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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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68136204272 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Temporal Fusion Transformer

Study compares deep learning models for volatility prediction using multivariate data.

problem Predicting volatility using multivariate data.
method Evaluated multiple deep learning models including MLP, RNN, TCN, and Temporal Fusion Transformer.
result Temporal Fusion Transformer and TCN variants outperform classical models and shallow networks.

Hybrid model improves geopolitical conflict forecasting.

problem Forecasting geopolitical events from sparse, bursty data.
method Sparse Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) + Variational Nearest Neighbor Gaussian Process (VNNGP).
result Consistently outperforms standalone TFT in long-range horizons.

CMTF improves financial market forecasting by fusing multiple data types.

problem Lack of effective integration of diverse financial data sources.
method Transformer-based deep learning framework with tensor interpretation and auto-training.
result CMTF outperforms classical and deep learning models in price direction classification.

Adaptive TFTs improve cryptocurrency price prediction accuracy.

problem Precise short-term price prediction in volatile cryptocurrency markets.
method Dynamic subseries lengths and pattern-based categorization.
result Significantly outperforms baseline models in prediction accuracy and profitability.

Financial fraud detection in digital banking requires reasoning over multiple heterogeneous event streams.

problem Financial fraud detection in digital banking requires reasoning over multiple heterogeneous event streams.
method Multi-Stream Fraud Transformer (MSFT) architecture that encodes each event stream with independent Transformer encoders and fuses their representations through configurable mechanisms.
result Sequence models significantly outperform gradient-boosted trees operating on aggregated features.

Our model predicts stock market intervals using chaotic fusion and graph convolutional networks.

problem Uncertainty in financial market predictions without quantified uncertainty.
method Bi-level chaotic fusion, graph convolutional networks, volatility-aware gating, temporal dependencies.
result Significant improvements in prediction intervals and coverage compared to existing methods.

Computational modeling of human multimodal language is an emerging research area in natural language processing spanning the language, visual and acoustic modalities. Comprehending multimodal language requires modeling not only the interactions within each modality (intra-modal interactions) but more importantly the in…

2018-08-12abs ↗pdf ↗

MRIF models dynamic user interests at multiple temporal-ranges.

problem Capturing dynamic and multi-resolution user interests in recommendation.
method Multi-resolution Interest Fusion (MRIF) model that considers both temporal-ranges and drifts in user interests.
result MRIF outperforms state-of-the-art recommendation methods consistently.

Paper proposes a method for weather-informed probabilistic forecasting and scenario generation in power systems.

problem Challenges of integrating renewable energy sources into power grids due to their stochasticity and uncertainty.
method Combines probabilistic forecasting and Gaussian copula for day-ahead prediction and scenario generation of load, wind, and solar power.
result Demonstrates superior performance of the proposed weather-informed Temporal Fusion Transformer (WI-TFT) model.

A new memory-based fusion layer improves multi-modal deep learning performance.

problem Improving performance of multi-modal deep learning by addressing long-term dependencies.
method Introducing a Memory based Attentive Fusion (MBAF) layer that incorporates both current and long-term dependencies.
result The MBAF layer enhances fusion and improves performance across different modalities and networks.

A novel one-class classifier fusion method for robust anomaly detection.

problem Fundamental challenges in ensemble-based anomaly detection.
method Locally adaptive learning with dynamic ℓp-norm constraints and interior-point optimization.
result Significantly improved computational efficiency and superior performance across diverse anomaly types.

New 4-manifold invariant defined from trisection diagrams.

problem Defining a new 4-manifold invariant from trisection diagrams.
method Algebraic data from bimodule categories and spherical fusion categories, described diagrammatically.
result Includes Hopf algebraic invariants and modular fusion category invariants.

Proposes a non-autoregressive Transformer for time series forecasting.

problem Autoregressive errors and spatial-temporal dependencies in time series forecasting.
method Introduces a Non-Autoregressive Transformer with a learned temporal influence map.
result Demonstrates state-of-the-art performance on time series forecasting datasets.

Proposes a framework to fuse heterogeneous data sources for better modeling.

problem Heterogeneous data sources with different input parameter spaces.
method Input mapping calibration (IMC) and latent variable Gaussian process (LVGP).
result Improved predictive accuracy over single source models.

This paper improves model fusion by training-time neuron alignment, reducing barriers in multi-model fusion.

problem Diverse neuron permutations across different settings hinder model fusion performances.
method Training-time neuron alignment using fixed neuron anchors to reduce training-time permutations.
result Training-time neuron alignment improves fusion of pretrained models and federated learning performances.

Mantis improves time series classification using a transformer model trained on synthetic data.

problem Insufficient application of foundation models to time series classification.
method Pre-trained transformer model on synthetic data, enhanced test-time methodology.
result Mantis achieves state-of-the-art performance across diverse datasets.

Multimodal research is an emerging field of artificial intelligence, and one of the main research problems in this field is multimodal fusion. The fusion of multimodal data is the process of integrating multiple unimodal representations into one compact multimodal representation. Previous research in this field has exp…

2018-05-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves stock movement prediction using multimodal data.

problem Inaccurate stock movement prediction due to incomplete multimodal data integration.
method Introduces MSGCA framework for robust multimodal fusion.
result MSGCA framework outperforms existing methods by 21.7% on multimodal datasets.

Diffusion Transformer captures spatial-temporal dependencies in sequential data.

problem Capturing rich spatial and temporal dependencies in sequential data.
method Established theoretical guarantees for diffusion transformers learning Gaussian process data.
result Spatial-temporal dependencies are captured within attention layers of diffusion transformers.

The sharp and recent increase in the availability of data captured by different sensors combined with their considerably heterogeneous natures poses a serious challenge for the effective and efficient processing of remotely sensed data. Such an increase in remote sensing and ancillary datasets, however, opens up the po…

2018-12-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Sentinel improves time series forecasting by modeling both temporal and channel dependencies.

problem Limited effectiveness of existing transformer-based architectures in multivariate time-series forecasting.
method Proposes Sentinel, a full transformer-based architecture with multi-patch attention mechanism.
result Sentinel achieves better or comparable performance compared to state-of-the-art approaches.

TCGPN improves stock forecasting by capturing temporal correlation patterns.

problem Stock forecasting with minimal periodicity and large node numbers.
method TCGPN uses Temporal-Correlation fusion encoder and pre-training methods to handle large datasets.
result TCGPN achieves state-of-the-art results on real stock market data.

Transformer-based method for causal discovery with prior knowledge integration.

problem Complex nonlinear dependencies and spurious correlations in time series data.
method Multi-layer Transformer forecaster with gradient-based causal structure extraction and attention masking for prior knowledge integration.
result Significant improvement in causal discovery and causal lag estimation compared to state-of-the-art methods.

Neural surrogates speed up 5D gyrokinetic simulations of plasma turbulence.

problem Expensive numerical simulations of plasma turbulence hinder fusion reactor design.
method Trained a hierarchical vision transformer in 5D to predict plasma quantities faster.
result Neural surrogates predict plasma quantities two orders of magnitude faster than numerical codes.

Current high-throughput data acquisition technologies probe dynamical systems with different imaging modalities, generating massive data sets at different spatial and temporal resolutions posing challenging problems in multimodal data fusion. A case in point is the attempt to parse out the brain structures and networks…

2015-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

A machine learning approach to record fusion with high accuracy.

problem Aggregating multiple records corresponding to the same entity.
method Constructing feature vectors from attribute-level, record-level, and database-level signals; using a stagewise additive model to learn a classifier.
result Average precision of ~98% with source information and ~94% without source information across diverse datasets.

Framework improves marine mammal monitoring in noisy underwater environments.

problem Underwater bioacoustic monitoring challenges due to overlapping calls and variable noise.
method Multi-step attention-guided framework with segmentation and mid-level fusion.
result Improved signal discrimination, reduced false positives, reliable representations.

ARM improves multivariate time series forecasting by better capturing series-wise relationships.

problem Challenges in handling complex temporal-contextual relationships in multivariate time series forecasting.
method ARM is an enhanced multivariate LTSF architecture that employs Adaptive Univariate Effect Learning, Random Dropping, and Multi-kernel Local Smoothing.
result ARM outperforms vanilla Transformers on multiple benchmarks without significantly increasing computational costs.

Transformers learn to predict temporal logic solutions from classical solver outputs.

problem Training neural networks on logic problem solutions for verification.
method Training a Transformer on generated training data from classical solvers, focusing on one solution per formula.
result Transformers can predict correct solutions to temporal logic problems, even to unseen benchmarks.

Speaker verification (SV) systems using deep neural network embeddings, so-called the x-vector systems, are becoming popular due to its good performance superior to the i-vector systems. The fusion of these systems provides improved performance benefiting both from the discriminatively trained x-vectors and generative …

2018-09-17abs ↗pdf ↗