The paper analyzes risk spillovers between AI ETFs, AI tokens, and green markets.
problem Risk spillovers among AI ETFs, AI tokens, and green markets.
method R2 decomposition method
result AI ETFs and clean energy act as risk transmitters, while AI tokens and green assets act as receivers.
R2-B2 optimizes game interactions with recursive reasoning.
problem Optimizing interactions between boundedly rational agents with unknown payoff functions.
method Recursive Reasoning-Based Bayesian Optimization (R2-B2) for repeated games.
result R2-B2 achieves faster asymptotic convergence to no regret than non-recursive methods.
A new estimator improves training of probabilistic models with latent Gaussian variables.
problem Improving gradient estimation for models with latent Gaussian variables.
method Rao-Blackwellised Reparameterisation Gradients (R2-G2)
result R2-G2 consistently yields better performance in models with multiple applications of the reparameterisation trick.
Hybrid model forecasts Bitcoin prices better than standard LSTM.
problem Forecasting Bitcoin price fluctuations.
method VMD for decomposition, LSTM for modeling IMFs, final prediction aggregation.
result Hybrid model outperforms standard LSTM in various metrics.
New framework converts multi-objective to single-objective optimisation.
problem Solving multi-objective optimisation problems.
method Formalises scalarisation into mathematical framework, uses R2 utilities.
result R2 utilities are monotone and submodular, optimised by greedy algorithms.
In [R2] and [RO] the Arnold conjecture for closed symplectic manifolds with trivial second homotopy group was proved. This proof used surgery and cobordism theory. Here we give a purely cohomological proof of this result.
In this study, we introduce Euler-Lagrange and Hamiltonian equations on (R2; g; J) being a model of para-Kaehlerian Space Forms. Finally, some geometrical and physical results on the related mechanic systems have been discussed.
Most recent semi-supervised deep learning (deep SSL) methods used a similar paradigm: use network predictions to update pseudo-labels and use pseudo-labels to update network parameters iteratively. However, they lack theoretical support and cannot explain why predictions are good candidates for pseudo-labels. In this p…
Geopolitical and geoeconomic shocks affect sovereign risk differently, with distinct transmission channels.
problem Understanding how geopolitical and geoeconomic shocks impact sovereign credit risk.
method Daily panel data of 42 economies over 2018-2025; semistructural framework; Shapley-Taylor decomposition; machine learning predictions; placebo and sign-restricted SVAR evidence.
result Geopolitical shocks primarily increase sovereign credit spreads through direct repricing, while geoeconomic shocks mainly affect spreads through financial conditions and policy uncertainty.
Study examines how body segments respond to random vibrations.
problem Understanding human body responses to random vibrations.
method 35 participants were tested with random noise signals. Multiple linear regression models were created to determine influential predictors of peak translational gains.
result Multiple predictors, including motion direction and body segment, significantly influence peak translational gains.
Adversarial self-play in two-player games has delivered impressive results when used with reinforcement learning algorithms that combine deep neural networks and tree search. Algorithms like AlphaZero and Expert Iteration learn tabula-rasa, producing highly informative training data on the fly. However, the self-play t…
Deep learning framework predicts surface texture parameters and their uncertainties.
problem Predicting surface texture parameters and their uncertainties from multi-instrument datasets.
method Reproducible deep learning framework using multi-instrument dataset, quantile and heteroscedastic heads for uncertainty modeling, and post-hoc conformal calibration.
result High fidelity predictions (R2: Ra 0.9824, Rz 0.9847, RONt 0.9918) and well-modelled uncertainty targets (Ra_uncert 0.9899, Rz_uncert 0.9955).
In construction projects, estimation of the settlement of fine-grained soils is of critical importance, and yet is a challenging task. The coefficient of consolidation for the compression index (Cc) is a key parameter in modeling the settlement of fine-grained soil layers. However, the estimation of this parameter is c…
Study predicts shear stress in compound channels using data mining and machine learning.
problem Predicting shear stress distribution in symmetric compound channels.
method Conducted experiments to measure shear stress. Used data mining and machine learning models (RF, M5P, RC, KStar, AR) to predict.
result Random Forest (RF) model showed highest accuracy with R2=0.9.
ANN model predicts zinc leaching filter cake moisture accurately.
problem Modeling cake moisture in zinc leaching pressure filtration.
method Developed ANN model using 7 parameters.
result High accuracy in predicting cake moisture (R2 > 0.8, MSE < 1e-6).
The paper establishes a formula for enumeration of curves of arbitrary genus in toric surfaces. It turns out that such curves can be counted by means of certain lattice paths in the Newton polygon. The formula was announced earlier in http://arxiv.org/abs/math.AG/0209253. The result is established with the help of the …
For quantitative structure-property relationship (QSPR) studies in chemoinformatics, it is important to get interpretable relationship between chemical properties and chemical features. However, the predictive power and interpretability of QSPR models are usually two different objectives that are difficult to achieve s…
Study confirms link between unemployment and real GDP growth in developed countries.
problem Predicting unemployment based on real GDP growth in developed nations.
method Revised Okun's law using real GDP per capita and unemployment rate data from 2010-2019.
result Accurate prediction of unemployment rate changes using real GDP growth rate.
Innovative warping labeling for twisted knots and braids.
problem Inventing an invariant for twisted knots and braids.
method Introducing warping degree, constructing warping labeling, extending to virtual braids.
result Developed invariants for twisted knots and braids using warping labeling.
Droughts, with their increasing frequency of occurrence, continue to negatively affect livelihoods and elements at risk. For example, the 2011 in drought in east Africa has caused massive losses document to have cost the Kenyan economy over $12bn. With the foregoing, the demand for ex-ante drought monitoring systems is…
Generative model downgrades coarse satellite images to fine resolution.
problem Reconstructing fine resolution satellite images from coarse scale inputs.
method Combines U-Net transfer encoder with diffusion-based generative model.
result Excellent performance (R2 = 0.65 to 0.94) across seasonal regional splits.
New metric R2 improves topic model evaluation.
problem Lack of standard cross-contextual evaluation metrics for topic modeling.
method Introduces R2 as a coefficient of determination for topic models. result Improves topic model evaluation by providing a standard metric.
Artificial Neural Network predicts PM2.5 pollution with low-cost sensors.
problem Costly and bulky PM2.5 monitoring instruments limit real-time, high-resolution data.
method Analytical equations derived using Artificial Neural Network (ANN).
result RMSE of 1.7973 ug/m3 and R2 of 0.9986 for eight predictors; 7.5372 ug/m3 and 0.9708 for three predictors.
Bluetooth data predicts depression severity, showing 18.8% extra variance.
problem Predicting depressive symptom severity using Bluetooth data.
method Extracted 49 Bluetooth features from NBDC data, used linear mixed-effect and hierarchical Bayesian linear regression models.
result Hierarchical Bayesian model achieved best prediction metrics (R2=0.526, RMSE=3.891).
Predicting neural network accuracy from weights without testing.
problem Predicting neural network performance based on weights alone.
method Used simple statistics of weights to rank neural networks' performance.
result Simple predictors can rank networks' performance with high accuracy (R2 score > 0.98).
Fetal brain imaging is a cornerstone of prenatal screening and early diagnosis of congenital anomalies. Knowledge of fetal gestational age is the key to the accurate assessment of brain development. This study develops an attention-based deep learning model to predict gestational age of the fetal brain. The proposed mo…
Network analysis improves stock return forecasting.
problem Improving stock return forecasting using network properties.
method Network analysis of stock return correlations, using individual and global properties of stocks.
result 50% improvement in R2 score for long-term stock returns forecasting, 3% for short-term.
The study evaluates nine machine learning regressors for predicting NASDAQ stock opening prices.
problem Predicting stock market opening prices for profitable trading strategies.
method Nine different machine learning regressors were applied to NASDAQ stock market data.
result The study found that certain regressors outperform others in predicting stock opening prices.
The paper predicts U.S. nonfarm employment using machine learning.
problem Predicting deviations from expected U.S. nonfarm employment.
method Extracted predictive features from aggregated payroll data, trained machine learning models.
result Trained models show excellent performance with R2 of 0.9985 and 99.99% directional accuracy.
We propose a class of intrinsic Gaussian processes (in-GPs) for interpolation, regression and classification on manifolds with a primary focus on complex constrained domains or irregular shaped spaces arising as subsets or submanifolds of R, R2, R3 and beyond. For example, in-GPs can accommodate spatial domains arising…
This note has an experimental nature and contains no new theorems. We introduce certain moves for classical knot diagrams that for all the very many examples we have tested them on give a monotonic complete simplification. A complete simplification of a knot diagram D is a sequence of moves that transform D into a diag…
Model financial dynamics using 2-manifold geometries, revealing the torus as best for cyclical data.
problem Financial forecasting using complex market data.
method Embedding market data onto 2-manifolds (S2, R2, H2, T) guided by uniformization theorem, inferring latent curvature.
result The torus geometry best predicts cyclical financial data, aligning with IS-LM theory.
The evolution of inflation, p(t), and unemployment, UE(t), in Japan has been modeled. Both variables were represented as linear functions of the change rate of labor force, dLF/LF. These models provide an accurate description of disinflation in the 1990s and a deflationary period in the 2000s. In Japan, there exists a …
This paper introduces C-DSL to improve data mining outcomes by considering context.
problem Data collection ambiguities, data imbalance, hidden biases, lack of domain info, and data incompleteness.
method Developed Context-Driven Data Science Lifecycle (C-DSL) to address data quality issues.
result Tangible improvements to data mining outcomes were achieved through C-DSL.
Machine learning models predict the behavior of negatively buoyant jets from wastewater.
problem Minimizing harmful effects of negatively buoyant jets during wastewater discharge.
method Training machine learning models (ANN, XGBoost, CatBoost, LightGBM) on OpenFOAM simulations and experimental data.
result Artificial Neural Network provided the best prediction with R2 0.98 and RMSE 0.28.
Researchers describe and compare decompositions of Poincaré duality pairs.
problem Understanding and comparing different decompositions of Poincaré duality pairs.
method Developed and described edge splittings of decompositions based on group properties.
result Compared decompositions with two other related decompositions.
Quantum kernel improves solar irradiance forecasting.
problem Improving short-term solar irradiance forecasting accuracy.
method Quantum Fourier Transform kernel in KRR with feature mixing.
result Consistently improves R2 and nRMSE over classical kernels.
The paper proposes and discusses semiorthogonal decompositions for moduli spaces of vector bundles.
problem Decompositions of moduli spaces of vector bundles with fixed determinant of odd degree.
method Semiorthogonal decompositions, Grothendieck ring of varieties, mirror symmetry, graph potentials, Fukaya category.
result Evidence for a conjectural semiorthogonal decomposition of moduli spaces of rank 2 bundles with odd determinant.
Paper presents a breast cancer detection model using ELM-RBF.
problem Detecting breast cancer using mammography with high cost and side effects.
method Multilayer fuzzy expert system with ELM-RBF model.
result ELM-RBF model outperforms linear-SVM model in accuracy, precision, sensitivity, specificity, and other metrics.
The paper classifies decompositions of 3-sphere and lens spaces with handlebodies.
problem Classifying decompositions of 3-manifolds with handlebodies.
method Studied decompositions of 3-sphere and lens spaces with three handlebodies, using stabilizations.
result Determined whether decompositions are stabilized.
Study uses machine learning to optimize seismic design parameters.
problem Optimizing seismic design parameters for performance-based design.
method Implementing explainable machine learning models to map design variables and performance metrics, integrated into a genetic optimization algorithm.
result Highly accurate surrogate models (R2> 90%) across diverse building types and hazards, identifying optimal member properties.
We combine aspects of the notions of finite decomposition complexity and asymptotic property C into a notion that we call finite APC-decomposition complexity. Any space with finite decomposition complexity has finite APC-decomposition complexity and any space with asymptotic property C has finite APC-decomposition comp…
This paper generalizes octahedral decomposition to links in thickened surfaces.
problem Understanding the geometry of links in thickened surfaces.
method Octahedral decomposition of links in thickened surfaces.
result Nonpositive curvature of the complement and essential-ness of edges proved.
Researchers compute Goeritz groups for all (1,1)-link decompositions.
problem Computing Goeritz groups for all (1,1)-link decompositions.
method Analyzing surface decompositions and isotopy classes of homeomorphisms.
result Computed Goeritz groups for all (1,1)-link decompositions.
Study concordance of decompositions from defining sequences in 3-sphere.
problem Understanding concordance and bordism of decompositions from defining sequences.
method Relate to invariants of toroidal decompositions and cobordism of homology manifolds.
result At least uncountably many concordance classes of decompositions in 3-sphere.
Given a Delaunay decomposition of a compact hyperbolic surface, one may record the topological data of the decomposition, together with the intersection angles between the `empty disks' circumscribing the regions of the decomposition. The main result of this paper is a characterization of when a given topological decom…
Study shows OAT decomposition generates unexplained profit and loss, while SU decompositions depend on risk factor order.
problem Understanding profit and loss attribution in financial markets.
method Used financial market data from 2003 to 2022 to compare OAT, SU, and ASU decompositions.
result SU decompositions are sensitive to risk factor order and cannot identify all relevant risk factors.
A new algorithm speeds up CP decomposition for large tensors.
problem Efficiently processing large-scale tensors in real-time.
method Randomized online CP decomposition (ROCP) algorithm.
result ROCP reduces computing time and memory usage significantly.