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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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156312468624 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Statistical Estimation

Framework for efficient statistical estimation with privacy guarantees.

problem Statistical estimation problems with differential privacy constraints.
method High-dimensional Propose-Test-Release (HPTR) framework combining exponential mechanism, robust statistics, and resilience.
result Near-optimal utility guarantees and tight local sensitivity bounds for various statistical problems.

U-statistics improve gradient estimation in importance-weighted variational inference.

problem High variance in gradient estimation for importance-weighted variational inference.
method Use U-statistics to average base gradient estimators on overlapping batches of size m, achieving lower variance.
result U-statistic variance reduction leads to modest to significant improvements in inference performance.

Develops a statistical framework for coherent risk estimation.

problem Constructing coherent risk estimators with sound financial and statistical properties.
method Inspired by axiomatic risk measure theory, defines coherent risk estimators through robust representations linked to LL-estimators.
result Demonstrates that coherence of a risk measure does not necessarily carry over to its estimators and shows alternative weight structures can lead to different outcomes.

Paper optimizes statistical estimation for randomized smoothing to reduce adversarial robustness certification time.

problem Efficiently estimating robustness of points against adversarial attacks.
method Developed estimation procedures using confidence sequences and randomized Clopper-Pearson intervals.
result Achieved optimal sample complexities and stronger certificates with reduced computational burden.

This work explores the trade-offs between stability and accuracy in statistical estimation.

problem Understanding the statistical cost of algorithmic stability.
method Statistical decision-theoretic perspective, focusing on worst-case and average-case stability.
result Optimal stable estimators for mean estimation and regression settings are developed, revealing trade-offs between stability and accuracy.

Improved estimation of higher order integrals using shrinkage techniques.

problem Estimating higher order Bochner integrals in non-parametric settings.
method Shrinkage of U-statistic towards a target element, considering kernel degeneracy.
result Consistent shrinkage estimators with fast rates of convergence, even for non-degenerate kernels.

The paper addresses statistical estimation in MDPs with confounders using instrumental variables.

problem Statistical estimation of value functions in MDPs with unobservable confounders.
method Two-stage estimator based on instrumental variables for confounded linear MDPs.
result Established statistical properties of the two-stage estimator, including error bounds and asymptotic normality.

Study GLS estimator properties in multivariate regression with heteroskedastic and autocorrelated errors.

problem Asymptotic properties of GLS estimator in multivariate regression with specific error structures.
method Derive Wald statistics for linear restrictions and assess their performance.
result Wald statistics remain robust to heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation.

EFI automates statistical inference for big data.

problem Statistical inference for model parameters based on observations.
method EFI uses stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo and sparse deep neural networks.
result EFI provides higher fidelity in parameter estimation and automates the inference process.

Paper develops a distributed debiased estimator for sparse statistical inference.

problem High computational costs in debiased estimator construction for high-dimensional models.
method Develops a multi-round distributed debiased estimator using both labeled and unlabelled data.
result Unlabeled data improves statistical rate of each iteration in distributed setup.

The paper optimizes private data sharing by selecting statistics and using MCMC for Bayesian inference.

problem Optimizing private data sharing by selecting statistics and performing Bayesian inference.
method Promotes Fisher information for statistic selection and proposes MCMC algorithms for inference.
result The Fisher information of the privatized statistic predicts the relative performance of the statistic in Bayesian estimation.

Learning in the presence of outliers is a fundamental problem in statistics. Until recently, all known efficient unsupervised learning algorithms were very sensitive to outliers in high dimensions. In particular, even for the task of robust mean estimation under natural distributional assumptions, no efficient algorith…

2019-11-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Private statistics estimation faces a bias, accuracy, and privacy trilemma.

problem Balancing privacy, accuracy, and bias in statistical estimation.
method Use differential privacy (DP) for private statistics, but clip samples to control sensitivity and add noise for privacy, introducing bias.
result No algorithm can simultaneously have low bias, low error, and low privacy loss for arbitrary distributions.

New estimator stabilizes higher-order influence functions for stable statistical inference.

problem Numerical instability in estimating inverse population Gram matrix.
method Proposes a new stabilized higher-order estimator without sample splitting.
result Stabilized estimator exhibits more stable performance and similar statistical guarantees.

A debiasing method improves nonparametric regression's statistical properties.

problem Lack of theoretical guarantees for modern nonparametric regression methods.
method Model-free debiasing method incorporating a correction term.
result Debiased estimator satisfies pointwise and uniform risk convergence, asymptotic normality.

Quantum statistical models with singularities are studied for state estimation and model selection.

problem Understanding statistical properties of quantum singular models.
method Classical singular learning theory extended to quantum state estimation and model selection using algebraic geometrical methods.
result Asymptotically unbiased estimator (QWAIC) for quantum generalization loss constructed.

Jackknife variance estimation validated for generalized U-statistics.

problem Uncertainty quantification for subsampling-based estimators.
method Jackknife variance estimation for generalized U-statistics with row-wise LrL^r weak law.
result Jackknife and delete-dd variance estimators are ratio-consistent for generalized U-statistics.

New method for constructing confidence intervals for time series data.

problem Constructing confidence intervals for statistical functionals from time series data.
method Proposes a general purpose confidence interval procedure based on overlapping batches of time series data.
result Large overlapping batches yield confidence intervals of higher quality than generic methods.

This paper develops a general framework for analyzing asymptotics of VV-statistics. Previous literature on limiting distribution mainly focuses on the cases when nn \to \infty with fixed kernel size kk. Under some regularity conditions, we demonstrate asymptotic normality when kk grows with nn by utilizing existin…

2019-12-02abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper provides a statistical decision-theoretical derivation of the Two-Stage approach for parameter estimation.

problem Theoretical justification for the Two-Stage approach in situations where likelihood is difficult to evaluate.
method Statistical decision-theoretical derivation leading to Bayesian and Minimax estimators.
result The Two-Stage approach is justified theoretically and applied to independent and identically distributed samples.

New algorithm improves heavy-tailed statistical estimation in streaming data.

problem Heavy-tailed statistical estimation in streaming data.
method Clipped stochastic gradient descent algorithm with improved analysis.
result Guarantees exponential concentration with O(1)O(1) batch size for mean estimation and linear regression.

Large graphs abound in machine learning, data mining, and several related areas. A useful step towards analyzing such graphs is that of obtaining certain summary statistics - e.g., or the expected length of a shortest path between two nodes, or the expected weight of a minimum spanning tree of the graph, etc. These sta…

2013-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes an exponentially increasing step-size for faster parameter estimation in statistical models.

problem Slow convergence of gradient descent in locally convex loss functions.
method Exponentially increasing step-size in gradient descent algorithm.
result Converges linearly to optimal solution under homogeneous assumptions.

Paper proves optimality of doubly robust estimators for treatment effects.

problem Estimating treatment effects in causal inference.
method Structure-agnostic framework of statistical lower bounds, using non-parametric regression and classification oracles.
result Doubly robust estimators are statistically optimal for ATE and ATT.

Paper explores robust estimators for kernel exponential families using smoothed total variation distances.

problem Outliers can severely impact classical estimators in statistical inference.
method Proposes smoothed total variation (STV) distance as a class of IPMs for robust estimation of kernel exponential families.
result STV-based estimators are robust against distribution contamination for kernel exponential families.

This paper studies statistical estimation in optional regression models.

problem Estimating parameters in regression models with optional semimartingale processes.
method Structural least squares (LS) estimates and their sequential versions.
result Strong consistency of LS-estimates and fixed accuracy of sequential LS-estimates.

Survey of robust statistical methods for efficient computation.

problem Efficient robust statistical methods for various forms of data contamination and heavy-tailed distributions.
method Survey and technical connections between robustness forms, showing efficient algorithms.
result Same algorithmic ideas lead to efficient estimators for robustness in different settings.

Optimal kernel improves estimation accuracy in modal statistical methods.

problem Estimation accuracy of kernel-based modal statistical methods depends on the kernel used.
method The study theoretically shows an optimal kernel that minimizes asymptotic error criterion.
result An optimal kernel minimizes the error criterion when using an optimal bandwidth.

New method improves active statistical inference by reducing noise.

problem Inaccurate uncertainty estimates in active sampling lead to noisy results.
method Robust sampling strategies that interpolate between uniform and active sampling based on uncertainty scores.
result The robust sampling ensures that the estimator is never worse than uniform sampling and usually outperforms active inference.

A new algorithm improves both computational efficiency and statistical optimality for robust low-rank matrix and tensor estimation.

problem Challenges in low-rank matrix estimation under heavy-tailed noise, both computationally and statistically.
method Riemannian sub-gradient (RsGrad) algorithm, which is computationally efficient and statistically optimal.
result RsGrad achieves linear convergence and statistical optimality for robust loss functions under Gaussian and heavy-tailed noise.