Survey of diffusion models for time series forecasting.
problem Lack of systematic taxonomy for diffusion models in time series forecasting.
method Introduction and review of standard diffusion models, their variants, and their adaptation to time series tasks.
result Provides a comprehensive categorization and summary of diffusion models for time series forecasting.
PhysicsFormer improves TSF models for GSWF with WEATHER-5K dataset.
problem Lack of comprehensive datasets for GSWF.
method PhysicsFormer combines dynamic core and Transformer, enforcing physical consistency.
result PhysicsFormer outperforms TSF models in operational forecasting.
Linear attention in Transformers can be interpreted as dynamic VAR models.
problem Misalignment between Transformers and autoregressive forecasting objectives.
method Interpreting linear attention as VAR, rearranging MLP, attention, and flow.
result SAMoVAR improves performance, interpretability, and efficiency.
TS-Fault benchmarks TSF models against structural faults.
problem Evaluating the robustness of time series forecasting models against structured events.
method TS-Fault uses parameterized fault scenarios with controllable difficulty.
result Three findings contradict common leaderboard intuition.
Transformers struggle with time series forecasting, especially in context.
problem Transformers' limitations in time series forecasting, particularly in in-context settings.
method Theoretical analysis of Transformers' limitations through In-Context Learning theory.
result Linear Self-Attention models cannot outperform classical linear models in in-context time series forecasting.
Enhances financial time series forecasting with a multi-period learning framework.
problem Accurate financial time series forecasting requires considering both short-term and long-term trends.
method Proposes a Multi-period Learning Framework (MLF) with three modules: Inter-period Redundancy Filtering, Learnable Weighted-average Integration, and Multi-period self-Adaptive Patching.
result Improves financial time series forecasting accuracy and efficiency.
High-dimensional data in many machine learning applications leads to computational and analytical complexities. Feature selection provides an effective way for solving these problems by removing irrelevant and redundant features, thus reducing model complexity and improving accuracy and generalization capability of the…
Transformers forecast time series in-context, improving efficiency and performance.
problem Overfitting and limited performance in time series forecasting.
method Reformulate time series forecasting as input tokens, aligning with in-context learning mechanisms.
result Consistently better performance across various settings (full-data, few-shot, zero-shot).
ISOMORPH creates a digital twin for supply chain logistics, advancing time-series forecasting benchmarks.
problem Lack of public benchmarks for supply chain logistics time-series forecasting.
method Developed a digital twin simulator with interpretable parameters and modular topology, generating datasets and verifying conservation laws.
result Foundation models achieve MASE values exceeding public benchmarks at low-to-moderate horizons, supporting UQ.
WAVE improves time series forecasting by integrating AR and MA components.
problem Time series forecasting challenges.
method WAVE attention mechanism with AR and MA components.
result WAVE attention consistently improves TSF performance.
Introduces a new benchmark for time series extrinsic regression.
problem Predicting a single continuous value from univariate or multivariate time series, not necessarily related to the predictor.
method Developed a new benchmarking archive for time series extrinsic regression.
result Initial benchmarking of existing models on the new TSER datasets.
New RNN model forecasts unseen time series with little training data.
problem Lack of data for RNNs to generalize well in time series forecasting.
method Proposes a novel RNN-based model that learns shared feature embeddings over quantised time series.
result Accurately forecasts unseen time series with minimal training data.
Quantum kernel improves probabilistic time series forecasting.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in probabilistic time series predictions.
method Integrates quantum kernel with Gaussian process regression.
result Quantum kernel enhances forecasting performance.
The problem of automatic and accurate forecasting of time-series data has always been an interesting challenge for the machine learning and forecasting community. A majority of the real-world time-series problems have non-stationary characteristics that make the understanding of trend and seasonality difficult. Our int…
Paper studies Time Series Extrinsic Regression, improving on existing methods.
problem Learning relationship between time series and continuous scalar variables.
method Motivated and studied TSER, benchmarked TSC and ML algorithms.
result Rocket algorithm achieves highest overall accuracy in TSER.
This paper reviews deep time-series forecasting focusing on autocorrelation modeling.
problem Modeling autocorrelation in history and label sequences for time-series forecasting.
method Proposes a novel taxonomy for model architectures and learning objectives.
result Provides a comprehensive review and analysis of deep time-series forecasting.