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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,982 papers · 148 categories

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159318476635 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Typicality Sampling

Link prediction in networks is typically accomplished by estimating or ranking the probabilities of edges for all pairs of nodes. In practice, especially for social networks, the data are often collected by egocentric sampling, which means selecting a subset of nodes and recording all of their edges. This sampling mech…

2018-03-12abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes 1\ell_1-LinR for Ising model selection using statistical mechanics.

problem Model selection consistency of 1\ell_1-LinR for Ising models.
method Replica method from statistical mechanics, 1\ell_1-regularized linear regression (1\ell_1-LinR).
result Model selection consistency with sample complexity $M=\mathcal{O}\left(\log N ight)$.

Randomly trained neural networks can generalize well if there's a simpler underlying teacher model.

problem Why randomly trained neural networks generalize well despite interpolating training data.
method Examined a random neural network that interpolates training data and showed it generalizes well if there's a simpler underlying teacher model.
result Randomly trained neural networks can generalize well if there's a simpler underlying teacher model.

Adaptive stepsizing improves sampling in Bayesian neural networks.

problem Scalable sampling of posterior distributions in Bayesian neural networks.
method SA-SGLD, employing time rescaling to adapt stepsize dynamically.
result SA-SGLD achieves more accurate posterior sampling than SGLD.

New method pools labels from similar data items to improve learning from small samples.

problem Learning from small, human-annotated samples with potential disagreement among annotators.
method Proposes neighborhood-based pooling for sharing labels across similar data items.
result Improves learning from small, noisy samples by pooling labels from similar items.

Importance sampling is widely used in machine learning and statistics, but its power is limited by the restriction of using simple proposals for which the importance weights can be tractably calculated. We address this problem by studying black-box importance sampling methods that calculate importance weights for sampl…

2016-10-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Shrunk sample covariance matrix is a factor model of a special form combining some (typically, style) risk factor(s) and principal components with a (block-)diagonal factor covariance matrix. As such, shrinkage, which essentially inherits out-of-sample instabilities of the sample covariance matrix, is not an alternativ…

2015-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

REP-GAN improves GANs by reparameterizing proposals for better sample quality and efficiency.

problem Poor sample efficiency in GANs due to independent proposal sampling.
method REParameterizing Markov chains into the latent space of the generator to create dependent proposals.
result Empirically shows significant improvement in sample efficiency and quality.

Drawing a sample from a discrete distribution is one of the building components for Monte Carlo methods. Like other sampling algorithms, discrete sampling suffers from the high computational burden in large-scale inference problems. We study the problem of sampling a discrete random variable with a high degree of depen…

2015-06-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Alternative sampling method for autoregressive models using Langevin dynamics.

problem Efficiently sampling from autoregressive models.
method Initialize sequences with white noise and follow Langevin dynamics on global log-likelihood.
result Parallelizes and generalizes sampling process for autoregressive models.

Generative models produce varied intonation in speech synthesis.

problem Typical TTS systems lack the ability to produce multiple distinct renditions of a sentence.
method Use variational autoencoders (VAEs) to capture a distribution over multiple renditions and produce varied intonation.
result Sampling from the tails of the VAE prior produces more varied intonation than traditional approaches, while maintaining naturalness.

Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) are widely used to solve classification tasks in computer vision. However, they can be tricked into misclassifying specially crafted `adversarial' samples -- and samples built to trick one model often work alarmingly well against other models trained on the same task. In this paper …

2019-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

KBB algorithm reduces sample complexity for policy evaluation in general state spaces.

problem Policy evaluation in large state spaces with high sample complexity.
method Alternates between fitting Bellman residual and estimating value function via adaptive feature set growth.
result Super-linear convergence rates demonstrated, with reductions in sample complexity.

An importance sampling approach for sampling copula models is introduced. We propose two algorithms that improve Monte Carlo estimators when the functional of interest depends mainly on the behaviour of the underlying random vector when at least one of the components is large. Such problems often arise from dependence …

2014-03-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (PMCMC) is a systematic way of combining the two main tools used for Monte Carlo statistical inference: sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). We present a novel PMCMC algorithm that we refer to as particle Gibbs with ancestor sampling (PGAS). PGAS provides t…

2014-01-03abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a method for performing Hamiltonian Monte Carlo that largely eliminates sample rejection for typical hyperparameters. In situations that would normally lead to rejection, instead a longer trajectory is computed until a new state is reached that can be accepted. This is achieved using Markov chain transitions…

2014-09-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Sampling is an important tool for estimating large, complex sums and integrals over high dimensional spaces. For instance, important sampling has been used as an alternative to exact methods for inference in belief networks. Ideally, we want to have a sampling distribution that provides optimal-variance estimators. In …

2013-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Practitioners of Bayesian statistics have long depended on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to obtain samples from intractable posterior distributions. Unfortunately, MCMC algorithms are typically serial, and do not scale to the large datasets typical of modern machine learning. The recently proposed consensus Monte Car…

2015-06-09abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a novel multi-factor Heston-based stochastic volatility model, which is able to reproduce consistently typical multi-dimensional FX vanilla markets, while retaining the (semi)-analytical tractability typical of affine models and relying on a reasonable number of parameters. A successful joint calibration t…

2012-01-09abs ↗pdf ↗

The key idea of Bayesian optimization is replacing an expensive target function with a cheap surrogate model. By selection of an acquisition function for Bayesian optimization, we trade off between exploration and exploitation. The acquisition function typically depends on the mean and the variance of the surrogate mod…

2019-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Learning in restricted Boltzmann machine is typically hard due to the computation of gradients of log-likelihood function. To describe the network state statistics of the restricted Boltzmann machine, we develop an advanced mean field theory based on the Bethe approximation. Our theory provides an efficient message pas…

2015-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Many machine learning tasks require sampling a subset of items from a collection based on a parameterized distribution. The Gumbel-softmax trick can be used to sample a single item, and allows for low-variance reparameterized gradients with respect to the parameters of the underlying distribution. However, stochastic o…

2019-01-29abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm improves mixing in Bayesian mixture models.

problem Slow mixing in Bayesian mixture models.
method A new Monte Carlo algorithm for sampling from the marginal posterior of a general integrable mixture.
result The new algorithm achieves excellent mixing times, outperforming standard Gibbs sampling in some cases.

DIP improves Mixup by treating training and testing samples equally.

problem Mixup's effectiveness is hindered by the gap between augmented and original samples.
method Proposes Data Interpolating Prediction (DIP) to encapsulate sample mixing in the classifier's hypothesis class.
result Empirically shows DIP outperforms Mixup and reduces Rademacher complexity.

Study nearest-neighbor radii under dependent sampling, finding they remain informative.

problem Analyzing nearest-neighbor radii under dependent sampling.
method Consider strong mixing dependent observations, establish distribution-free almost sure convergence and sharp non-asymptotic moment bounds.
result Nearest-neighbor geometry remains informative under dependence sampling.

Optimized sampling scheme for compressed sensing combining randomness and determinism.

problem Improving compressed sensing performance with deterministic sampling.
method Optimized sampling scheme combining random and deterministic selection of rows.
result Measurable improvements in image compressed sensing for generative and sparse priors.

Restricted Boltzmann Machines (RBMs) are one of the fundamental building blocks of deep learning. Approximate maximum likelihood training of RBMs typically necessitates sampling from these models. In many training scenarios, computationally efficient Gibbs sampling procedures are crippled by poor mixing. In this work w…

2014-10-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper presents a copula-based method to efficiently generate correlated sample paths from multi-step time series models.

problem Generating realistic correlation structures in multi-step forecast sample paths is expensive and time-consuming.
method Copula-based approach to generate correlated sample paths in one forward pass.
result Improved sample path quality and significant speedup over autoregressive sampling.

Complex performance measures, beyond the popular measure of accuracy, are increasingly being used in the context of binary classification. These complex performance measures are typically not even decomposable, that is, the loss evaluated on a batch of samples cannot typically be expressed as a sum or average of losses…

2018-06-02abs ↗pdf ↗

A framework for hypothesis testing on attributed graphs using sampling.

problem Statistical testing on graph data, especially large attributed graphs.
method Sampling-based framework with PHASE and PHASEopt for accurate and efficient hypothesis testing.
result PHASE and PHASEopt improve accuracy and efficiency of hypothesis testing in attributed graphs.

Debiased contrastive learning improves representation learning by correcting for same-label sampling.

problem Sampling negative examples from truly different labels improves performance in self-supervised representation learning.
method Developed a debiased contrastive objective that corrects for the sampling of same-label datapoints without true labels.
result The proposed debiased contrastive objective consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods across vision, language, and reinforcement learning benchmarks.

MEMEC improves sample efficiency in reinforcement learning.

problem Lack of sample efficiency in reinforcement learning.
method Proposes MEMEC, a Boltzmann policy with state-dependent temperature for more principled exploration.
result MEMEC outperforms other methods on classic RL environments and Atari games.

CERL uses a portfolio of learners to explore diverse regions, outperforming individual learners.

problem Limited exploration and sensitivity to hyperparameters in reinforcement learning.
method CERL employs a portfolio of learners with varying time-horizons and a shared replay buffer, dynamically distributing computational resources.
result Emergent learner outperforms individual learners and is more sample-efficient.

Traditional GANs use a deterministic generator function (typically a neural network) to transform a random noise input zz to a sample x\mathbf{x} that the discriminator seeks to distinguish. We propose a new GAN called Bayesian Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks (BC-GANs) that use a random generator function…

2017-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Nested Slice Sampling accelerates Nested Sampling for GPU acceleration.

problem Challenging inference for complex, multimodal targets.
method Vectorized Nested Slice Sampling using Hit-and-Run Slice Sampling.
result NSS maintains accurate evidence estimates and high-quality posterior samples, robust on multimodal problems.