A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
A new Monte Carlo sampling method derived from reverse diffusion.
This supplementary material includes three parts: some preliminary results, four examples, an experiment, three new algorithms, and all proofs of the results in the paper "Reversible MCMC on Markov equivalence classes of sparse directed acyclic graphs".
Unified framework for MCMC algorithms simplifies their design and application.
HDT improves MCMC on graphs with history-dependent sampling.
The book covers scalable MCMC methods for Bayesian learning.
New MCMC method for complex models with large variables.
This paper develops tools for nonreversible MCMC with convergence guarantees.
It is well-known that irreversible MCMC algorithms converge faster to their stationary distributions than reversible ones. Using the special geometric structure of Lie groups and dissipation fields compatible with the symplectic structure, we construct an irreversible HMC-like MCMC algorithm on $\mathcal G…
Acyclic digraphs are the underlying representation of Bayesian networks, a widely used class of probabilistic graphical models. Learning the underlying graph from data is a way of gaining insights about the structural properties of a domain. Structure learning forms one of the inference challenges of statistical graphi…
New PDMP samplers tackle variable selection in models.
We propose a novel reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulated annealing algorithm to optimize radial basis function (RBF) networks. This algorithm enables us to maximize the joint posterior distribution of the network parameters and the number of basis functions. It performs a global search in the joint …
Traditional MCMC algorithms are computationally intensive and do not scale well to large data. In particular, the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm requires passing over the entire dataset to evaluate the likelihood ratio in each iteration. We propose a general framework for performing MH-MCMC using mini-batches of th…
In this contribution, we propose a new computationally efficient method to combine Variational Inference (VI) with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). This approach can be used with generic MCMC kernels, but is especially well suited to \textit{MetFlow}, a novel family of MCMC algorithms we introduce, in which proposals a…
A new two-step MH method for Bayesian EL computation.
In this article we select the unknown dimension of the feature by re- versible jump MCMC inside a simulated annealing in bayesian set up of collaborative filter. We implement the same in MovieLens small dataset. We also tune the hyper parameter by using a modified empirical bayes. It can also be used to guess an initia…
Generates random persistence diagrams for data analysis.
In this paper we build on previous work which uses inferences techniques, in particular Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, to solve parameterized control problems. We propose a number of modifications in order to make this approach more practical in general, higher-dimensional spaces. We first introduce a new tar…
Enhances RJMCMC efficiency with non-linear transport-based proposals.
A new method uses MCMC-assisted normalizing flows for efficient Bayesian sampling.
Unified framework for efficient trans-dimensional Bayesian inference using VI and NFs.
Improves sampling quality in model composition using MH-like acceptance rule for score-based diffusion models.
Paper forecasts corporate default risk using Particle MCMC with expert opinions.
Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is one of the main workhorses of probabilistic inference, but it is notoriously hard to measure the quality of approximate posterior samples. This challenge is particularly salient in black box inference methods, which can hide details and obscure inference failures. In this work, we ext…
Markov random fields (MRFs) are difficult to evaluate as generative models because computing the test log-probabilities requires the intractable partition function. Annealed importance sampling (AIS) is widely used to estimate MRF partition functions, and often yields quite accurate results. However, AIS is prone to ov…
Variational Auto-Encoders (VAEs) have become very popular techniques to perform inference and learning in latent variable models as they allow us to leverage the rich representational power of neural networks to obtain flexible approximations of the posterior of latent variables as well as tight evidence lower bounds (…
A new sampling method estimates scores without training or nested MCMC.
Sampling the parameters of high-dimensional Continuous Time Markov Chains (CTMC) is a challenging problem with important applications in many fields of applied statistics. In this work a recently proposed type of non-reversible rejection-free Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler, the Bouncy Particle Sampler (BPS), i…
Adaptive Bayesian model for covariate-dependent power spectra analysis.
Magnetic manifold HMC improves sampling on constrained manifolds.
In recent years a number of methods have been developed for automatically learning the (sparse) connectivity structure of Markov Random Fields. These methods are mostly based on L1-regularized optimization which has a number of disadvantages such as the inability to assess model uncertainty and expensive crossvalidatio…
Online distributional prediction with latent cluster geometry
In recent years a number of methods have been developed for automatically learning the (sparse) connectivity structure of Markov Random Fields. These methods are mostly based on L1-regularized optimization which has a number of disadvantages such as the inability to assess model uncertainty and expensive cross-validati…
The rapid development of computing power and efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation algorithms have revolutionized Bayesian statistics, making it a highly practical inference method in applied work. However, MCMC algorithms tend to be computationally demanding, and are particularly slow for large datasets…
Bayesian method learns graph structures from Gaussian data efficiently.
This paper concerns error bounds for recursive equations subject to Markovian disturbances. Motivating examples abound within the fields of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Reinforcement Learning (RL), and many of these algorithms can be interpreted as special cases of stochastic approximation (SA). It is argued tha…
Unified framework for MCMC and machine learning problems.
JaxSGMC simplifies SG-MCMC for Bayesian deep learning.
Paper proposes first unlearning algorithm for MCMC models.
Graphical models are popular statistical tools which are used to represent dependent or causal complex systems. Statistically equivalent causal or directed graphical models are said to belong to a Markov equivalent class. It is of great interest to describe and understand the space of such classes. However, with curren…
Stochastic EM with biased MCMC improves inference stability.
It is known that the Langevin dynamics used in MCMC is the gradient flow of the KL divergence on the Wasserstein space, which helps convergence analysis and inspires recent particle-based variational inference methods (ParVIs). But no more MCMC dynamics is understood in this way. In this work, by developing novel conce…
Monte Carlo (MC) methods are widely used for Bayesian inference and optimization in statistics, signal processing and machine learning. A well-known class of MC methods are Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. In order to foster better exploration of the state space, specially in high-dimensional applications, s…
Cyclical MCMC tackles high-dimensional multimodal distributions, showing convergence under certain conditions.
Paper compares MCMC-based copula methods for exchange option pricing.
This paper studies a curious phenomenon in learning energy-based model (EBM) using MCMC. In each learning iteration, we generate synthesized examples by running a non-convergent, non-mixing, and non-persistent short-run MCMC toward the current model, always starting from the same initial distribution such as uniform no…
New method uses PDMPs with sub-sampling for efficient sampling from posterior distributions.
Nonlinear MCMC improves Bayesian machine learning sampling.
Statistical inference methods are fundamentally important in machine learning. Most state-of-the-art inference algorithms are variants of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or variational inference (VI). However, both methods struggle with limitations in practice: MCMC methods can be computationally demanding; VI methods …