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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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11.0%22.0%32.9%43.9% · May 201919922001200920172026
48 results for Temporal Graph Neural Networks

TGR rewires temporal graphs to improve TGNN performance.

problem Temporal graphs in evolving networks can suffer from under-reaching and over-squashing issues.
method TGR uses expander graph propagation to create message-passing highways between temporally distant nodes.
result TGR achieves state-of-the-art results on temporal graph benchmarks.

Graph Neural Networks improve volatility prediction in financial markets.

problem Traditional models struggle with complex, non-linear interdependencies in financial markets.
method Temporal Graph Attention Network (Temporal GAT) combines GCNs and GATs to capture dynamic graph structures.
result Temporal GAT outperforms traditional GARCH models in volatility forecasting, especially for short- to mid-term predictions.

StrGNN detects anomalies in dynamic graphs by analyzing subgraphs and temporal features.

problem Detecting anomalies in dynamic graphs with structural changes.
method StrGNN is an end-to-end model that uses structural subgraphs and temporal features for anomaly detection.
result StrGNN effectively detects anomalies in dynamic graphs, as shown by extensive experiments.

MTRGL learns temporal correlations from multi-modal data for improved pair trading.

problem Discerning temporal correlations among financial entities.
method Combines time series data and discrete features into a temporal graph, using a memory-based temporal graph neural network.
result MTRGL outperforms traditional methods in temporal graph link prediction and pair trading.

Unified model forecasts epidemics with spatial and temporal dynamics.

problem Limited accuracy in traditional models and lack of interpretability in deep learning models.
method CSTGNN integrates Spatio-Contact SIR model with Graph Neural Networks.
result Effective spatiotemporal epidemic forecasting with interpretability.

TSAM predicts directed temporal links using GCN and self-attention.

problem Predicting links in directed temporal networks.
method GCN, self-attention mechanism, autoencoder architecture, graph attentional layers, graph convolutional layers, graph recurrent unit layer.
result TSAM outperforms benchmarks on four realistic networks.

Proposes a GNN for multivariate time-series prediction with filtering.

problem Low signal-to-noise ratio in complex systems data.
method Integrates a spatial-temporal GNN with a matrix filtering module to generate filtered graphs.
result Proposed model outperforms baseline approaches in multivariate time-series prediction.

GNNs improve brain activity forecasting in fMRI studies.

problem Understanding neural dynamics in the brain.
method Comparison of GNN architectures for modeling fMRI data.
result GNNs outperform VAR models in robustly scaling to large network studies.

TGNN4I model forecasts irregularly observed graph data using ODEs.

problem Forecasting graph-structured data with irregular time steps and partial observations.
method Introduces a time-continuous latent state in each node using ODEs and GRUs, integrating graph neural network layers.
result Validated usefulness of graph structure and time-continuous dynamics in irregular observation settings.

Graph Neural Networks improve financial time series forecasting accuracy.

problem Forecasting univariate financial time series with statistical significance.
method Introducing the Time-Geometric model combining geometric and temporal patterns.
result Statistically significant improvements in forecasting accuracy through geometric patterns.

New model predicts travel demand uncertainty with high accuracy.

problem Uncertainty and sparsity in sparse travel demand prediction.
method Spatial-Temporal Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Graph Neural Network (STZINB-GNN).
result STZINB-GNN outperforms benchmarks in predicting travel demand uncertainty.

HYPA-DBGNN detects anomalous sequential patterns in temporal graphs.

problem Modeling temporal patterns in dynamic graphs, especially considering deviations from random shuffling.
method Two-step approach combining null model inference and neural message passing.
result HYPA-DBGNN outperforms baseline methods in static node classification tasks.

Paper forecasts stock correlations using a hybrid model combining graph neural networks and transformers.

problem Improving stock correlation forecasts for better portfolio management.
method Hybrid model combining Transformer and graph attention networks for forecasting residual deviations from historical data.
result The hybrid model reduces correlation forecasting error compared to rolling-window estimates.

TCGPN improves stock forecasting by capturing temporal correlation patterns.

problem Stock forecasting with minimal periodicity and large node numbers.
method TCGPN uses Temporal-Correlation fusion encoder and pre-training methods to handle large datasets.
result TCGPN achieves state-of-the-art results on real stock market data.

Proposes a new model for more accurate demand forecasting considering dynamic contextual information.

problem Traditional methods fail to capture spatio-temporal and dynamic contextual dependencies in demand forecasting.
method Integrates temporal, relational, spatial, and dynamic contextual dependencies using a Context Integrated Graph Neural Network (CIGNN).
result CIGNN outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in multi-step ahead demand forecasting.

FS-GCLSTM predicts stock returns by leveraging value-chain relationships.

problem Traditional time series models fail to capture complex interdependencies in modern markets.
method FS-GCLSTM integrates value-chain networks and graph convolutions to predict stock returns.
result FS-GCLSTM consistently delivers superior portfolio performance compared to traditional models.

DBGDGM models dynamic brain graphs for better understanding brain function.

problem Previous brain graph models ignore temporal dynamics, limiting their usefulness.
method DBGDGM clusters brain regions into evolving communities and learns dynamic node embeddings.
result DBGDGM outperforms baselines in graph generation, dynamic link prediction, and graph classification.

PSTN improves traffic condition forecasting with deep neural networks.

problem Challenges in accurately forecasting traffic conditions due to complex spatiotemporal correlations.
method Proposes PSTN with three modules: graph convolutional network, temporal convolutional network, and gated recurrent unit framework.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art benchmarks in short-term traffic conditions forecasting.

A novel spatio-temporal graph neural network with a learnable Tweedie head improves vessel traffic flow prediction in sparse maritime data.

problem Accurate vessel traffic flow prediction in sparse maritime data.
method A model-agnostic learnable Tweedie head attached to ST-GNN backbones.
result The proposed head consistently improves RMSE across multiple ST-GNN backbones, especially on non-zero events.

Proposes a THGNN for dynamic financial time series prediction.

problem Challenges in predicting stock market price movements.
method Temporal and heterogeneous graph neural network (THGNN) approach.
result Significantly improved prediction performance compared to state-of-the-art methods.

Deep learning has revolutionized many machine learning tasks in recent years, ranging from image classification and video processing to speech recognition and natural language understanding. The data in these tasks are typically represented in the Euclidean space. However, there is an increasing number of applications …

2019-01-03abs ↗pdf ↗

AGCRN forecasts traffic using adaptive graph and recurrent learning.

problem Forecasting traffic dynamics with complex spatial and temporal correlations.
method Adaptive Graph Convolutional Recurrent Network (AGCRN) with Node Adaptive Parameter Learning (NAPL) and Data Adaptive Graph Generation (DAGG).
result AGCRN outperforms state-of-the-art models without pre-defined graphs.

Learning latent representations of nodes in graphs is an important and ubiquitous task with widespread applications such as link prediction, node classification, and graph visualization. Previous methods on graph representation learning mainly focus on static graphs, however, many real-world graphs are dynamic and evol…

2018-12-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a GNN framework for multivariate time series forecasting.

problem Lack of exploiting latent spatial dependencies in multivariate time series forecasting.
method Automatically extracts graph structures from multivariate time series data, integrates external knowledge, and uses mix-hop and dilated inception layers for capturing dependencies.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art methods on 3 out of 4 benchmark datasets.

Spatial-temporal graph modeling is an important task to analyze the spatial relations and temporal trends of components in a system. Existing approaches mostly capture the spatial dependency on a fixed graph structure, assuming that the underlying relation between entities is pre-determined. However, the explicit graph…

2019-05-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative Adversarial Graph Neural Network (Sig-Graph GAN) models financial time series data.

problem Challenges in generating synthetic data for non-stationary financial time series.
method Integrates time-series signature, LSTM, and GNNs with visibility graph algorithm.
result Sig-Graph GAN outperforms baseline methods in replicating time series data distributions.

GTEA learns node representations in temporal interaction graphs.

problem Inductive representation learning on temporal interaction graphs.
method Integrates sequence model with time encoder and self-attention scheme for edge and node embeddings.
result GTEA learns comprehensive node representations capturing temporal and structural characteristics.

STOIC improves energy demand forecasting with reliable uncertainty estimates.

problem Accurate point forecasts alone are insufficient for energy systems; reliable uncertainty estimates are needed.
method Integrates graph-based forecasting with tabular foundation models for zero-shot calibration of spatial-temporal residuals.
result STOIC delivers more reliable and robust uncertainty estimates for complex graph-structured energy time series.

CaT-GNN improves credit card fraud detection by integrating causal reasoning into GNNs.

problem Credit card fraud detection overlooks causal structure of transactions.
method CaT-GNN combines causal invariant learning and temporal graph neural networks.
result CaT-GNN outperforms existing methods on various datasets.

EvoNet predicts the evolution of dynamic graphs using a graph neural network and recurrent architecture.

problem Predicting the evolution of dynamic graphs is challenging and underexplored.
method EvoNet uses a graph neural network and recurrent architecture to predict the evolution of dynamic graphs.
result EvoNet effectively predicts the evolution of dynamic graphs on both artificial and real-world datasets.

Accurate and real-time traffic forecasting plays an important role in the Intelligent Traffic System and is of great significance for urban traffic planning, traffic management, and traffic control. However, traffic forecasting has always been considered an open scientific issue, owing to the constraints of urban road …

2018-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗