A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Investor sentiment improves model accuracy but complexity doesn't always boost predictive power.
Transformer models improve financial sentiment measurement.
Study finds investor sentiment has a significant positive relationship with stock returns in Moroccan and Tunisian markets.
LLMs improve financial sentiment analysis in finance.
We study the relationship between the sentiment levels of Twitter users and the evolving network structure that the users created by @-mentioning each other. We use a large dataset of tweets to which we apply three sentiment scoring algorithms, including the open source SentiStrength program. Specifically we make three…
To understand the relationship between news sentiment and company stock price movements, and to better understand connectivity among companies, we define an algorithm for measuring sentiment-based network risk. The algorithm ranks companies in networks of co-occurrences, and measures sentiment-based risk, by calculatin…
Improved crude oil price forecasting using multi-dimensional LLM sentiment signals.
Information transfer between time series is calculated by using the asymmetric information-theoretic measure known as transfer entropy. Geweke's autoregressive formulation of Granger causality is used to find linear transfer entropy, and Schreiber's general, non-parametric, information-theoretic formulation is used to …
Study investor sentiment and disagreement on StockTwits during COVID-19.
Social media is increasingly used by humans to express their feelings and opinions in the form of short text messages. Detecting sentiments in the text has a wide range of applications including identifying anxiety or depression of individuals and measuring well-being or mood of a community. Sentiments can be expressed…
Dual-CLVSA predicts financial markets using both trading data and sentiment measurements.
Study evaluates if LLMs have company-specific biases in financial sentiment analysis.
New measure corrects news bias in NLP stock return forecasting.
The estimation of class prevalence, i.e., the fraction of a population that belongs to a certain class, is a very useful tool in data analytics and learning, and finds applications in many domains such as sentiment analysis, epidemiology, etc. For example, in sentiment analysis, the objective is often not to estimate w…
With the rapid growth in the number of scientific publications, year after year, it is becoming increasingly difficult to identify quality authoritative work on a single topic. Though there is an availability of scientometric measures which promise to offer a solution to this problem, these measures are mostly quantita…
The paper analyzes how news sentiment of companies can affect market movements.
GIFsentiment predicts stock market returns and investor sentiment from social media GIFs.
Study proposes a machine learning method to predict stock price crashes based on investor sentiment.
Financial market prediction on the basis of online sentiment tracking has drawn a lot of attention recently. However, most results in this emerging domain rely on a unique, particular combination of data sets and sentiment tracking tools. This makes it difficult to disambiguate measurement and instrument effects from f…
Study compares sentiment spillover networks from news and social media in tech companies.
As machine learning ascends the peak of computer science zeitgeist, the usage and experimentation with sentiment analysis using various forms of textual data seems pervasive. The effect is especially pronounced in formulating securities trading strategies, due to a plethora of reasons including the relative ease of imp…
Predicting market volatility from financial news and tweets.
Study uses TV news to measure climate risks affecting clean energy firms.
This paper optimizes portfolios using TDA and financial news sentiment.
We introduce and treat rigorously a new multi-agent model of the continuous double auction or in other words the order book (OB). It is designed to explain collective behaviour of the market when new information affecting the market arrives. The novel feature of the model is two additional slow changing parameters, the…
Study uses machine learning to analyze Twitter sentiments about COVID-19.
The study distills news sources to analyze stock reactions, finding sentiment has asymmetric and sector-specific effects.
Transformer learns CoVaR from financial news, improving systemic risk forecasts.
News sentiment in U.S. economic newspapers has become more persistent over 45 years.
Well-defined formal definitions for sentiment and opinion are extended to incorporate the necessary elements to provide a formal quantitative definition of reputation. This definition takes the form of a time-based index, in which each element is a function of a collection of opinions mined during a given time period. …
Transformer model predicts stock trends using technical data and sentiment analysis.
Study uses Granger causality to show investor sentiment influences stock prices.
Can textual data be compressed intelligently without losing accuracy in evaluating sentiment? In this study, we propose a novel evolutionary compression algorithm, PARSEC (PARts-of-Speech for sEntiment Compression), which makes use of Parts-of-Speech tags to compress text in a way that sacrifices minimal classification…
Behavioral finance has become an increasingly important subfield of finance. However the main parts of behavioral finance, prospect theory included, understand financial markets through individual investment behavior. Behavioral finance thereby ignores any interaction between participants. We introduce a socio-financia…
The ability to identify sentiment in text, referred to as sentiment analysis, is one which is natural to adult humans. This task is, however, not one which a computer can perform by default. Identifying sentiments in an automated, algorithmic manner will be a useful capability for business and research in their search …
Enhanced portfolio selection using sentiment data and LSTM.
Anonymizing company names in financial news improves trading performance, contrary to initial expectations.
Sentiment analysis of DAX40 stocks improves performance by 5.38% annually.
Study enhances cryptocurrency sentiment analysis using TikTok and Twitter data.
\emph{Sentiment Quantification} (i.e., the task of estimating the relative frequency of sentiment-related classes -- such as \textsf{Positive} and \textsf{Negative} -- in a set of unlabelled documents) is an important topic in sentiment analysis, as the study of sentiment-related quantities and trends across a populati…
In this paper, we design an integrated algorithm to evaluate the sentiment of Chinese market. Firstly, with the help of the web browser automation, we crawl a lot of news and comments from several influential financial websites automatically. Secondly, we use techniques of Natural Language Processing(NLP) under Chinese…
Study uses sentiment analysis to predict implied volatility surface, improving prediction accuracy.
Automated sentiment classification (SC) on short text fragments has received increasing attention in recent years. Performing SC on unseen domains with few or no labeled samples can significantly affect the classification performance due to different expression of sentiment in source and target domain. In this study, w…
We propose how to quantify high-frequency market sentiment using high-frequency news from NASDAQ news platform and support vector machine classifiers. News arrive at markets randomly and the resulting news sentiment behaves like a stochastic process. To characterize the joint evolution of sentiment, price, and volatili…
MANA-Net improves market predictions by dynamically weighting news sentiments.
Python models predict stock sentiment for market-beating returns.
Sentiment analysis from news and social media predicts forex market movements.
This paper proposes a new HDP based online review rating regression model named Topic-Sentiment-Preference Regression Analysis (TSPRA). TSPRA combines topics (i.e. product aspects), word sentiment and user preference as regression factors, and is able to perform topic clustering, review rating prediction, sentiment ana…