Although much progress has been made in classification with high-dimensional features \citep{Fan_Fan:2008, JGuo:2010, CaiSun:2014, PRXu:2014}, classification with ultrahigh-dimensional features, wherein the features much outnumber the sample size, defies most existing work. This paper introduces a novel and computation…
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Trend · papers per month
Recent works have highlighted the strength of the Transformer architecture on sequence tasks while, at the same time, neural architecture search (NAS) has begun to outperform human-designed models. Our goal is to apply NAS to search for a better alternative to the Transformer. We first construct a large search space in…
In this paper we prove two sharp inequalities involving the normalized scalar curvature and the generalized normalized -Casorati curvatures for slant submanifolds in quaternionic space forms. We also characterize those submanifolds for which the equality cases hold. These results are a generalization of some recent …
In this paper, we explore the detection of clusters of stocks that are in synergy in the Indian Stock Market and understand their behaviour in different circumstances. We have based our study on high frequency data for the year 2014. This was a year when general elections were held in India, keeping this in mind our da…
A method for pricing and superhedging European options under proportional transaction costs based on linear vector optimisation and geometric duality developed by Lohne & Rudloff (2014) is compared to a special case of the algorithms for American type derivatives due to Roux & Zastawniak (2014). An equivalence between …
Course on arithmetic lattices at EPFL.
Many model selection algorithms produce a path of fits specifying a sequence of increasingly complex models. Given such a sequence and the data used to produce them, we consider the problem of choosing the least complex model that is not falsified by the data. Extending the selected-model tests of Fithian et al. (2014)…
Optimal wealth strategy derived for jump-diffusion models with liabilities.
This is an expository article, closely following the author's lecture at the 2014 Journal Differential Geometry conference.
In the present contribution we characterize law determined convex risk measures that have convex level sets at the level of distributions. By relaxing the assumptions in Weber (2006), we show that these risk measures can be identified with a class of generalized shortfall risk measures. As a direct consequence, we are …
This paper presents a novel approach to speaker subspace modelling based on Gaussian-Binary Restricted Boltzmann Machines (GRBM). The proposed model is based on the idea of shared factors as in the Probabilistic Linear Discriminant Analysis (PLDA). GRBM hidden layer is divided into speaker and channel factors, herein t…
We consider a contextual version of multi-armed bandit problem with global knapsack constraints. In each round, the outcome of pulling an arm is a scalar reward and a resource consumption vector, both dependent on the context, and the global knapsack constraints require the total consumption for each resource to be bel…
Homicide mortality is a worldwide concern and has occupied the agenda of researchers and public managers. In Brazil, homicide is the third leading cause of death in the general population and the first in the 15-39 age group. In South America, Brazil has the third highest homicide mortality, behind Venezuela and Colomb…
The paper considers a general semi-Markov model for Limit Order Books with two states, which incorporates price changes that are not fixed to one tick. Furthermore, we introduce an even more general case of the semi-Markov model for LimitOrder Books that incorporates an arbitrary number of states for the price changes.…
Energy price forecasting is a relevant yet hard task in the field of multi-step time series forecasting. In this paper we compare a well-known and established method, ARMA with exogenous variables with a relatively new technique Gradient Boosting Regression. The method was tested on data from Global Energy Forecasting …
In this paper we consider the worst-case model risk approach described in Glasserman and Xu (2014). Portfolio selection with model risk can be a challenging operational research problem. In particular, it presents an additional optimisation compared to the classical one. We find the analytical solution for the optimal …
This is an extended abstract of the talk given at the Oberwolfach Workshop "Algebraic Structures in Low-Dimensional Topology", 25 May -- 31 May 2014. My goal was to describe progress in distributive homology from the previous Oberwolfach Workshop June 3 - June 9, 2012, in particular my work on Yang-Baxter homology; how…
We consider a firm that sells products over periods without knowing the demand function. The firm sequentially sets prices to earn revenue and to learn the underlying demand function simultaneously. A natural heuristic for this problem, commonly used in practice, is greedy iterative least squares (GILS). At each ti…
The amplituhedra arise as images of the totally nonnegative Grassmannians by projections that are induced by linear maps. They were introduced in Physics by Arkani-Hamed \& Trnka (Journal of High Energy Physics, 2014) as model spaces that should provide a better understanding of the scattering amplitudes of quantum fie…
Bielecki and Rutkowski (2014) introduced and studied a generic nonlinear market model, which includes several risky assets, multiple funding accounts and margin accounts. In this paper, we examine the pricing and hedging of contract both from the perspective of the hedger and the counterparty with arbitrary initial end…
This is a corrected version of our paper published in Osaka Journal of Mathematics 51(2014), 673-693. We correct Theorem~1.1, Proposition~3.3 and their proofs.
Bielecki and Rutkowski (2014) introduced and studied a generic nonlinear market model, which includes several risky assets, multiple funding accounts and margin accounts. In this paper, we examine the pricing and hedging of contract both from the perspective of the hedger and the counterparty with arbitrary initial end…
These are largely expanded notes from lectures on Higgs moduli and abelianisation given in Angers, France (2014) and Guaruja, Brazil (2015). Dedicated to Ugo Bruzzo on his 60-th birthday. Version 2: minor corrections.
This is a summary of the material for 3 lectures on geometrically finite and infinite Kleinian groups delivered by the author at a workshop held at Tata Institute of Fundamental Research in April 2014.
These notes from the 2014 summer school Quantum Topology at the CIRM in Luminy attempt to provide a rough guide to a selection of developments in Khovanov homology over the last fifteen years.
The dynamical behavior of the currency exchange rate after its large-scale catastrophe is discussed through a case study of the rate of Russian rubles to US dollars after its crash in 2014. It is shown that, similarly to the case of the stock market crash, the relaxation is characterized by a power law, which is in ana…
Based on the Log-Periodic Power Law (LPPL) methodology, with the universal preferred scaling factor , the negative bubble on the oil market in 2014-2016 has been detected. Over the same period a positive bubble on the so called commodity currencies expressed in terms of the US dollar appears to take place w…
These are lecture notes from a series of lectures at the SMF summer school on "Geometric and Quantum Topology in Dimension 3", June 2014. The focus is on Heegaard Floer homology from the perspective of sutured Floer homology.
This note summarizes in an informal way some geometric properties of Anosov representations into the symplectic group, which were presented in a talk at the conference What is Next. The mathematical legacy of Bill Thurston, held in June 2014 in Cornell.
Latent variable models can be used to probabilistically "fill-in" missing data entries. The variational autoencoder architecture (Kingma and Welling, 2014; Rezende et al., 2014) includes a "recognition" or "encoder" network that infers the latent variables given the data variables. However, it is not clear how to handl…
We generalize the notion of monetary value measures developed with category theory in [Adachi, 2014] by extending their base category from the category \c{hi} to the category of probability spaces Prob introduced in [Adachi and Ryu, 2016].
Italy and the Eurozone are heading in the year 2012 into a financial depression of unprecedented magnitude, with a forthcoming multitude of often contradictory public economic and financial stability emergency interventions whose ultimate endogenous and exogenous effects on public and private health spending and on the…
Variational inference is a powerful approach for approximate posterior inference. However, it is sensitive to initialization and can be subject to poor local optima. In this paper, we develop proximity variational inference (PVI). PVI is a new method for optimizing the variational objective that constrains subsequent i…
We use the 2014 market history of two high-returning biotechnology exchange-traded funds to illustrate how ex post mean-variance analysis should not be done. Unfortunately, the way it should not be done is the way it generally is done -- to our knowledge.
How does one objectively measure the performance of an individual offensive lineman in the NFL? The existing literature proposes various measures that rely on subjective assessments of game film, but has yet to develop an objective methodology to evaluate performance. Using a variety of statistics related to an offensi…
This paper develops a new method to model treatment effects that are heterogeneous across different quantiles.
Particle identification is one of the core tasks in the data analysis pipeline at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC). Statistically, this entails the identification of rare signal events buried in immense backgrounds that mimic the properties of the former. In machine learning parlance, particle identification represents …
Hyperbolic geometry reveals financial network structure and systemic importance.
State-of-the-art speaker recognition relays on models that need a large amount of training data. This models are successful in tasks like NIST SRE because there is sufficient data available. However, in real applications, we usually do not have so much data and, in many cases, the speaker labels are unknown. We present…
Objective: Patient notes in electronic health records (EHRs) may contain critical information for medical investigations. However, the vast majority of medical investigators can only access de-identified notes, in order to protect the confidentiality of patients. In the United States, the Health Insurance Portability a…
Machine learning models of music typically break up the task of composition into a chronological process, composing a piece of music in a single pass from beginning to end. On the contrary, human composers write music in a nonlinear fashion, scribbling motifs here and there, often revisiting choices previously made. In…
Axiomatizes -quantiles, a generalization of quantiles.
These notes are the basis of a course given at the Institut Henri Poincare in September 2014. We survey some recent results related to the geometric analysis of hypoelliptic diffusion operators on totally geodesic Riemannian foliations. We also give new applications to the study of hypocoercive estimates for Kolmogorov…
Study examines UK firms' financial performance linked to corporate governance.
Consider a Hamiltonian action by a compact Lie group on a possibly noncompact symplectic manifold. We give a short proof of a geometric formula for decomposition into irreducible representations of the equivariant index of a Spin-Dirac operator in this context. This formula was conjectured by Michèle Vergne in 2006…
The problem of estimating the kernel mean in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) is central to kernel methods in that it is used by classical approaches (e.g., when centering a kernel PCA matrix), and it also forms the core inference step of modern kernel methods (e.g., kernel-based non-parametric tests) that rel…
We define a financial bubble as a period of unsustainable growth, when the price of an asset increases ever more quickly, in a series of accelerating phases of corrections and rebounds. More technically, during a bubble phase, the price follows a faster-than-exponential power law growth process, often accompanied by lo…
The Black Box Variational Inference (Ranganath et al. (2014)) algorithm provides a universal method for Variational Inference, but taking advantage of special properties of the approximation family or of the target can improve the convergence speed significantly. For example, if the approximation family is a transforma…