalization and personalization in federated multi-armed bandits.
method Proposed a Personalized Federated Upper Confidence Bound (PF-UCB) algorithm to achieve a O(log(T))O(\log(T)) regret.
result PF-UCB achieves an O(log(T))O(\log(T)) regret regardless of personalization degree and has similar instance dependency to lower bound.

Paper presents robust confidence sequences for means with known moment bounds and arbitrary corruption.

problem Tackles robustness to outliers and adversarial corruptions in mean estimation.
method Designs new robust exponential supermartingales to create confidence sequences.
result Achieves optimal width and shows smaller margin of error compared to fixed-time robust methods.

Contextual bandits are widely used in Internet services from news recommendation to advertising, and to Web search. Generalized linear models (logistical regression in particular) have demonstrated stronger performance than linear models in many applications where rewards are binary. However, most theoretical analyses …

2017-02-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Specialists outperform generalists in ensemble classification.

problem Determining the accuracy of an ensemble of classifiers when individual classifier accuracies are known.
method Proved upper and lower bounds on ensemble accuracy, constructed specialist and generalist classifiers.
result Upper and lower bounds on ensemble accuracy, practical implications for classifier construction.

Near-optimal per-action regret bounds for sleeping bandits are derived.

problem Optimizing performance in sleeping bandits where arms and losses are chosen by an adversary.
method Directly minimizing per-action regret using generalized versions of EXP3, EXP3-IX, and FTRL with Tsallis entropy.
result Near-optimal bounds of order O(TAlnK)O(\sqrt{TA\ln{K}}) and O(TAK)O(\sqrt{T\sqrt{AK}}) are obtained.

Paper improves regret bounds for Gaussian process upper confidence bound in Bayesian optimization.

problem Minimizing regret in Gaussian process bandit optimization.
method Gaussian process upper confidence bound (GP-UCB) algorithm with refined analysis.
result Achieves O(Tln2T)O(\sqrt{T \ln^2 T}) cumulative regret under squared exponential kernel.

The paper studies privacy-protected BAI with fixed confidence, deriving lower bounds and proposing an adaptive algorithm.

problem Privacy-protected Best Arm Identification (BAI) in data-sensitive applications.
method Derives lower bounds on sample complexity, proposes AdaP-TT algorithm with Laplace noise, and validates with experiments.
result AdaP-TT matches the sample complexity lower bound up to constants in the high-privacy regime.

Bayes-UCBVI tackles reinforcement learning with a new upper confidence bound method.

problem Optimizing exploration in reinforcement learning without bonuses.
method Bayes-UCBVI uses a quantile of a Q-value function posterior as an upper confidence bound.
result Proves a regret bound of order O~(H3SAT)\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{H^3SAT}) for tabular reinforcement learning.

We study the linear contextual bandit problem with finite action sets. When the problem dimension is dd, the time horizon is TT, and there are n2d/2n \leq 2^{d/2} candidate actions per time period, we (1) show that the minimax expected regret is Ω(dT(logT)(logn))Ω(\sqrt{dT (\log T) (\log n)}) for every algorithm, and (2) introduce a V…

2019-03-30abs ↗pdf ↗

A new differentiable UCB algorithm for linear bandits learns adaptive confidence bounds.

problem Inability of UCB to strike optimal exploration-exploitation due to confidence bounds.
method Proposes a differentiable linear bandit algorithm and a gradient estimator for learning adaptive confidence bounds.
result Achieves a ildeO(β^dT) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\hatβ\sqrt{dT}) upper bound of TT-round regret.

This paper improves GP-UCB by using a shifted exponential distribution for confidence parameters.

problem Theoretical confidence parameter in GP-UCB increases with iterations, leading to large values.
method Introduced IRGP-UCB, a randomized variant of GP-UCB using a shifted exponential distribution for confidence parameters.
result IRGP-UCB achieves sub-linear regret without increasing the confidence parameter.

CascadeBAI identifies best arms in cascading bandits with fixed confidence.

problem Finding the best set of items in cascading bandits with limited feedback.
method Developed CascadeBAI algorithm, derived upper and lower bounds on time complexity, introduced left-sided sub-Gaussian random variables.
result CascadeBAI is optimal in some practical regimes and performs well with limited feedback.

Deep learning method for pricing and hedging American-style options.

problem Pricing and hedging American-style options with high accuracy.
method Computes optimal stopping policy, derives bounds, calculates point estimate and confidence intervals, constructs hedging strategy.
result Highly accurate prices and dynamic hedging strategies with small replication errors.

Improved Bayesian optimisation method using randomised Gaussian process UCB.

problem Improving performance in Bayesian optimisation.
method Developed a modified Gaussian process upper confidence bound (GP-UCB) acquisition function.
result The method achieves better performance than GP-UCB in various problems.

The paper proposes a novel upper confidence bound (UCB) procedure for identifying the arm with the largest mean in a multi-armed bandit game in the fixed confidence setting using a small number of total samples. The procedure cannot be improved in the sense that the number of samples required to identify the best arm i…

2013-12-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimation of individual treatment effects is commonly used as the basis for contextual decision making in fields such as healthcare, education, and economics. However, it is often sufficient for the decision maker to have estimates of upper and lower bounds on the potential outcomes of decision alternatives to assess …

2019-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian methods improve drug discovery experiment design.

problem Optimizing drug screening experiments in high-dimensional data.
method Bayesian inference and optimisation with upper confidence bound algorithms, Thompson sampling, and sparse tree search.
result Sparse tree search techniques outperform other methods in drug toxicity screening.

Optimal strategy for reinforcement learning with delayed observations.

problem Delayed state observation in reinforcement learning.
method Combines augmentation method and upper confidence bound approach.
result Minimax optimal regret bound of ildeO(HDmaxSAK) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(H \sqrt{D_{\max} SAK}).