A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
We show an efficient algorithm for the following problem: Given uniformly random points from an arbitrary n-dimensional simplex, estimate the simplex. The size of the sample and the number of arithmetic operations of our algorithm are polynomial in n. This answers a question of Frieze, Jerrum and Kannan [FJK]. Our resu…
We describe a Groebner basis of relations among conditional probabilities in a discrete probability space, with any set of conditioned-upon events. They may be specialized to the partially-observed random variable case, the purely conditional case, and other special cases. We also investigate the connection to generali…
Spectral embedding is a procedure which can be used to obtain vector representations of the nodes of a graph. This paper proposes a generalisation of the latent position network model known as the random dot product graph, to allow interpretation of those vector representations as latent position estimates. The general…
We establish the second part of Milnor's conjecture on the volume of simplexes in hyperbolic and spherical spaces. A characterization of the closure of the space of the angle Gram matrices of simplexes is also obtained.
A hyperbolic 3-simplex reflection group is a Coxeter group arising as a lattice in the isometry group of hyperbolic 3-space, with fundamental domain a geodesic simplex (possibly with some ideal vertices). The classification of these groups is known, and there are exactly 9 cocompact examples, and 23 non-cocompact examp…
We introduce the non-pure versions of simplicial balls and spheres with minimum number of vertices. These are a special type of non-homogeneous balls and spheres (NH-balls and NH-spheres) satisfying a minimality condition on the number of maximal simplices. The main result is that minimal NH-balls and NH-spheres are pr…
In 1973, J. Cheeger and J. Simons raised the following question that still remains open and is known as the Rational Simplex Problem: Given a geodesic simplex in the spherical 3-space so that all of its interior dihedral angles are rational multiples of π, is it true that its volume is a rational multiple of the volu…
In ensemble methods, the outputs of a collection of diverse classifiers are combined in the expectation that the global prediction be more accurate than the individual ones. Heterogeneous ensembles consist of predictors of different types, which are likely to have different biases. If these biases are complementary, th…
On the probability simplex, we can consider the standard information geometric structure with the e- and m-affine connections mutually dual with respect to the Fisher metric. The geometry naturally defines submanifolds simultaneously autoparallel for the both affine connections, which we call {\em doubly autoparallel s…
Proposes Dirichlet Simplex Nest for probabilistic modeling of various data types.
problem Modeling and inference for diverse data types.
method Probabilistic models based on Dirichlet distribution and Voronoi tessellation, with fast and accurate inference algorithms exploiting convex geometry and simplicial structure.
result Inference algorithms achieve consistency and strong error bounds across various settings and data distributions.
The paper is devoted to modeling optimal exercise strategies of the behavior of investors and issuers working with convertible bonds. This implies solution of the problems of stock price modeling, payoff computation and min-max optimization. Stock prices (underlying asset) were modeled under the assumption of the geome…
We provide an elementary proof of a simple, efficient algorithm for computing the Euclidean projection of a point onto the probability simplex. We also show an application in Laplacian K-modes clustering.
CAST predicts distribution-valued time series by stabilizing and transporting simplex-supported successors.
problem Forecasting distribution-valued time series with structural failure modes.
method CAST (Causal Anchored Simplex Transport) uses successors retrieved from causal context, stabilized with a persistence anchor, and locally transported on ordered supports.
result CAST outperforms baselines on eleven public and simulated benchmarks, achieving best average rank on both one-step KL and autoregressive rollout JSD.
We compare two statistical models of three binary random variables. One is a mixture model and the other is a product of mixtures model called a restricted Boltzmann machine. Although the two models we study look different from their parametrizations, we show that they represent the same set of distributions on the int…
We present two identities (contiguity relation and variation formula) concerning the volume of a spherically faced simplex in the Euclidean space. These identities are described in terms of Cayley-Menger determinants and their differentials involved with hypersphere arrangements. They are derived as a limit of fundamen…
We study a natural intrinsic definition of geometric simplices in Riemannian manifolds of arbitrary dimension n, and exploit these simplices to obtain criteria for triangulating compact Riemannian manifolds. These geometric simplices are defined using Karcher means. Given a finite set of vertices in a convex set on t…