It is shown that bootstrap approximations of support vector machines (SVMs) based on a general convex and smooth loss function and on a general kernel are consistent. This result is useful to approximate the unknown finite sample distribution of SVMs by the bootstrap approach.
Validates network bootstraps for uncertainty quantification in network visualisation.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in network embeddings when only a single observation is available.
method Statistical indistinguishable embeddings using k-nearest neighbour smoothing, validated by an exchangeable network test.
result Proposes a principled, distribution-free network bootstrap that passes the exchangeable network test.
Paper introduces a new method to improve learning on imbalanced regression problems.
problem Imbalanced distribution learning in predictive modeling reduces standard algorithms' performance.
method The paper proposes a novel method using disentangled VAEs and Smoothed Bootstrap in the latent space.
result The method improves learning on tabular data within the Imbalanced Regression framework.
We develop and implement a novel fast bootstrap for dependent data. Our scheme is based on the i.i.d. resampling of the smoothed moment indicators. We characterize the class of parametric and semi-parametric estimation problems for which the method is valid. We show the asymptotic refinements of the proposed procedure,…
Bagging is a device intended for reducing the prediction error of learning algorithms. In its simplest form, bagging draws bootstrap samples from the training sample, applies the learning algorithm to each bootstrap sample, and then averages the resulting prediction rules. We extend the definition of bagging from stati…
The paper introduces Shapley curves for measuring variable importance in nonparametric settings.
problem Limited statistical understanding of Shapley values as variable importance measures.
method Introduces Shapley curves based on conditional expectation and covariate distribution; derives convergence rates and normality; proposes a novel bootstrap procedure.
result Validates theoretical findings with numerical studies and analyzes vehicle prices determinants.
BAWS adapts window size for financial risk forecasting.
problem Adaptive selection of look-back window for financial risk modeling.
method Data-driven online learning method using bootstrap-based adaptive window selection (BAWS).
result BAWS improves risk forecasting, especially in data with structural changes.
This paper provides a practical method to extract caplet volatilities from quoted data.
problem Extracting caplet volatilities from quoted data is complex and not straightforward.
method The paper presents a constructive algorithm based on criteria and robust outlier detection. It includes direct interpolation, bootstrap methods, and global search methods.
result The paper introduces methods to extract caplet volatilities that are arbitrage-free and consistent with quoted data.
Optimizes a small set of centroid points to approximate bootstrap distribution.
problem Computational inefficiency of standard bootstrap methods in large-scale machine learning.
method Explicitly optimizes a small set of high quality centroid points to approximate the ideal bootstrap distribution.
result Accurately estimates uncertainty with a small number of bootstrap centroids, outperforming i.i.d. sampling.
AR-Sieve Bootstrap improves Random Forest time series prediction accuracy.
problem Inaccurate time series prediction due to inadequate resampling methods.
method Combines Random Forest with AR-Sieve Bootstrap for better resampling.
result AR-Sieve Bootstrap leads to more accurate predictions compared to other methods.
We consider the performance of the bootstrap in high-dimensions for the setting of linear regression, where p<n but p/n is not close to zero. We consider ordinary least-squares as well as robust regression methods and adopt a minimalist performance requirement: can the bootstrap give us good confidence intervals fo…
New bootstraps improve speed and accuracy for graph count functionals.
problem Efficiently counting subgraphs in large graphs.
method Developed two types of multiplier bootstraps: a fast, approximate linear one and a quadratic one for denser graphs.
result Both bootstraps provide valid inference and higher-order accuracy under different graph sparsity conditions.
SIREN protocol corrects optimistic winner's scores in LLM evaluation.
problem Optimistic winner's scores in LLM evaluation due to adaptive benchmarking.
method SIREN protocol that freezes post-search shortlist, separates selection and evaluation, and uses bootstrap for uncertainty quantification.
result SIREN provides valid confidence intervals for procedure-performance curves and deployment conclusions.
A new method reduces bootstrap simulation cost and improves accuracy.
problem Efficiently simulating input uncertainty with large sample sizes.
method Orthogonal Bootstrap: Decomposes into Infinitesimal Jackknife and orthogonal parts.
result Significantly reduces computational cost and maintains accuracy.
Three bootstrap tests compare categorical time series generating processes.
problem Testing equality of generating processes in categorical time series.
method Proposes three tests using dissimilarity measures and bootstrap methods.
result Advantages and disadvantages of each bootstrap method discussed.
Comparing counterfactual distributions can provide more nuanced and valuable measures for causal effects, going beyond typical summary statistics such as averages. In this work, we consider characterizing causal effects via distributional distances, focusing on two kinds of target parameters. The first is the counterfa…
Paper explores using bootstrap methods to improve SGD's stability and robustness.
problem Improving the stability and robustness of SGD.
method Investigates empirical bootstrap approaches for SGD from algorithmic stability and statistical robustness perspectives.
result Demonstrates construction of purely distribution-free confidence intervals using bootstrap SGD.
Bootstrap method for Markov chains in reinforcement learning.
problem Distributional consistency in finite controlled Markov chains with unknown control policies.
method Model-based bootstrap with novel LLN and CLT for visitation counts and transition increments.
result Asymptotically valid confidence intervals for value and Q-functions in offline RL. Proposes a private empirical bootstrap for Gaussian Differential Privacy.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in massive data under Differential Privacy.
method Gaussian Differential Private Bootstrap by Subsampling.
result Consistent and efficient private inference method.
The bootstrap provides a simple and powerful means of assessing the quality of estimators. However, in settings involving large datasets---which are increasingly prevalent---the computation of bootstrap-based quantities can be prohibitively demanding computationally. While variants such as subsampling and the m out o…
Confidence measures for the generalization error are crucial when small training samples are used to construct classifiers. A common approach is to estimate the generalization error by resampling and then assume the resampled estimator follows a known distribution to form a confidence set [Kohavi 1995, Martin 1996,Yang…
New DP bootstrap method for statistical inference with improved privacy and accuracy.
problem Lack of general techniques for conducting statistical inference under differential privacy.
method DP bootstrap procedure to infer sampling distribution and construct confidence intervals.
result DP bootstrap estimates provide consistent point estimates and asymptotically valid standard CIs.
Neural Bootstrapper reduces bootstrapping cost for deep neural networks.
problem Computational burden in bootstrapping deep neural networks.
method Neural Bootstrapper learns to generate bootstrapped neural networks through single model training.
result Neural Bootstrapper outperforms bagging methods with lower computational cost.
A new bootstrapping method reduces key sizes and runtime in FHE.
problem Large plaintext evaluation in FHE increases bootstrapping complexity.
method New polynomial vector representation and monic monomial permutation matrices.
result Polynomial factor improvement in key size and constant factor in runtime.
Paper introduces a new test for conditional independence using weighted partial copulas.
problem Testing conditional independence between variables.
method The approach uses a weighted partial copula function and a bootstrap procedure to compute regions of rejection.
result The proposed test has competitive power compared to existing methods.
The bootstrap provides a simple and powerful means of assessing the quality of estimators. However, in settings involving large datasets, the computation of bootstrap-based quantities can be prohibitively demanding. As an alternative, we present the Bag of Little Bootstraps (BLB), a new procedure which incorporates fea…
A new algorithm improves stochastic linear bandit performance using residual bootstrap.
problem Improving performance in stochastic linear bandit problems.
method Residual bootstrap exploration to estimate mean reward and pull the arm with the highest estimate.
result Proposed algorithm exttt{LinReBoot} achieves high-probability sub-linear regret under mild conditions.
Paper improves bootstrapping for off-policy reinforcement learning inference.
problem Improving bootstrapping for off-policy reinforcement learning inference.
method Proposes a bootstrapping FQE method for off-policy statistical inference and a subsampling procedure to improve runtime.
result Asymptotically efficient and distributionally consistent bootstrapping FQE method for off-policy inference.
Data augmented bootstrap unifies various confidence interval construction methods.
problem Constructing confidence intervals from data transformations.
method Data augmented bootstrap (DAB) framework.
result Establishes theoretical coverage results for DAB methods.
A new online bootstrap method for time series data.
problem Applying traditional bootstrap methods to time series data with dependencies.
method An autoregressive sequence of resampling weights to account for data dependencies.
result The method provides reliable uncertainty quantification in real-time applications.
Equity-Directed Bootstrapping improves model performance across groups in imbalanced datasets.
problem Improving model performance across different groups in imbalanced datasets.
method Equity-Directed Bootstrapping to balance training data with respect to both labels and group identity.
result The equity-directed bootstrap brings test set sensitivities and specificities closer to satisfying the equal odds criterion.
Delta method vs Bootstrap for deep learning classification shows strong linear relationship and faster computation.
problem Validating the Delta method for deep learning classification.
method Comparison of Delta method and Bootstrap on LeNet-based neural networks using MNIST and CIFAR-10 datasets.
result The Delta method provides a five times faster computation with strong linear predictive uncertainty relationship.
Recently, multilayer bootstrap network (MBN) has demonstrated promising performance in unsupervised dimensionality reduction. It can learn compact representations in standard data sets, i.e. MNIST and RCV1. However, as a bootstrap method, the prediction complexity of MBN is high. In this paper, we propose an unsupervis…
A wild bootstrap method for nonparametric hypothesis tests based on kernel distribution embeddings is proposed. This bootstrap method is used to construct provably consistent tests that apply to random processes, for which the naive permutation-based bootstrap fails. It applies to a large group of kernel tests based on…
In this paper we address the problem of performing statistical inference for large scale data sets i.e., Big Data. The volume and dimensionality of the data may be so high that it cannot be processed or stored in a single computing node. We propose a scalable, statistically robust and computationally efficient bootstra…
Paper presents methods to create stock price confidence intervals using LSTM models.
problem Creating accurate confidence intervals for LSTM-estimated stock prices.
method Three bootstrap methods for dependent data, optimal block length selection, and benchmark comparison.
result Illustrated through stock price data, different bootstrap strategies provide varying confidence intervals.
The paper studies steady solitons with curvature decay and proves their smoothness.
problem Analyzing the properties of steady solitons with curvature decay.
method Bootstrap regularity in harmonic coordinates using the soliton equation.
result Steady gradient Ricci solitons are asymptotically cylindrical under certain curvature decay conditions.
The paper analyzes bootstrap ensemble classifiers in high-dimensional settings.
problem Performance of bootstrap ensemble classifiers in high-dimensional data.
method Random Matrix Theory applied to LSSVM ensemble.
result Strategies to optimize performance of LSSVM ensemble.
Efficient exploration in complex environments remains a major challenge for reinforcement learning. We propose bootstrapped DQN, a simple algorithm that explores in a computationally and statistically efficient manner through use of randomized value functions. Unlike dithering strategies such as epsilon-greedy explorat…
Bootstrapping regularizes singular correlation matrices, reducing the need for complex regularization.
problem Singular correlation matrices in large datasets.
method Averaging bootstrapped correlation matrices to ensure positive-definiteness.
result The averaged correlation matrix is almost surely positive-definite with a sufficient number of bootstraps.
New algorithm speeds up causal inference for large data.
problem Efficiently estimating causal effects from large data.
method Causal Bag of Little Bootstraps (cBLOBS).
result Significantly improved computational efficiency with consistent estimates.
The paper improves the empirical bootstrap method for non-normal estimators.
problem Theoretical properties of empirical bootstrap for non-asymptotically normal estimators.
method Establishing limiting distribution, deriving consistency conditions, proposing alternative methods.
result The empirical bootstrap method can be asymptotically consistent under stability conditions.
In this paper, we propose a bootstrap method applied to massive data processed distributedly in a large number of machines. This new method is computationally efficient in that we bootstrap on the master machine without over-resampling, typically required by existing methods \cite{kleiner2014scalable,sengupta2016subsam…
First, we analyze the variance of the Cross Validation (CV)-based estimators used for estimating the performance of classification rules. Second, we propose a novel estimator to estimate this variance using the Influence Function (IF) approach that had been used previously very successfully to estimate the variance of …
Regularization is an important component of predictive model building. The hybrid bootstrap is a regularization technique that functions similarly to dropout except that features are resampled from other training points rather than replaced with zeros. We show that the hybrid bootstrap offers superior performance to dr…
Structural equation models and Bayesian networks have been widely used to study causal relationships between continuous variables. Recently, a non-Gaussian method called LiNGAM was proposed to discover such causal models and has been extended in various directions. An important problem with LiNGAM is that the results a…
A novel deep bootstrap framework for nonparametric regression using conditional diffusion models.
problem Nonparametric regression with efficient sampling and accurate estimation.
method Conditional diffusion model for learning conditional distributions, integrating sampling and regression into a unified generative framework.
result Established optimal convergence rates in the Wasserstein distance and convergence guarantees for the bootstrap procedure.
We introduce a bootstrap procedure for high-frequency statistics of Brownian semistationary processes. More specifically, we focus on a hypothesis test on the roughness of sample paths of Brownian semistationary processes, which uses an estimator based on a ratio of realized power variations. Our new resampling method,…