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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Trajectory-based Learning

The paper develops no arbitrage results for trajectory based models by imposing general constraints on the trading portfolios. The main condition imposed, in order to avoid arbitrage opportunities, is a local continuity requirement on the final portfolio value considered as a functional on the trajectory space. The pap…

2014-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for efficient distributed optimization using trajectory-based normalized gradients.

problem Efficient communication in large-scale distributed optimization.
method A bijective mapping between gradient distributions, using normalized gradients and dynamically extracted references.
result Trajectory-based normalized gradients (TNG) improves communication efficiency in distributed optimization.

Study compares RL and DT-based control for hedging European call options.

problem Optimizing hedging strategies for European call options with transaction costs.
method Reinforcement Learning vs. Deep Trajectory-based Stochastic Control.
result RL and DT-based methods perform differently under stepwise mean-variance hedging.

Persistent neurons improve neural network optimization by leveraging previous solutions.

problem Improving neural network optimization under different initialization and data distributions.
method Persistent neurons use information from previous converged solutions to explore new landscapes and avoid local minima.
result Persistent neurons converge to more optimal solutions and improve model performance under various initializations.

The paper studies sub and super-replication price bounds for contingent claims defined on general trajectory based market models. No prior probabilistic or topological assumptions are placed on the trajectory space, trading is assumed to take place at a finite number of occasions but not bounded in number nor necessari…

2015-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

LRF framework predicts and interprets longitudinal response trajectories.

problem Sparse and irregular data in longitudinal studies.
method Longitudinal Random Forest (LRF) framework with adaptive node-wise trajectory estimation.
result LRF outperforms competing methods in predicting and interpreting longitudinal trajectories.

PODNet discovers plannable options from unstructured demonstrations.

problem Learning from unstructured, multi-objective demonstrations.
method Custom categorical variational autoencoder, recurrent option inference network, option-conditioned policy network, and option dynamics model.
result PODNet enables learning from demonstration for multiple tasks and planning.

New algorithm learns Koopman operator online, with complexity control and convergence guarantees.

problem Online learning of Koopman operator for general nonlinear systems.
method Sparse online learning via stochastic approximation, RKHS action, CME operator.
result Provably convergent algorithm with finite-time guarantees in mis-specified setting.

Mathematical method based on a direct or indirect analysis of growth rates is described. It is shown how simple assumptions and a relatively easy analysis can be used to describe mathematically complicated trends and to predict growth. Only rudimentary knowledge of calculus is required. Projected trajectories based on …

2017-04-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper learns Koopman operator from sparse data, escaping function space constraints.

problem Learning Koopman operator from non-closed function spaces.
method Operator stochastic approximation algorithm using conditional mean embeddings (CME).
result Online sparse learning algorithm with trajectory-based sampling guarantees.

Eikonal-Constrained QRL improves goal-reaching in reinforcement learning.

problem Reward design and out-of-distribution generalization in reinforcement learning.
method Eikonal-Constrained Quasimetric Reinforcement Learning (Eik-QRL) using the Eikonal PDE.
result Eik-QRL achieves state-of-the-art performance in offline goal-conditioned navigation and manipulation tasks.

We learn linear models from nonlinear systems using multiple trajectories and regularization.

problem Identifying linear models from data when the underlying dynamics are nonlinear.
method Multiple trajectories data acquisition followed by regularized least squares.
result Learn linearized dynamics with arbitrarily small error given enough samples.

The paper develops a neural network-based classifier for diffusion process drifts.

problem Classifying diffusion processes with distinct drift functions from discrete observations.
method Derives a Bayes rule and constructs a plug-in classifier using neural networks to estimate drifts.
result Establishes convergence rates for misclassification risk, highlighting benefits of diffusion structure.

Paper introduces DTAE to optimize RL algorithms, balancing exploration and exploitation.

problem Balancing exploration and exploitation in reinforcement learning.
method Soft policy optimization with entropy and dual-track advantage estimator (DTAE).
result DTAE accelerates RL algorithm convergence and improves performance.

We identify linear models from nonlinear systems with initialization constraints.

problem Identifying linear models from nonlinear systems with initialization constraints.
method Multiple trajectories-based deterministic data acquisition algorithm followed by regularized least squares.
result We provide a finite sample error bound on the learned linearized dynamics.

RL and DTSOC for final quadratic hedging performance studied.

problem Optimal hedging of European call options with and without transaction costs.
method Reinforcement Learning and Deep Trajectory-based Stochastic Optimal Control.
result RL and DTSOC perform similarly to variance-optimal hedging in various market models.

DoubleEnsemble improves financial predictions by selecting key features and reweighting samples.

problem Overfitting and instability in financial data analysis.
method Sample reweighting and feature selection using learning trajectory and shuffling.
result DoubleEnsemble outperforms baseline methods in financial prediction tasks.

The success of popular algorithms for deep reinforcement learning, such as policy-gradients and Q-learning, relies heavily on the availability of an informative reward signal at each timestep of the sequential decision-making process. When rewards are only sparsely available during an episode, or a rewarding feedback i…

2018-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently samples complex distributions using tensor train format.

problem Sampling from high-dimensional complex probability densities efficiently.
method Integrates tensor train format with backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) for fast, robust, and accurate sampling.
result Improved efficiency in sampling from challenging target distributions.

Study uses vehicle trajectory data to predict traffic incidents on highways.

problem Early detection of traffic incidents to reduce secondary crashes.
method Machine learning algorithms (Logistic Regression, Random Forest, Extreme Gradient Boost, Artificial Neural Network) applied to vehicle trajectory data.
result Random Forest model performs best for incident prediction.

Neural controlled DEs model irregular time series by adjusting based on observations.

problem Modeling irregularly sampled multivariate time series with memory-efficient adjoint-based backpropagation.
method Neural controlled differential equations (CDEs) that adjust based on subsequent observations.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance on various datasets.

In this paper we propose a new method to predict the final destination of vehicle trips based on their initial partial trajectories. We first review how we obtained clustering of trajectories that describes user behaviour. Then, we explain how we model main traffic flow patterns by a mixture of 2d Gaussian distribution…

2016-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

A framework learns multiscale dynamics from single trajectories using normalizing flows.

problem Learning effective stochastic dynamics from single observed paths of slow variables.
method Data-driven approach based on coupled multiscale SDEs, stochastic averaging, and normalizing flows for density modeling.
result Scalable approach to capturing epistemic uncertainty in multiscale systems.

New insights on offline RL with state aggregation and trajectory data.

problem Understanding sample complexity in offline policy evaluation.
method Analyzing concentrability coefficient in aggregated Markov Transition Model.
result Sample complexity depends on concentrability coefficient in aggregated model.

Paper analyzes EM algorithm's trajectory in 2MLR, revealing cycloid behavior.

problem Understanding the convergence and trajectory of EM algorithm in 2MLR.
method Explicit closed-form expressions for EM updates, recurrence relation derivation at population level.
result EM iterations lie on a cycloid trajectory, leading to theoretical estimate of convergence exponent.