A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
On the probability simplex, we can consider the standard information geometric structure with the e- and m-affine connections mutually dual with respect to the Fisher metric. The geometry naturally defines submanifolds simultaneously autoparallel for the both affine connections, which we call {\em doubly autoparallel s…
We provide an elementary proof of a simple, efficient algorithm for computing the Euclidean projection of a point onto the probability simplex. We also show an application in Laplacian K-modes clustering.
CAST predicts distribution-valued time series by stabilizing and transporting simplex-supported successors.
problem Forecasting distribution-valued time series with structural failure modes.
method CAST (Causal Anchored Simplex Transport) uses successors retrieved from causal context, stabilized with a persistence anchor, and locally transported on ordered supports.
result CAST outperforms baselines on eleven public and simulated benchmarks, achieving best average rank on both one-step KL and autoregressive rollout JSD.
We describe a Groebner basis of relations among conditional probabilities in a discrete probability space, with any set of conditioned-upon events. They may be specialized to the partially-observed random variable case, the purely conditional case, and other special cases. We also investigate the connection to generali…
We formulate the Riemannian calculus of the probability set embedded with L2-Wasserstein metric. This is an initial work of transport information geometry. Our investigation starts with the probability simplex (probability manifold) supported on vertices of a finite graph. The main idea is to embed the probability m…
Stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo (SGMCMC) has become a popular method for scalable Bayesian inference. These methods are based on sampling a discrete-time approximation to a continuous time process, such as the Langevin diffusion. When applied to distributions defined on a constrained space the time-discret…
We consider three different approaches to define natural Riemannian metrics on polytopes of stochastic matrices. First, we define a natural class of stochastic maps between these polytopes and give a metric characterization of Chentsov type in terms of invariance with respect to these maps. Second, we consider the Fish…
High dimensional data often contain multiple facets, and several clustering patterns can co-exist under different variable subspaces, also known as the views. While multi-view clustering algorithms were proposed, the uncertainty quantification remains difficult --- a particular challenge is in the high complexity of es…
We construct a new distribution for the simplex using the Kumaraswamy distribution and an ordered stick-breaking process. We explore and develop the theoretical properties of this new distribution and prove that it exhibits symmetry under the same conditions as the well-known Dirichlet. Like the Dirichlet, the new dist…
Spaces of convex and concave functions appear naturally in theory and applications. For example, convex regression and log-concave density estimation are important topics in nonparametric statistics. In stochastic portfolio theory, concave functions on the unit simplex measure the concentration of capital, and their gr…
Improved convergence rates for saddle-point optimization algorithms.
problem Understanding last-iterate convergence rates for saddle-point optimization algorithms in constrained settings.
method Expanding the understanding of last-iterate convergence for Optimistic Gradient Descent Ascent (OGDA) and Optimistic Multiplicative Weights Update (OMWU) in the constrained setting.
result Linear last-iterate convergence achieved with a universal constant learning rate for OMWU in bilinear games over the simplex.
This paper introduces a new nonlinear dictionary learning method for histograms in the probability simplex. The method leverages optimal transport theory, in the sense that our aim is to reconstruct histograms using so-called displacement interpolations (a.k.a. Wasserstein barycenters) between dictionary atoms; such at…
Researchers use LLMs to judge other LLMs, but this study provides a new geometric perspective to understand when it works.
problem The challenge of evaluating LLMs using other LLMs as judges, considering both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties.
method A geometric perspective on ranking LLM candidates using probability simplices, analyzing conditions for identifiable rankings and designing Bayesian priors.
result Geometric analysis reveals that rankings based on LLM judges are robust in many but not all datasets, emphasizing the importance of modeling epistemic uncertainty.
The Bezier simplex fitting is a novel data modeling technique which exploits geometric structures of data to approximate the Pareto front of multi-objective optimization problems. There are two fitting methods based on different sampling strategies. The inductive skeleton fitting employs a stratified subsampling from e…
We propose a new topic modeling procedure that takes advantage of the fact that the Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) log likelihood function is asymptotically equivalent to the logarithm of the volume of the topic simplex. This allows topic modeling to be reformulated as finding the probability simplex that minimizes …
We establish the second part of Milnor's conjecture on the volume of simplexes in hyperbolic and spherical spaces. A characterization of the closure of the space of the angle Gram matrices of simplexes is also obtained.
A hyperbolic 3-simplex reflection group is a Coxeter group arising as a lattice in the isometry group of hyperbolic 3-space, with fundamental domain a geodesic simplex (possibly with some ideal vertices). The classification of these groups is known, and there are exactly 9 cocompact examples, and 23 non-cocompact examp…
We introduce the non-pure versions of simplicial balls and spheres with minimum number of vertices. These are a special type of non-homogeneous balls and spheres (NH-balls and NH-spheres) satisfying a minimality condition on the number of maximal simplices. The main result is that minimal NH-balls and NH-spheres are pr…
In 1973, J. Cheeger and J. Simons raised the following question that still remains open and is known as the Rational Simplex Problem: Given a geodesic simplex in the spherical 3-space so that all of its interior dihedral angles are rational multiples of π, is it true that its volume is a rational multiple of the volu…