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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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4489133177 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for R2 utilities

R2-B2 optimizes game interactions with recursive reasoning.

problem Optimizing interactions between boundedly rational agents with unknown payoff functions.
method Recursive Reasoning-Based Bayesian Optimization (R2-B2) for repeated games.
result R2-B2 achieves faster asymptotic convergence to no regret than non-recursive methods.

A new estimator improves training of probabilistic models with latent Gaussian variables.

problem Improving gradient estimation for models with latent Gaussian variables.
method Rao-Blackwellised Reparameterisation Gradients (R2-G2)
result R2-G2 consistently yields better performance in models with multiple applications of the reparameterisation trick.

The paper analyzes risk spillovers between AI ETFs, AI tokens, and green markets.

problem Risk spillovers among AI ETFs, AI tokens, and green markets.
method R2 decomposition method
result AI ETFs and clean energy act as risk transmitters, while AI tokens and green assets act as receivers.

We propose a class of intrinsic Gaussian processes (in-GPs) for interpolation, regression and classification on manifolds with a primary focus on complex constrained domains or irregular shaped spaces arising as subsets or submanifolds of R, R2, R3 and beyond. For example, in-GPs can accommodate spatial domains arising…

2018-01-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Most recent semi-supervised deep learning (deep SSL) methods used a similar paradigm: use network predictions to update pseudo-labels and use pseudo-labels to update network parameters iteratively. However, they lack theoretical support and cannot explain why predictions are good candidates for pseudo-labels. In this p…

2019-08-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines how body segments respond to random vibrations.

problem Understanding human body responses to random vibrations.
method 35 participants were tested with random noise signals. Multiple linear regression models were created to determine influential predictors of peak translational gains.
result Multiple predictors, including motion direction and body segment, significantly influence peak translational gains.

Deep learning framework predicts surface texture parameters and their uncertainties.

problem Predicting surface texture parameters and their uncertainties from multi-instrument datasets.
method Reproducible deep learning framework using multi-instrument dataset, quantile and heteroscedastic heads for uncertainty modeling, and post-hoc conformal calibration.
result High fidelity predictions (R2: Ra 0.9824, Rz 0.9847, RONt 0.9918) and well-modelled uncertainty targets (Ra_uncert 0.9899, Rz_uncert 0.9955).

The paper establishes a formula for enumeration of curves of arbitrary genus in toric surfaces. It turns out that such curves can be counted by means of certain lattice paths in the Newton polygon. The formula was announced earlier in http://arxiv.org/abs/math.AG/0209253. The result is established with the help of the …

2003-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Study confirms link between unemployment and real GDP growth in developed countries.

problem Predicting unemployment based on real GDP growth in developed nations.
method Revised Okun's law using real GDP per capita and unemployment rate data from 2010-2019.
result Accurate prediction of unemployment rate changes using real GDP growth rate.

Generative model downgrades coarse satellite images to fine resolution.

problem Reconstructing fine resolution satellite images from coarse scale inputs.
method Combines U-Net transfer encoder with diffusion-based generative model.
result Excellent performance (R2 = 0.65 to 0.94) across seasonal regional splits.

We show experimentally that the accuracy of a trained neural network can be predicted surprisingly well by looking only at its weights, without evaluating it on input data. We motivate this task and introduce a formal setting for it. Even when using simple statistics of the weights, the predictors are able to rank neur…

2020-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Bluetooth data predicts depression severity, showing 18.8% extra variance.

problem Predicting depressive symptom severity using Bluetooth data.
method Extracted 49 Bluetooth features from NBDC data, used linear mixed-effect and hierarchical Bayesian linear regression models.
result Hierarchical Bayesian model achieved best prediction metrics (R2=0.526, RMSE=3.891).

Network analysis improves stock return forecasting.

problem Improving stock return forecasting using network properties.
method Network analysis of stock return correlations, using individual and global properties of stocks.
result 50% improvement in R2 score for long-term stock returns forecasting, 3% for short-term.

The study evaluates nine machine learning regressors for predicting NASDAQ stock opening prices.

problem Predicting stock market opening prices for profitable trading strategies.
method Nine different machine learning regressors were applied to NASDAQ stock market data.
result The study found that certain regressors outperform others in predicting stock opening prices.

This note has an experimental nature and contains no new theorems. We introduce certain moves for classical knot diagrams that for all the very many examples we have tested them on give a monotonic complete simplification. A complete simplification of a knot diagram D is a sequence of moves that transform D into a diag…

2015-08-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Model financial dynamics using 2-manifold geometries, revealing the torus as best for cyclical data.

problem Financial forecasting using complex market data.
method Embedding market data onto 2-manifolds (S2, R2, H2, T) guided by uniformization theorem, inferring latent curvature.
result The torus geometry best predicts cyclical financial data, aligning with IS-LM theory.

Mammography is often used as the most common laboratory method for the detection of breast cancer, yet associated with the high cost and many side effects. Machine learning prediction as an alternative method has shown promising results. This paper presents a method based on a multilayer fuzzy expert system for the det…

2019-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

The evolution of inflation, p(t), and unemployment, UE(t), in Japan has been modeled. Both variables were represented as linear functions of the change rate of labor force, dLF/LF. These models provide an accurate description of disinflation in the 1990s and a deflationary period in the 2000s. In Japan, there exists a …

2010-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning models predict the behavior of negatively buoyant jets from wastewater.

problem Minimizing harmful effects of negatively buoyant jets during wastewater discharge.
method Training machine learning models (ANN, XGBoost, CatBoost, LightGBM) on OpenFOAM simulations and experimental data.
result Artificial Neural Network provided the best prediction with R2 0.98 and RMSE 0.28.

Study uses machine learning to optimize seismic design parameters.

problem Optimizing seismic design parameters for performance-based design.
method Implementing explainable machine learning models to map design variables and performance metrics, integrated into a genetic optimization algorithm.
result Highly accurate surrogate models (R2> 90%) across diverse building types and hazards, identifying optimal member properties.

The paper improves model-based reinforcement learning by using multi-timestep objectives.

problem Compounding errors in one-step dynamics models as trajectory length increases.
method Developed a multi-timestep objective as a weighted sum of losses at various future horizons.
result Exponentially decaying weights significantly improve long-horizon performance.

In-BO optimizes complex constrained domains using SIn-GP surrogate models.

problem Optimizing in complex constrained domains with irregular shapes.
method Sparse Intrinsic Gaussian Processes (SIn-GP) on manifolds with heat kernel estimation.
result In-BO outperforms traditional BO in complex constrained domains.

Paper proposes a neural network method for fast, interpretable AR model estimation.

problem Computational inefficiency and convergence issues in conventional AR model estimation.
method Embeds autoregressive structure into a feedforward neural network for coefficient estimation via backpropagation.
result Neural network method consistently recovers AR model coefficients, converging in all cases and providing reliable estimates.

Market valuation duration is 175 years, but drops to 46 years during crises.

problem Understanding the duration of market valuation and its impact on returns.
method Comparing market valuation ratios and dividends to estimate duration, analyzing the discount rate effect.
result Valuation duration is negatively correlated with market returns, with a robust out-of-sample R2 of 15%.

Machine learning models perform better with location coordinates alone, not Moran Eigenvectors.

problem Improving machine learning models for spatial data.
method Examined Moran Eigenvectors as additional spatial features in machine learning models using synthetic datasets.
result Machine learning models using only location coordinates achieve better accuracies than eigenvector-based approaches.