Study finds apartment owners can set Airbnb policies to be socially efficient.
problem Negative externalities from Airbnb hosts on neighbors.
method Modeling competitive rental market and apartment sorting.
result Equilibrium Airbnb fraction is socially efficient if tenants can sort.
New framework forecasts both supply and demand in rental markets.
problem Booking models ignore supply, leading to regime-specific ceilings.
method Three-part coupling framework (behavioral, informational, intervention).
result Booking models learn a regime-specific ceiling and become fragile.
Developed a Swiss real estate portal using machine learning and public data.
problem Creating a real estate portal without domain expertise and making it accessible.
method Continuous web crawling of real estate ads, using machine learning for price estimation.
result Random Forest algorithm provides accurate rental price estimates with a median absolute relative error of 6.57 percent.
Optimal ski rental strategies with machine learning predictions.
problem Minimizing ski rental costs with uncertain future days.
method Derive optimal randomized algorithms using machine learning predictions.
result Class of optimal algorithms with minimized competitive ratio.
Investment tool predicts higher returns for Madrid real estate units.
problem Determining which real estate units have higher returns to investment in Madrid.
method Data collection from Idealista.com, descriptive statistics, return index, machine learning algorithms.
result Introduction of machine learning algorithms for rental real estate price prediction.
The paper analyzes the pricing of a new compute futures asset.
problem Uncertainty in AI adoption and pricing of compute capital.
method An asset-pricing framework for compute futures, including synthetic futures pricing.
result Preliminary evidence suggests a positive compute risk premium.
We consider a simple stochastic model of a urban rental housing market, in which the interaction of tenants and landlords induces rent fluctuations. We simulate the model numerically and measure the equilibrium rent distribution, which is found to be close to a lognormal law. We also study the influence of the density …
The paper proposes calibration to improve algorithm performance using machine learning predictions.
problem Improving real-world performance of online algorithms with machine learning predictions.
method Calibration as a tool to bridge the gap between prediction uncertainty and algorithm design.
result Calibrated advice leads to more effective guidance in high-variance settings and significant performance improvements in real-world data.
Paper predicts Airbnb prices using machine learning and customer reviews.
problem Predicting optimal Airbnb prices with limited property information.
method Uses machine learning, sentiment analysis, and various models.
result Develops a model to help both property owners and customers with price evaluation.
Study finds internal view preferred over external view in defining startups.
problem Insufficient understanding of how to start a new business.
method Empirical study with 701 entrepreneurs reflecting on nine resource categories and three business mission elements.
result Tendency to favor internal view over external view, stronger in stable economies.
Machine learning identifies underpriced homes for investors.
problem Identifying houses listed below market price for quick sale.
method Feature engineering and machine learning algorithms (regression trees, k-nearest neighbors, SVM, neural networks).
result High predictive performance in estimating market prices.
Study shows houses appreciated more during pandemic due to speculation, not just price uncertainty.
problem Impact of COVID-19 on house prices and speculation.
method Quasi-experimental design, unit-level matching, multivariate difference-in-difference regression.
result Properties listed for sale appreciated an additional 1% per month after pandemic onset, with an excess annual growth of 12.7 percentage points.
User preferences for items can be inferred from either explicit feedback, such as item ratings, or implicit feedback, such as rental histories. Research in collaborative filtering has concentrated on explicit feedback, resulting in the development of accurate and scalable models. However, since explicit feedback is oft…
Model analyzes debt recycling strategies under various fiscal regimes and jurisdictions.
problem Understanding debt recycling dynamics and their impact on repayment times and equity growth.
method Developed a calibrated model incorporating mortgage interest rates, borrowing costs, and tax shields.
result Introducing positive interest rates without tax shields contracts success regions and lengthens repayment times, but tax shields partially reverse these effects.
A new sampler tackles high-dimensional models with intractable likelihoods.
problem Statistical inference for models with computationally intractable likelihoods and high-dimensional parameters.
method Likelihood-free approximate Gibbs sampler focusing on lower-dimensional conditional distributions estimated by flexible regression models.
result The sampler enables fitting models with 13,140 parameters that are otherwise impossible with standard ABC techniques.
New approach for algorithms that learn predictors to improve performance.
problem Improving algorithm performance by learning better predictions.
method Identify functional dependence and apply online learning techniques.
result Improved results in various online settings with simpler analysis.
Study incentivizes sharing economy users to explore less-reviewed options.
problem Lack of reviews leads to neglect of less-popular options, creating a cycle.
method Introduced Coordinated Online Learning (CoOL) to learn optimal incentives.
result Algorithm increases exploration on Airbnb, improving user experience.
PriceAggregator optimizes hotel price fetching to increase Agoda's bookings.
problem Limited QPS from suppliers causes many user searches to be ignored.
method Intelligently determines queries to suppliers for price fetching.
result PriceAggregator increases Agoda's bookings significantly.
Estimator improves prediction with missing data in multi-environment settings.
problem Handling missing data in multi-environment settings for robust prediction.
method Derive an estimator from invariance objective under missing outcomes.
result The estimator achieves lower prediction error despite using a biased imputation model.
We study numeraire markets in open stock markets.
problem Understanding the numeraire portfolio in open stock markets.
method Constructed an example of a numeraire market that is asymptotically stable.
result Found an asymptotically stable numeraire market in open stock markets.
Study optimizes market making in Chinese stock market with stochastic control and scenario analysis.
problem Limited research on market making in Chinese stock market.
method Optimal market making framework with exponential CARA utility function, accounting for market conditions and risks.
result Impact of volatility and stamp duty on market maker's profit and liquidity.
Study shows cryptocurrency market efficiency changes over time.
problem Measuring cryptocurrency market efficiency over time.
method Used a generalized least squares-based time-varying model to measure efficiency without sample size dependence.
result Bitcoin's market efficiency is higher than Ethereum's over most periods.
Derives financial models for markets with multidimensional Hermite motions.
problem Modeling financial markets with multidimensional Hermite motions.
method Derives conditions for no-arbitrage and market completeness, prices perpetual derivatives and forwards.
result Derives partial and partial-differential equations for pricing.
Open markets are a subset of equity markets with fixed top stocks, changing over time.
problem Understanding the dynamics and characteristics of open markets.
method Analyzing the similarities and differences between open markets and closed equity markets, and exploring specific topics like CAPM and portfolio construction.
result The equivalence of market viability and the existence of a numeraire portfolio holds in open markets, similar to closed markets.
Study applies market microstructure to Cuban informal currency market, finding market makers improve liquidity.
problem Understanding dynamics of informal currency markets.
method Modeling bid/ask intentions using Limit Order Book, applying Avellaneda-Stoikov model with Market Maker.
result Market Maker improves market quality and bid/ask dynamics.
A two-step market clearing method for local energy trading among prosumers and consumers.
problem Integrating distributed energy resources into local energy markets.
method Feeder-based market with Two-StepMarket Clearing (2SMC) mechanism.
result Maximizes market surplus and correct incentives for prosumers and consumers.
Study finds varying market efficiency in prewar and wartime Japanese stock market.
problem Measuring market efficiency in prewar and wartime Japanese stock market.
method Using a new market capitalization-weighted stock price index, the study examines market efficiency over time and historical events.
result The adaptive market hypothesis is supported in the prewar and wartime Japanese stock market, with efficiency varying over time and with historical events.
Study uses Kalman-Filter to assess market efficiency in major stock markets.
problem Assessing market efficiency in major stock markets.
method Utilizes Kalman-Filter in two stages, assuming a trendline representing true market value.
result Significant portfolio returns in emerging and developed markets.
Study shows Chinese stock market returns are predictable over time, especially during market turbulence.
problem Predicting returns in the Chinese stock market is challenging due to market inefficiency.
method Used wild bootstrap automatic variance ratio test and generalized spectral test.
result Return predictability varies over time, with significant predictability during market turmoils.
We study the effect of globalization on the Korean market, one of the emerging markets. Some characteristics of the Korean market are different from those of the mature market according to the latest market data, and this is due to the influence of foreign markets or investors. We concentrate on the market network stru…
Study shows informed traders harm market makers but price discovery benefits outweigh costs.
problem Informed traders' impact on market makers' profitability.
method Agent-based model with heterogeneous learning agents, multi-agent reinforcement learning.
result Informed market order flow is harmful when aggregate informedness is low but beneficial as it increases.
Classifies financial markets up to financial indistinguishability.
problem Identifying distinct financial markets that are financially indistinguishable.
method Defined a notion of isomorphism for financial markets, classified complete one-period markets, and introduced the absolute market price of risk as an invariant.
result Proved a number of mutual fund theorems for markets with non-trivial automorphism groups.
We investigate the possibility of statistical evaluation of the market completeness for discrete time stock market models. It is known that the market completeness is not a robust property: small random deviations of the coefficients convert a complete market model into a incomplete one. The paper shows that market inc…
This thesis applies RL to market making in China's commodity market.
problem Leverage RL for market making in China's commodity market.
method Developed an automatic trading system using RL.
result RL is feasible for market making in China's commodity market.
Research predicts money market volume based on capital market and bank rates ratio.
problem Understanding the influence of capital market and bank rates on money market instruments.
method Correlation matrix and time series model to predict money market volume.
result Predictive model for money market instrument volume based on historical data.
The possibility of statistical evaluation of the market completeness and incompleteness is investigated for continuous time diffusion stock market models. It is known that the market completeness is not a robust property: small random deviations of the coefficients convert a complete market model into a incomplete one.…
Study examines market impact in high frequency options trading.
problem Understanding market impact in high frequency options trading.
method Proprietary database of metaorders, algorithmic approach based on implied volatility parameters.
result Similar market dynamics found in options market as in equity market.
This study examines how DMMs affect market liquidity and competition.
problem The impact of DMMs on market liquidity and competition.
method Agent-based simulations to explore the effects of varying competition levels and incentive structures among DMMs.
result Optimal competition among DMMs maximizes liquidity benefits without negatively impacting price discovery.
AI learns market manipulation through simulation, suggesting regulation.
problem Regulating AI to prevent market manipulation.
method Used a genetic algorithm in an artificial market simulation.
result AI discovered market manipulation as an optimal strategy.
Optimal market making strategy for electronic markets with persistent order flows.
problem Market making on electronic markets with persistent order flows.
method Formulated as a stochastic control problem, characterized by viscosity solutions, and implemented numerically.
result Characterization of an optimal market making strategy.
The paper finds that bear markets cause recessions and bull markets cause expansions, with bull markets having a stronger causal effect.
problem Understanding the asymmetric causal relationships between market conditions and economic cycles.
method Asymmetric causality tests using partial sums of positive and negative market components, with bootstrap simulations and leverage adjustments.
result Bear markets cause recessions and bull markets cause expansions, with bull markets having a stronger causal effect.
PRIME models cryptocurrency exchange market impact.
problem Understanding and predicting market impact in cryptocurrency exchanges.
method Developed a multi-agent simulation to model market impact.
result Allows better estimation of market slippage and knock-on consequences.
Article examines NFT market microstructure and trading risks.
problem Difficulty in distinguishing genuine NFTs from fads and scams.
method Analyzes price formation, market structure, and transparency.
result Provides due-diligence pointers to mitigate NFT trading risk.
This study evaluates prewar Japanese financial market efficiency using time-varying models.
problem Determining when prewar Japanese financial market lost its price formation function.
method Time-varying parameter model, generalized least squares-based time-varying vector autoregressive model.
result The prewar Japanese financial market lost its price formation function in 1932.
ABM simulates OTC government bond market dynamics, enhancing liquidity and stability.
problem Understanding and ensuring market stability and liquidity in OTC government bond markets.
method Developed a bespoke ABM to simulate market-maker interactions and test hypotheses.
result Greater agent diversity enhances market liquidity and reducing market-making costs improves stability.
This study examines how market makers balance risk and impact in foreign exchange markets.
problem Balancing risk management with market impact in foreign exchange markets.
method An intermediate scenario approach considering both instantaneous and permanent market impact components.
result Transient market impact is more prevalent than previously thought, challenging traditional market impact models.
This study analyzes the collective behavior of world stock markets using RMT.
problem Understanding the collective behavior and structure of interconnected world stock markets.
method Analysis of cross-correlation matrix using Random Matrix Theory (RMT).
result Emergence of a world financial market structure with three communities.
Study shows how market efficiency changes during the pandemic.
problem Understanding market efficiency during the pandemic.
method Applied time-varying vector autoregression model.
result Market efficiency changes over time and can be improved by enhanced linkages.