Extends super-replication theorem with dynamic strategies and transaction costs.
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Improved option pricing model with transaction costs.
We establish a super-replication duality in a continuous-time financial model where an investor's trades adversely affect bid- and ask-prices for a risky asset and where market resilience drives the resulting spread back towards zero at an exponential rate. Similar to the literature on models with a constant spread, ou…
Adaptive replication improves stochastic function optimization.
Dynamic hedging of an European option under a general local volatility model with small linear transaction costs is studied. A continuous control version of Leland's strategy that asymptotically replicates the payoff is constructed. An associated central limit theorem of hedging error is proved. The asymptotic error va…
New RL algorithm ensures stable, replicable policies.
We study super--replication of contingent claims in markets with fixed transaction costs. This can be viewed as a stochastic impulse control problem with a terminal state constraint. The first result in this paper reveals that in reasonable continuous time financial market models the super--replication price is prohibi…
The study models mortgage prepayment risk, accounting for behavioral uncertainty, and provides replication strategies.
Study cash-flow forecasting for derivatives, aligning with replication strategy and addressing timing frictions.
Study replicates market model, finds replication hindered by missing details.
New framework replicates private equity performance using AI and liquid strategies.
Model financial network dynamics to avoid systemic risk.
We study super-replication of contingent claims in markets with delayed filtration. The first result in this paper reveals that in the Black--Scholes model with constant delay the super-replication price is prohibitively costly and leads to trivial buy-and-hold strategies. Our second result says that the scaling limit …
This work analyzes impermanent loss in decentralized markets and provides a hedging strategy.
This paper deals with the super-replication of non path-dependent European claims under additional convex constraints on the number of shares held in the portfolio. The corresponding super-replication price of a given claim has been widely studied in the literature and its terminal value, which dominates the claim of i…
The study examines a financial model with sticky prices and finds no arbitrage when interest rate is zero.
We consider infinite dimensional optimization problems motivated by the financial model called Arbitrage Pricing Theory. Using probabilistic and functional analytic tools, we provide a dual characterization of the super-replication cost. Then, we show the existence of optimal strategies for investors maximizing their e…
In the theory of riskfree hedges in continuous time finance, one can start with the delta-hedge and derive the option pricing equation, or one can start with the replicating, self-financing hedging strategy and derive both the delta-hedge and the option pricing partial differential equation. Approximately reversible tr…
This paper studies the problem of option replication in general stochastic volatility markets with transaction costs, using a new specification for the volatility adjustment in Leland's algorithm \cite{Leland}. We prove several limit theorems for the normalized replication error of Leland's strategy, as well as that of…
We describe the pricing and hedging of financial options without the use of probability using rough paths. By encoding the volatility of assets in an enhancement of the price trajectory, we give a pathwise presentation of the replication of European options. The continuity properties of rough-paths allow us to generali…
In this expository paper we illustrate the generality of game theoretic probability protocols of Shafer and Vovk (2001) in finite-horizon discrete games. By restricting ourselves to finite-horizon discrete games, we can explicitly describe how discrete distributions with finite support and the discrete pricing formulas…
Modelling stock prices via jump processes is common in financial markets. In practice, to hedge a contingent claim one typically uses the so-called delta-hedging strategy. This strategy stems from the Black--Merton--Scholes model where it perfectly replicates contingent claims. From the theoretical viewpoint, there is …
Trains neural nets for gamma hedging with model uncertainty.
Paper examines financial engineering problems and introduces AlphaZero for better replication strategies.
Study liquidity provision in decentralized exchanges considering risk aversion and replication costs.
Model financial network dynamics to avoid systemic risk.
We study the problem of super-replication for game options under proportional transaction costs. We consider a multidimensional continuous time model, in which the discounted stock price process satisfies the conditional full support property. We show that the super-replication price is the cheapest cost of a trivial s…
The paper prices long-term options with a reflecting barrier model.
Boosting strategies for merging vs. ensembling studies analyzed.
The paper examines fair pricing and hedging stability under small numéraire perturbations.
We extend a linear version of the liquidity risk model of Cetin et al. (2004) to allow for price impacts. We show that the impact of a market order on prices depends on the size of the transaction and the level of liquidity. We obtain a simple characterization of self-financing trading strategies and a sufficient condi…
This paper extends liquidity returns in geometric mean markets to time-varying weights.
Study of gamma-hedging using rough paths for European and exotic options.
In this paper we examine inefficiencies and information disparity in the Japanese stock market. By carefully analysing information publicly available on the internet, an `outsider' to conventional statistical arbitrage strategies--which are based on market microstructure, company releases, or analyst reports--can never…
Study confirms mispricing in sportsbooks but finds data issues affect results.
This paper prices and replicates the financial derivative whose payoff at is the wealth that would have accrued to a $\$1$ deposit into the best continuously-rebalanced portfolio (or fixed-fraction betting scheme) determined in hindsight. For the single-stock Black-Scholes market, Ordentlich and Cover (1998) only p…
The purpose of this note is to reconcile two different results concerning the model-free upper bound on the price of an American option, given a set of European option prices. Neuberger (2007, `Bounds on the American option') and Hobson and Neuberger (2016, `On the value of being American') argue that the cost of the c…
The paper explores perpetual contracts in a financial market without arbitrage.
Policy gradient and actor-critic algorithms form the basis of many commonly used training techniques in deep reinforcement learning. Using these algorithms in multiagent environments poses problems such as nonstationarity and instability. In this paper, we first demonstrate that standard softmax-based policy gradient c…
Study liquidity impact on spread option pricing.
A new method for creating derivatives without oracles.
A variance swap is a derivative with a path-dependent payoff which allows investors to take positions on the future variability of an asset. In the idealised setting of a continuously monitored variance swap written on an asset with continuous paths it is well known that the variance swap payoff can be replicated exact…
Study dynamic trading in options to improve price bounds for exotic derivatives.
Suppose an investor aims at Delta hedging a European contingent claim in a jump-diffusion model, but incorrectly specifies the stock price's volatility and jump sensitivity, so that any hedging strategy is calculated under a misspecified model. When does the erroneously computed strategy super-replicate the t…
Study the impact of overfitting on linear predictive models' performance.
RL methods applied to option pricing using modified QLBS and RLOP models.
Financial markets have developed a lot of strategies to control risks induced by market fluctuations. Mathematics has emerged as the leading discipline to address fundamental questions in finance as asset pricing model and hedging strategies. History began with the paradigm of zero-risk introduced by Black & Scholes st…
Study uses deep learning for pairs trading in Polish equities, achieving profits in 2017-2019.