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481216 · Oct 202519922001200920172026
48 results for UK firms

Improved forecasting of investment dynamics across heterogeneous panels using a two-stage model.

problem Forecasting investment dynamics in heterogeneous panels with varying dynamics.
method Two-stage architecture: global pooled AR(1) for shared persistence, local models for residual dynamics.
result Significant improvement in out-of-sample R2R^2 from 0.630 to 0.677, with a gain of 0.047.

In this paper, we investigate the capability of the universal Kriging (UK) model for single-objective global optimization applied within an efficient global optimization (EGO) framework. We implemented this combined UK-EGO framework and studied four variants of the UK methods, that is, a UK with a first-order polynomia…

2018-03-23abs ↗pdf ↗

UK hosts 62.89% of all HYIPs, many registered as 'limited company'.

problem Understanding the prevalence and characteristics of HYIPs in the UK.
method Examined HYIPs' registration in UK, analyzed social media and payment processors, used Cox proportional regression analysis.
result HYIPs with valid UK addresses tend to have longer lifespans.

This paper studies business cycle patterns in UK sectoral output. It analyzes the distinction between white noise processes and their non-white noise counterparts in the frequency domain and further examines the associated features and patterns for the process where white noise conditions are violated. The characterist…

2010-01-26abs ↗pdf ↗

UK universities pension scheme valuation study shows high dependence on gilt yields.

problem High dependence of UK universities pension scheme on UK government bond yields.
method Analysis of USS valuations from 2014 to 2023, examination of self-sufficiency conditions, and evaluation of metrics.
result Second self-sufficiency condition amplifies gilt yield dependence, leading to inflated liabilities and excessive prudence.

Study improves prediction of UK road accidents' severity using AI.

problem Improving prediction of UK road traffic accident severity.
method Combination of machine learning, econometric, and statistical methods on historical data.
result XGBoost model with RMSE of 0.176 and MAE of 0.087 outperforms naive forecasting.

Study develops a dynamic risk model for COVID-19 mortality using UK Biobank data.

problem Developing tools to monitor high-risk patients during the COVID-19 pandemic.
method Data-driven random forest classification model using baseline characteristics and symptoms.
result Model predicts COVID-19 mortality with excellent performance (AUC: 0.91), identifying novel predictors.

This paper proposes non-stationary factor models for financial stress in the UK.

problem Managing financial vulnerabilities in the UK's complex financial system.
method Creation of non-stationary factor models to capture financial stress.
result Non-stationary factor models can better capture financial stress, especially tail events.

Study evaluates UK CDC schemes, finding intergenerational cross-subsidies in flat-accrual schemes and dynamic-accrual schemes can reduce but not eliminate them.

problem Intergenerational cross-subsidies in UK CDC schemes, particularly in flat-accrual schemes.
method Comparison of flat-accrual and dynamic-accrual CDC schemes, analysis of performance and level of cross-subsidies.
result Dynamic-accrual schemes can reduce but not eliminate intergenerational cross-subsidies, while flat-accrual schemes often have significant cross-subsidies.

Study reveals supply chain correlations in firm growth rates.

problem Understanding correlations in firm growth rates and their supply chain relationships.
method Investigated correlation structure of firm growth rates and used Gaussian Markov Models to reconstruct supply chain networks.
result Supply chain-linked firms exhibit stronger correlation in growth rates than non-linked firms.

Analyzed US firm data 1970-2019, identifying scale effects and distributional forms.

problem Understanding differences between small and large firms over time.
method Examined all public US firms, used stylized facts and DLN distribution analysis.
result Small firms are systematically different from large firms, with scale-dependent heteroskedasticity.

Revisits granular models explaining firm growth rates and sizes.

problem Understanding the relationship between firm size and growth rate statistics.
method Developed new theoretical insights linking firm size and growth rate statistics within granular models.
result Growth volatility distribution is size-independent but fat-tailed, challenging granular models.

In an analysis of the US, the UK, and the German stock market we find a change in the behavior based on the stock's beta values. Before 2006 risky trades were concentrated on stocks in the IT and technology sector. Afterwards risky trading takes place for stocks from the financial sector. We show that an agent-based mo…

2015-04-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We develop a probabilistic consumer choice framework based on information asymmetry between consumers and firms. This framework makes it possible to study market competition of several firms by both quality and price of their products. We find Nash market equilibria and other optimal strategies in various situations ra…

2013-12-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines financial structure's impact on non-financial firms' growth in Kenya.

problem Declining financial performance and growth of non-financial firms listed at Nairobi Securities Exchange.
method Analyzes the effect of financial structure on financial growth.
result Established the impact of financial structure on non-financial firms' growth.

UK's rapid vaccine rollout linked to reduced COVID-19 mortality.

problem Assessing the impact of accelerated vaccine rollout on public health outcomes.
method Flexible probabilistic models combining interrupted time series analysis and synthetic control methods with multi-output Gaussian processes.
result Substantial reduction in COVID-19 mortality with little effect on transmission rates.

Stochastic encoding improves gender classification of brain networks from UK Biobank data.

problem Complexity and bias in interpreting deep learning models of brain connectivity.
method Stochastic encoding in ensemble of CNNs, multivariate balancing algorithm.
result AUROC of 0.8459, with resting-state data more accurate than task data.

An agent-based model for firms' dynamics is developed. The model consists of firm agents with identical characteristic parameters and a bank agent. Dynamics of those agents is described by their balance sheets. Each firm tries to maximize its expected profit with possible risks in market. Infinite growth of a firm dire…

2009-01-13abs ↗pdf ↗

This study assesses how share capital affects financial growth of non-financial firms listed at NSE.

problem Non-financial firms listed at NSE struggle with financial growth due to declining performance and lack of investor interest.
method Descriptive and panel data analysis of 45 non-financial firms over 10 years.
result Share capital positively and significantly influences financial growth, explaining 32.73% and 11.62% of variations in earnings per share and market capitalization growth, respectively.

The distribution of firms' growth and firms' sizes is a topic under intense scrutiny. In this paper we show that a thermodynamic model based on the Maximum Entropy Principle, with dynamical prior information, can be constructed that adequately describes the dynamics and distribution of firms' growth. Our theoretical fr…

2015-04-28abs ↗pdf ↗

I study the behavior and the performance of the long-term forecasts issued by financial analysts with respect to the Extrapolation Hypothesis. That hypothesis states that investors, extrapolating from the firms' recent performances, are too optimistic about growth and large firms and too pessimistic about value and sma…

2014-06-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Key to the imposition of appropriate minimum capital requirements on a daily basis requires accurate volatility estimation. Here, measures are presented based on discrete estimation of aggregated high frequency UK futures realisations underpinned by a continuous time framework. Squared and absolute returns are incorpor…

2011-03-28abs ↗pdf ↗

We analyze the size dependence and temporal stability of firm bankruptcy risk in the US economy by applying Zipf scaling techniques. We focus on a single risk factor-the debt-to-asset ratio R-in order to study the stability of the Zipf distribution of R over time. We find that the Zipf exponent increases during market …

2010-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows long-term debt impacts financial growth of non-financial firms listed at Nairobi Securities Exchange.

problem Declining financial performance and reluctance to lend to non-financial firms listed at Nairobi Securities Exchange.
method Descriptive and panel data analysis of 45 non-financial firms over 10 years.
result Long-term debt positively and significantly influences financial growth measured by earnings per share and market capitalization.

Study assesses short-term debt's impact on non-financial firms' financial growth.

problem Declining financial performance and reluctance to lend to non-financial firms listed at Nairobi Securities Exchange.
method Explanatory research design, descriptive statistics, and panel data analysis.
result Short-term debt positively and significantly influences financial growth.

Firms with different ownership structures could be argued to have different levels of efficiency.Highly concentrated firms are expected to be more efficient as this type of ownership structure may alleviate the conflict of interest between managers and shareholders.In Malaysia, public-listed firms have been found to ha…

2020-01-07abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the scaling behaviors for fluctuations of the number of Korean firms bankrupted in the period from August 1 2002 to October 28 2003. We observe a power law for the distribution of the number of the bankrupted firms. The Pareto exponent is close to unity. We also consider the daily increments of the number o…

2007-01-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Both theoretical and applied economics have a great deal to say about many aspects of the firm, but the literature on the extinctions, or demises, of firms is very sparse. We use a publicly available data base covering some 6 million firms in the US and show that the underlying statistical distribution which characteri…

2002-12-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimal incentives for cleaner energy production.

problem Accelerate transition to cleaner technologies in energy market.
method Stochastic control models for three scenarios: single firm, two firms, and two firms without incentives.
result Optimal strategies for investment and production emerge, highlighting firm interactions and incentive effects.

We analyze a database comprising quarterly sales of 55624 pharmaceutical products commercialized by 3939 pharmaceutical firms in the period 1992--2001. We study the probability density function (PDF) of growth in firms and product sales and find that the width of the PDF of growth decays with the sales as a power law w…

2005-02-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines cash conversion cycle in manufacturing firms, finding negative relationships with profitability and size.

problem Understanding cash conversion cycle in manufacturing firms and its impact on profitability and size.
method Empirical study of 30 manufacturing firms in Dhaka Stock Exchanges, categorizing them into six industries, analyzing industry averages and relationships with size and profitability.
result Negative relationship between cash conversion cycle and profitability, especially ROE; negative relationship with firm size in terms of net sales.

Research quantifies financial exclusion risks in UK, focusing on cash infrastructure and socio-economic factors.

problem Localised financial exclusion in the UK as cash infrastructure declines.
method Developed a composite indicator using various input variables.
result Financial exclusion is more prevalent in deprived communities and affluent areas.

Firms delay write-downs for adverse macroeconomic and industry outcomes but not for firm-specific issues.

problem Timeliness of write-downs for adverse macroeconomic and industry outcomes versus firm-specific issues.
method Comparative analysis of write-downs driven by macroeconomic and industry outcomes versus firm-specific outcomes.
result Firms delay write-downs for adverse macroeconomic and industry outcomes but not for firm-specific issues.

We present a simple model of firm rating evolution. We consider two sources of defaults: individual dynamics of economic development and Potts-like interactions between firms. We show that such a defined model leads to phase transition, which results in collective defaults. The existence of the collective phase depends…

2009-04-28abs ↗pdf ↗