Develops a new multivariate regression model for complex outcomes.
problem Flexible, heterogeneous, and residual-dependent multivariate regression problems.
method MultiVCBART framework with Graphical Horseshoe priors.
result Empirically outperforms existing models on sparse, high-dimensional datasets.
Gaussian Process (GP) regression models typically assume that residuals are Gaussian and have the same variance for all observations. However, applications with input-dependent noise (heteroscedastic residuals) frequently arise in practice, as do applications in which the residuals do not have a Gaussian distribution. …
Develops efficient inference for noise heterogeneity in machine learning models.
problem Downstream procedures based on residuals can be biased in additive noise models.
method Semiparametrically efficient inference using a novel Hilbert-valued one-step estimator.
result Constructs tests and confidence intervals for residual independence and goodness of fit.
Alpha-based performance evaluation may fail to capture correlated residuals due to model errors. This paper proposes using the Generalized Information Ratio (GIR) to measure performance under misspecified benchmarks. Motivated by the theoretical link between abnormal returns and residual covariance matrix, GIR is deriv…
DIET tests conditional independence using marginal dependence measures of residual information.
problem Computational intractability of conditional randomization tests (CRTs).
method DIET avoids fitting large models by leveraging marginal independence statistics of information residuals.
result DIET achieves higher power than other tractable CRTs on synthetic and real benchmarks.
A well known result on pseudodifferential operators states that the noncommutative residue (Wodzicki residue) of a pseudodifferential projection vanishes. This statement is non-local and implies the regularity of the eta invariant at zero of Dirac type operators. We prove that in a filtered algebra the value of a proje…
Extends VAEs to handle complex Bayesian network structures.
problem Handling complex dependency structures in Bayesian networks.
method Extends VAEs with graphical residual flows to model arbitrary dependency structures.
result Demonstrates improved performance on synthetic datasets.
Fast nonparametric conditional independence testing via two-stage regression
problem Fast nonparametric conditional independence testing
method BLITZ (Broad-to-Local Independence Testing via residualiZation)
result Better null calibration than fast kernel, random-feature, and regression-based competitors
Proposes a neural network method to correct residual distortions in coordinate transformations.
problem Nonlinear and spatially dependent distortions in coordinate transformation models.
method Residual-based neural network approach focusing on systematic distortions.
result The method improves accuracy and stability in challenging conditions.
Generalization bounds derived for neural ODEs and deep residual networks.
problem Understanding the generalization capability of neural ODEs and deep residual networks.
method Lipschitz-based argument and analogy with deep residual networks.
result A generalization bound involving the magnitude of weight matrix differences.
Deep residual networks trained with gradient descent have small generalization gap.
problem Limited theoretical understanding of why residual networks generalize well.
method Analyzing overparameterized deep residual networks trained by gradient descent.
result Demonstrates that residual networks have a small generalization gap between training and test error.
KBB algorithm reduces sample complexity for policy evaluation in general state spaces.
problem Policy evaluation in large state spaces with high sample complexity.
method Alternates between fitting Bellman residual and estimating value function via adaptive feature set growth.
result Super-linear convergence rates demonstrated, with reductions in sample complexity.
Deep learning for HJB PDEs using synthetic data and residual minimization.
problem Solving Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman PDEs for optimal control problems.
method Gradient-augmented synthetic dataset for supervised learning, residual minimization.
result Improves accuracy and efficiency of deep learning for HJB PDEs.
Predicting diagnoses from Electronic Health Records (EHRs) is an important medical application of multi-label learning. We propose a convolutional residual model for multi-label classification from doctor notes in EHR data. A given patient may have multiple diagnoses, and therefore multi-label learning is required. We …
Study tests how U.S. equity prices align with global asset frequencies using financial variables.
problem Testing whether U.S. equity prices align with global asset frequencies using financial variables.
method Examines SPX and RUT gaps, uses OIS-based funding, volatility, trading-friction, financial-condition variables, and residual information.
result Gains in fit survive broad-dollar neutralization, alternative blocks, PCA, residualization, and nested horizon selection, supporting reduced-form P-Q alignment.
A new method uses deep learning to efficiently solve complex physics equations in high dimensions.
problem Efficiently solving high-dimensional time-dependent PDEs with dynamic solutions.
method Deep adaptive sampling framework for PINNs extended to spacetime domains using normalizing flows.
result The method effectively identifies and tracks high-residual regions in both space and time.
Temporal aggregation reveals latent default correlation from monthly data.
problem Understanding effective default correlation from monthly default data.
method Temporal coarse-graining of latent default-probability paths.
result Temporal coarse-graining improves identifiability and reduces over-allocation of long-horizon fluctuations.
Training deep recurrent neural network (RNN) architectures is complicated due to the increased network complexity. This disrupts the learning of higher order abstracts using deep RNN. In case of feed-forward networks training deep structures is simple and faster while learning long-term temporal information is not poss…
Temporal coarse-graining of latent default paths explains effective correlation in corporate defaults.
problem Understanding effective default correlation in corporate defaults.
method Temporal coarse-graining of latent default-probability paths, applied to corporate default-count data.
result Temporal coarse-graining provides a scale-consistent baseline that improves identifiability and reduces over-allocation of long-horizon fluctuations.
Field theory explains optimal scaling in ResNets for signal propagation.
problem Understanding optimal scaling parameter for ResNet performance.
method Finite-size field theory for ResNets to study signal propagation and scaling.
result Analytical expressions for optimal scaling parameter, independent of other hyperparameters.
Residual networks' depth is mathematically equivalent to expanding an implicit ensemble size.
problem Understanding why deep residual networks are effective.
method Formal analysis of residual networks as ensembles of shallow models.
result Increasing network depth is equivalent to expanding the size of an implicit ensemble, revealing a hierarchical structure.
A new method boosts exploration in bandit algorithms, reducing regret.
problem Improving exploration in bandit algorithms with bounded or unbounded rewards.
method Residual Bootstrap Exploration (ReBoot) method that injects data-driven randomness.
result Proves logarithmic regret in Gaussian multi-armed bandits with appropriate variance inflation.
Probabilistic principal component analysis (PPCA) seeks a low dimensional representation of a data set in the presence of independent spherical Gaussian noise. The maximum likelihood solution for the model is an eigenvalue problem on the sample covariance matrix. In this paper we consider the situation where the data v…
We regard pre-trained residual networks (ResNets) as nonlinear systems and use linearization, a common method used in the qualitative analysis of nonlinear systems, to understand the behavior of the networks under small perturbations of the input images. We work with ResNet-56 and ResNet-110 trained on the CIFAR-10 dat…
The aim of our work is to propose a natural framework to account for all the empirically known properties of the multivariate distribution of stock returns. We define and study a "nested factor model", where the linear factors part is standard, but where the log-volatility of the linear factors and of the residuals are…
RR-GNN improves GNN prediction intervals by accounting for graph heteroscedasticity and structural biases.
problem Uncertainty quantification in GNNs for high-stakes domains.
method Graph-Structured Mondrian CP, Residual-Adaptive Nonconformity Scores, Cross-Training Protocol.
result Improved efficiency and no loss of coverage compared to CP baselines.
The paper introduces a diagnostic method to detect grokking transitions in models before test accuracy improves.
problem Detecting the transition from training to generalization in machine learning models.
method Summarize task-dependent observables as empirical distributions, map them to Wasserstein/quantile coordinates, and analyze using Hankel dynamic mode decomposition.
result The diagnostic method achieves AUROC \(\approx\) 0.93 for grokking-vs-non-grokking discrimination at the run level.
Study minimizers in large volume isoperimetric problems with a new flatness criterion.
problem Minimizers in isoperimetric problems with a compact obstacle.
method Study Plateau-type problem with free boundary, develop mesoscale flatness criterion.
result Identify isoperimetric residue in energy expansion for large volume.
This paper provides estimation and inference methods for a conditional average treatment effects (CATE) characterized by a high-dimensional parameter in both homogeneous cross-sectional and unit-heterogeneous dynamic panel data settings. In our leading example, we model CATE by interacting the base treatment variable w…
The paper proves a vanishing identity for twist knots using character varieties.
problem Proving a vanishing identity for adjoint Reidemeister torsions of twist knots.
method Using Jacobi's residue theorem on the SL2(C)-character variety.
result The conjecture about vanishing identities for twist knots is proven.
The paper analyzes how open-end fund sales affect prices and returns.
problem How open-end fund sales impact prices and returns.
method Continuous-time market-clearing model to derive expected-return restrictions.
result Forced-sale pressure predicts actual fund selling and positive returns.
We present an adaptive regularization algorithm that can be effectively applied to the optimization problem in deep learning framework. Our regularization algorithm aims to take into account the fitness of data to the current state of model in the determination of regularity to achieve better generalization. The degree…
BRPO optimizes batch RL policies to better exploit state-action differences.
problem Batch RL's conservatism limits exploitation of state-action differences.
method Proposes residual policies and derives BRPO to maximize policy performance.
result BRPO achieves state-of-the-art performance in various tasks.
Belief propagation and its variants are popular methods for approximate inference, but their running time and even their convergence depend greatly on the schedule used to send the messages. Recently, dynamic update schedules have been shown to converge much faster on hard networks than static schedules, namely the res…
Optimal a priori estimates are derived for the population risk, also known as the generalization error, of a regularized residual network model. An important part of the regularized model is the usage of a new path norm, called the weighted path norm, as the regularization term. The weighted path norm treats the skip c…
D2SRM solves complex PDEs using deep learning.
problem High-dimensional, Hessian-dependent fully nonlinear parabolic PDEs.
method Single scalar space-time network generating derivative-consistent approximations trained through residuals and penalties.
result Well-posedness and convergence theory established for globally Lipschitz equations.
New method learns PDE solutions from low-fidelity data.
problem Challenges in learning PDE surrogates with scarce data.
method Flow matching in infinite-dimensional space with conditional neural operators.
result Accurately learns PDE solutions across different resolutions and fidelities.
New method predicts heat load in thermal grids using latent variables.
problem Predicting heat load in district energy systems.
method Combines nominal model for outdoor temperature with latent variable model for residual heat load.
result Proposed method achieves better prediction accuracy than artificial neural networks.
Researchers expand on best subset selection theory, identifying key complexities.
problem Understanding model selection performance in high-dimensional sparse linear regression.
method Analyzing residualized signals, orthogonality, and spurious projections to establish margin conditions.
result Established necessary and sufficient margin conditions for BSS model consistency.
We prove that the "generic condition" used in singularity theorems of general relativity is generic in the space of Lorentzian metrics on a given manifold, in the sense that it is satisfied for all metrics in a residual set in the Whitney Ck-topology, for k depending on the dimension of the manifold.
Abstract: Non-residually finite hyperbolic groups imply non-residually finite rigid hyperbolic groups.
problem Existence of non-residually finite hyperbolic groups
method Direct implication
result Existence of non-residually finite rigid hyperbolic groups
Improved stochastic approximation method reduces residual error.
problem Reducing residual error in stochastic approximation algorithms.
method Fixed-schedule one-quarter barrier and bias-corrected acceleration.
result Achieves T−1/2+o(1) residual reduction with O(1) primitive samples. Due to the success of residual networks (resnets) and related architectures, shortcut connections have quickly become standard tools for building convolutional neural networks. The explanations in the literature for the apparent effectiveness of shortcuts are varied and often contradictory. We hypothesize that shortcut…
Gradient descent converges to global minima for ResNets with linearly scaled width.
problem Understanding the convergence of deep residual networks with varying network width and dataset size.
method Analyzing the Jacobian of ResNets and applying gradient descent for quadratic loss.
result Gradient descent converges to global minima for ResNets with linearly scaled width and independent of depth.
Residual finiteness is known to be an important property of groups appearing in combinatorial group theory and low dimensional topology. In a recent work [2] residual finiteness of quandles was introduced, and it was proved that free quandles and knot quandles are residually finite. In this paper, we extend these resul…
In this note, residual finiteness of quandles is defined and investigated. It is proved that free quandles and knot quandles of tame knots are residually finite and Hopfian. Residual finiteness of quandles arising from residually finite groups (conjugation, core and Alexander quandles) is established. Further, residual…
Deep heteroskedastic models overfit, showing a phase transition with regularization strength.
problem Overfitting in deep heteroskedastic regression models.
method Theoretical framework based on statistical field theory, empirical verification, and hyperparameter simplification.
result A phase transition in model behavior with varying regularization strength.
DeRegiME forecasts with regime structure, improving probabilistic predictions across various time series.
problem Probabilistic forecasting discards residual uncertainty, and distribution shifts are hard to capture.
method DeRegiME uses a sparse variational Gaussian process with a nonstationary regime-mixing kernel to separate latent uncertainty regimes.
result DeRegiME improves NLPD by 20.3% on average across benchmarks, with gains on CRPS and MSE.