Improved risk assessment for UBI using telematics data and AdaBoost.
problem Class imbalance in predicting claims frequency for UBI.
method Cost-sensitive multi-class AdaBoost (SAMME.C2) algorithm.
result SAMME.C2 outperforms other models in handling class imbalances.
Synthetic telematics dataset created from insurance claims data.
problem Creating a reliable synthetic dataset for usage-based insurance models.
method Three-stage process using machine learning: binary classification, regression, and synthetic oversampling.
result Synthetic dataset remarkably similar to real data in risk assessment models.
Mobile app development in recent years has resulted in new products and features to improve human life. Mobile telematics is one such development that encompasses multidisciplinary fields for transportation safety. The application of mobile telematics has been explored in many areas, such as insurance and road safety. …
Paper discovers manoeuvres from vehicle telematics data.
problem Analyzing driving behaviour from vehicle data.
method Used motif detection in time-series with a modified EMD algorithm.
result Validated motif discovery for complex manoeuvres.
CANN models improve insurance claim count predictions using telematics data.
problem Improving insurance claim count predictions with telematics data.
method Combining classical actuarial models with neural networks for telematics data.
result CANN models outperform traditional models in predicting insurance claims.
Automated scoring prioritizes risky driving behavior in telematic auto insurance policies.
problem Identifying risky driving behavior in telematic auto insurance policies using machine learning.
method Bayesian approach using MCMC to model propensity of policyholders to undertake trips resulting in positive classification.
result The approach improves efficiency of human resource allocation in identifying risky driving behavior.
Graphical models improve actuarial judgment in insurance claims analysis.
problem Improving actuarial judgment in insurance claims analysis.
method Using graphical models to represent complex inter-dependencies and incorporate qualitative knowledge.
result Graphical models can be used to express and analyze non-life insurance claims data.
This paper suggests claim history will be deprecated in future auto insurance rates.
problem The role of historical claim records in auto insurance rates.
method Proposes a new risk variable elimination method and real-time road risk model design.
result Claim history will be considered a 'noise' factor and deprecated in Pay-How-You-Drive models.
Paper proposes a risk index combining frequency and severity of abnormal driving patterns.
problem Assessing driver risk based on telematics data.
method Combines frequency of abnormal driving patterns with severity quantified through tail rarity.
result Developed a risk index that enables reliable discrimination and ranking of drivers.
Enhanced Tweedie model for insurance claims using CatBoost.
problem Accurately modeling aggregate claims with zero-inflated data.
method Refined Tweedie model with boosting methods in CatBoost.
result Marked improvement in model performance for insurance analytics.
Detecting anomalous activity in human mobility data has a number of applications including road hazard sensing, telematic based insurance, and fraud detection in taxi services and ride sharing. In this paper we address two challenges that arise in the study of anomalous human trajectories: 1) a lack of ground truth dat…
Bayesian approach improves car-following model calibration and validation with limited data.
problem Difficulties in calibrating car-following models using limited data for work zones.
method Bayesian programming for data analysis and parameter estimation.
result Bayesian methods enhance model calibration and validation accuracy.