Develops probabilistic forecasting for Sea Level Anomalies using Conformal Prediction on functional time series.
problem Forecasting and uncertainty quantification for Sea Level Anomalies.
method Functional data analysis, Conformal Prediction, Functional Autoregressive Processes.
result Proposed method provides accurate probabilistic predictions and uncertainty quantification for Sea Level Anomalies.
Neural-network emulators predict sea-level changes due to Antarctic ice melt.
problem High computational cost and time in projecting sea-level changes.
method Built neural-network emulators of sea-level change using GRD effects from future Antarctic Ice Sheet mass change.
result Neural-network emulators are as accurate as baseline machine learning emulators and offer substantial computational efficiency.
Understanding local currents in the North Atlantic region of the ocean is a key part of modelling heat transfer and global climate patterns. Satellites provide a surface signature of the temperature of the ocean with a high horizontal resolution while in situ autonomous probes supply high vertical resolution, but horiz…
Study optimizes climate adaptation strategies for NYC.
problem Catastrophic damages from extreme weather in NYC.
method Real options analysis and extreme value theory.
result Optimal adaptation pathways identified for NYC.
TRAKNN detects rare atmospheric trajectories efficiently.
problem Detecting rare atmospheric anomalies over long periods.
method Unsupervised, recurrence-based kNN algorithm.
result Rare trajectories correspond to physical anomalies.
Forecast dam inflow using sea surface feature weights.
problem Accurate dam inflow forecasting for flood mitigation.
method Extracted sea surface features, applied L2-norm ensemble weighting, used PCA and t-SNE for dimensionality reduction, and calibrated regression models.
result The proposed method improves predictor stability and accuracy in dam inflow forecasting.
Study introduces a probabilistic framework for air-sea fluxes using neural networks.
problem Accurately quantifying air-sea fluxes for understanding interactions and improving weather/climate models.
method Gaussian distributions conditioned on input variables, artificial neural networks, eddy-covariance data, minimizing negative log-likelihood loss.
result Trained neural networks provide alternative mean flux estimates and quantify uncertainty.
The forecasting and reconstruction of ocean and atmosphere dynamics from satellite observation time series are key challenges. While model-driven representations remain the classic approaches, data-driven representations become more and more appealing to benefit from available large-scale observation and simulation dat…
Generative AI predicts Arctic sea ice dynamics over decades.
problem Reproducing realistic sea ice dynamics from days to decades is computationally challenging.
method Introduced GenSIM, a generative AI model trained on 20 years of sea-ice-ocean simulation data.
result Generative AI predicts realistic sea ice evolution for 30 years, capturing long-term trends and physical consistency.
New neural network enforces mass conservation for better ice flow predictions.
problem Reliably project future sea level rise by improving ice sheet model inputs.
method Proposes divergence-free neural networks (dfNNs) enforcing local mass conservation.
result dfNNs yield more reliable ice flux estimates compared to other models.
We present five methods to the problem of network anomaly detection. These methods cover most of the common techniques in the anomaly detection field, including Statistical Hypothesis Tests (SHT), Support Vector Machines (SVM) and clustering analysis. We evaluate all methods in a simulated network that consists of nomi…
Fastest video anomaly detection via teacher-student distillation.
problem Anomaly detection in video at high speed.
method Adversarial knowledge distillation from object-level teacher models.
result 7-62 times faster than state-of-the-art methods.
Study examines unsupervised and graph-based methods for anomaly detection in IoBT, outperformed by supervised stacking ensemble.
problem Anomaly detection in adversarial environments of IoBT.
method Unsupervised learning, graph-based methods, ensemble supervised learning, adversarial training.
result Supervised stacking ensemble method outperforms unsupervised and graph-based methods in detecting anomalies.
New method corrects seasonal Arctic sea ice predictions with probabilistic models.
problem Systematic biases and errors in climate model forecasts of Arctic sea ice.
method Conditional Variational Autoencoder model to map observation distribution given biased model predictions.
result Probabilistic adjusted forecasts are better calibrated and have smaller errors.
Paper introduces MTCM to measure multivariate tail dependence.
problem Classical TDC fails to capture non-exchangeable features of multivariate tail dependence.
method Extends bivariate tail copula measure to multivariate case.
result MTCM reveals off-diagonal stress directions and differences in extremal dependence.
TPA-AD detects axle-box bearing anomalies using pseudo anomalies near normal boundaries.
problem Detecting axle-box bearing anomalies with only normal training data.
method Two-stage approach: pseudo anomalies, contrastive learning, KNN.
result Improves anomaly detection separability and sensitivity to degradation.
We propose a novel non-parametric adaptive anomaly detection algorithm for high dimensional data based on rank-SVM. Data points are first ranked based on scores derived from nearest neighbor graphs on n-point nominal data. We then train a rank-SVM using this ranked data. A test-point is declared as an anomaly at alpha-…
Unified geometric description of Kepler flow across all energies.
problem Understanding the Kepler flow across different energy levels.
method Revisiting Ligon--Schaaf regularization and identifying geometric origins of anomalies.
result Unified geometric description of Kepler flow for all energies.
New methods improve anomaly detection in deep networks by leveraging hierarchical likelihoods and multi-scale features.
problem Challenges in detecting anomalies in high-level features due to model bias and domain prior.
method Two methods: 1) Log likelihood ratios between in-distribution and general distribution models, 2) Multi-scale likelihood contribution.
result Strong anomaly detection performance in unsupervised setting, slightly underperforming supervised methods.
This work presents a novel modeling and analysis framework for graph sequences which addresses the challenge of detecting and contextualizing anomalies in labelled, streaming graph data. We introduce a generalization of the BTER model of Seshadhri et al. by adding flexibility to community structure, and use this model …
We propose a non-parametric anomaly detection algorithm for high dimensional data. We score each datapoint by its average K-NN distance, and rank them accordingly. We then train limited complexity models to imitate these scores based on the max-margin learning-to-rank framework. A test-point is declared as an anomaly…
We propose a non-parametric anomaly detection algorithm for high dimensional data. We first rank scores derived from nearest neighbor graphs on n-point nominal training data. We then train limited complexity models to imitate these scores based on the max-margin learning-to-rank framework. A test-point is declared as…
Decision tool helps manage biofouling risks for ships in the Baltic Sea.
problem Biofouling of ships causes environmental and economic issues.
method Bayesian networks to identify biofouling management strategies.
result Optimal biofouling management includes biocidal-free coating and in-water cleaning.
Topological anomaly scores predict return curves in S&P 500 stocks
problem Detecting anomalies in financial time series
method BallMapper, decoder-conditional VAE, Function-on-Function regression
result Anomaly history carries predictive content for return curves
Unified benchmark for GLAD and GLOD methods across 35 datasets.
problem Gap between GLAD and GLOD research due to distinct evaluation setups.
method Comprehensive evaluation framework that unifies GLAD and GLOD.
result Multi-dimensional analyses of existing methods' strengths and limitations.
Framework reconstructs missing spatio-temporal data for extreme value prediction.
problem Predicting extreme values from incomplete spatio-temporal data.
method Convolutional deep neural networks and autoencoder-like models for conditional sampling.
result Framework produces accurate reconstructions of missing data for extremal values.
Variational Auto-Encoders have often been used for unsupervised pretraining, feature extraction and out-of-distribution and anomaly detection in the medical field. However, VAEs often lack the ability to produce sharp images and learn high-level features. We propose to alleviate these issues by adding a new branch to c…
Study compares machine learning algorithms for predicting SST in the Great Barrier Reef.
problem Predicting sea surface temperature in the Great Barrier Reef region.
method Ridge regression, LASSO, Random Forest, and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithms were evaluated.
result XGBoost significantly outperforms other algorithms in terms of predictive accuracy and Kullback-Leibler Divergence.
ADSAGE detects anomalies in graph edge sequences for insider threat detection.
problem Detecting insider threats in fine-grained audit logs using graph and text features.
method Anomaly detection at edge level, supporting numeric, categorical, and text attributes.
result ADSAGE detects anomalies in authentications and email communications effectively.
Paper extends 2D ZSAD to 3D MRI without training, achieving robust anomaly detection.
problem Challenges in extending zero-shot anomaly detection to 3D medical images.
method Constructs localized volumetric tokens by aggregating 2D slices processed by 2D foundation models.
result Training-free, batch-based ZSAD effectively extends from 2D encoders to full 3D MRI volumes.
This paper introduces a novel graph-analytic approach for detecting anomalies in network flow data called GraphPrints. Building on foundational network-mining techniques, our method represents time slices of traffic as a graph, then counts graphlets -- small induced subgraphs that describe local topology. By performing…
Deep learning improves anomaly detection across various fields.
problem Detecting anomalies in data with advanced approaches.
method Survey of deep learning methods for anomaly detection.
result Advancements in deep anomaly detection address unique challenges.
ReGEN-TAD detects anomalies in financial time series with interpretable models.
problem Detecting anomalies in complex financial time series with high-dimensional data.
method Integrates machine learning with econometric diagnostics in a refined convolutional--transformer architecture.
result Unified anomaly score without labeled data, robust to structured deviations.
To restore the historical sea surface temperatures (SSTs) better, it is important to construct a good calibration model for the associated proxies. In this paper, we introduce a new model for alkenone (U37K′) based on the heteroscedastic Gaussian process (GP) regression method. Our nonparametric app…
Capsule networks improve anomaly detection in high-dimensional datasets.
problem Anomaly detection in high-dimensional, class-imbalanced datasets.
method Used a capsule network architecture with autoencoder pre-training and dynamic routing.
result Capsule network outperformed other models in anomaly detection.
Solves dual imbalance in detecting sparse anomalies in MIL.
problem Detecting scarce and sparse anomalous samples in MIL.
method Reformulates MIL as a fine-grained PU learning problem, addressing imbalance at both macro and micro levels.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of BFGPU framework on synthetic and real-world datasets.
Heat demand prediction is a prominent research topic in the area of intelligent energy networks. It has been well recognized that periodicity is one of the important characteristics of heat demand. Seasonal-trend decomposition based on LOESS (STL) algorithm can analyze the periodicity of a heat demand series, and decom…
TimeVQVAE-AD detects anomalies in time series data with high accuracy and provides explainable results.
problem Detecting and explaining anomalies in time series data accurately.
method Masked latent generative modeling in time-frequency domain.
result TimeVQVAE-AD outperforms existing methods in anomaly detection and explainability.
Anomaly detection is the process of finding data points that deviate from a baseline. In a real-life setting, anomalies are usually unknown or extremely rare. Moreover, the detection must be accomplished in a timely manner or the risk of corrupting the system might grow exponentially. In this work, we propose a two lev…
Paper detects anomalies in wheat and rapeseed crops using satellite data.
problem Detecting anomalies in crop development at parcel-level.
method Unsupervised outlier detection using SAR and multispectral features.
result Best performance with a 10% outlier ratio, achieving 94.1% true positives for rapeseed and 95.5% for wheat.
RESHAPE explains financial statement anomalies by aggregating explanations from AENNs.
problem Detecting and explaining accounting anomalies in financial audits is challenging.
method Proposes RESHAPE to explain model output on an aggregated attribute-level.
result RESHAPE provides more comprehensible explanations compared to existing methods.
Paper proposes a method to generate synthetic anomalies for robust anomaly detection.
problem Anomaly detection struggles with unbalanced data and rare anomalies.
method Two-level hierarchical latent space representation for feature distillation and synthesis.
result The method creates robust synthetic anomalies for training robust binary classifiers.
Improved regret bounds for online convex optimization under stochastic and adversarial settings.
problem Interpolating between stochastic and adversarial online convex optimization.
method Optimistic online mirror descent (OMD) for the Stochastically Extended Adversarial (SEA) model.
result Established new regret bounds for various function classes.
Improved anomaly detection using adversarial mirrored autoencoders.
problem Detecting out-of-distribution samples in machine learning.
method Adversarial Mirrored Autoencoder (AMA) with latent space regularization.
result AMA improves anomaly detection performance on OOD detection benchmarks.
SI-CLAD improves clustering-based anomaly detection by controlling false positives.
problem Lack of reliability in clustering-based anomaly detection.
method SI-CLAD (Statistical Inference for CLustering-based Anomaly Detection) using Selective Inference framework.
result SI-CLAD rigorously controls false detection probability below a specified significance level.
RPE detects anomalies robustly in time-series data.
problem Detecting anomalies in time-series data efficiently and robustly.
method Window-based, robust projection step, closed-form algorithm.
result RPE can identify anomalies in time-stamp level and outperforms existing methods.
In this work we present a clustering technique called \textit{multi-level conformal clustering (MLCC)}. The technique is hierarchical in nature because it can be performed at multiple significance levels which yields greater insight into the data than performing it at just one level. We describe the theoretical underpi…
Paper proposes a controllable RANSAC method for anomaly detection.
problem Anomaly detection in regression models to improve prediction accuracy.
method CTRL-RANSAC method using hypothesis testing and Selective Inference framework.
result The method controls the probability of misidentifying anomalies below a specified level.