Paper proposes a predictive maintenance system for solar plants using big data.
problem Fault prediction in photovoltaic plants to reduce downtime and maintenance costs.
method Data-driven approach with unsupervised clustering and Pattern Recognition Neural Network.
result Effective prediction of both generic and specific faults, up to 7 days in advance.
Effective utilization of photovoltaic (PV) plants requires weather variability robust global solar radiation (GSR) forecasting models. Random weather turbulence phenomena coupled with assumptions of clear sky model as suggested by Hottel pose significant challenges to parametric & non-parametric models in GSR conversio…
Study evaluates post-processing methods for improving solar power forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy of probabilistic solar energy forecasts through model chain approaches.
method Systematically evaluates different post-processing strategies for ensemble weather forecasts and direct solar power forecasting.
result Post-processing significantly improves solar power generation forecasts, especially when applied to power predictions.
Study builds dataset and benchmarks ML models for accurate solar and wind power forecasting in France.
problem Accurate prediction of non-dispatchable renewable energy sources for grid stability and price prediction.
method Comprehensive methodology using machine learning models trained with spatially explicit weather data and production site capacity.
result Neural networks outperform traditional models in forecasting solar and wind power production in France.
In this paper, we present a method to determine the global horizontal irradiance (GHI) from the power measurements of one or more PV systems, located in the same neighborhood. The method is completely unsupervised and is based on a physical model of a PV plant. The precise assessment of solar irradiance is pivotal for …
Modeling solar ramping events with spatio-temporal point processes.
problem Predicting solar ramping events influenced by weather conditions.
method Novel spatio-temporal categorical point process model.
result Effective modeling of spatio-temporal correlations in solar ramping events.
The study finds solar terms significantly impact China's stock market returns and volatility.
problem Investigating the effect of solar terms on China's stock market.
method Regression framework, analyzing multiple solar terms and their impact on return and volatility.
result Solar terms 1, 3, and 4 cause significant positive returns, while 8, 11, and 14 bring high volatility.
DA improves solar wind forecasts by updating model boundary conditions.
problem Improving solar wind forecasting accuracy.
method Variational Data Assimilation with solar wind model and in-situ observations.
result DA forecasts are more accurate than non-DA forecasts, especially when STEREO-B's latitude is offset from Earth.
Improved probabilistic solar irradiance forecasting models for grid integration.
problem Enhancing accuracy of solar irradiance forecasts for grid integration.
method Developed and calibrated probabilistic models using post-hoc calibration techniques.
result NGBoost model with CRUDE calibration achieves comparable performance to numerical weather prediction models.
Solar algorithm selects variables faster and more accurately in high-dimensional data.
problem Variable selection in high-dimensional data with high accuracy and stability.
method Subsample-ordered least-angle regression (solar) and its coordinate descent generalization (solar-cd) using L0 norm solution path averaging. result Solar selects variables with high accuracy and stability, reducing redundant variable selection.
Paper uses polar field data to improve solar flare prediction accuracy.
problem Improving solar flare prediction accuracy using machine learning.
method Incorporates polar field data into machine learning models for solar flare classification.
result Improves solar flare prediction performance by up to 10.1% using a novel probabilistic mixture of experts model.
The study compares statistical post-processing methods for solar radiation forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy and uncertainty quantification of solar radiation forecasts.
method Statistical post-processing techniques using relationships between meteorological variables and solar radiation.
result Quantile regression and generalized random forests generally perform best in probabilistic forecasts.
Solar improves variable selection in high-dimensional data with complicated dependence structures.
problem Variable selection in ultrahigh dimensional data with severe multicollinearity and grouping effect issues.
method Subsample-ordered least angle regression (Solar) for ultrahigh dimensional data.
result Solar yields substantial improvements in sparsity, stability, and accuracy of variable selection compared to traditional methods.
Enhances solar flare prediction with advanced preprocessing and contrastive learning.
problem Accurate prediction of solar flares to mitigate risks to astronauts and equipment.
method Advanced data preprocessing pipeline and contrastive learning with GRU regression model.
result Exceptional True Skill Statistic (TSS) scores, surpassing previous methods.
Using artificial neural network for the prediction of heat demand has attracted more and more attention. Weather conditions, such as ambient temperature, wind speed and direct solar irradiance, have been identified as key input parameters. In order to further improve the model accuracy, it is of great importance to und…
Interprets LSTM solar flare predictions using SHARP parameters.
problem Understanding the dynamics of solar flares from LSTM predictions.
method Time-series clustering of SHARP parameters to interpret LSTM model.
result Identifies key SHARP parameters for strong solar flares.
Unified architecture for multi-time-scale solar irradiance forecasting reduces RMSE.
problem Non-stationary solar irradiance variability increases grid operating costs.
method Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) and Long-Short-Term Memory Networks (LSTMs) for multi-time-scale predictions.
result Unified architecture reduces RMSE by 71.5% compared to best-performing methods.
A model predicts solar irradiance without local data using satellite and weather forecasts.
problem Forecasting solar irradiance without local measurements for geographically dispersed solar generators.
method Uses satellite data and weather forecasts with a deep neural network trained on a subset of ground data.
result Proposed model performs as well or better than local models across 25 locations and prediction horizons.
Study evaluates deep learning models for solar flare prediction with interpretability analysis.
problem Lack of interpretability in deep learning models for solar flare prediction.
method Proximity-based metric for analyzing attribution maps generated by Guided Grad-CAM.
result Models' predictions align with active region characteristics, offering insights into their behavior.
Python tool creates machine-learning-ready solar dataset.
problem Creating a usable dataset for space weather forecasting.
method Python tool generates dataset from SoHO and SDO images, applying pre-processing.
result Dataset is machine-learning ready, free of missing data, and temporally synced.
Study optimizes SREC generation and trading in solar energy markets.
problem Optimizing solar energy generation and trading in SREC markets.
method Mean-field game approach to solve stochastic game with heterogeneous agents.
result Characterized firms' optimal controls and equilibrium SREC price.
Power supply from renewable resources is on a global rise where it is forecasted that renewable generation will surpass other types of generation in a foreseeable future. Increased generation from renewable resources, mainly solar and wind, exposes the power grid to more vulnerabilities, conceivably due to their variab…
Unified NICEk metrics improve solar forecasting accuracy.
problem Lack of suitable error metrics for multidimensional solar irradiance forecasting.
method Introducing NICEk framework with Lk norms for evaluating forecasting models.
result NICESigma consistently outperforms traditional metrics in discriminative power and statistical significance.
We consider multi-task regression models where the observations are assumed to be a linear combination of several latent node functions and weight functions, which are both drawn from Gaussian process priors. Driven by the problem of developing scalable methods for forecasting distributed solar and other renewable powe…
GPRNs accurately model stellar activity affecting RV measurements of exoplanets.
problem Stellar activity limits detection and characterisation of exoplanets.
method Gaussian Process Regression Networks (GPRNs) for joint analysis of RV data and stellar activity indicators.
result GPRNs accurately describe solar RV data, correlating with activity at separations of a few days.
This study compares mtl architectures for renewable power generation forecasting.
problem Forecasting expected power generation for renewable power plants.
method Comparative study of mtl architectures including Hard parameter sharing, cross-stitch network, sluice network, and task embedding.
result Emerging Relation Network (ERN) and task embedding provide significant improvements in forecasting.
Study uses machine learning to analyze solar emissions.
problem Explaining the high temperature of the solar corona.
method Unsupervised machine learning to characterize impulsive emissions.
result Characterized over 34,500 features as 2D elliptical Gaussians.
As renewable distributed energy resources (DERs) penetrate the power grid at an accelerating speed, it is essential for operators to have accurate solar photovoltaic (PV) energy forecasting for efficient operations and planning. Generally, observed weather data are applied in the solar PV generation forecasting model w…
The non-stationarity characteristic of the solar power renders traditional point forecasting methods to be less useful due to large prediction errors. This results in increased uncertainties in the grid operation, thereby negatively affecting the reliability and increased cost of operation. This research paper proposes…
Optimal solar energy production and trading strategies in SREC markets identified.
problem Optimizing solar energy production and trading in SREC markets.
method Formulated a stochastic control problem, accounting for generation and trading costs, and developed a numerical algorithm to solve the control problem.
result An optimal firm's generation and trading behavior can be separated into various regimes based on the marginal benefit of obtaining an additional SREC.
Deep learning models predict solar irradiance for short-term forecasts.
problem Accurate prediction of solar irradiance for renewable energy integration.
method Sequence-to-sequence LSTM models for GHI forecasting, incorporating spatial-temporal features.
result LSTM models outperform traditional techniques in short-term GHI forecasting.
Enhances solar cell efficiency prediction using deep neural networks.
problem Predicting HOMO values for organic solar cells from limited experimental data.
method Ensemble deep neural network (SINet) using SMILES and InChI molecular representations.
result Significant performance improvement from transfer learning and dual molecular representations.
The paper uses VGG-19 for plant species classification from leaf images.
problem Manual inspection of plant species by botanists is time-consuming.
method Transfer learning with VGG-19 for feature extraction and classification.
result The model achieves 99.70% accuracy in predicting plant species.
Spectral algorithms solve optimal community detection and related problems.
problem Optimal detection of community structures and related substructures.
method Spectral algorithms applied to various planted substructures.
result Spectral algorithms achieve optimal performance for a wide range of planted substructures.
Exact partitioning of high-order planted models achieved through convex optimization.
problem Efficiently partitioning hypergraphs generated by high-order planted models.
method Solving a computationally efficient convex optimization problem with a tensor nuclear norm constraint.
result Exact recovery of true underlying cluster structures with high probability.
Bayesian framework for solar magnetogram super-resolution with uncertainty quantification.
problem Uncertainty in super-resolving solar magnetic field images.
method Bayesian decomposition of uncertainties into epistemic and aleatoric.
result Generation of maps measuring the range of possible high-resolution explanations.
Non-availability of reliable and sustainable electric power is a major problem in the developing world. Renewable energy sources like solar are not very lucrative in the current stage due to various uncertainties like weather, storage, land use among others. There also exists various other issues like mis-commitment of…
AI system synthesizes chemical plant operation procedures for efficiency and stability.
problem Developing efficient and stable operation procedures for complex chemical plants.
method Integrates automated reasoning, deep reinforcement learning, and dynamic simulation with external knowledge.
result Synthesized procedure achieves faster recovery from malfunctions compared to standard PID control.
In this work, a new approach for Sun tracking systems is presented. Due to the current system limitations regarding costs and operational problems, a new approach based on low cost, computer vision open hardware and deep learning has been developed. The preliminary tests carried out successfully in Plataforma solar de …
The study predicts solar flare productivity using magnetic data from SDO/HMI.
problem Forecasting solar flares, especially M- and X-class, to mitigate space weather effects.
method Statistical and machine learning methods applied to 563 ARs' magnetic data.
result Improved accuracy in predicting AR's Flare Index, especially for large values.
Paper tackles time series forecasting weaknesses in Transformers.
problem Transformer's locality-agnostic and memory-bottleneck issues in time series forecasting.
method Proposes convolutional self-attention and LogSparse Transformer to address locality and memory issues.
result Improves forecasting accuracy for fine-granularity, long-term dependency time series.
Electricity production via solar energy is tackled via short-term forecasts and risk management. Our main tool is a new setting on time series. It allows the definition of "confidence bands" where the Gaussian assumption, which is not satisfied by our concrete data, may be abandoned. Those bands are quite convenient an…
New insights link diverse statistical problems via secret leakage planted clique.
problem Statistical-computational gaps in inference problems.
method Secret leakage planted clique as a new hardness assumption for reductions.
result Establishes tight statistical-computational tradeoffs for various problems.
Quantum kernel improves solar irradiance forecasting.
problem Improving short-term solar irradiance forecasting accuracy.
method Quantum Fourier Transform kernel in KRR with feature mixing.
result Consistently improves R2 and nRMSE over classical kernels.
Tackles the computational hardness of HPC detection, conjecturing equivalence to PC detection.
problem Computational hardness of hypergraphic planted clique detection.
method No specific method mentioned; focuses on conjecturing equivalence.
result Equivalence of computational hardness between HPC and PC detection.
The study improves solar irradiance forecasts for Chile using machine learning.
problem Accurate short-term PV power forecasts for Chile's Atacama Desert.
method 8-member ensemble forecasts of solar irradiance using WRF model, calibrated with EMOS and DRN.
result Machine learning-based post-processing methods improve forecast accuracy and calibration.
Variable renewables can avoid market value decline with policy changes.
problem Market value decline due to correlated generation from wind and solar.
method Theoretical analysis and simulation examples of market incentives and prices.
result Market value decline is due to policy assumptions, not inherent technology limitations.
Plants monitor their surrounding environment and control their physiological functions by producing an electrical response. We recorded electrical signals from different plants by exposing them to Sodium Chloride (NaCl), Ozone (O3) and Sulfuric Acid (H2SO4) under laboratory conditions. After applying pre-processing tec…