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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,738 papers · 148 categories

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59118177236 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for Score bias

The paper tackles sampling bias in credit scoring models and proposes methods to improve their training and evaluation.

problem Sampling bias in credit scoring models leads to an incomplete representation of the borrower population.
method Bias-aware self-learning framework and Bayesian evaluation method to correct for bias.
result Bayesian evaluation outperforms standard accuracy measures in predicting future performance.

This work introduces a bias-variance decomposition for proper scores, improving uncertainty estimation in predictive models.

problem Reliable uncertainty estimation for predictions in safety-critical applications, especially under domain drift.
method Developed a general bias-variance decomposition for proper scores, introducing the Bregman Information as the variance term.
result The decomposition provides novel formulations for different predictive tasks, including classification and model ensembles.

In the last two decades several biclustering methods have been developed as new unsupervised learning techniques to simultaneously cluster rows and columns of a data matrix. These algorithms play a central role in contemporary machine learning and in many applications, e.g. to computational biology and bioinformatics. …

2019-07-24abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper addresses score-mismatched diffusion models and zero-shot conditional samplers.

problem Theoretical guarantees for score-mismatched diffusion models in zero-shot conditional sampling.
method Theoretical analysis of score-mismatched diffusion models and zero-shot conditional samplers.
result Theoretical performance guarantees with explicit dimensional dependencies for score-mismatched diffusion samplers.

Study improves unbiased recommender learning by addressing missing-reward bias.

problem Data bias caused by missing-reward observations in recommender systems.
method Proposes a novel estimator using propensity scores to mitigate both position and reward bias.
result The proposed estimator outperforms other methods, even with increased reward observation bias.

Propensity score matching improves fairness in machine learning models.

problem Bias in training data affects fairness metrics in machine learning models.
method Propensity score matching to evaluate and mitigate bias in test data.
result FairMatch significantly reduces bias in test data without sacrificing predictive performance.

Proposes SD-KDE for density estimation using debiased kernel density with score-based adjustments.

problem Density estimation with bias in kernel density estimation.
method Adjusts data points by taking a step along the estimated score function, then applies standard KDE with modified bandwidth.
result Significantly reduces mean integrated squared error compared to standard Silverman KDE, especially with noisy score function estimates.

Introduces privilege scores to measure and interpret protected attribute-related privilege in machine learning models.

problem Lack of explicit formulation of non-neutrality in fairness-aware machine learning methods.
method Privilege scores (PS) and privilege score contributions (PSCs) to measure and interpret protected attribute-related privilege.
result Demonstrates the broad applicability of PS and PSCs in gender and racial privilege in mortgage and college admissions applications.

Annealed Langevin dynamics improves sampling from composite scores in SBI.

problem Irreducible bias in sampling from composite scores of SBI methods.
method Derive Wasserstein bounds and decision rules for hyperparameters.
result Explicit decision rules for hyperparameters guarantee prescribed sampling accuracy.

In classification problems, sampling bias between training data and testing data is critical to the ranking performance of classification scores. Such bias can be both unintentionally introduced by data collection and intentionally introduced by the algorithm, such as under-sampling or weighting techniques applied to i…

2017-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

This study analyzes bias in face generation models and proposes mitigation techniques.

problem Bias in face generation models that may misrepresent certain social groups.
method Three approaches: generators, attribute modifier, and post-processing bias mitigators.
result Generators suffer from bias across all social groups, while post-processing mitigators show different feature concentration.

BC-ACI corrects time series forecast bias, improving prediction intervals.

problem Persistent bias in time series forecasts leads to overly conservative prediction intervals.
method Augments ACI with an EWM estimate of forecast bias to correct nonconformity scores and re-center intervals.
result Reduces Winkler interval scores by 13-17% under distribution shifts, improving calibration.

Develops fair feature importance scores for tree-based models to interpret fairness.

problem Ensuring fairness in machine learning models, especially tree-based ones.
method Inspired by decision trees, proposes a novel fair feature importance score based on mean decrease in group bias.
result Valid interpretations of fairness for tree-based ensembles and surrogates of other ML systems.

Corrects bias in LLM-as-a-judge evaluations using adaptive calibration.

problem Bias in LLM evaluations due to imperfect sensitivity and specificity.
method Plug-in framework with confidence intervals accounting for test and calibration dataset uncertainties.
result LML-based evaluation yields more reliable estimates than human-only evaluation.

Bias and heterogeneity in peer assessment can lead to the issue of unfair scoring in the educational field. To deal with this problem, we propose a reference ranking method for an online peer assessment system using HodgeRank. Such a scheme provides instructors with an objective scoring reference based on mathematics.

2018-03-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces a new framework to assess generative model uncertainty.

problem Lack of a theoretical framework for assessing generative models' generalization and uncertainty.
method Bias-variance-covariance decomposition for kernel scores, with unbiased and consistent estimators.
result Kernel-based variance and entropy for uncertainty estimation are more predictive than existing methods.

Study proposes a new method to estimate bias-correction term for ATE estimation.

problem Estimating the bias-correction term for ATE estimation.
method Directly estimating the bias-correction term by minimizing Bregman divergence.
result Automatic covariate balancing property achieved through specific model choices.

Paper tackles bias-variance trade-off in missing data, proposing a dynamic framework.

problem Missing data in practical applications deteriorates model performance.
method Develops a fine-grained dynamic learning framework to jointly optimize bias and variance.
result Theoretical and empirical validation of joint bias-variance optimization.

Credit scoring models support loan approval decisions in the financial services industry. Lenders train these models on data from previously granted credit applications, where the borrowers' repayment behavior has been observed. This approach creates sample bias. The scoring model (i.e., classifier) is trained on accep…

2019-09-13abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method reduces the bias in estimating inverse covariance matrices from sketches.

problem Reducing the bias in estimating inverse covariance matrices from sketches.
method Developed a framework for analyzing inversion bias and proposed a new sketching technique called LEverage Score Sparsified (LESS) embeddings.
result The new sketching technique reduces the inversion bias to O(1/d)O(1/\sqrt d) for m=O(d)m=O(d), significantly smaller than the Θ(1)Θ(1) approximation error.

The study examines when to trust confidence thresholding in pseudo-labelling regression.

problem Calibrated probabilities from classifiers used for pseudo-labelling need careful handling to avoid bias in downstream regression.
method Developed a diagnostic apparatus to predict and bound the bias induced by confidence thresholding, derived a closed-form expression for the attenuation bias.
result The bias can be predicted from the residual score variance VV^{*}, motivating a structural separation between classifier features and downstream controls.

We model and correct bias in sequential evaluation, improving ranking accuracy.

problem Sequential evaluation bias in online, irrevocable scoring.
method Modeling the rating process, posing as statistical inference, proposing an online algorithm.
result Near-linear time, online algorithm with guarantees in ranking metrics, information theoretically optimal.

Paper tackles overestimation bias in continuous control, improving performance by 25%.

problem Overestimation bias in off-policy learning.
method Truncated Quantile Critics (TQC) combines distributional representation, truncation, and ensembling of critics.
result TQC outperforms state-of-the-art methods by 25% on the Humanoid environment.

Deconfounding scores improve causal effect estimation with weak overlap.

problem Poor overlap in treatment and control groups makes causal effect estimators brittle.
method Introduces feature representations that improve overlap without introducing bias.
result Deconfounding scores satisfy a zero-covariance condition that is identifiable in observed data.

Quantum neural networks improve causal inference in biomedical studies, especially for small samples.

problem Addressing selection bias in comparing surgical techniques using observational data.
method Developed QNN-based propensity score models focusing on four key covariates (Age, Sex, Stage, BMI). Employed a linear ZFeatureMap for data encoding, SummedPaulis for predictions, and CMA-ES for optimization. Integrated noise modeling to enhance predictive stability.
result QNNs, particularly with noise-aware strategies, outperformed classical models in small samples, achieving AUC up to 0.750 for n=100.

Study evaluates if LLMs have company-specific biases in financial sentiment analysis.

problem Evaluating if large language models exhibit company-specific biases in financial sentiment analysis.
method Comparing sentiment scores with and without company names, constructing economic models, and empirical analysis.
result LLMs show company-specific biases in sentiment analysis, impacting investor behavior and stock prices.

The paper introduces Relative Bias to quantify LLM bias systematically.

problem Quantifying bias in LLMs is challenging due to ambiguity and rapid model emergence.
method Relative Bias framework using Embedding Transformation and LLM-as-a-Judge methodologies.
result The two scoring methods show strong alignment, providing a systematic approach.

A new method uses LLMs to discover causal pathways that affect fairness in machine learning.

problem Discovering fairness-relevant causal pathways in the presence of noise and confounding.
method Hybrid LLM-guided causal discovery framework combining active learning and dynamic scoring.
result LLM-guided methods, including the proposed active, dynamically scored variant, outperform baselines in recovering fairness-relevant structure under noisy conditions.