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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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3468101135 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for Subsampling Calibration

Tree-based models biased when trained on imbalanced data, requiring new calibration methods.

problem Bias in tree-based models trained on imbalanced datasets.
method Analytical calibration of random forest models, demonstrating bias in decision trees.
result Calibrating tree-based models on imbalanced data negatively impacts predictions, especially for the minority class.

Paper develops methods for statistical inference in SGD with infinite variance.

problem Challenges in statistical inference for SGD with infinite variance.
method Model-agnostic methodology based on weak convergence and subsampling calibration.
result Asymptotically valid confidence regions for SGD in both finite and infinite variance regimes.

A new method selects a representative subsample for efficient kernel density estimation.

problem Selecting a representative subsample without model assumptions.
method Optimal transport techniques for model-free subsampling with an efficient algorithm.
result The selected subsample can be used for efficient density estimation with derived convergence rates and optimal bandwidth.

In this paper we demonstrate that tempering Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers for Bayesian models by recursively subsampling observations without replacement can improve the performance of baseline samplers in terms of effective sample size per computation. We present two tempering by subsampling algorithms, subsampled…

2014-01-28abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper optimizes subsampling for large datasets using Poisson distribution.

problem Efficiently subsample large datasets for quasi-likelihood estimation.
method Derives optimal Poisson subsampling probabilities and develops a distributed subsampling framework.
result Consistent and asymptotically normal estimators are obtained.

A significant hurdle for analyzing large sample data is the lack of effective statistical computing and inference methods. An emerging powerful approach for analyzing large sample data is subsampling, by which one takes a random subsample from the original full sample and uses it as a surrogate for subsequent computati…

2015-09-17abs ↗pdf ↗

A new model-free subsampling method using uniform designs is proposed.

problem Model-based subsampling methods are often dependent on model assumptions.
method Developed a criterion (GEFD) and a model-free subsampling method based on uniform designs.
result The proposed method outperforms random sampling and is robust under diverse model specifications.

A new method reduces variance in SGMCMC by preferentially subsampling data.

problem High variance in stochastic gradient estimates impacts sampler performance.
method Use a non-uniform probability distribution to preferentially subsample data points and adaptively adjust subsample size.
result Maintains accuracy while substantially reducing average subsample size.

For massive data, the family of subsampling algorithms is popular to downsize the data volume and reduce computational burden. Existing studies focus on approximating the ordinary least squares estimate in linear regression, where statistical leverage scores are often used to define subsampling probabilities. In this p…

2017-02-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified framework for reliable uncertainty quantification in RL.

problem Uncertainty quantification in high-stakes reinforcement learning.
method Unified conformal prediction framework integrating distributional RL and conformal calibration.
result Significantly improved coverage and reliability over standard methods.

Unified framework for subsampling mechanisms with tighter privacy guarantees.

problem Improving privacy in machine learning models through subsampling.
method Conditional optimal transport for deriving mechanism-specific subsampling guarantees.
result Tighter privacy bounds for subsampled mechanisms compared to traditional methods.

The Sampled Gaussian Mechanism's noise level decreases with larger subsampling rates, improving privacy-utility trade-offs.

problem Improving privacy-utility trade-offs in differentially private stochastic optimization.
method Proof of a conjecture about the Sampled Gaussian Mechanism's noise level and subsampling rate relationship.
result A rigorous proof of the conjecture, completing the proof of Theorem 6.2 in the original paper.

New equivalences found between subsampling and ridge regularization methods.

problem Establishing precise structural and risk equivalences between subsampling and ridge regularization.
method Proved structural and risk equivalences between subsample ridge estimators and different ridge regularization levels and subsample aspect ratios.
result Optimally tuned ridge regression exhibits a monotonic prediction risk in the data aspect ratio.

New insights into privacy guarantees for subsampled mechanisms under composition.

problem Tight privacy guarantees for the composition of subsampled differentially private mechanisms.
method Addressed confusion points in privacy accounting for subsampled mechanisms, providing examples and counterexamples.
result Privacy guarantees for subsampled mechanisms differ significantly between Poisson subsampling and sampling without replacement.

A deep learning subsampling technique improves modulation classification accuracy.

problem Improving modulation classification accuracy in wireless communication systems.
method Proposes a data-driven subsampling strategy using deep neural networks to simulate signal removal.
result Improves classification accuracy to higher levels than traditional methods.

We describe an adaptation of the simulated annealing algorithm to nonparametric clustering and related probabilistic models. This new algorithm learns nonparametric latent structure over a growing and constantly churning subsample of training data, where the portion of data subsampled can be interpreted as the inverse …

2014-02-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) samples efficiently from high-dimensional posterior distributions with proposed parameter draws obtained by iterating on a discretized version of the Hamiltonian dynamics. The iterations make HMC computationally costly, especially in problems with large datasets, since it is necessary to c…

2017-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Speeding up Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) for datasets with many observations by data subsampling has recently received considerable attention. A pseudo-marginal MCMC method is proposed that estimates the likelihood by data subsampling using a block-Poisson estimator. The estimator is a product of Poisson estimators,…

2016-03-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes the risk of bagging regularized M-estimators under proportional asymptotics.

problem Characterizing the risk of ensemble estimators trained with subsamples and regularizers.
method Developed a consistent estimator for the risk of ensemble estimators under proportional asymptotics.
result Optimal subsample size kk^\star tends to be in the overparameterized regime for the full-ensemble estimator.

Framework for precise recall control in spatial conflation tasks.

problem Precise recall control in large-scale spatial conflation tasks to avoid downstream analytics failures and excessive manual review.
method End-to-end framework using equigrid bounding-box filter, CSR representation, neural ranker, and inverse-variance weighted ensemble of threshold estimators.
result Achieves exact recall with sub-percent variance over tens of millions of geometry pairs, runs on a single TPU v3 core.

A new Markov subsampling strategy based on Huber criterion improves data processing from noisy full data.

problem High noise level in data leads to poor performance of subsampling procedures.
method Design a Markov subsampling strategy based on Huber criterion to construct an informative subset from noisy full data.
result The estimator based on HMS is statistically consistent with a sub-Gaussian deviation bound.

The rapid development of computing power and efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation algorithms have revolutionized Bayesian statistics, making it a highly practical inference method in applied work. However, MCMC algorithms tend to be computationally demanding, and are particularly slow for large datasets…

2018-07-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Subsampled Newton methods approximate Hessian matrices through subsampling techniques, alleviating the cost of forming Hessian matrices but using sufficient curvature information. However, previous results require Ω(d)Ω(d) samples to approximate Hessians, where dd is the dimension of data points, making it less practica…

2019-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Study ridge ensembles in proportional feature-to-sample size regime, proving risk equivalence and GCV consistency.

problem Characterizing and optimizing ridge ensembles in proportional feature-to-sample size regimes.
method Proportional asymptotics analysis, GCV for tuning, proving risk equivalence.
result Risk of optimal full ridgeless ensemble matches optimal ridge predictor's risk.

We present a matrix factorization algorithm that scales to input matrices that are large in both dimensions (i.e., that contains morethan 1TB of data). The algorithm streams the matrix columns while subsampling them, resulting in low complexity per iteration andreasonable memory footprint. In contrast to previous onlin…

2016-11-30abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we study the Nystr{ö}m type subsampling for large scale kernel methods to reduce the computational complexities of big data. We discuss the multi-penalty regularization scheme based on Nystr{ö}m type subsampling which is motivated from well-studied manifold regularization schemes. We develop a theoretica…

2017-10-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Early stopping is a well known approach to reduce the time complexity for performing training and model selection of large scale learning machines. On the other hand, memory/space (rather than time) complexity is the main constraint in many applications, and randomized subsampling techniques have been proposed to tackl…

2015-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

SGLDiff approximates Bayesian posterior distributions with subsampling error.

problem Approximating Bayesian posterior distributions in large-scale data settings.
method Stochastic Gradient Langevin Diffusion (SGLDiff) with subsampling.
result The Wasserstein distance between the posterior and SGLDiff's limiting distribution is bounded by a fractional power of the mean waiting time.

This research improves model interpretability and uncertainty estimation for deep learning models on non-iid data.

problem Improving interpretability and uncertainty estimation for deep learning models on non-iid data.
method 4 UQ approaches (BNN, SWAG, MC dropout, ensemble) applied to ARMED MEDL models.
result Ensemble approaches, especially with 90% subsampling, provide best performance in prediction and uncertainty estimation.

Subbagging estimation for big data reduces memory usage while maintaining statistical consistency.

problem Memory constraints in analyzing massive datasets.
method Randomly subsample the data, aggregate estimators from subsamples, and use incomplete U-statistics theory.
result Subbagging estimator achieves N\sqrt{N}-consistency and asymptotic normality under certain conditions.