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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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36811 · Oct 201819922001200920172026
48 results for 2014

Although much progress has been made in classification with high-dimensional features \citep{Fan_Fan:2008, JGuo:2010, CaiSun:2014, PRXu:2014}, classification with ultrahigh-dimensional features, wherein the features much outnumber the sample size, defies most existing work. This paper introduces a novel and computation…

2016-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Recent works have highlighted the strength of the Transformer architecture on sequence tasks while, at the same time, neural architecture search (NAS) has begun to outperform human-designed models. Our goal is to apply NAS to search for a better alternative to the Transformer. We first construct a large search space in…

2019-01-30abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we explore the detection of clusters of stocks that are in synergy in the Indian Stock Market and understand their behaviour in different circumstances. We have based our study on high frequency data for the year 2014. This was a year when general elections were held in India, keeping this in mind our da…

2019-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Many model selection algorithms produce a path of fits specifying a sequence of increasingly complex models. Given such a sequence and the data used to produce them, we consider the problem of choosing the least complex model that is not falsified by the data. Extending the selected-model tests of Fithian et al. (2014)…

2015-12-08abs ↗pdf ↗

In the present contribution we characterize law determined convex risk measures that have convex level sets at the level of distributions. By relaxing the assumptions in Weber (2006), we show that these risk measures can be identified with a class of generalized shortfall risk measures. As a direct consequence, we are …

2014-11-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Energy price forecasting is a relevant yet hard task in the field of multi-step time series forecasting. In this paper we compare a well-known and established method, ARMA with exogenous variables with a relatively new technique Gradient Boosting Regression. The method was tested on data from Global Energy Forecasting …

2015-06-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider a firm that sells products over TT periods without knowing the demand function. The firm sequentially sets prices to earn revenue and to learn the underlying demand function simultaneously. A natural heuristic for this problem, commonly used in practice, is greedy iterative least squares (GILS). At each ti…

2016-04-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The amplituhedra arise as images of the totally nonnegative Grassmannians by projections that are induced by linear maps. They were introduced in Physics by Arkani-Hamed \& Trnka (Journal of High Energy Physics, 2014) as model spaces that should provide a better understanding of the scattering amplitudes of quantum fie…

2018-06-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Bielecki and Rutkowski (2014) introduced and studied a generic nonlinear market model, which includes several risky assets, multiple funding accounts and margin accounts. In this paper, we examine the pricing and hedging of contract both from the perspective of the hedger and the counterparty with arbitrary initial end…

2014-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

These are largely expanded notes from lectures on Higgs moduli and abelianisation given in Angers, France (2014) and Guaruja, Brazil (2015). Dedicated to Ugo Bruzzo on his 60-th birthday. Version 2: minor corrections.

2016-09-02abs ↗pdf ↗

These are lecture notes from a series of lectures at the SMF summer school on "Geometric and Quantum Topology in Dimension 3", June 2014. The focus is on Heegaard Floer homology from the perspective of sutured Floer homology.

2014-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

This note summarizes in an informal way some geometric properties of Anosov representations into the symplectic group, which were presented in a talk at the conference What is Next. The mathematical legacy of Bill Thurston, held in June 2014 in Cornell.

2016-02-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Italy and the Eurozone are heading in the year 2012 into a financial depression of unprecedented magnitude, with a forthcoming multitude of often contradictory public economic and financial stability emergency interventions whose ultimate endogenous and exogenous effects on public and private health spending and on the…

2012-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Variational inference is a powerful approach for approximate posterior inference. However, it is sensitive to initialization and can be subject to poor local optima. In this paper, we develop proximity variational inference (PVI). PVI is a new method for optimizing the variational objective that constrains subsequent i…

2017-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

We use the 2014 market history of two high-returning biotechnology exchange-traded funds to illustrate how ex post mean-variance analysis should not be done. Unfortunately, the way it should not be done is the way it generally is done -- to our knowledge.

2018-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

How does one objectively measure the performance of an individual offensive lineman in the NFL? The existing literature proposes various measures that rely on subjective assessments of game film, but has yet to develop an objective methodology to evaluate performance. Using a variety of statistics related to an offensi…

2016-03-24abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper develops a new method to model treatment effects that are heterogeneous across different quantiles.

problem Modeling treatment effects that vary across different quantiles of the outcome distribution.
method The paper combines quantile classification with local polynomial estimation to build a decision tree and forest.
result The proposed QLPRT and QLPRF methods provide a new way to estimate and infer heterogeneous treatment effects.

State-of-the-art speaker recognition relays on models that need a large amount of training data. This models are successful in tasks like NIST SRE because there is sufficient data available. However, in real applications, we usually do not have so much data and, in many cases, the speaker labels are unknown. We present…

2015-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Objective: Patient notes in electronic health records (EHRs) may contain critical information for medical investigations. However, the vast majority of medical investigators can only access de-identified notes, in order to protect the confidentiality of patients. In the United States, the Health Insurance Portability a…

2016-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning models of music typically break up the task of composition into a chronological process, composing a piece of music in a single pass from beginning to end. On the contrary, human composers write music in a nonlinear fashion, scribbling motifs here and there, often revisiting choices previously made. In…

2019-03-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Consider a Hamiltonian action by a compact Lie group on a possibly noncompact symplectic manifold. We give a short proof of a geometric formula for decomposition into irreducible representations of the equivariant index of a Spinc^c-Dirac operator in this context. This formula was conjectured by Michèle Vergne in 2006…

2015-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The problem of estimating the kernel mean in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) is central to kernel methods in that it is used by classical approaches (e.g., when centering a kernel PCA matrix), and it also forms the core inference step of modern kernel methods (e.g., kernel-based non-parametric tests) that rel…

2014-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We define a financial bubble as a period of unsustainable growth, when the price of an asset increases ever more quickly, in a series of accelerating phases of corrections and rebounds. More technically, during a bubble phase, the price follows a faster-than-exponential power law growth process, often accompanied by lo…

2014-04-08abs ↗pdf ↗