Develops a robust hedging valuation adjustment measure for dynamic hedging under liquidity-demand stress.
problem Dynamic hedging under liquidity-demand stress
method Define robust HVA as the worst-case expected loss over a relative-entropy neighborhood of the loss distribution generated by simulated rebalancing and maturity-unwind trades.
result Distinguishes fixed-radius convention from fixed benchmark-stress convention and shows wider no-trade bands lower rebalancing costs but raise hedge-error risk.
Paper develops a robust HVA measure for dynamic hedging under liquidity stress.
problem Valuation of dynamic hedging under liquidity stress.
method Defines robust HVA as worst-case expected loss over a relative-entropy neighborhood of loss distributions for no-trade bands.
result Wider no-trade bands lower rebalancing costs but increase hedge-error risk.
Financial models are studied where each asset may potentially lose value relative to any other. Conditioning on non-devaluation, each asset can serve as proper numéraire and classical valuation rules can be formulated. It is shown when and how these local valuation rules can be aggregated to obtain global arbitrage-fre…
A machine learning model improves relative valuation of municipal bonds.
problem Challenges in determining the value or relative value of municipal bonds.
method Proposes a supervised similarity framework using CatBoost algorithm to identify similar bonds based on risk profiles.
result The similarity-based method outperforms rule-based and heuristic-based methods in back-testing.
Fast ML framework for derivative valuation from volatility surfaces.
problem Derivative valuation from complex volatility surfaces.
method Parameterized SVI model, synthetic market scenarios, Gaussian Process Regressor.
result Very accurate and fast (3-4 orders of magnitude) derivative valuations.
Business cycles affect startup valuations, both directly and indirectly.
problem How do business cycles impact startup valuations?
method Structural Equation Model approach using a dataset of 1,089 venture capital investments.
result Business cycles impact startup valuations both directly and indirectly.
This paper proposes a paradigm shift in the valuation of long term annuities, away from classical no-arbitrage valuation towards valuation under the real world probability measure. Furthermore, we apply this valuation method to two examples of annuity products, one having annual payments linked to a mortality index and…
Within the context of the banking-related literature on contingent convertible bonds, we comprehensively formalise the design and features of a relatively new type of insurance-linked security, called a contingent convertible catastrophe bond (CocoCat). We begin with a discussion of its design and compare its relative …
A very brief history of relative valuation in neoclassical finance since 1973 is presented, with attention to core currency issues for emerging economies. Price formation is considered in the context of hierarchical causality, with discussion focussed on identifying mathematical modelling challenges for robust and tran…
We introduce a general decision tree framework to value an option to invest/divest in a project, focusing on the model risk inherent in the assumptions made by standard real option valuation methods. We examine how real option values depend on the dynamics of project value and investment costs, the frequency of exercis…
New surface area measures defined for ball-convex bodies, leading to entropy and inequalities.
problem Defining and analyzing surface area measures for ball-convex bodies.
method Introducing Lp relative surface areas, proving invariance and inequalities, and using geometric interpretations. result Established inequalities and a new notion of entropy for ball-convex bodies.
In this three-part series of papers, we argue that the conventional spread measures are not well defined for credit-risky bonds and introduce a set of credit term structures which correct for the biases associated with the strippable cash flow valuation assumption. We demonstrate that the resulting estimates are signif…
Unified econometric model for portfolio optimization and option valuation.
problem Time-varying volatility and heavy tails in asset returns.
method Multivariate affine GARCH(1,1) with Normal Inverse Gaussian innovations.
result Substantial wealth-equivalent utility losses from ignoring correlation and tail risk.
This study compares Bitcoin and Litecoin using cryptocurrency metrics and trading strategies.
problem Valuation and trading strategies for cryptocurrencies.
method Metrics like UTXO, STXO, WAL, CDD, and trading strategies based on PU ratio.
result Bitcoin's superior store-of-value proposition compared to Litecoin validated.
Paper introduces new actuarial-consistent valuations for insurance liabilities.
problem Valuation of insurance liabilities considering both financial and actuarial risks.
method Proposes two-step actuarial valuations and actuarial-consistent procedures.
result Actuarial-consistent valuations are equivalent to two-step actuarial valuations under coherence.
Paper recovers uncertainty from dynamic valuation rules.
problem Recovering latent uncertainty from observable valuation rules.
method Developed procedures to identify and characterize uncertainty structures from valuation rules.
result Valuation rules contain sufficient information to identify and recover uncertainty structures.
This paper studies the stochastic modeling of market drawdown events and the fair valuation of insurance contracts based on drawdowns. We model the asset drawdown process as the current relative distance from the historical maximum of the asset value. We first consider a vanilla insurance contract whereby the protectio…
The introduction of CCPs in most derivative transactions will dramatically change the landscape of derivatives pricing, hedging and risk management, and, according to the TABB group, will lead to an overall liquidity impact about 2 USD trillions. In this article we develop for the first time a comprehensive approach fo…
Study convolution of invariant valuations on Lie groups.
problem Understanding convolution of valuations on Lie groups.
method Explicit formula for left-invariant valuations, showing existence of smooth bi-invariant valuations, defining convolution on arbitrary Lie groups.
result Unified convolution operations on Lie groups.
SL(n) covariant valuations on Orlicz spaces are represented and characterized.
problem Representing SL(n) covariant valuations on Orlicz spaces.
method Representation theorem established for continuous, SL(n) covariant vector-valued valuations.
result Unique characterization of SL(n) covariant valuations as moment vectors.
Market valuation duration is 175 years, but drops to 46 years during crises.
problem Understanding the duration of market valuation and its impact on returns.
method Comparing market valuation ratios and dividends to estimate duration, analyzing the discount rate effect.
result Valuation duration is negatively correlated with market returns, with a robust out-of-sample R2 of 15%.
Paper simplifies default process modeling and credit valuation.
problem Modeling and pricing derivative securities with credit risk.
method Integrates default process, probability, and correlation into a unified framework.
result Risky valuation is Martingale in the proposed model.
Classification of SL(n) covariant valuations on Orlicz spaces.
problem Classifying continuous SL(n) covariant valuations on Orlicz spaces.
method Complete classification without symmetric assumptions, focusing on moment matrix and a new functional in dimension two.
result The moment matrix is the only SL(n) covariant valuation for n≥3, and a new functional appears in dimension two.
Developing a climate-aware pricing framework for XL reinsurance and CAT bonds under non-stationary catastrophe risk.
problem Pricing excess-of-loss (XL) reinsurance and catastrophe (CAT) bonds under climate uncertainty.
method Modeling catastrophe arrivals as a Cox process with a temperature-dependent stochastic intensity and aggregate losses following a compound Cox structure.
result Climate dependence materially changes the loss-generation mechanism and affects the valuation of catastrophe-linked contracts.
We prove new kinematic formulas for tensor valuations and simplify previously known Crofton formulas by using the recently developed algebraic theory of translation invariant valuations. The heart of the paper is the computation of the Alesker-Fourier transform on the large class of spherical valuations, which is achie…
The study finds significant financial sector volatility and tail risk spillovers to real economy sectors.
problem Volatility and tail risk spillovers from financial to real economy sectors.
method New measure of tail risk spillover, empirical analysis of U.S. economy 2001-2011.
result Significant volatility and tail risk spillovers from financial to real economy sectors, especially during crises.
Classifies contravariant matrix-valued valuations on polytopes without continuity assumptions.
problem Classifying contravariant matrix-valued valuations on polytopes without continuity assumptions.
method Complete classification of contravariant matrix-valued valuations on polytopes in Rn without continuity assumptions. result The only such valuation is the general Lutwak-Yang-Zhang matrix in dimension n≥4, and a new function in dimension 3. Let SO+(p,q) denote the identity connected component of the real orthogonal group with signature (p,q). We give a complete description of the spaces of continuous and generalized translation- and SO+(p,q)-invariant valuations, generalizing Hadwiger's classification of Euclidean isometry-invari…
Study evaluates valuation models for UK companies using case studies.
problem Determining how accounting numbers affect business value.
method Comprehensive review of three valuation models: FCFVM, REVM, AEGM.
result Accounting numbers through valuation models can affect business value.
This paper provides intuition on the relationship of accrual and mark-to-market valuation for cash and forward interest rate trades. Discounted cashflow valuation is compared to spread-based valuation for forward trades, which explains the trader's view on valuation. This is followed by Taylor series approximation for …
The classification of continuous, translation invariant Minkowski valuations which are contravariant (or covariant) with respect to the complex special linear group is established in a 2-dimensional complex vector space. Every such valuation is given by the sum of a valuation of degree of homogeneity 1 and 3. In dimens…
Computes tube formulas for valuations in complex space forms.
problem Computing values of valuations on complex space forms.
method Develops tube formulas for valuations in complex space forms and generalizes classical formulas.
result Generalizes classical formulas of Weyl, Gray and others.
This paper addresses credit valuation adjustment with a new closeout convention.
problem Accurate estimation of financial claim value considering counterparty credit risk.
method Theoretical and computational analysis of a nonlinear valuation system using neural networks.
result A neural network-based algorithm effectively solves the high-dimensional nonlinear valuation system.
Classifies SL(n) covariant matrix-valued valuations on Lp-spaces.
problem Classifying SL(n) covariant matrix-valued valuations on Lp-spaces.
method Established a complete classification for continuous and SL(n) covariant matrix-valued valuations on Lp(Rn,|x|2dx), eliminating matrix symmetry assumption.
result Unique characterization of such valuations by the moment matrix in n>2, rotation matrix in 2D.
Existence of smooth valuations on subspaces is shown for certain conditions.
problem Existence of smooth valuations on subspaces with given restrictions.
method Analyzing compatibility and using recursive descriptions of the cosine transform.
result Compatibility is sufficient for extensibility in certain regimes.
Develops a new method to study algebraic tangent cones of sheaves using valuations.
problem Analyzing tangent cones of torsion-free sheaves on algebraic varieties.
method Introduces a slope stability theory and uses it to define a canonical tangent cone for quasi-regular valuations.
result Shows the existence of a canonical tangent cone for torsion-free sheaves, up to equivalence.
We give an explicit classification of translation-invariant, Lorentz-invariant continuous valuations on convex sets. We also classify the Lorentz-invariant even generalized valuations.
We study the properties of the multiplicative structure on valuations on convex sets. We prove a new version of the hard Lefschetz theorem for even translation invariant continuous valuations, and discuss related problems of integral geometry. Then we formulate a conjectural analogue of this result for odd valuations.
Fair market valuations ignore future worker profits in employee-owned firms.
problem Ignoring future worker profits in fair market valuations for employee-owned firms.
method Analyzing property rights and residual claimants in employee-owned firms.
result Fair market valuations are inappropriate for employee-owned firms.
A description of continuous rigid motion compatible Minkowski valuations is established. As an application, we present a Brunn-Minkowski type inequality for intrinsic volumes of these valuations.
We introduce the new notion of convolution of a (smooth or generalized) valuation on a group G and a valuation on a manifold M acted upon by the group. In the case of a transitive group action, we prove that the spaces of smooth and generalized valuations on M are modules over the algebra of compactly supported g…
Enhances data valuation by integrating global and local statistical properties.
problem Insufficient consideration of global and local statistical properties in data valuation methods.
method Proposes a method that fuses global and local statistical properties into regularization terms for Shapley value estimation and dynamic data valuation.
result Demonstrates improved performance and efficiency of data valuation methods through integration of global and local statistical properties.
Study reveals which startup valuation factors are most critical.
problem Understanding the complex factors influencing startup valuations.
method Hierarchical prediction models using decision trees and random forests.
result Identifies which factors most significantly impact startup valuations.
In this paper, we endow the space of continuous translation invariant valuation on convex sets generated by mixed volumes coupled with a suitable Radon measure on tuples of convex bodies with two appropriate norms. This enables us to construct a continuous extension of the convolution operator on smooth valuations to n…
We study the space of generalized translation invariant valuations on a finite-dimensional vector space and construct a partial convolution which extends the convolution of smooth translation invariant valuations. Our main theorem is that McMullen's polytope algebra is a subalgebra of the (partial) convolution algebra …
Researchers classify and decompose valuations on convex functions.
problem Classifying valuations on convex functions.
method Geometric decomposition of valuations, using properties of special subspaces and Monge-Ampère-type operators.
result Valuations decompose into subspaces defined by vanishing properties.
A complete classification of all continuous GL(n) contravariant Minkowski valuations is established. As an application we present a family of sharp isoperimetric inequalities for such valuations which generalize the classical Petty projection inequality.
New space for valuations in non-Archimedean setting with duality properties.
problem Developing a non-Archimedean analogue of classical valuation spaces.
method Construction of a new space of valuations with similar structures to classical spaces.
result The new space satisfies Poincaré duality and hard Lefschetz theorem.