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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Quantitative modeling

New MRI method maps tissue parameters more accurately by ignoring voxel independence.

problem Voxel independence assumption limits model fitting reliability and repeatability.
method Self-supervised deep variational approach with Gaussian mixture prior.
result Our method outperforms current techniques in dMRI simulations and real data.

In this paper, we give a proof of the quantitative Morse theorem stated by {Y. Yomdin} in \cite{Y1}. The proof is based on the quantitative Sard theorem, the quantitative inverse function theorem and the quantitative Morse lemma.

2013-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Quantitative model predicts Sri Lankan stock market using NLP, clustering, and time-series forecasting.

problem Predicting economic regimes and market signals in Sri Lankan stock indices.
method Integrates NLP, clustering, and time-series forecasting; uses FinBERT for sentiment analysis, UMAP/HDBSCAN for clustering, and GRU/LSTM for forecasting.
result GRU model achieves 80.1% R-squared for daily closing price forecasts.

This paper explores how combining quantitative factors and news from LLMs improves stock return prediction.

problem Improving stock return prediction using quantitative factors and news.
method Introduces a fusion learning framework to learn unified representations from factors and LLM-generated newsflow, comparing combination, summation, and attentive methods. Explores mixture models and decoupled training approaches.
result Effective multimodal modeling of factors and news improves stock return prediction and selection.

QGMS framework detects market endpoints using geometric patterns.

problem Identifying market endpoints in large-scale movements.
method Hybrid of geometric pattern recognition and quantitative modeling.
result Consistently identifies market endpoints before major reversals.

The paper develops quantitative estimates for holomorphic sections over bounded domains.

problem Establishing precise inequalities for holomorphic sections over bounded domains.
method Develops Sobolev-type inequalities and applies them to holomorphic sections of Hermitian vector bundles.
result Quantitative Carleman-type estimates for holomorphic sections are derived, improving on previous non-quantitative results.

Study proves quantitative results for isoperimetric problem outside convex bodies in the plane.

problem Quantitative estimates for the relative isoperimetric problem outside convex bodies in the plane.
method Flow approach and Łojasiewicz estimates to prove quantitative stability for minimizers.
result Explicit constants and optimal exponents/rates for Łojasiewicz estimates and rates of convergence for gradient flow.

The paper proposes criteria and methods for evaluating and aggregating feature-based model explanations.

problem Lack of quantitative evaluation criteria for feature-based model explanations.
method Developed quantitative evaluation criteria (low sensitivity, high faithfulness, low complexity), devised a framework for aggregation, and derived a new aggregate Shapley value explanation function.
result A new aggregate Shapley value explanation function that minimizes sensitivity.

Quantformer uses transformer to predict stock returns, outperforming traditional strategies.

problem Predicting stock returns in a dynamic financial market.
method Transfer learning from sentiment analysis to build investment factors using a transformer-based neural network.
result Quantformer outperforms other 100-factor-based quantitative strategies in predicting stock trends.

Paper analyzes arbitrage in uncertain markets, providing quantitative asset pricing.

problem Dealing with model uncertainty in markets that allow small arbitrage.
method Quantitative analysis of arbitrage, focusing on asset price processes close to martingales.
result Quantitative version of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing and Super-Replication Theorem.

Study connects manifold complexity to scalar curvature bounds.

problem Understanding the relationship between manifold complexity and scalar curvature.
method Combining quantitative operator K-theory, Lipschitz topological K-theory, and a vanishing theorem.
result Established a relationship between covering complexity and scalar curvature bounds.

Research integrates sentiment analysis with reinforcement learning for better trading strategies.

problem Improving trading performance by integrating sentiment data.
method Developed a sentiment-driven trading system using a large language model and reinforcement learning.
result Sentiment signals from FinGPT improve trading performance when combined with technical indicators.

Study shows how close functions are to optimal in Riemannian manifolds.

problem Understanding how close functions are to optimal in Riemannian manifolds.
method Analyzes quantitative stability of Sobolev inequalities on compact Riemannian manifolds.
result Functions that nearly saturate a critical Sobolev inequality are quantitatively close to extremal functions.

RD-Agent(Q) automates quantitative finance research and development.

problem Challenges in asset return prediction due to high dimensionality and volatility.
method Data-centric multi-agent framework for automated research and development of quantitative strategies.
result Up to 2X higher annualized returns with 70% fewer factors.

Quantitative Sobolev extensions lead to Neumann heat kernel bounds.

problem Bounding Neumann heat kernels for domains with integral Ricci curvature.
method Quantitative Sobolev extension operators and Neumann heat kernel estimates.
result Uniform bounds on Neumann heat kernels and eigenvalues.

Framework uses LLMs to automate strategy finding in quantitative finance.

problem Brittleness of traditional deep learning models in financial applications.
method Three-stage framework with prompt-engineered LLMs, multimodal agent-based evaluation, and dynamic weight optimization.
result Robust performance in Chinese & US markets, superior risk-adjusted performance.

Pre-trained LLM adapted with LoRA improves offline RL for quantitative trading.

problem Challenges in offline RL for quantitative trading due to complex temporal dependencies and overfitting.
method Integrates pre-trained GPT-2 weights and LoRA for efficient fine-tuning of a Decision Transformer.
result Outperforms existing offline RL methods in certain trading scenarios.

The study proves a quantitative functional CLT for neural networks with smooth activation functions.

problem Understanding the convergence rates of neural networks with different activation functions.
method Functional versions of the Stein-Malliavin approach and a quantitative functional central limit theorem.
result Rates of convergence depend on the smoothness of the activation function, ranging from logarithmic to sqrt(n).

Quantitative stability for nearly minimizing Yamabe metrics.

problem Understanding the stability of nearly minimizing metrics in Riemannian geometry.
method Proving quantitative closeness of nearly minimizing metrics to minimizing metrics in a specific sense.
result The distance between nearly minimizing metrics and minimizing metrics is controlled quadratically by the Yamabe energy deficit.

Research evaluates three risk models for portfolio construction during market downturns.

problem Challenges in constructing quantitative portfolios using statistical risk models.
method Three statistical risk models tested on 1,000 stocks across four periods.
result Models consistently outperform market returns in various crises.

The paper investigates quantitative rigidity using Colding's monotonicity formulas for Ricci curvature.

problem Quantifying rigidity in manifolds with nonnegative Ricci curvature.
method Investigates pinching of Colding's monotone functionals and constructs kk-splitting functions.
result Quantitative control of splitting functions by pinching at independent points controls the distance to the nearest cone.

Quantitative analysis of order-splitting behavior in Japanese stock market.

problem Understanding and quantifying the order-splitting behavior of traders in the Japanese stock market.
method Analysis of a large dataset of trading accounts over nine years, clustering traders into order-splitting and random traders, and applying statistical methods to analyze metaorder length and sign correlation.
result The metaorder length distribution follows power laws with exponent α, and the sign correlation exponent γ is approximately α-1, supporting the LMF model.

Novel framework detects lead-lag relationships in Chinese A-share market.

problem Detecting lead-lag relationships in the Chinese A-share market.
method Two-stage framework: long-term coupling via correlation, dynamic time warping, and rank-based metrics; high-frequency data analysis via cross-correlation, Granger causality, and regression models.
result Strongly coupled stock pairs often exhibit lead-lag effects, especially at finer time scales.