Efficiently trains deep Gaussian processes with sparse approximations.
problem High computational complexity in training and inference for DGP models.
method Tensor Markov Gaussian Processes (TMGP) and hierarchical expansion to create DTMGP model.
result DTMGP model achieves superior computational efficiency compared to existing DGP models.
This paper shows how infinitely wide Tensor Networks converge to Gaussian Processes.
problem Understanding the relationship between Tensor Networks and Gaussian Processes.
method Analyzing the infinite-width limit of Tensor Networks and comparing them to Gaussian Processes.
result Infinitely wide Tensor Networks converge to Gaussian Processes, proving their equivalence.
BKTR models spatiotemporal data with scalable tensor regression.
problem High computational cost in applying STVC to large-scale spatiotemporal data.
method Summarize STVC coefficients in a tensor, reformulate as low-rank tensor regression, incorporate GP priors for local dependencies.
result BKTR efficiently models large spatiotemporal datasets with reduced parameters and local dependencies.
Study Gaussian-process limits of neural networks using tensor programs.
problem Understanding the behavior of neural networks as they approach infinite width.
method Quantitative analysis through tensor programs and Wasserstein distance.
result Explicit finite-width error bounds, showing convergence to Gaussian-process limits.
tvGP-VAE models tensor-valued latent variables with Gaussian processes for better data structure representation.
problem Agnostic latent variables in VAEs ignore data structure correlations.
method Proposes tensor-variate Gaussian process prior for variational autoencoder.
result Explicitly modeling correlation structures improves model performance in reconstruction.
Tensor networks constrain kernel machines to Gaussian processes.
problem Speeding up kernel machines with reduced model complexity.
method Proving CPD and TT-constrained models recover Gaussian processes with i.i.d. priors.
result TT-constrained models exhibit more Gaussian process behavior than CPD for the same parameters.
A novel Laplace-approximated Bayesian Tensor Network Kernel Machine (LA-TNKM) provides principled uncertainty estimates.
problem How to provide principled uncertainty estimates for tensor network kernel machines.
method Employing a linearized Laplace approximation for Bayesian inference.
result Consistently matches or surpasses Gaussian Processes and BNNs across diverse UCI regression benchmarks.
Paper learns meaningful state and action representations from MDP trajectories.
problem Learning good state and action representations from MDP trajectories.
method Tensor decomposition, kernelization, importance sampling, low-Tucker-rank approximation.
result The learned state/action abstractions provide accurate approximations to latent block structures.
In this work, we develop Gaussian process regression (GPR) models of hyperelastic material behavior. First, we consider the direct approach of modeling the components of the Cauchy stress tensor as a function of the components of the Finger stretch tensor in a Gaussian process. We then consider an improvement on this a…
Tensor decomposition recovers Gaussian mixtures from moments.
problem Recovering Gaussian mixture models from datasets.
method Symmetric tensor decomposition of moment tensors built from empirical moments.
result Identifiable tensors with interpolation degree less than half their order.
Low-rank tensor regression, a new model class that learns high-order correlation from data, has recently received considerable attention. At the same time, Gaussian processes (GP) are well-studied machine learning models for structure learning. In this paper, we demonstrate interesting connections between the two, espe…
In this paper, we consider the tensor completion problem representing the solution in the tensor train (TT) format. It is assumed that tensor is high-dimensional, and tensor values are generated by an unknown smooth function. The assumption allows us to develop an efficient initialization scheme based on Gaussian Proce…
The study establishes a curvature-dimension condition for discrete Markov chains.
problem Proving modified logarithmic Sobolev inequalities for discrete Markov chains.
method Identifying and proving a curvature-dimension inequality CDΥ(κ,∞), and showing its compatibility with diffusive settings. result The CDΥ condition preserves curvature bounds under tensorization and leads to Beckner inequalities. Novel CMG framework improves financial sentiment forecasting.
problem Challenges in short-term sentiment forecasting of financial OHLC data.
method Integrates chaos theory, Markov chains, and Gaussian processes with transformer models.
result Consistently outperforms traditional models in accuracy and efficiency.
Paper calculates KL divergence for isotropic Gaussian-Markov fields.
problem Measuring divergence between isotropic Gaussian-Markov fields.
method Derives closed-form KL divergence expressions.
result Develops new similarity measures in image processing.
New methods reduce computational cost for Gaussian Markov Random Fields with sparse constraints.
problem Inference and simulation of GMRFs are computationally prohibitive with many constraints.
method Proposes a basis transformation into blocks of constrained and non-constrained subspaces.
result Significantly outperforms existing alternatives in computational cost.
Extends Gaussian process regression for non-Gaussian data.
problem Inadequate modeling of uncertainty and over-smoothing in non-Gaussian datasets.
method Time-changed Gaussian processes with Lévy processes.
result Improved modeling of heavy-tailed non-Gaussian behaviors.
ENTED efficiently decomposes binary and count tensors using nonparametric Gaussian processes.
problem Handling high-dimensional and sparse binary and count data with traditional tensor decompositions.
method ENTED uses nonparametric Gaussian processes and sparse orthogonal variational inference to handle binary and count tensors.
result ENTED outperforms traditional methods in binary and count tensor completion tasks.
Proposes a nonparametric tensor factorization for sparse data.
problem Handling sparse tensor data with structural and interpretability benefits.
method Hierarchical Gamma processes and Poisson random measures for tensor-valued process, Dirichlet processes for sampling entry indices, Gaussian processes for values.
result Demonstrates superior performance on benchmark datasets.
A multi-task GP model tracks time-varying transition probabilities between two states.
problem Tracking time-varying transition probabilities between 'moves' and 'pauses' states.
method Kernel-based multi-task Gaussian Process model with time-variability and constraints.
result Enforces constraints while learning transition probabilities.
A low-rank tensor model simplifies multi-dimensional Markov chains.
problem Simplifying the dynamics of multi-dimensional Markov chains.
method Low-rank tensor decomposition for multi-dimensional state spaces.
result Our tensor model requires fewer parameters and samples than conventional methods.
Stein variational gradient descent improves inference in Gaussian process models.
problem Inference in Gaussian process models with non-Gaussian likelihoods and large data volumes is computationally intensive and inaccurate with traditional methods.
method Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD) for non-parametric inference.
result SVGD monotonically decreases the Kullback-Leibler divergence from the sampling distribution to the true posterior.
Elliptical slice sampling converges geometrically, providing reliable sampling for Bayesian learning.
problem Sampling from posterior distributions in Bayesian learning.
method Elliptical slice sampling, geometric ergodicity.
result Elliptical slice sampling yields geometric convergence guarantees under weak regularity assumptions.
Bayesian method learns network structure from Gaussian process priors.
problem Computational infeasibility of Bayesian structure learning in GPNs.
method Monte Carlo and MCMC methods for sampling network structures.
result Method outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms in recovering network structure.
Gaussian Belief Propagation (BP) algorithm is one of the most important distributed algorithms in signal processing and statistical learning involving Markov networks. It is well known that the algorithm correctly computes marginal density functions from a high dimensional joint density function over a Markov network i…
This is a technical report which explores the estimation methodologies on hyper-parameters in Markov Random Field and Gaussian Hidden Markov Random Field. In first section, we briefly investigate a theoretical framework on Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. Next, by using MH algorithm, we simulate the data from Ising model…
A scalable method for efficient inference in Gaussian process regression networks.
problem Intractable inference in Gaussian process regression networks (GPRN).
method Tensorization of output space, tensor/matrix-normal variational posteriors, joint optimization, and exploiting Kronecker product structure.
result Captures posterior dependencies and improves inference quality for large number of outputs.
Multi-output Gaussian processes (MOGP) are probability distributions over vector-valued functions, and have been previously used for multi-output regression and for multi-class classification. A less explored facet of the multi-output Gaussian process is that it can be used as a generative model for vector-valued rando…
Bayesian tensor train kernel machine uses Laplace approximation for scalable GP regression.
problem Scalability limitations of Gaussian process regression.
method Bayesian tensor train kernel machine with Laplace approximation and variational inference.
result VI replaces cross-validation and offers up to 65x faster training.
This paper presents a new model called infinite mixtures of multivariate Gaussian processes, which can be used to learn vector-valued functions and applied to multitask learning. As an extension of the single multivariate Gaussian process, the mixture model has the advantages of modeling multimodal data and alleviating…
This work considers a computationally and statistically efficient parameter estimation method for a wide class of latent variable models---including Gaussian mixture models, hidden Markov models, and latent Dirichlet allocation---which exploits a certain tensor structure in their low-order observable moments (typically…
Paper analyzes infinite-width attention layers using Tensor Programs.
problem Capturing the infinite-width limit of attention layers.
method Tensor Programs framework to rigorously identify the limit distribution.
result Derives exact form of infinite-width limit distribution without Gaussian approximations.
A scalable Bayesian additive model for stellar flare detection using Gaussian process inference and hidden Markov models.
problem Bayesian time-series modeling for astronomical datasets
method Generative surrogate framework with Variational Autoencoder and neural network forward pass
result Significant reduction in computational time for stellar flare detection
Proposes a Riemannian optimization for policy improvement in MDPs.
problem Optimizing policy functions in Markov decision processes (MDPs).
method Riemannian proximal optimization algorithm with Gaussian mixture model (GMM).
result Guaranteed convergence and efficacy demonstrated in preliminary experiments.
We introduce a new regression framework, Gaussian process regression networks (GPRN), which combines the structural properties of Bayesian neural networks with the non-parametric flexibility of Gaussian processes. This model accommodates input dependent signal and noise correlations between multiple response variables,…
Banded matrices can be used as precision matrices in several models including linear state-space models, some Gaussian processes, and Gaussian Markov random fields. The aim of the paper is to make modern inference methods (such as variational inference or gradient-based sampling) available for Gaussian models with band…
Paper projects GP basis functions using tensor networks to reduce complexity.
problem Efficiently approximating Gaussian process regression with a large number of basis functions.
method Develops a method using tensor networks to approximate GP regression with an exponential number of basis functions without exponential computational complexity.
result Shows efficient GP regression on an 18-dimensional benchmark data set.
We introduce a new formulation of the Hidden Parameter Markov Decision Process (HiP-MDP), a framework for modeling families of related tasks using low-dimensional latent embeddings. Our new framework correctly models the joint uncertainty in the latent parameters and the state space. We also replace the original Gaussi…
Many probabilistic models introduce strong dependencies between variables using a latent multivariate Gaussian distribution or a Gaussian process. We present a new Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for performing inference in models with multivariate Gaussian priors. Its key properties are: 1) it has simple, generic c…
New method improves high-dimensional Bayesian optimization efficiency using MCMC.
problem High-dimensional optimization challenges and computational complexity.
method Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to efficiently sample from approximated posterior.
result Metropolis-Hastings and Langevin Dynamics versions outperform state-of-the-art methods.
Replacing Black-Scholes' driving process, Brownian motion, with fractional Brownian motion allows for incorporation of a past dependency of stock prices but faces a few major downfalls, including the occurrence of arbitrage when implemented in the financial market. We present the development, testing, and implementatio…
Bayesian Complementary Kernelized Learning models complex spatiotemporal data.
problem Modeling complex, nonstationary, and nonseparable spatiotemporal data.
method Integrates kernelized low-rank tensor factorization and short-range spatiotemporal Gaussian Processes.
result BCKL offers superior performance in providing accurate posterior mean and high-quality uncertainty estimates.
Modified asymmetric hidden Markov models for time series with autoregressive components.
problem Dynamic relationships between variables in time series data.
method Introducing an asymmetric autoregressive component to recent asymmetric hidden Markov models.
result The model can choose the optimal autoregressive order for better likelihood.
Nonparametric extension of tensor regression is proposed. Nonlinearity in a high-dimensional tensor space is broken into simple local functions by incorporating low-rank tensor decomposition. Compared to naive nonparametric approaches, our formulation considerably improves the convergence rate of estimation while maint…
BKTF uses tensor factorization for Bayesian optimization of complex functions.
problem Complex functions with nonstationary, nonseparable, and multimodal features.
method Bayesian Kernelized Tensor Factorization (BKTF) approximates complex functions using a low-rank tensor CP decomposition with GP priors.
result BKTF provides flexible and effective surrogate modeling with uncertainty quantification.
This paper formed part of a preliminary research report for a risk consultancy and academic research. Stochastic Programming models provide a powerful paradigm for decision making under uncertainty. In these models the uncertainties are represented by a discrete scenario tree and the quality of the solutions obtained i…
BARK optimizes black-box functions using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees.
problem Bayesian optimization of complex, black-box functions with uncertainty quantification.
method BART Kernel using tree agreement for posterior over piecewise-constant functions, explored using MCMC.
result BARK obtains samples of Gaussian processes for function distributions, enabling acquisition functions for optimization.
This work speeds up fHMM analysis by tensor algebra.
problem Scalability issues in analyzing factorial hidden Markov models.
method Tensorized algorithms and scalable filtering methods.
result Significant improvement in computational performance.