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0111 · Apr 200719922001200920172026
11 results for TCP

TCP provides well-calibrated prediction intervals for nonstationary time series.

problem Nonstationary time series forecasting with well-calibrated prediction intervals.
method Temporal Conformal Prediction (TCP) couples a modern quantile forecaster with a rolling split-conformal calibration layer.
result TCP achieves near-nominal coverage, providing slightly wider intervals than Historical Simulation.

Assessing reliably the confidence of a deep neural network and predicting its failures is of primary importance for the practical deployment of these models. In this paper, we propose a new target criterion for model confidence, corresponding to the True Class Probability (TCP). We show how using the TCP is more suited…

2019-10-01abs ↗pdf ↗

We develop a method, initially due to Salamon, to compute the space of ``invariant'' forms on an associated bundle X=P\times_G V, with a suitable notion of invariance. We determine sufficient conditions for this space to be d-closed. We apply our method to the construction of Calabi-Yau metrics on TCP^1 and TCP^2.

2007-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Low-rate application layer distributed denial of service (LDDoS) attacks are both powerful and stealthy. They force vulnerable webservers to open all available connections to the adversary, denying resources to real users. Mitigation advice focuses on solutions that potentially degrade quality of service for legitimate…

2019-03-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces a novel method for estimating model confidence in deep neural classifiers.

problem Reliable confidence estimation for deep neural classifiers in safety-critical applications.
method Proposes a novel target criterion (true class probability) and learns it from data with an auxiliary model.
result The proposed method outperforms strong baselines in various tasks and network architectures.

Develops methods to improve reliability of deep learning for autonomous driving.

problem Safety concerns in deploying autonomous driving systems.
method Introduces a new criterion (true class probability) for estimating model confidence and learns it from data.
result Proposed method provides better failure prediction than current uncertainty measures.