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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Probability Space

This study redefines probability for finite outcomes using axioms and examples.

problem Defining probability for finite outcomes and preserving information.
method Developed three axioms for relative probability functions and provided examples and a system for their composition.
result Proved the topological closure of the relative probability space, preserving information under limits.

Quantum probability metrics improve distribution comparison in high dimensions.

problem Challenges in comparing probability distributions, especially in high-dimensional and non-compact domains.
method Quantum probability metrics (QPMs) derived from quantum state spaces, overcoming limitations of MMD.
result QPMs offer enhanced sensitivity to subtle distributional differences in high dimensions and improve performance in generative modeling.

The paper explores geometric calculations on probability manifolds derived from master equations.

problem Understanding geometric properties of probability manifolds from master equations.
method Deriving geometric quantities like Levi-Civita connection, gradient, Hessian, parallel transport, and curvatures on probability manifolds.
result Calculation of geometric quantities in probability manifolds, including curvatures and connections.

The paper explores geometry of probability measures and barycenter maps.

problem Understanding the space of probability measures and their barycenter.
method Information geometry, Fisher metric, dualistic structures, divergences, geodesics.
result Recent developments in the geometry of probability measures and barycenter.

This paper develops GPCA for probability distributions using Otto-Wasserstein geometry.

problem Analyzing modes of variation in datasets of probability measures.
method Geodesic Principal Component Analysis (GPCA) on Wasserstein space with neural networks.
result Identification of geodesic curves that capture modes of variation in probability distributions.

New method calibrates photometric redshift PDFs more accurately.

problem Inaccurate photometric redshift uncertainties lead to systematic errors.
method Local re-calibration using feature-space regression of Probability Integral Transform (PIT) distributions.
result Calibrated PDFs are more accurate at all locations in feature space.

Wavelet-based online learning adapts to noisy Besov spaces with high probability.

problem Minimizing integrated squared error in Besov spaces with noisy observations.
method Adaptive wavelet-based online learning algorithm that dynamically adjusts to gradient noise.
result Achieves minimax-optimal integrated squared error with high probability.

A new metric for comparing probability measures on graphs, scalable and negative definite.

problem Optimal transport's high complexity and indefiniteness for kernel machines.
method Sobolev transport metric for graph metrics, closed-form formula, negative definiteness.
result Sobolev transport yields a scalable and negative definite metric.

We describe a Groebner basis of relations among conditional probabilities in a discrete probability space, with any set of conditioned-upon events. They may be specialized to the partially-observed random variable case, the purely conditional case, and other special cases. We also investigate the connection to generali…

2008-08-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops methods to find most probable paths on complex manifolds.

problem Identifying optimal paths for manifold-valued processes, especially those with non-trivial structures.
method Constructs a general approach to defining and identifying most probable paths by measuring the Onsager-Machlup function on the anti-development of such processes.
result Derives explicit equations for development most probable paths that encompass various manifold-valued processes.

A pivotal problem in Bayesian nonparametrics is the construction of prior distributions on the space M(V) of probability measures on a given domain V. In principle, such distributions on the infinite-dimensional space M(V) can be constructed from their finite-dimensional marginals---the most prominent example being the…

2011-01-24abs ↗pdf ↗

New dimension concept for groups based on percolation probability.

problem Defining a new dimension for groups using percolation probability.
method Introducing percolation dimension pdim(G)pdim(G) for groups GG using symmetric probability measures.
result The percolation dimension pdim(G)pdim(G) has natural properties like monotonicity and coincides with growth rate exponents for various groups.

New neural networks learn mappings between probability measures and functions.

problem Learning mappings between Wasserstein space of probability measures and function spaces.
method Two types of neural networks: bin density and cylindrical approximation, are proposed and supported by universal approximation theorems.
result Accuracy and efficiency of mean-field neural networks in generalization error with various test distributions.

We build a new probability measure on closed space and plane polygons. The key construction is a map, given by Knutson and Hausmann using the Hopf map on quaternions, from the complex Stiefel manifold of 2-frames in n-space to the space of closed n-gons in 3-space of total length 2. Our probability measure on polygon s…

2012-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Aggregates probability models using Wasserstein space and variational approach.

problem Model aggregation in the Wasserstein space of distributions.
method Data-driven calibration framework based on ΓΓ-convergence.
result Empirical minimizers converge to the minimizers of the actual problem.

Gradient flows on distributions of distributions for machine learning tasks.

problem Designing gradient flows for datasets of probability distributions.
method Representing classes as conditional distributions, modeling datasets as mixture distributions, using Wasserstein over Wasserstein (WoW) distance and gradients.
result Demonstrated gradient flows for dataset transfer and distillation tasks.

Optimizes functionals on probability space using ICNNs.

problem Optimizing functionals on the space of probabilities with high-dimensional convex functions.
method Proposes an approach using input-convex neural networks (ICNNs) to approximate the JKO scheme.
result Demonstrates feasibility and validity in approximating solutions of PDEs and molecular discovery.

We study rays and co-rays in the Wasserstein space Pp(X)P_p(\mathcal{X}) (p>1p > 1) whose ambient space X\mathcal{X} is a complete, separable, non-compact, locally compact length space. We show that rays in the Wasserstein space can be represented as probability measures concentrated on the set of rays in the ambient spac…

2019-05-14abs ↗pdf ↗

The Wasserstein metric is an important measure of distance between probability distributions, with applications in machine learning, statistics, probability theory, and data analysis. This paper provides upper and lower bounds on statistical minimax rates for the problem of estimating a probability distribution under W…

2018-02-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Sharp bounds for max-sliced Wasserstein distances derived for empirical distributions.

problem Estimating the expected max-sliced Wasserstein distance between a probability measure and its empirical distribution.
method Banach space version and operator norm approach for upper bounds.
result Upper bounds for max-sliced Wasserstein distances are essentially matching and sharp up to a log factor.

New method estimates and samples high-dimensional probability distributions avoiding optimization and approximation curse.

problem Estimating high-dimensional probability distributions from data samples.
method Hierarchic probability flow from coarse to fine scales, defined by conditional probabilities across scales.
result Sampling hierarchic models avoids critical slowing down at phase transitions and generates turbulence and dark matter images.

A new kernel for probability measures based on optimal transport.

problem Efficiently comparing and modeling distributions.
method Kernel over probability measures using regularized optimal transport and Hilbertian embedding.
result The proposed kernel enables Gaussian process modeling on distributions with theoretical and computational advantages.

We investigate Fano schemes of conditionally generic intersections, i.e. of hypersurfaces in projective space chosen generically up to additional conditions. Via a correspondence between generic properties of algebraic varieties and events in probability spaces that occur with probability one, we use the obtained resul…

2013-01-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Formulates mechanics for probability distributions on statistical manifold.

problem Formulating mechanics for probability distributions on statistical manifold.
method Information-geometric formulation of Classical Mechanics on statistical manifold, using dually-flat connection and Hilbert bundle structure.
result Provides coherent formalism for Lagrangian and Hamiltonian mechanics on statistical bundle.

New framework transforms labeled datasets for various machine learning tasks.

problem Lack of principled methods to transform labeled datasets.
method Wasserstein gradient flows in probability space for optimization of data-generating distributions.
result Framework can impose constraints, adapt for transfer learning, or re-purpose models.

New discrepancy function compares discrete probability measures considering space geometry.

problem Comparing discrete probability measures in a geometrically meaningful way.
method Proposes the Fourier Discrepancy Function, proving convexity, differentiability, and providing gradient formula.
result Proves the Fourier Discrepancy is convex, twice differentiable, and provides an explicit gradient formula.

Obtaining accurate and well calibrated probability estimates from classifiers is useful in many applications, for example, when minimising the expected cost of classifications. Existing methods of calibrating probability estimates are applied globally, ignoring the potential for improvements by applying a more fine-gra…

2018-07-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Let S be a non-exceptional oriented surface of finite type. We discuss the action of subgroups of the mapping class group of S on the CAT(0)-boundary of the completion of Teichmueller space with respect to the Weil-Petersson metric. We show that the set of invariant Borel probability measures for the Weil-Petersson flo…

2009-01-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Extends Gaussian process theory to Banach spaces.

problem Extending Gaussian process theory to Banach spaces.
method Investigates the connection between Gaussian processes and Gaussian random elements in reproducing kernel Banach spaces.
result Characterizes positive definite functions that arise from covariance operators in Banach space setting.

The paper studies the geometry of probability measures on the unit circle.

problem Understanding the Riemannian geometry of probability measures on the unit circle.
method Developed an intrinsic framework using the Peter-Weyl Theorem to study the differential geometry of Wasserstein spaces of compact Lie groups.
result Explicitly demonstrated that the Wasserstein space of the unit circle is flat with vanishing curvature.

The notion of utility maximising entropy (u-entropy) of a probability density, which was introduced and studied by Slomczynski and Zastawniak (Ann. Prob 32 (2004) 2261-2285, arXiv:math.PR/0410115 v1), is extended in two directions. First, the relative u-entropy of two probability measures in arbitrary probability space…

2007-09-09abs ↗pdf ↗