The paper introduces a method for forecasting corporate sales growth using multiple reference variables.
problem Forecasting corporate sales growth with multiple reference variables.
method Reference class selection using rank-based algorithms and principal components analysis for data dimension reduction.
result Dimension reduced variables with past sales growth rates and operating margins perform well in forecasting.
A new method detects distribution shifts faster than existing CTMs.
problem Detecting distribution shifts in data streams with contamination issues.
method Uses a fixed reference dataset to compare each new sample, avoiding contamination.
result Detects distribution shifts faster and more reliably than standard CTMs.
Optimizes a portfolio for an investor preferring accepted securities over a reference security.
problem Investor preference for a set of securities over a reference security with constraints.
method Mean-variance optimization with Sharpe Ratio performance measurement.
result Derives an optimal portfolio that maximizes returns while minimizing risk.
Researchers develop a method to infer reference measures from observed functionals.
problem Tackles the challenge of identifying or recovering a reference measure from observed functionals.
method Uses the property of law-invariant functionals defining lower or upper supporting sets in dual spaces of signed measures.
result Illustrates the methodology with examples and develops a modification for Value-at-Risk.
Enhances anomaly detection using multiple reference datasets.
problem Lack of performance with multiple reference datasets.
method Generalizes existing techniques CWoLa and SALAD for multiple reference datasets.
result Improved performance across various settings.
Improved NER in biomedical literature using weakly-supervised augmentation.
problem Challenging NER in scientific literature, especially for biomedical entities.
method Weakly-supervised data augmentation with a reference set.
result Iterative model retraining improves NER performance significantly.
The paper analyzes how conformal prediction works with contaminated reference data.
problem The impact of contamination on the validity and power of conformal prediction methods.
method The paper analyzes the impact of contamination on the validity of conformal methods and proposes a data-cleaning framework to enhance power.
result The proposed data-cleaning framework can effectively enhance power while maintaining type-I error control.
Leveraging reference-only samples for two-sample testing under size asymmetry
problem Two-sample testing under size imbalance
method Adaptive aggregation of reference-dependent representations
result Strong performance with type I error control
Methods for learning to search for structured prediction typically imitate a reference policy, with existing theoretical guarantees demonstrating low regret compared to that reference. This is unsatisfactory in many applications where the reference policy is suboptimal and the goal of learning is to improve upon it. Ca…
New methods improve LLM preference optimization by intelligently weighting multiple reference models.
problem Improving LLM preference optimization with multiple reference models.
method Introducing four new weighting strategies for multiple-reference preference optimization.
result All four new weighting strategies outperform current methods on preference accuracy.
Benchmark evaluates financial misinformation detection models, revealing weaknesses without external context.
problem Detecting financial misinformation without external references.
method RFC Bench at paragraph level, two tasks: reference-free detection and comparison-based diagnosis.
result Performance improves with comparative context, revealing model weaknesses in reference-free settings.
Method learns neural network to overestimate reference function with guarantees.
problem Learning a neural network to overestimate a reference function on a given domain.
method Two-step process: constructing Majoring Points and optimizing a neural network.
result The learned neural network overestimates the reference function on the domain.
In this paper, we bound the error induced by using a weighted skeletonization of two data sets for computing a two sample test with kernel maximum mean discrepancy. The error is quantified in terms of the speed in which heat diffuses from those points to the rest of the data, as well as how at the weights on the refere…
HalluWorld benchmarks hallucinations in language models across diverse tasks.
problem Inconsistent benchmarks of hallucination in language models.
method Explicit reference-world formulation, synthetic and semi-synthetic environments, controlled variation of world complexity.
result Models struggle with perceptual hallucination but not multi-step state tracking.
This work extends entropic optimal transport to non-product reference couplings, focusing on Gaussian cases.
problem Finding a diffuse coupling between two measures with non-product reference couplings.
method Reduction of the entropic optimal transport problem to a matrix optimization problem.
result Complete description of the solution for non-product reference couplings, including primal and dual variables.
ELM detects mislabels in Finnish academic publication ranks.
problem Detecting mislabeled academic publication ranks in Finland.
method Used Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) with features characterizing publication channels.
result ELM-based approach accurately detected mislabels compared to reference results.
New method learns cell trajectories from multiple snapshots.
problem Inferring cell trajectories from limited, single-time-point data.
method Multi-marginal Schrödinger Bridges with iterative reference refinement.
result Effective in capturing long-term dependencies and learning from multiple time points.
We construct master spaces for oriented torsion free sheaves coupled with morphisms into a fixed reference sheaf. These spaces are projective varieties endowed with a natural $\C^*$-action. The fixed point set of this action contains the moduli space of semistable oriented torsion free sheaves and the quot scheme assoc…
For a product of interest, we propose a search method to surface a set of reference products. The reference products can be used as candidates to support downstream modeling tasks and business applications. The search method consists of product representation learning and fingerprint-type vector searching. The product …
Probabilistic generative models provide a powerful framework for representing data that avoids the expense of manual annotation typically needed by discriminative approaches. Model selection in this generative setting can be challenging, however, particularly when likelihoods are not easily accessible. To address this …
BERT embeddings improve sequence quality metrics.
problem Measuring the quality of generated sequences against references.
method Employ contextual BERT embeddings for sequence-level reward.
result Contextual embeddings provide a more effective learning signal.
This paper improves indoor positioning accuracy by deploying reference nodes to ensure Line-of-Sight.
problem Systematic bias errors in indoor positioning due to non-LoS propagation.
method Model indoor service area as a graph, partition into cliques for reference nodes, set minimum distance and angle parameters.
result Guaranteed LoS to reference nodes improves indoor positioning accuracy and precision.
The usual formulations of time-dependent mechanics start from a given splitting Y=R×M of the coordinate bundle Y→R. From physical viewpoint, this splitting means that a reference frame has been chosen. Obviously, such a splitting is broken under reference frame transformations and time-dependent canonical …
Study replicates reference-dependent preferences impact on risk-return trade-off in Chinese stock market.
problem Impact of reference-dependent preferences on risk-return trade-off in Chinese stock market.
method Utilized CGO proxy, econometric techniques (Dependent Double Sorting, Fama-MacBeth regressions), and data from 1995-2024.
result Reference-dependent preferences have a weaker or absent positive risk-return relationship in the Chinese market.
Data of practical interest - such as personal records, transaction logs, and medical histories - are sequential collections of events relevant to a particular source entity. Recent studies have attempted to link sequences that represent a common entity across data sets to allow more comprehensive statistical analyses a…
Study linearizes 2-Wasserstein space using optimal transport maps.
problem Stability and linearization of the 2-Wasserstein space.
method Explicit embedding of probability measures into a Hilbert space using optimal transport maps.
result The embedding is (bi-)Hölder continuous, with stability results for optimal transport maps.
Speeds up complex portfolio exposure calculations.
problem Calculating exposure of portfolios with exotic derivatives.
method Least Squares Monte Carlo (LSMC) technique.
result Significantly reduces computation time for nested Monte Carlo.
Recently, researchers proposed various low-precision gradient compression, for efficient communication in large-scale distributed optimization. Based on these work, we try to reduce the communication complexity from a new direction. We pursue an ideal bijective mapping between two spaces of gradient distribution, so th…
Decentralized learning achieves centralized performance via Gibbs measures.
problem Achieving centralized performance in decentralized machine learning.
method ERM-RER learning framework with Gibbs measures and relative-entropy regularization.
result Achieving centralized performance with Gibbs measures and specific scaling of regularization factors.
New algorithms achieve logarithmic regret in KL-regularized Markov games.
problem Improving sample efficiency in game-theoretic settings with KL regularization.
method Developed OMG and SOMG algorithms for matrix and Markov games, using best response sampling and superoptimistic bonuses.
result Logarithmic regret in T that scales inversely with KL regularization strength β. Improves diversity of text-to-image models without sacrificing FID.
problem Lack of diversity and tendency to recreate training set images.
method Adds sparse repellency terms to diffusion SDE to guide trajectories away from a reference set.
result Improves diversity of diffusion models with minimal impact on FID.
The paper proposes a method to improve sales forecasts by selecting optimal reference classes.
problem Improving forecasts of sales growth exposed to behavioural bias.
method Finding optimal reference classes for each company based on specific predictors and matching forecast distributions to actual sales.
result The past operating margins are strong predictors for future sales distributions.
The paper bounds solutions to complex optimization problems with uncertain data.
problem Distributionally robust optimization problems with multivariate uncertainty sets.
method Conditions and bounds derived for multivariate and univariate Wasserstein distances, Bregman-Wasserstein divergences, and signed Choquet integrals.
result Computable lower and upper bounds for DRO problems, derived from scalar-valued aggregation functions and Wasserstein distances.
We develop a tractable model of realization utility that studies the role of reference-dependent S-shaped preferences in a dynamic investment setting with reinvestment. Our model generates both voluntarily realized gains and losses. It makes specific predictions about the volume of gains and losses, the holding periods…
Modeling price dynamics in AMMs with fees using geometric Brownian motion.
problem Understanding price dynamics in AMMs with transaction fees.
method Geometric Brownian motion, local times, excursion theory.
result Derivation of time-changed representation and limiting behavior of AMM prices.
Paper presents neural network controllers for offset-free setpoint tracking.
problem Offset-free setpoint tracking using neural network controllers.
method Exploiting slope-restricted activation functions, linear matrix inequalities are used to verify stability.
result Global and local stability conditions for neural network controllers are derived.
This paper uses reference priors to improve deep learning models with unlabeled and labeled data.
problem Improving deep learning models with limited labeled data and unlabeled data from the same or related tasks.
method Develops and applies generalizations of reference priors for deep networks to exploit unlabeled and labeled data.
result Demonstrates new semi-supervised learning and pretraining methods for transfer learning.
Mutual-information regularization improves RL algorithms, especially in high-dimensional domains.
problem Value overestimation and exploration in reinforcement learning.
method Developed a novel mutual-information regularized actor-critic learning (MIRACLE) algorithm.
result MIRACLE outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms in continuous action spaces.
We describe a simplification of Donaldson's arguments for the construction of symplectic hypersurfaces or Lefschetz pencils that makes it possible to avoid any reference to Yomdin's work on the complexity of real algebraic sets.
In the presence of model risk, it is well-established to replace classical expected values by worst-case expectations over all models within a fixed radius from a given reference model. This is the "robustness" approach. We show that previous methods for measuring this radius, e.g. relative entropy or polynomial diverg…
This paper solves the multiple reference model problem in RLHF with exact solutions and sample complexity guarantees.
problem Limitations of single reference models in aligning LLMs with human feedback.
method Integrates multiple reference models into RLHF frameworks, addressing theoretical challenges with exact solutions and sample complexity guarantees.
result First exact solution to the multiple reference model problem in reverse KL-regularized RLHF.
Proposes a decision-theoretic approach for enhancing model interpretability in Bayesian frameworks.
problem Challenges the traditional approach of restricting model structure for interpretability in Bayesian frameworks.
method Introduces an interpretability utility function and a two-step method involving a reference model and a proxy model.
result Demonstrates that the proposed method generates more accurate models with the same level of interpretability.
BM2 learns Schrödinger bridges using neural networks.
problem Learning dynamic transport maps between two distributions.
method Coupled Bridge Matching (BM2) with neural networks. result Preliminary theoretical analysis and numerical experiments show BM2's effectiveness. Reference metrics are used to define the differential structure on multicube representations of manifolds, i.e., they provide a simple and practical way to define what it means globally for tensor fields and their derivatives to be continuous. This paper introduces a general procedure for constructing reference metrics…
Existence proved for q-Bass martingales with specific marginals.
problem Constructing martingales with prescribed marginals close to a reference measure.
method Geometric analysis of parametrized convex polygonal chains.
result Existence and uniqueness of q-Bass martingales with finitely supported initial marginals. We investigate sets of financial non-redundant and nonsynchronously recorded time series. The sets are composed by a number of stock market indices located all over the world in five continents. By properly selecting the time horizon of returns and by using a reference currency we find a meaningful taxonomy. The detect…
New method generates synthetic time series paths with more flexibility.
problem Restrictions in generating synthetic paths using Brownian reference.
method Introduces Triangular-Reference Schrödinger Bridges (TR-SBTS) for time series generation.
result Generates synthetic paths with more flexibility in stochastic volatility and correlated noise.
This article considers the quasi-local conserved quantities with respect to a reference spacetime with a cosmological constant. We follow the approach developed by the authors in [25,26,7] and define the quasi-local energy as differences of surface Hamiltonians. The ground state for the gravitational energy is taken to…