Paper uses LLMs for sector allocation, showing better returns.
problem Automated trading sector allocation inefficiencies.
method Systematic analysis of macroeconomic data and sentiment.
result LLM-based sector allocation outperforms traditional strategies.
Statistical fields model explains capital allocation and accumulation among firms and investors.
problem Understanding capital allocation and accumulation dynamics among firms and investors.
method Applied statistical fields formalism to heterogeneous agents divided into firms and investors.
result Capital accumulation depends on various factors including long-term returns, competition, and stock price volatility.
The paper translates economic models into a field formalism to study capital accumulation and its fluctuations.
problem Understanding capital accumulation and its fluctuations in a complex economic system.
method Developed a field formalism to preserve interactions and microeconomic features, applying it to a microeconomic framework of investors and firms.
result Capital accumulation patterns can emerge at the macro-scale and affect neighboring sectors, leading to permanent fluctuations.
The European insurance sector will soon be faced with the application of Solvency 2 regulation norms. It will create a real change in risk management practices. The ORSA approach of the second pillar makes the capital allocation an important exercise for all insurers and specially for groups. Considering multi-branches…
RegimeFolio optimizes portfolios by adapting to changing market regimes.
problem Non-stationary markets with shifting volatility regimes.
method Explicitly models volatility regimes with sector-specific ensemble forecasting and adaptive mean-variance allocation.
result Significant improvement in return and robustness compared to conventional methods.
Project predicts stock performance and builds an efficient portfolio for six Indian sectors.
problem Predicting stock prices accurately for optimal portfolio design.
method Analysis of time series, machine learning, and deep learning models; Modern Portfolio Theory; minimum variance and optimal risk portfolio optimization.
result Built and tested an efficient portfolio for six Indian sectors using historical stock prices.
The paper models financial markets and real economy interactions using a large agent framework.
problem Understanding capital allocation and accumulation in financial markets and real economy interactions.
method Developed a field-formalism model to analyze interactions between financial markets and real economy with a large number of heterogeneous agents.
result The number of firms in each sector depends on the aggregate financial capital invested and expected long-term returns.
In the coming years, the satellite broadband market will experience significant increases in the service demand, especially for the mobility sector, where demand is burstier. Many of the next generation of satellites will be equipped with numerous degrees of freedom in power and bandwidth allocation capabilities, makin…
New method for interpreting financial model risks.
problem Fairly allocating risk in financial models.
method Extending Shapley value framework for axiomatic risk attribution.
result Risk can be well allocated in financial models.
DynMSA detects market clusters for better portfolio allocation.
problem Identifying stable market clusters for effective portfolio management.
method Combining Random Matrix Theory with modularity optimization and spectral clustering.
result DynMSA outperforms baseline models in intra- and inter-cluster correlation differences.
Adaptive portfolio outperforms static alternatives by 120% over 5 years.
problem Achieving strong and stable long-term performance in diversified portfolios.
method RL-BHRP: A two-level, learning-based approach that adjusts sector and stock exposures dynamically.
result Adaptive portfolio outperforms static alternatives by 120% over 5 years.
New measure quantifies financial erratic behavior.
problem Measuring similarity between erratic financial time series.
method Combining probability distributions and Bayesian change point detection.
result Greater similarity among sectors than countries in erratic behavior.
This paper explores portfolio management strategies to maximize alpha and minimize beta.
problem Maximizing returns while minimizing risk in investment portfolios.
method Examines asset allocation, diversification, active management, and risk management strategies.
result Combining these strategies optimizes portfolio performance.
This research quantifies cross-sectoral inequalities using latent class analysis.
problem Addressing multiple and intersecting forms of inequality in various sectors.
method Innovative latent class analysis approach to quantify discrepancies.
result Significant discrepancies found among minority ethnic groups and between them and non-minority groups.
We consider a portfolio allocation problem for trend following (TF) strategies on multiple correlated assets. Under simplifying assumptions of a Gaussian market and linear TF strategies, we derive analytical formulas for the mean and variance of the portfolio return. We construct then the optimal portfolio that maximiz…
The paper uses LSTM to predict stock prices and optimize portfolio weights.
problem Accurate prediction of stock prices and designing optimized portfolios.
method Built sector-wise portfolios and an LSTM model for stock price prediction.
result The LSTM model accurately predicts stock prices with high accuracy.
The paper analyzes cryptocurrency and equity markets using advanced statistical methods.
problem Comparing dynamics and strategies between cryptocurrency and equity markets.
method Random matrix theory, PCA, spectral dynamics, structural break analysis, portfolio simulation.
result Cryptocurrency and equity markets exhibit distinct evolutionary dynamics and time-varying sector behaviors.
We study soft persistence (existence in subsequent temporal layers of motifs from the initial layer) of motif structures in Triangulated Maximally Filtered Graphs (TMFG) generated from time-varying Kendall correlation matrices computed from stock prices log-returns over rolling windows with exponential smoothing. We ob…
The paper introduces isotropy as a regularizer to enhance portfolio stability.
problem Model uncertainty and estimation errors in diversification strategies.
method Integrates isotropy as a geometric regularizer into mean-variance optimization.
result Isotropy constraint systematically induces negative average-signal exposure, providing a robust crash hedge.
This paper compares three portfolio designs for Indian stocks.
problem Designing an optimum portfolio that balances return and risk.
method Three approaches: minimum risk, optimum risk, and Eigen portfolios.
result Optimum risk portfolios and Eigen portfolios identified for each sector.
LSTM model predicts stock prices for optimized portfolios.
problem Accurate stock price prediction for optimized portfolio design.
method Past stock prices from 2016-2020, LSTM model for prediction.
result High accuracy of LSTM model in predicting stock returns.
Different shares of distinct commodity sectors in production, trade, and consumption illustrate how resources and capital are allocated and invested. Economic progress has been claimed to change the share distribution in a universal manner as exemplified by the Engel's law for the household expenditure and the shift fr…
This study evaluates different portfolio designs for Indian stocks.
problem Optimizing portfolio weights for risk and return in volatile stock markets.
method Three portfolio design approaches: risk minimization, risk optimization, and equal weighting. Historical data from 2017-2022 used.
result Equal-weight portfolios outperformed other designs in most sectors.
TRP uses tree-based approach for market-neutral portfolios.
problem Creating non-binary, market-neutral portfolios with signed signals.
method Tree-based portfolio construction with minimum-spanning-tree and sector-anchored variants.
result TRP outperforms HRP in preserving signal direction and managing exposures.
Deep learning model optimizes portfolios by integrating news sentiment, stock relationships, and price data.
problem Optimizing portfolio weights using traditional methods introduces instability.
method Combines LSTM, GAT, and sentiment analysis in a unified pipeline.
result Delivers higher cumulative returns and Sharpe ratios compared to benchmarks.
This paper provides a holistic study of how stock prices vary in their response to financial disclosures across different topics. Thereby, we specifically shed light into the extensive amount of filings for which no a priori categorization of their content exists. For this purpose, we utilize an approach from data mini…
In recent years, the economic policy of privatization, which is defined as the transfer of property or responsibility from public sector to private sector, is one of the global phenomenon that increases use of markets to allocate resources. One important motivation for privatization is to help develop factor and produc…
Framework ranks sectors influenced by Indian Union Budgets.
problem Real-time analysis of budgetary impacts on sector-specific equity performance.
method Fine-tuned embeddings and language models for sector identification and performance ranking.
result 0.997 NDCG score in predicting sector ranks based on post-budget performances.
For a finitely generated discrete group Γ, the Γ-sectors of an orbifold Q are a disjoint union of orbifolds corresponding to homomorphisms from Γ into a groupoid presenting Q. Here, we show that the inertia orbifold and k-multi-sectors are special cases of the Γ-sectors, and that the Γ-sectors are orbif…
Study compares information flow between Chinese and US stock sectors.
problem Analyzing how information flows between sectors in Chinese and US stock markets.
method Daily sector indices, transfer entropy of daily returns, comparing 2000-2017.
result Most active sectors in information exchange differ between China and US, reflecting market dynamics.
Market sectors play a key role in the efficient flow of capital through the modern Global economy. We analyze existing sectorization heuristics, and observe that the most popular - the GICS (which informs the S&P 500), and the NAICS (published by the U.S. Government) - are not entirely quantitatively driven, but rather…
Study uses multidimensional SE-NBD process to analyze default portfolios and identify shock amplification.
problem Analyzing interactions and shock propagation in default portfolios with multiple sectors.
method Applied multidimensional self-exciting negative binomial distribution (SE-NBD) process to 13 sectors.
result Identified upstream and downstream sectors, showing shock amplification in default portfolios.
With the network methods and random matrix theory, we investigate the interaction structure of communities in financial markets. In particular, based on the random matrix decomposition, we clarify that the local interactions between the business sectors (subsectors) are mainly contained in the sector mode. In the secto…
The correlation matrix is the key element in optimal portfolio allocation and risk management. In particular, the eigenvectors of the correlation matrix corresponding to large eigenvalues can be used to identify the market mode, sectors and style factors. We investigate how these eigenvalues depend on the time scale of…
This study analyzes information flow networks in Chinese stock sectors using transfer entropy.
problem Understanding information transmission and market dynamics in Chinese stock sectors.
method Daily closing price data of 28 sectors from 2000 to 2017, transfer entropy, maximum spanning arborescence (MSA).
result The composite sector is an information source, and the non-bank financial sector is an information sink.
The paper analyzes Indian stock sectors using multifractal analysis for long and short-term investment.
problem Investment risk and stability in Indian stock sectors.
method Sector-wise multifractal analysis of Bombay Stock Exchange, India, over short and long time scales.
result Long-term investment in stable sectors is more profitable, while sectors with large fluctuations may lead to downturns.
The study finds significant financial sector volatility and tail risk spillovers to real economy sectors.
problem Volatility and tail risk spillovers from financial to real economy sectors.
method New measure of tail risk spillover, empirical analysis of U.S. economy 2001-2011.
result Significant volatility and tail risk spillovers from financial to real economy sectors, especially during crises.
Proposes a two-stage sector rotation method using machine learning and deep learning.
problem Identifying sectors with high investment attractiveness based on market conditions.
method Two-stage methodology: 1) Predict ETF prices using market indicators and feature selection, 2) Rank sectors based on predicted returns and select top sectors.
result The proposed methodology outperforms equally weighted portfolios and Echo State Networks show outstanding performance.
This paper models default data to capture dynamic dependence across sectors.
problem Static models fail to explain monthly default dependence.
method Dynamic low-rank state-space model for monthly multi-sector default-count data.
result Effective correlation matrices and copulas are induced from monthly data.
In this paper we consider a multivariate model-based approach to measure the dynamic evolution of tail risk interdependence among US banks, financial services and insurance sectors. To deeply investigate the risk contribution of insurers we consider separately life and non-life companies. To achieve this goal we apply …
Study develops sector rotation models using factor and fundamental analysis.
problem Understanding and predicting sector shifts in financial markets.
method Systematic sector classification, factor analysis, and fundamental metrics evaluation.
result Developed predictive models with notable predictive capabilities.
Factor analysis is a statistical technique employed to evaluate how observed variables correlate through common factors and unique variables. While it is often used to analyze price movement in the unstable stock market, it does not always yield easily interpretable results. In this study, we develop improved factor mo…
A classification of companies into sectors of the economy is important for macroeconomic analysis and for investments into the sector-specific financial indices and exchange traded funds (ETFs). Major industrial classification systems and financial indices have historically been based on expert opinion and developed ma…
Study reveals risk transmission channels among Chinese sectors.
problem Understanding risk transmission within Chinese economic sectors.
method Volatility spillovers analysis using VAR model and rolling window approach.
result 17 sectors are risk transmitters and 11 are risk takers.
Temporal coarse-graining of multi-sector default count data generates effective correlation matrices and rank copulas.
problem Explaining the difference in default dependence between monthly and annual aggregation.
method Dynamic low-rank state-space model with AR(1) latent credit-state factors.
result Effective correlation matrices and rank copulas are generated from monthly default count data.
New techniques identify shifts in financial market sectors.
problem Identifying shifts in financial market structure and composition.
method Developed new mathematical techniques to identify nonlinear shifts in market sectors.
result Identified meaningful sector-to-sector mappings and optimal portfolio styles.
Bangladesh's banking sector improved through financial reforms, but challenges remain.
problem Weak asset quality, inadequate provisioning, and negative capitalization of state-owned banks.
method Two phases of reforms: private ownership promotion and gradual deregulation.
result Significant improvements in asset quality and capitalization, but challenges persist.
GARCH models predict stock volatility in Indian sectors.
problem Designing accurate models for future stock volatility.
method GARCH framework applied to ten Indian stocks.
result Asymmetric GARCH models outperform in volatility forecasting.