Study uses AI to simulate stock market behavior, revealing how trader psychology affects market stability.
problem Understanding how trader psychology impacts stock market stability at the mesoscale.
method Developed a multi-agent system with reinforcement learning, incorporating trader psychology traits.
result Agents with traits of delay discounting and greed lead to more stable markets.
IPGP framework improves psychological assessment by integrating shared and unique traits.
problem Tackles the debate on shared vs unique personality traits across individuals.
method Uses Gaussian process coregionalization model for non-Gaussian ordinal data, with stochastic variational inference for scalability.
result Improves prediction and estimation of individualized factor structures compared to existing methods.
New game design method for better trait inference.
problem Inferring latent psychological traits from human behavior.
method Formulated as a mutual information maximization problem, solved using variational lower bound optimization.
result Designed games successfully distinguish among players with different traits, outperforming traditional methods.
Model predicts personality traits from Facebook Likes.
problem Predicting personality traits from social media data.
method Mapped Facebook Likes to page categories, used machine learning.
result 83% accuracy distinguishing religious vs non-religious.
Paper uses language models to predict MBTI personality types with high accuracy.
problem Predicting Myers-Briggs personality types from text.
method Fine-tuned BERT model for predicting MBTI types and generating personality-specific language.
result BERT model achieves high accuracy in predicting MBTI types and personality-specific language generation.
An efficient algorithm selects the correct number of latent dimensions in multidimensional probit models.
problem Determining the correct number of latent dimensions in multidimensional probit graded response models.
method Adaptive Bayesian dimension selection framework using cumulative ordered spike-and-slab (COSS) prior and Albert--Chib latent response augmentation.
result The proposed method accurately recovers latent structures and avoids repeated model fitting.
PSI-KT improves KT accuracy and interpretability in learning materials.
problem Optimizing learning materials selection and timing for understanding and retention.
method Hierarchical generative approach using Bayesian inference.
result Superior multi-step predictive accuracy and scalable inference.
Method distinguishes genetic correlations from causation in GWAS.
problem Identifying causal relationships among genetically correlated traits.
method Mixed fourth moments to quantify causal relationships.
result Identified 30 putative genetically causal relationships across 52 traits.
Many complex disease syndromes such as asthma consist of a large number of highly related, rather than independent, clinical phenotypes, raising a new technical challenge in identifying genetic variations associated simultaneously with correlated traits. In this study, we propose a new statistical framework called grap…
Study reveals LLM personality patterns but lacks behavioral consistency.
problem Understanding and validating personality traits in LLMs.
method Characterized LLM personality across three dimensions: training dynamics, self-report validity, and intervention effects.
result Self-reported traits do not reliably predict behavior, and instructional alignment affects trait expression but not behavior.
Many methods have been used to recognize author personality traits from text, typically combining linguistic feature engineering with shallow learning models, e.g. linear regression or Support Vector Machines. This work uses deep-learning-based models and atomic features of text, the characters, to build hierarchical, …
The author suggests using non-Euclidean geometry for psychometric models.
problem Current psychometric models lack geometric insights.
method Illustrates how non-Euclidean geometry can be applied to psychometrics.
result Geometric concepts may improve psychometric model understanding.
Machine learning improves predicting species interactions based on traits.
problem Variability in empirical trait-matching studies for ecological networks.
method Compared conventional GLMs with ML models (Random Forest, Boosted Regression Trees, etc.) on simulated and real data.
result ML models outperform GLMs in predicting species interactions and identifying trait-matching combinations.
AI models assess psychological risks in currency trading.
problem Identifying psychological risks in currency traders.
method Developed a decision tree model to identify patterns in historical data.
result Enhanced decision-making through real-time alerts.
Heterosis is the improved or increased function of any biological quality in a hybrid offspring. We have studied yet the largest maize SNP dataset for traits prediction. We develop linear and non-linear models which consider relationships between different hybrids as well as other effect. Specially designed model prove…
The book explores essential stats and psychology for quantitative trading.
problem Developing a quantitative trading system.
method Logical progression through articles on statistics, quantitative trading, and psychology.
result Essential elements for quantitative trading systems.
Software aids in estimating speciation parameters using trait-dependent models.
problem Lack of robust software to estimate numerous speciation parameters.
method Approximate Bayesian Computation approach implemented in R package pcmabc.
result Software allows estimation of parameters of trait-dependent speciation processes.
The cognitive framework of conceptual spaces bridges the gap between symbolic and subsymbolic AI by proposing an intermediate conceptual layer where knowledge is represented geometrically. There are two main approaches for obtaining the dimensions of this conceptual similarity space: using similarity ratings from psych…
Genome-wide association studies have proven to be essential for understanding the genetic basis of disease. However, many complex traits---personality traits, facial features, disease subtyping---are inherently high-dimensional, impeding simple approaches to association mapping. We developed a nonparametric Bayesian re…
Neural network model improves leaf spectral reflectance prediction for grapevines.
problem Inaccurate modeling of grapevine leaf spectral reflectance from traits.
method Multi-head attention neural network trained on grapevine-specific data.
result Model achieved high accuracy (R^2=0.84, NRMSE=1.52%) and outperformed PROSPECT-PRO.
New model explains price dynamics of Bitcoin with psychological factors.
problem Understanding price variations in cryptocurrency markets with psychological factors.
method Extended agent-based model with heterogeneous psychological parameters.
result Model shows diverse dynamics based on psychological correlation.
Advances of modern sensing and sequencing technologies generate a deluge of high dimensional space-temporal physiological and next-generation sequencing (NGS) data. Physiological traits are observed either as continuous random functions, or on a dense grid and referred to as function-valued traits. Both physiological a…
The paper interprets financial markets as crowds during booms and busts.
problem Understanding market irrationality during booms and busts.
method Integrates crowd psychology into behavioural finance.
result Markets behave like psychological crowds during booms and busts.
Interpretable neural network for plant traits and species identification.
problem Plant phenotyping and identification.
method Neural network trained on UPWINS spectral library, with visualization of weights for trait-based spectral features.
result 90% accuracy in species identification with interpretable neural network.
New framework for forecasting psychological processes from ILD.
problem Forecasting psychological processes at the individual level from ILD.
method A novel modeling framework addressing challenges in ILD.
result Improved forecasting of psychological processes at the individual level.
Paper identifies latent factors from noisy measurements using tensor decomposition.
problem Identification of latent factors from noisy, correlated measurements.
method Tensor decomposition of third order cross moments, Kruskal theorem, Kotlarski identity, generalized Kruskal rank.
result Full distribution of latent factors and measurement errors identified without injective measurements.
GPIRT uses Gaussian processes to estimate latent traits and IRFs from binary responses.
problem Nonparametric IRT models struggle to estimate flexible IRFs and latent traits simultaneously.
method GPIRT employs Gaussian process priors to relax IRF assumptions while estimating latent traits.
result GPIRT provides a flexible solution to IRT challenges, including active learning.
Develops a new method to analyze brain networks for cognitive traits.
problem Challenges in summarizing and relating brain connectomes to human traits.
method Graph Auto-Encoding (GATE) model using deep learning.
result GATE improves prediction accuracy and efficiency over existing methods.
Detects radical content on Twitter using textual, psychological, and behavioral signals.
problem Limit the spread of extremist narratives on social media.
method Analyzed extremist material, created contextual text-based model, inferred psychological properties, evaluated on Twitter.
result Radical users exhibit distinguishable textual, psychological, and behavioral properties.
Study identifies personality traits from dance movements in music.
problem Predicting individual differences from music-induced movement.
method Identified Big Five personality traits and EQ/SQ scores from dance movements.
result Successfully explored unseen space for personality and EQ/SQ.
A genome-wide association study (GWAS) correlates marker variation with trait variation in a sample of individuals. Each study subject is genotyped at a multitude of SNPs (single nucleotide polymorphisms) spanning the genome. Here we assume that subjects are unrelated and collected at random and that trait values are n…
Background doesn't affect personality predictions in deep networks.
problem Understanding how background images influence personality attribution in deep learning models.
method Explicitly studied the effect of background images on personality prediction in deep residual networks, controlling for confounds.
result Adding background information to input decreases model performance for personality trait prediction.
Study reveals biases and generalization patterns in deep image models.
problem Understanding the inductive bias of deep generative models in high dimensions.
method Proposed a framework to empirically investigate bias and generalization using designed training datasets.
result Identified similarities to human psychology in model behavior and patterns.
New method learns psychological similarity spaces for unseen stimuli.
problem Generalizing psychological similarity spaces to new stimuli.
method Learn mapping from raw stimuli to similarity space using ANNs.
result ANNs can successfully map raw stimuli into similarity spaces.
Paper reviews intrinsic motivations and their role in open-ended learning.
problem Understanding intrinsic motivations and their role in open-ended learning.
method Defining intrinsic motivations, presenting psychological/neuroscientific and computational models.
result Links between psychological/neuroscientific and computational models of intrinsic motivations.
Two methods use BART to model missing data in leaf photosynthetic trait data.
problem Handling missing data in multivariate outcomes with non-ignorable mechanisms.
method Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) for joint modeling of data and missingness indicators.
result Both methods effectively recover various missingness mechanisms and outperform existing approaches.
Dual Variable Learning Rates improve neural network training efficiency.
problem Training neural networks efficiently and effectively.
method DVLR uses different learning rates for correct and incorrect responses, and adjusts rates based on network performance.
result DVLR consistently improves neural network accuracy across different types and domains.
Study presents MMC model for better fitting multiple choice data.
problem Improving accuracy of latent trait estimates in IRT models.
method Fit autoencoders to MMC model, demonstrating better fit than nominal response model.
result MMC model outperforms traditional IRT models in fit.
SharedRep-RLHF learns shared traits for diverse groups, improving fairness and performance.
problem Uniform-reward RLHF fails to capture diverse preferences, leading to unfairness.
method SharedRep-RLHF learns shared traits among various groups, improving fairness and performance.
result SharedRep-RLHF outperforms MaxMin-RLHF by up to 20% in win rate.
Neural network predicts nonlinear safety behavior based on personality traits.
problem Predicting construction workers' unsafe behaviors based on personality traits.
method Developed a forecasting model using neural network algorithms.
result Nonlinear relationship exists between personality traits and safety behavior.
PsychFM predicts individual gambling choices using psychological and machine learning models.
problem Predicting individual gambling choices with high precision.
method PsychFM combines machine learning and psychological theories.
result PsychFM outperforms existing models like random forest and factorization machines.
Many biological characteristics of evolutionary interest are not scalar variables but continuous functions. Here we use phylogenetic Gaussian process regression to model the evolution of simulated function-valued traits. Given function-valued data only from the tips of an evolutionary tree and utilising independent pri…
Deep neural networks (DNNs) have achieved unprecedented performance on a wide range of complex tasks, rapidly outpacing our understanding of the nature of their solutions. This has caused a recent surge of interest in methods for rendering modern neural systems more interpretable. In this work, we propose to address th…
Deep reinforcement learning finds optimal learning policies for adaptive systems.
problem Finding individualized learning plans for learners with unknown latent traits.
method Formulated as a Markov decision process, applied deep Q-learning with a transition model estimator.
result The algorithm efficiently discovers optimal learning policies with small data sets.
Method learns behavioral states from wearable sensor data.
problem Understanding behavioral patterns from sensor data.
method Non-parametric Bayesian approach to model sensor data.
result Learned behavioral states cluster participants into meaningful groups and predict psychological states.
PerSense assesses personality traits from text for commonsense reasoning.
problem Estimating human personality traits from text for mental health analysis.
method Aggregated Probability Density Functions (PDF) and Machine Learning (ML) models.
result PerSense algorithms achieve comparable results to ground truth data, with high accuracy for personality assessment and commonsense prediction.
A new model of learning corrects for chance to improve learning outcomes.
problem The importance of chance-corrected measures in learning.
method Developed two models: Informatron and AdaBook, based on empirical psychological results.
result Chance correction facilitates learning, as shown by computational results.
This paper focuses on the problem of explaining predictions of psychological attributes such as attractiveness, happiness, confidence and intelligence from face photographs using deep neural networks. Since psychological attribute datasets typically suffer from small sample sizes, we apply transfer learning with two ba…