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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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14284155 · Jun 201919922001200920172026
48 results for Technology Stocks

In an analysis of the US, the UK, and the German stock market we find a change in the behavior based on the stock's beta values. Before 2006 risky trades were concentrated on stocks in the IT and technology sector. Afterwards risky trading takes place for stocks from the financial sector. We show that an agent-based mo…

2015-04-23abs ↗pdf ↗

LLMs show biases in investment analysis, leading to unreliable recommendations.

problem LLMs face conflicts between pre-trained knowledge and real-time market data, leading to biases in investment analysis.
method Experimental framework to investigate emergent behaviors in LLMs, analyzing sector, size, and momentum biases.
result Distinct, model-specific biases observed, including a tendency to prefer technology stocks, large-cap stocks, and contrarian strategies.

AI models predict stock trends using historical data and public sentiment.

problem Improving stock market prediction accuracy using AI.
method Employed regression and classification ML algorithms for technical and fundamental analysis respectively.
result Median performance suggests AI is not yet superior to stock markets.

A new framework forecasts stock trends by mining shared information from concepts.

problem Forecasting stock trends using static concept information limits accuracy.
method Proposes a graph-based framework that mines concept-oriented shared information from both predefined and hidden concepts.
result Improves stock trend forecasting performance through dynamic concept relevance and hidden concept information.

ChatGPT predicts stock market reactions from news headlines without financial training.

problem Predicting stock price movements using non-financial data.
method Used post-knowledge-cutoff headlines to train ChatGPT-4, which forecasts stock market reactions.
result ChatGPT-4 can predict stock market reactions with high accuracy, especially for small stocks and negative news.

This paper uses cointegration to identify profitable pair-trading strategies for Indian stocks.

problem Finding profitable pair-trading opportunities in Indian stock market.
method Cointegration analysis to identify co-movement stocks, forming pairs, evaluating portfolios.
result Pairs from auto and realty sectors generally yielded the highest returns, while IT sector pairs had negative returns.

Predicts stock volatility using Twitter data and random forests.

problem Predicting stock implied volatility using Twitter data.
method Random forests with ablation study on different predictors, including Twitter attention and sentiment features.
result Certain sectors like Consumer Discretionary, Technology, Real Estate, and Utilities are easier to predict.

Study compares price patterns of cryptocurrencies and stocks using machine learning.

problem Investor behavior in cryptocurrencies vs. stocks.
method Machine learning models (LR, RF, SVM) classify price time series of cryptocurrencies and stocks.
result Cryptocurrencies and stocks have distinct price patterns, explained by various statistical features.

Study evaluates digital transformation impact on financial performance using LLMs.

problem Measuring and understanding the impact of digital transformation on financial performance.
method Constructed DT indicators from company reports; analyzed effects of different digital technologies.
result Digital transformation improves financial performance, but varies by technology.

Study compares information flow between Chinese and US stock sectors.

problem Analyzing how information flows between sectors in Chinese and US stock markets.
method Daily sector indices, transfer entropy of daily returns, comparing 2000-2017.
result Most active sectors in information exchange differ between China and US, reflecting market dynamics.

Weak predictability of stock price movement 2 days after annual report disclosure.

problem Predicting stock price movement after annual report disclosure.
method Used various models including decision tree, logistic regression, random forest, neural network, prototypical networks; used financial indicators from EastMoney.
result Maximum accuracy and precision of stock price movement prediction is around 59.6% and 0.56 respectively, with random forest performing best.

A novel SVR parameter optimization method using GSA outperforms other meta-heuristics in stock market forecasting.

problem Optimizing SVR parameters for reliable regression performance on small sample sizes.
method Golden Sine Algorithm (GSA) for parameter tuning of SVR.
result The GSA-based SVR outperforms eleven other meta-heuristics in terms of accuracy and computing time.

The algorithmic trading comes from digitalisation of the processing of trading assets on financial markets. Since 1980 the computerization of the stock market offers real time processing of financial information. This technological revolution has offered processes and mathematic methods to identify best return on trans…

2008-10-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows market quality improves with larger orders, not smaller tick sizes or higher trading frequencies.

problem Impact of order book tick sizes, metaorders, and trading frequencies on market quality.
method Multi-agent reinforcement learning model to simulate stock market dynamics.
result Market quality benefits from larger orders but not from smaller tick sizes or higher trading frequencies.

Study shows market volatility affects optimal communication design for trading strategies.

problem Investigating how communication impacts trading strategy performance in multi-agent systems.
method 5-agent LLM-based trading systems across 450 experiments spanning 21 months, comparing 5 organizational structures.
result Communication improves performance but depends on market characteristics, with competitive conversation excelling in volatile tech stocks.

Paper proposes a deep learning model to predict stock prices using sentiment analysis.

problem Predicting future stock movement using financial textual and numerical data.
method A blending ensemble deep learning model with two levels of RNNs, LSTM, and GRU followed by a fully connected neural network.
result The model improves prediction accuracy compared to traditional methods.

Proposes LSR-IGRU for improved stock trend prediction.

problem Challenges in stock price prediction due to complex relationships and nonlinear dynamics.
method Long short-term relationships matrix and improved GRU input for better temporal and relationship integration.
result Significantly improved accuracy in predicting stock trend changes.

New model predicts financial market abnormalities using stock index uncertainties.

problem Forecasting abnormal financial fluctuations in the market.
method Quantitative analysis of mean and volatility uncertainties, constructing early warning indicators.
result Established a new abnormal fluctuations warning model.

Digitwashing gap boosts stock crash risk, study finds.

problem The gap between companies' digital promises and actual performance increases stock crash risk.
method Empirical analysis of Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share companies from 2010 to 2021, robustness tests conducted.
result GDT significantly increases stock price crash risk, confirmed by robust tests.

The study distills news sources to analyze stock reactions, finding sentiment has asymmetric and sector-specific effects.

problem Analyzing the influence of financial text sources on stock reactions.
method Mixed text sources from professional platforms, blogs, and message boards were distilled using different lexica to analyze sentiment variables.
result Sentiment has an asymmetric and sector-specific effect on stock reactions.

Improved stock trading model using sentiment analysis and machine learning.

problem Enhancing reinforcement learning models for high-frequency stock trading.
method Combining deep Q network with ARBR sentiment indicator, applying PCA and LSTM, incorporating market sentiment.
result Significantly improved performance in stock trading, achieving a maximum annualized rate of return of 54.5%.

This paper considers a portfolio trading strategy formulated by algorithms in the field of machine learning. The profitability of the strategy is measured by the algorithm's capability to consistently and accurately identify stock indices with positive or negative returns, and to generate a preferred portfolio allocati…

2014-04-05abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm predicts ranked stock lists for long-short portfolios.

problem Constructing effective long-short stock portfolios using machine learning.
method Proposes a new listwise learn-to-rank loss function to emphasize top and bottom of a rank list.
result Demonstrates superior performance in constructing long-short portfolios with a 38% annual return.

When the full stock of a new product is quickly sold in a few days or weeks, one has the impression that new technologies develop and conquer the market in a very easy way. This may be true for some new technologies, for example the cell phone, but not for others, like the blue-ray. Novelty, usefulness, advertising, pr…

2012-08-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Recent research in economic theory attempts to study optimal economic growth and spatial location of economic activity in a unified framework. So far, the key result of this literature - asymptotic convergence, even in the absence of decreasing returns to capital - relies on specific assumptions about the objective of …

2014-01-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper examines Bitcoin's nature using fractal geometry and finds it highly persistent, affecting predictability and decentralization.

problem Understanding the nature and predictability of Bitcoin prices.
method Statistical analysis of Bitcoin returns using fractal geometry.
result Bitcoin exhibits high persistence in prices, reducing efficiency but increasing predictability.

Our society has been computerised and globalised due to emergence and spread of information and communication technology (ICT). This enables us to investigate our own socio-economic systems based on large amounts of data on human activities. In this article, methods of treating complexity arising from a vast amount of …

2012-10-17abs ↗pdf ↗