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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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113226339452 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Statistical Agnostic Regression

New algorithm learns disjunctions faster than previous methods.

problem Learning Boolean disjunctions in the agnostic PAC model.
method Developed an agnostic learner with complexity 2ildeO(n1/3)2^{ ilde{O}(n^{1/3})}.
result First separation between SQ and CSQ models in distribution-free agnostic learning.

SAR evaluates ML-based linear regression models for statistical significance.

problem Lack of formal statistical significance in ML-based regression models.
method Statistical Agnostic Regression (SAR) using concentration inequalities and worst-case scenario analysis.
result SAR provides a threshold for statistical significance without assuming underlying assumptions.

Paper analyzes agnostic learning of mixed linear regression without generative models.

problem Learning mixed linear regression without assuming stochastic generation.
method Expectation Maximization (EM) and Alternating Minimization (AM) algorithms.
result AM and EM algorithms converge to population loss minimizers under standard conditions.

Gradient EM converges exponentially to optimal solution in agnostic mixtures.

problem Fitting kk parametric functions to given data points without a generative model.
method Gradient EM algorithm for agnostic mixtures of arbitrary parametric functions.
result Gradient EM converges exponentially to population loss minimizers with high probability.

New SQ lower bound shows complexity nearly matches known upper bound for smoothed agnostic learning.

problem Smoothed agnostic learning of halfspaces under subgaussian distributions.
method Statistical Query (SQ) lower bound using moment-matching hard distribution and linear programming duality.
result First non-trivial lower bound on complexity nearly matches known upper bound.

New bounds show complex neural networks need many queries to learn.

problem Learning non-polynomial activation functions with Gaussian marginals.
method Gradient boosting procedure to amplify lower bounds on SQ dimension of neural networks.
result Statistical-query lower bounds for ReLU regression with 2ncε2^{n^c} ε queries.

The study optimizes polynomial regression for learning under Gaussian distributions.

problem Agnostic learning of Boolean and real-valued functions under Gaussian distributions.
method LP duality and polynomial degree analysis for L1L^1-regression.
result Optimal SQ lower bounds for various function classes.

We propose nonparametric methods for individual calibration in regression models.

problem Uncertainty quantification and individual calibration for regression models.
method Nonparametric methods agnostic of the underlying model, combining nonparametric and covering number arguments.
result Established matching upper and lower bounds for calibration error.

Theory establishes optimal rates for estimating linear functionals without structural assumptions.

problem Estimating linear functionals of unknown nuisance components without structural assumptions.
method Structure-agnostic framework, doubly robust estimators, first-order debiasing.
result Characterization of minimax optimal rates and regimes for double robustness.

Paper proves optimality of doubly robust estimators for treatment effects.

problem Estimating treatment effects in causal inference.
method Structure-agnostic framework of statistical lower bounds, using non-parametric regression and classification oracles.
result Doubly robust estimators are statistically optimal for ATE and ATT.

First proper learning algorithm for Gaussian halfspaces with matching sample and computational complexity.

problem Agnostically learning halfspaces under Gaussian distribution.
method First proper learning algorithm with matching sample and computational complexity.
result First proper learning algorithm for agnostically learning halfspaces under Gaussian distribution with matching sample and computational complexity.

New method for robustly estimating treatment effects across different risk levels.

problem Missing risks and tail events in CATE, especially in aggregate analyses.
method Constructing a pseudo-outcome and regressing it on covariates using any regression learner.
result Robust and model-agnostic learning of conditional distributional treatment effects (CDTE).

We obtain the first positive results for bounded sample compression in the agnostic regression setting with the p\ell_p loss, where p[1,]p\in [1,\infty]. We construct a generic approximate sample compression scheme for real-valued function classes exhibiting exponential size in the fat-shattering dimension but independen…

2018-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm reduces prediction error in online learning without knowing base measure.

problem Smoothed online learning without knowledge of base measure.
method R-Cover algorithm based on recursive coverings.
result First algorithm to guarantee sublinear regret for agnostic smoothed online learning without prior knowledge of base measure.

Study the cost of overfitting in noisy KRR models.

problem Cost of overfitting in noisy kernel ridge regression.
method An agnostic view of overfitting cost as a function of sample size for any target function, using Gaussian universality ansatz and task eigenstructure.
result Characterization of benign, tempered, and catastrophic overfitting.

A major challenge in contextual bandits is to design general-purpose algorithms that are both practically useful and theoretically well-founded. We present a new technique that has the empirical and computational advantages of realizability-based approaches combined with the flexibility of agnostic methods. Our algorit…

2018-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper develops dimension-agnostic inference methods for high-dimensional data.

problem Understanding how classical inference methods behave in high-dimensional settings.
method Using variational representations, sample splitting, and self-normalization to create a refined test statistic.
result The resulting statistic has a Gaussian limiting distribution regardless of how dimensionality scales with sample size.

Bayesian MAML outperforms MAML in meta learning tasks with theoretical guarantees.

problem Theoretical understanding of Bayesian MAML's superiority over MAML.
method Comparison of meta test risks between Bayesian MAML and MAML in meta linear regression.
result Bayesian MAML has provably lower meta test risks than MAML in both distribution agnostic and linear centroid cases.

New insights into RL with weak function approximation.

problem Statistical complexity of RL with function approximation in large state spaces.
method Agnostic policy learning framework, exploring environment access, coverage, and representational conditions.
result Characterization of fundamental performance bounds and statistical separations.

Study agnostic RL in large state spaces with weak function approximation.

problem Statistical intractability of agnostic policy learning in various environments.
method Investigates agnostic policy learning with different forms of environment access.
result Agnostic policy learning remains statistically intractable with certain forms of environment access.

New research shows logistic regression can achieve optimal error rate for agnostic learning of halfspaces.

problem Agnostic learning of homogeneous halfspaces with logistic loss.
method Constructing a well-behaved distribution and using logistic regression with additional convex optimization steps.
result Logistic regression can achieve Ω(extrmOPT)Ω(\sqrt{ extrm{OPT}}) misclassification risk, matching the upper bound.

A new framework for brain mapping using statistical agnostic methods.

problem Estimating brain connectivity with limited data and controlling false positives.
method Statistical Agnostic Mapping (SAM) based on concentration inequalities.
result Relieves instability and provides less conservative p-value correction.

Novel framework for uncertainty quantification in metric spaces.

problem Uncertainty quantification in regression models with metric responses.
method Developed algorithms for large datasets, agnostic to predictive models, with asymptotic and non-asymptotic guarantees.
result Asymptotic and non-asymptotic guarantees for special cases, demonstrated in clinical applications.

New algorithm for reliable learning of Gaussian halfspaces with improved sample and computational complexity.

problem Learning halfspaces under Gaussian marginals with reliable agnostic model.
method Developed a new algorithm for reliable learning of Gaussian halfspaces with specific sample and computational complexity.
result Achieved a new algorithm with improved sample and computational complexity for reliable learning of Gaussian halfspaces.

New method learns SIMs with arbitrary monotone activations without strong distributional assumptions.

problem Learning Single-Index Models with arbitrary monotone activations.
method Based on omniprediction with calibrated multiaccuracy and Bregman divergences.
result First agnostic learning result for SIMs with arbitrary monotone activations.

Improves prediction stability with model misspecification and distribution shift.

problem Inaccurate parameter estimation and instability of prediction in real-world applications.
method Proposes Decorrelated Weighting Regression (DWR) algorithm to optimize weights for samples and variables.
result Significantly improves accuracy of parameter estimation and prediction stability.

Most of previous machine learning algorithms are proposed based on the i.i.d. hypothesis. However, this ideal assumption is often violated in real applications, where selection bias may arise between training and testing process. Moreover, in many scenarios, the testing data is not even available during the training pr…

2017-08-22abs ↗pdf ↗

New complexity measure helps in agnostic reinforcement learning with or without access to MDP dynamics.

problem Understanding the number of rounds needed to learn an ε-suboptimal policy in unknown MDPs.
method Introducing spanning capacity as a new complexity measure and developing POPLER algorithm.
result There is a separation between generative and online access models for agnostic learnability.

We clarify measurability assumptions in the agnostic PAC learning theorem.

problem Measurability assumptions in the Fundamental Theorem of Statistical Learning.
method Measure-theoretic scrutiny of existing proofs to extract minimal assumptions.
result Sound statement and detailed proof of the Fundamental Theorem in the agnostic setting.

New federated learning protocols improve on knowledge distillation's poor performance.

problem Designing a universal API for federated learning without public data.
method Proposed Federated Kernel ridge regression using knowledge distillation.
result Performance of new protocols closely matches theoretical predictions.

Study robust regression learning under adversarial attacks.

problem Understanding which function classes are learnable in the presence of adversarial attacks.
method Introduced a novel agnostic sample compression scheme and used fat-shattering dimension to construct adversarially robust sample compression schemes.
result Finite fat-shattering dimension classes are learnable in both realizable and agnostic settings.

Learning to infer Bayesian posterior from a few-shot dataset is an important step towards robust meta-learning due to the model uncertainty inherent in the problem. In this paper, we propose a novel Bayesian model-agnostic meta-learning method. The proposed method combines scalable gradient-based meta-learning with non…

2018-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗