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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Uncertain Knowledge Graphs

UnKGCP generates prediction intervals for uncertain knowledge graphs with statistical guarantees.

problem Lack of quantified predictive uncertainty in existing UnKGE methods.
method Proposes extsc{UnKGCP} framework using conformal prediction with a novel nonconformity measure.
result Sharp prediction intervals effectively capture predictive uncertainty in diverse UnKGE methods.

Meta-learning model predicts intervention effects from uncertain causal graphs.

problem Estimating intervention effects when causal structures are uncertain.
method Model-Averaged Causal Estimation Transformer Neural Process (MACE-TNP) using meta-learning.
result MACE-TNP outperforms Bayesian baselines in predicting intervention distributions.

Mining discriminative features for graph data has attracted much attention in recent years due to its important role in constructing graph classifiers, generating graph indices, etc. Most measurement of interestingness of discriminative subgraph features are defined on certain graphs, where the structure of graph objec…

2013-01-28abs ↗pdf ↗

AGFN improves causal discovery by integrating expert feedback and handling latent confounding.

problem Inaccurate causal discovery due to unreliable expert knowledge and latent confounding.
method Ancestral GFlowNet (AGFN) is a reinforcement learning algorithm that iteratively refines a policy based on noisy expert feedback to infer ancestral graphs.
result AGFN converges to the true ancestral graph given accurate expert responses and outperforms baselines in structural Hamming distance and Bayesian Information Criterion.

This paper tackles JSSP with uncertain task durations using DRL.

problem Job Shop Scheduling Problem with uncertain task durations.
method Integrates Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) and Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) to generate robust schedules.
result Advances DRL applications to JSSPs, enhancing generalization and scalability.

Unified framework predicts S&P500 index direction using transfer learning and causal graph.

problem Predicting the movement of financial indices like S&P500.
method Transfer learning, causal graph, multidisciplinary knowledge, VAE network.
result 74.3% accuracy, 67% F1-score, 0.42 Matthew correlation on 12 years test period.

New algorithm for reinforcement learning in uncertain environments with unknown thresholds.

problem Safety in reinforcement learning in unknown and uncertain environments.
method Growing-Window estimator sampling and Stochastic Pessimistic-Optimistic Thresholding (SPOT) algorithm.
result Achieves sublinear regret and constraint violation of ildeO(T) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T}).

A new framework for knowledge graph embedding using sheaves.

problem Learning representations for entities and relations in knowledge graphs.
method Using cellular sheaves to describe knowledge graph embeddings with consistency constraints.
result A generalized framework for reasoning about knowledge graph embedding models.

Although many successful ensemble clustering approaches have been developed in recent years, there are still two limitations to most of the existing approaches. First, they mostly overlook the issue of uncertain links, which may mislead the overall consensus process. Second, they generally lack the ability to incorpora…

2016-06-03abs ↗pdf ↗

SOLBP extends efficient inference to uncertain Bayesian networks.

problem Inference in uncertain Bayesian networks with second-order probabilities.
method Extends Loopy Belief Propagation to second-order Bayesian networks.
result Generates inferences consistent with sum-product networks, more efficient and scalable.

Novel model improves clinical risk prediction by transferring knowledge between tasks over time.

problem Negative transfer in multi-task learning for clinical risk prediction.
method Temporal Probabilistic Asymmetric Multi-Task Learning (TPAMTL).
result Significantly outperforms various deep learning models for time-series prediction.

Knowledge graph embedding (KGE) is a technique for learning continuous embeddings for entities and relations in the knowledge graph.Due to its benefit to a variety of downstream tasks such as knowledge graph completion, question answering and recommendation, KGE has gained significant attention recently. Despite its ef…

2019-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

ZSL-KG learns class representations from common sense knowledge graphs.

problem Predicting classes without labeled examples using semantic class representations.
method TrGCN, a novel transformer graph convolutional network, embeds nodes from common sense knowledge graphs in a vector space.
result ZSL-KG improves over existing methods on five out of six zero-shot benchmark datasets.

This work proposes a hybrid method for error detection in noisy Knowledge Graphs.

problem Error detection in noisy Knowledge Graphs.
method Hybrid and modular approach combining path ranking and representation learning.
result Hybrid method outperforms individual methods on benchmarks and real-world dataset.

This work benchmarks neural embeddings for link prediction in evolving knowledge graphs.

problem Evaluating the robustness of neural embeddings in changing knowledge graphs.
method Proposes an open-source evaluation pipeline using relation-centric connectivity measures.
result Demonstrates the importance of simulating embedding accuracy for frequently updated knowledge graphs.

HAKE embeds entities in polar coordinates to model semantic hierarchies in knowledge graphs.

problem Lack of modeling semantic hierarchies in knowledge graph embeddings.
method HAKE embeds entities in a polar coordinate system, where the radial coordinate represents hierarchy levels and the angular coordinate distinguishes entities at the same level.
result HAKE significantly outperforms existing methods on link prediction tasks in knowledge graphs.

RAW-Explainer generates interpretable subgraph explanations for link predictions in knowledge graphs.

problem Interpreting GNN predictions for link prediction in heterogeneous settings is challenging.
method RAW-Explainer uses random walk objective and neural network to generate connected, concise subgraph explanations.
result RAW-Explainer strikes a balance between explanation quality and computational efficiency.

Survey of methods to incorporate external knowledge into stock price prediction.

problem Challenges in predicting stock prices due to market volatility and non-linearity.
method Survey of methods for acquiring and incorporating external knowledge into stock price prediction models.
result Systematic synthesis of previous studies on external knowledge types and their application in stock price prediction.

This paper defines resilience in knowledge graph embeddings and surveys existing works.

problem Challenges in knowledge graph embedding models, including noise, missing information, distribution shift, and adversarial attacks.
method Unified definition of resilience, formalization in the context of knowledge graphs, systematic survey of existing works.
result Most existing works focus on robustness, leaving other aspects of resilience unexplored.

Extracurricular learning closes the accuracy gap in knowledge distillation.

problem Accuracy gap between teacher and student models after knowledge distillation.
method Modeling student and teacher output distributions, sampling from an extended data distribution, and matching over this set.
result Extracurricular learning reduces the accuracy gap by 46% to 68%.

New bounds assess policy evaluation under unobserved confounders, showing model-based methods are more effective.

problem Policy evaluation under unobserved confounders in uncertain causal environments.
method Developed worst-case bounds for sensitivity to unobserved confounders, demonstrating model-based methods are more effective.
result Model-based approaches with robust MDPs provide sharper lower bounds for policy evaluation.

The broad set of deep generative models (DGMs) has achieved remarkable advances. However, it is often difficult to incorporate rich structured domain knowledge with the end-to-end DGMs. Posterior regularization (PR) offers a principled framework to impose structured constraints on probabilistic models, but has limited …

2018-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Semantic TrueLearn uses semantic graphs to improve educational recommendation systems.

problem Challenges in handling semantic and hierarchical structure in knowledge areas.
method Introduces a novel learner model that exploits semantic relatedness between knowledge components using a Wikipedia link graph.
result Achieves statistically significant improvements in predictive performance for educational engagement.

We model GitHub interactions as a temporal knowledge graph for software engineering questions.

problem Insufficient performance of existing temporal models on extrapolated queries and time prediction.
method Introduced an extension to current temporal models using relative temporal information.
result Improved performance on extrapolated queries and time prediction.

A decentralized policy achieves logarithmic regret for multi-agent MAB problems with communication constraints.

problem Decentralized policy for multi-agent MAB problems with option availability and communication constraints.
method Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) algorithms with non-stationary stochastic communication protocol.
result Guaranteed logarithmic regret for non-fully connected spatial graphs with communication constraints.

A novel fact-checking method using debate dynamics on knowledge graphs.

problem Fact-checking on knowledge graphs with user comprehension and interactive reasoning.
method Reinforcement learning agents debate on paths in the graph to classify facts as true or false.
result Interactive reasoning and user understanding of AI decisions on knowledge graphs.

Tree-based ensemble methods, as Random Forests and Gradient Boosted Trees, have been successfully used for regression in many applications and research studies. Furthermore, these methods have been extended in order to deal with uncertainty in the output variable, using for example a quantile loss in Random Forests (Me…

2018-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Classical clustering algorithms typically either lack an underlying probability framework to make them predictive or focus on parameter estimation rather than defining and minimizing a notion of error. Recent work addresses these issues by developing a probabilistic framework based on the theory of random labeled point…

2018-06-02abs ↗pdf ↗

PyKEEN 1.0 simplifies KGE model creation and optimization.

problem Training and evaluating knowledge graph embeddings (KGEs).
method Composes KGEMs with various interaction models, training approaches, and loss functions. Implements automatic memory optimization and extensive HPO functionalities.
result PyKEEN 1.0 streamlines KGE model creation and optimization.

The paper extends graph embedding models to handle multiple relations.

problem Link prediction in multi-relational networks.
method Generalized pseudo-Riemannian embedding models to multi-relational networks, considering relations as submanifolds.
result Validation of the approach in link prediction tasks, including knowledge graph completion and biological domain analysis.