We present the particle stochastic approximation EM (PSAEM) algorithm for learning of dynamical systems. The method builds on the EM algorithm, an iterative procedure for maximum likelihood inference in latent variable models. By combining stochastic approximation EM and particle Gibbs with ancestor sampling (PGAS), PS…
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Trend · papers per month
This paper analyzes and improves EM algorithms for large datasets.
Two-Timescale EM Methods improve EM for nonconvex models.
Mini-batch EM algorithm speeds up convergence for large datasets.
New algorithm improves on EM for streaming data, outperforming existing methods.
Paper introduces deterministic EM approximations for non-convex likelihood functions.
Stochastic EM with biased MCMC improves inference stability.
New method uses joint stochastic approximation to improve learning of discrete latent models.
FIEM accelerates EM for large datasets with nonasymptotic convergence bounds.
A new EM algorithm improves inference from large datasets.
Gaussian process state-space models (GP-SSMs) are a very flexible family of models of nonlinear dynamical systems. They comprise a Bayesian nonparametric representation of the dynamics of the system and additional (hyper-)parameters governing the properties of this nonparametric representation. The Bayesian formalism e…
Generalising the idea of the classical EM algorithm that is widely used for computing maximum likelihood estimates, we propose an EM-Control (EM-C) algorithm for solving multi-period finite time horizon stochastic control problems. The new algorithm sequentially updates the control policies in each time period using Mo…
Paper proposes a faster SPIDER-EM variant for large-scale nonconvex optimization.
The paper develops a method to learn SDE drift functions from sparse, noisy data.
New algorithm resists Byzantine attacks in distributed SGD for heterogeneous data.
GFlowNet-EM learns complex latent variable models with discrete structures.
New algorithm tames non-linear growth in stochastic optimization.
Stochastic Gradient Descent with a constant learning rate (constant SGD) simulates a Markov chain with a stationary distribution. With this perspective, we derive several new results. (1) We show that constant SGD can be used as an approximate Bayesian posterior inference algorithm. Specifically, we show how to adjust …
The Laplace approximation calls for the computation of second derivatives at the likelihood maximum. When the maximum is found by the EM-algorithm, there is a convenient way to compute these derivatives. The likelihood gradient can be obtained from the EM-auxiliary, while the Hessian can be obtained from this gradient …
We consider the problem of inference in a linear regression model in which the relative ordering of the input features and output labels is not known. Such datasets naturally arise from experiments in which the samples are shuffled or permuted during the protocol. In this work, we propose a framework that treats the un…
We consider maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian Mixture Models (Gmms). This task is almost invariably solved (in theory and practice) via the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm. EM owes its success to various factors, of which is its ability to fulfill positive definiteness constraints in closed form is of …
In this paper we continue our descriptions of stock markets in terms of some non abelian operators which are used to describe the portfolio of the various traders and other {\em observable} quantities. After a first prototype model with only two traders, we discuss a more realistic model of market with an arbitrary num…
Strongly polynomial algorithm for approximate Forster transforms and halfspace learning.
Online (also called "recursive" or "adaptive") estimation of fixed model parameters in hidden Markov models is a topic of much interest in times series modelling. In this work, we propose an online parameter estimation algorithm that combines two key ideas. The first one, which is deeply rooted in the Expectation-Maxim…
Deep model learns complex latent codes without assuming factor structure.
The EM algorithm is one of many important tools in the field of statistics. While often used for imputing missing data, its widespread applications include other common statistical tasks, such as clustering. In clustering, the EM algorithm assumes a parametric distribution for the clusters, whose parameters are estimat…
Proposes an EM algorithm for high-dimensional Markov-switching VAR models.
Paper proposes SRA algorithm for online learning robustness and adaptivity.
Study proves convergence of interest rate model approximations.
Stochastic approximation (SA) is a key method used in statistical learning. Recently, its non-asymptotic convergence analysis has been considered in many papers. However, most of the prior analyses are made under restrictive assumptions such as unbiased gradient estimates and convex objective function, which significan…
Various bias-correction methods such as EXTRA, gradient tracking methods, and exact diffusion have been proposed recently to solve distributed {\em deterministic} optimization problems. These methods employ constant step-sizes and converge linearly to the {\em exact} solution under proper conditions. However, their per…
Method infers dynamics from incomplete time series data.
In this paper we provide a new analysis of the SEM algorithm. Unlike previous work, we focus on the analysis of a single run of the algorithm. First, we discuss the algorithm for general mixture distributions. Second, we consider Gaussian mixture models and show that with high probability the update equations of the EM…
Transformers learn to cluster Gaussian mixtures as well as the EM algorithm.
As an automatic method of determining model complexity using the training data alone, Bayesian linear regression provides us a principled way to select hyperparameters. But one often needs approximation inference if distribution assumption is beyond Gaussian distribution. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian linear reg…
Robust state-space radio interferometric imaging using Stochastic Approximation Expectation Maximization
We introduce incremental variational inference and apply it to latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA). Incremental variational inference is inspired by incremental EM and provides an alternative to stochastic variational inference. Incremental LDA can process massive document collections, does not require to set a learning …
In a previous analysis the problem of "zero-inflated" time data (caused by high frequency trading in the electronic order book) was handled by left-truncating the inter-arrival times. We demonstrated, using rigorous statistical methods, that the Weibull distribution describes the corresponding stochastic dynamics for a…
While training a machine learning model using multiple workers, each of which collects data from their own data sources, it would be most useful when the data collected from different workers can be {\em unique} and {\em different}. Ironically, recent analysis of decentralized parallel stochastic gradient descent (D-PS…
Clarifies EM algorithm and variational Bayesian inference concepts.
The present work proposes hybridization of Expectation-Maximization (EM) and K-Means techniques as an attempt to speed-up the clustering process. Though both K-Means and EM techniques look into different areas, K-means can be viewed as an approximate way to obtain maximum likelihood estimates for the means. Along with …
In this paper we formulate the nonnegative matrix factorisation (NMF) problem as a maximum likelihood estimation problem for hidden Markov models and propose online expectation-maximisation (EM) algorithms to estimate the NMF and the other unknown static parameters. We also propose a sequential Monte Carlo approximatio…
Optimizing distributed learning systems is an art of balancing between computation and communication. There have been two lines of research that try to deal with slower networks: {\em communication compression} for low bandwidth networks, and {\em decentralization} for high latency networks. In this paper, We explore a…
A new distortion measure optimizes function approximations in vector quantization.
Marginal MAP problems are notoriously difficult tasks for graphical models. We derive a general variational framework for solving marginal MAP problems, in which we apply analogues of the Bethe, tree-reweighted, and mean field approximations. We then derive a "mixed" message passing algorithm and a convergent alternati…
In recent years there has been a flurry of works on learning Bayesian networks from data. One of the hard problems in this area is how to effectively learn the structure of a belief network from incomplete data- that is, in the presence of missing values or hidden variables. In a recent paper, I introduced an algorithm…
Two EM algorithms estimate prior distributions in mixture of linear regressions.
New EM algorithm improves deep generative network training.