We investigate the class of tempered stable distributions and their associated processes. Our analysis of tempered stable distributions includes limit distributions, parameter estimation and the study of their densities. Regarding tempered stable processes, we deal with density transformations and compute their -var…
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48 results for “Stable distributions”
Stable processes emerge as limits of deep neural networks with symmetric stable distributions.
problem Understanding the behavior of deep neural networks as they become infinitely wide.
method Analyzing fully connected feed-forward deep neural networks with symmetric stable distributions and showing the limit as a stable process.
result The infinite wide limit of the network is a stable process with multivariate stable distributions.
A definition for elliptical tempered stable distribution, based on the characteristic function, have been explained which involve a unique spectral measure. This definition provides a framework for creating a connection between infinite divisible distribution, and particularly elliptical tempered stable distribution, w…
Heavy-tailed distributions are widely used in robust mixture modelling due to possessing thick tails. As a computationally tractable subclass of the stable distributions, sub-Gaussian -stable distribution received much interest in the literature. Here, we introduce a type of expectation maximization algorithm that e…
A new distribution family extends the -stable distribution with a degree of freedom parameter.
problem Lack of moments in the -stable distribution.
method Wright function framework to combine and extend distribution families.
result Generalized -stable distribution with valid moments.
Failure of the main argument for the use of heavy tailed distribution in Finance is given. More precisely, one cannot observe so many outliers for Cauchy or for symmetric stable distributions as we have in reality. keywords:outliers; financial indexes; heavy tails; Cauchy distribution; stable distributions
Fitting Generalized Tempered Stable distribution: Fractional Fourier Transform (FRFT) Approachq-fin.ST
The paper uses FRFT to fit GTS distribution to asset returns.
problem Modeling asset returns with GTS distribution.
method Fractional Fourier Transform (FRFT) for fitting.
result GTS distribution fits SPY ETF and Bitcoin BTC returns.
This paper models cryptocurrencies using -stable distributions, outperforming other models.
problem Modeling the highly speculative and leptokurtic nature of cryptocurrencies.
method Used -stable distribution and compared it with other heavy tailed distributions. Employed maximum likelihood method for estimation.
result The -stable distribution fits cryptocurrency return data better than other models.
Study of deep Stable neural networks with various activation functions.
problem Characterizing the infinitely wide limits of deep Stable neural networks.
method Investigation of large-width properties of deep Stable NNs with a generalized central limit theorem for heavy tails.
result Extension of characterization to a broader class of activation functions, including sub-linear, asymptotically linear, and super-linear functions.
Deep neural networks with heavy-tailed weights converge to stable distributions.
problem Understanding the convergence of heavy-tailed weights in infinitely-wide neural networks.
method Analyzing infinitely-wide multi-layer perceptrons with i.i.d. symmetric -stable weight distributions.
result The vector of pre-activation values converges to i.i.d. symmetric -stable distributions.
We propose a new blind source separation algorithm based on mixtures of alpha-stable distributions. Complex symmetric alpha-stable distributions have been recently showed to better model audio signals in the time-frequency domain than classical Gaussian distributions thanks to their larger dynamic range. However, infer…
This paper analyzes deep Stable neural networks, showing convergence rates under different growth settings.
problem Analyzing the behavior of deep Stable neural networks as width increases.
method Large-width asymptotic analysis and convergence rates for fully connected feed-forward deep Stable NNs.
result The rescaled deep Stable NN converges weakly to a Stable SP under joint growth, with sup-norm convergence rates established.
Characterizes Lévy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes linked to tempered stable distributions.
problem Understanding Lévy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes and their properties.
method Characterizes the Lévy triplet and deduces transition laws for finite variation Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes associated with tempered stable distributions.
result Provides algorithms for generating skeleton of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes related to exponentially-modulated tempered stable laws.
The multivariate version of the Mixed Tempered Stable is proposed. It is a generalization of the Normal Variance Mean Mixtures. Characteristics of this new distribution and its capacity in fitting tails and capturing dependence structure between components are investigated. We discuss a random number generating procedu…
The study examines European option pricing using a generalized tempered stable distribution.
problem Investigating the pricing of European options under a generalized tempered stable distribution.
method Fitting the Generalized Tempered Stable (GTS) distribution to S\&P 500 Index returns, applying the Esscher transform, and using the Extended Black-Scholes and Generalized Black-Scholes formulas.
result The GTS distribution yields consistent European option prices for deep OTM and ITM options, but underprices near-the-money and in-the-money options compared to the Black-Scholes model.
This paper illustrates a procedure for fitting financial data with -stable distributions. After using all the available methods to evaluate the distribution parameters, one can qualitatively select the best estimate and run some goodness-of-fit tests on this estimate, in order to quantitatively assess its quality. I…
In this paper we introduce a new parametric distribution, the Mixed Tempered Stable. It has the same structure of the Normal Variance Mean Mixtures but the normality assumption leaves place to a semi-heavy tailed distribution. We show that, by choosing appropriately the parameters of the distribution and under the conc…
Proposes a new model for clustering with heavier tails.
problem Clustering with heavy-tailed data.
method Finite mixture of skewed sub-Gaussian stable distributions, maximum likelihood estimation, EM algorithm.
result The proposed model can robustly handle heavy-tailed data.
New financial models use tempered stable subordination for better correlation dynamics.
problem Building financial models with better correlation dynamics.
method Introducing tempered stable Sato subordinators and additive inhomogeneous processes.
result The new process has time-dependent correlation, improving fit for financial data.
This paper studies large-width asymptotics for ReLU neural networks with α-Stable initializations.
problem Characterizing the large-width behavior of ReLU neural networks with α-Stable initializations.
method Analysis of the large-width distributions and training dynamics of ReLU neural networks initialized with α-Stable distributions.
result For ReLU neural networks with α-Stable initializations, the large-width training dynamics achieve zero training error at a linear rate, characterized by a random kernel.
Non-Lévy Distribution of Commodity Price Fluctuationscond-mat.stat-mech
Price fluctuations of commodities like cotton and wheat are thought to display probability distributions of returns that follow a Lévy stable distribution. Recent analysis of stocks and foreign exchange markets show that the probability distributions are not Lévy stable, a plausible result since commodity markets have …
The paper evaluates functions of stable Lévy processes and their extrema efficiently.
problem Efficiently evaluating functions of stable Lévy processes and their extrema.
method Integral representations, conformal acceleration technique, simplified trapezoid rule.
result Efficient numerical procedures for cumulative probability distribution functions (cpdfs) are developed.
The recent emergence of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum has posed possible alternatives to global payments as well as financial assets around the globe, making investors and financial regulators aware of the importance of modeling them correctly. The Levy's stable distribution is one of the attractive dis…
Stable random variables are motivated by the central limit theorem for densities with (potentially) unbounded variance and can be thought of as natural generalizations of the Gaussian distribution to skewed and heavy-tailed phenomenon. In this paper, we introduce stable graphical (SG) models, a class of multivariate st…
This paper removes the finite variance assumption for deep convolutional neural networks.
problem Removing the finite variance assumption for deep convolutional neural networks.
method Assuming iid parameters distributed according to a stable distribution, the paper shows that the infinite-channel limit of a deep feed-forward convolutional neural network is a multivariate stable stochastic process.
result The infinite-channel limit of a deep feed-forward convolutional neural network, under suitable scaling, is a multivariate stable stochastic process.
DLPM replaces Gaussian noise with α-stable noise in DDPM, improving data distribution coverage and robustness.
problem Handling mode collapse and class imbalance in datasets with heavy-tailed noise.
method Extending DDPM to use α-stable noise, simplifying the process with elementary proof techniques.
result DLPM yields better coverage of data distribution tails, improved robustness to unbalanced datasets, and faster computation times.
In this paper, we study distribution of the zeros of the Alexander polynomials of knots and links in S^3. We call a knot or link "real stable" (resp. "circular stable") if all the zeros of its Alexander polynomial are real (resp. unit complex). We give a general construction of real stable and circular stable knots and…
Shifts in environment between development and deployment cause classical supervised learning to produce models that fail to generalize well to new target distributions. Recently, many solutions which find invariant predictive distributions have been developed. Among these, graph-based approaches do not require data fro…
This paper applies Thompson Sampling to asymmetric -stable bandits for financial and wireless data.
problem Optimizing exploration-exploitation in multi-armed bandits with asymmetric -stable distributions.
method Thompson Sampling applied to unknown asymmetric -stable reward distributions.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of Thompson Sampling for asymmetric -stable bandits.
Motivated by applications to insurance mathematics, we prove some heavy-traffic limit theorems for processes which encompass the fractionally differentiated random walk as well as some FARIMA processes, when the innovations are in the domain of attraction of a nonGaussian stable distribution.
Motivated by applications to insurance mathematics, we prove some heavy-traffic limit theorems for process which encompass the fractionally integrated random walk as well as some FARIMA processes, when the innovations are in the domain of attraction of a nonGaussian stable distribution.
New method estimates treatment effects across different populations.
problem Estimating treatment effects across populations with changing distributions.
method SBRL-HAP framework combining balancing and independence regularizers with hierarchical attention.
result Significant improvement in HTE estimation across out-of-distribution populations.
Spuriosity Didn't Kill the Classifier: Using Invariant Predictions to Harness Spurious Featurescs.LG
SFB uses stable features to adapt unstable ones for better performance.
problem Improving classifier performance on out-of-distribution data by leveraging stable features.
method SFB learns a predictor that separates stable and unstable features, then adapts unstable predictions using stable predictions.
result SFB can learn an asymptotically-optimal predictor without test-domain labels.
MAFLA improves sampling from heavy-tailed distributions using MH-inspired corrections.
problem Sampling from heavy-tailed and multimodal distributions when neither target nor proposal densities can be evaluated.
method Metropolis-Adjusted Fractional Langevin Algorithm (MAFLA) with Score Balance Matching.
result MAFLA significantly improves finite-time sampling accuracy over unadjusted fractional Langevin dynamics.
Order flow in the financial markets from the perspective of the Fractional Lévy stable motionq-fin.ST
The study examines order flow in financial markets using fractional Lévy stable motion.
problem Challenges in selecting the best models for financial time series data.
method Investigates order disbalance time series from the perspective of fractional Lévy stable motion.
result Orders exhibit stable anti-correlation for 18 randomly selected stocks.
New potentials found for sheaves on Calabi-Yau 4-folds.
problem Understanding sheaves on Calabi-Yau 4-folds.
method Derived Quot-stacks and Lagrangian distributions.
result Globally defined -shifted potentials on sheaves.
In this paper we perform a statistical analysis of the high-frequency returns of the IBEX35 Madrid stock exchange index. We find that its probability distribution seems to be stable over different time scales, a stylized fact observed in many different financial time series. However, an in-depth analysis of the data us…
Proposes BSSP to stabilize predictions in biased data.
problem Distribution shift between training and test data causes prediction instability.
method Balance-subsampled stable prediction (BSSP) algorithm based on fractional factorial design.
result Significantly improves prediction stability across unknown test data.
Multivariate stable distributions and their applications for modelling cryptocurrency-returnsstat.AP
In this paper we extend the known methodology for fitting stable distributions to the multivariate case and apply the suggested method to the modelling of daily cryptocurrency-return data. The investigated time period is cut into 10 non-overlapping sections, thus the changes can also be observed. We apply bootstrap tes…
Proposes a new risk model using stable laws to manage company-wide losses.
problem Managing aggregate risks and pricing policies in the presence of systematic risk.
method Develops a modified risk model using multivariate stable distributions to account for various risk phenomena.
result Computes the Tail Conditional Expectation of aggregate risks and corresponding allocations.
We study codimension one holomorphic distributions on the projective three-space, analyzing the properties of their singular schemes and tangent sheaves. In particular, we provide a classification of codimension one distributions of degree at most 2 with locally free tangent sheaves, and show that codimension one distr…
The study assesses how financial markets' efficiency changed during the COVID-19 crisis.
problem The impact of COVID-19 on financial market efficiency.
method Dynamic estimation method for Hurst exponent and memory parameter using alpha-stable distribution and dependence structure.
result Financial markets' efficiency varied during the COVID-19 crisis, with some indices showing less impact than others.
In many important machine learning applications, the training distribution used to learn a probabilistic classifier differs from the testing distribution on which the classifier will be used to make predictions. Traditional methods correct the distribution shift by reweighting the training data with the ratio of the de…
Price fluctuations in financial markets can be characterized by Lévy's stable distribution, which is supported by the generalized central limit system. When the stable parameters were estimated from four different stock markets in long term, they similarly indicated an unique value. On the other hand, when analyzed in …
FlowMM models stable crystal structures efficiently.
problem Predicting and proposing stable crystalline structures.
method Riemannian Flow Matching generalized to crystal symmetries.
result 3x more efficient at finding stable materials.
Log-Normal Multiplicative Dynamics improves low-precision training of neural networks.
problem Training large neural networks with low precision is unstable.
method Derive a Bayesian learning rule with log-normal posterior distributions and multiplicative updates.
result LMD achieves stable and accurate training for Vision Transformer and GPT-2.
Thompson Sampling provides an efficient technique to introduce prior knowledge in the multi-armed bandit problem, along with providing remarkable empirical performance. In this paper, we revisit the Thompson Sampling algorithm under rewards drawn from symmetric -stable distributions, which are a class of heavy-taile…
Stable Adversarial Learning improves robustness to distributional shifts.
problem Vulnerability of machine learning algorithms to distributional shifts.
method SAL algorithm that constructs a practical uncertainty set and conducts differentiated robustness optimization based on covariate stability.
result The proposed method uniformly improves performance across unknown distributional shifts.