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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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159317476634 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Principal Regression Analysis

Study on reducing dimensionality in high-dimensional regression with kernel methods and stability analysis.

problem Analyzing errors in high-dimensional regression with dimensionality reduction and kernel regression.
method Derive a stability result for kernel regression with Wasserstein distance and apply it to PCA to deduce convergence rates.
result Two-step procedure yields useful convergence rates in semi-supervised settings.

We show how to efficiently project a vector onto the top principal components of a matrix, without explicitly computing these components. Specifically, we introduce an iterative algorithm that provably computes the projection using few calls to any black-box routine for ridge regression. By avoiding explicit principal …

2016-02-22abs ↗pdf ↗

A new PCR method using SVD with sparse regularization.

problem Lack of response variable information in traditional PCR.
method One-stage SVD approach with two loss functions and sparse regularization.
result Obtains principal component loadings with response variable information.

Kernelized PCovR reveals structure-property relations in chemistry and materials.

problem Understanding structure-property relations in complex systems.
method Kernel Principal Covariates Regression (kernel PCovR) with sparsification.
result Kernelized PCovR effectively reveals and predicts structure-property relations.

Motivated by the Bagging Partial Least Squares (PLS) and Principal Component Analysis (PCA) algorithms, we propose a Principal Model Analysis (PMA) method in this paper. In the proposed PMA algorithm, the PCA and the PLS are combined. In the method, multiple PLS models are trained on sub-training sets, derived from the…

2019-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Principal component regression (PCR) is a widely used two-stage procedure: principal component analysis (PCA), followed by regression in which the selected principal components are regarded as new explanatory variables in the model. Note that PCA is based only on the explanatory variables, so the principal components a…

2016-09-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes an online method for high-dimensional streaming data.

problem Increasing variable dimensions with sample size in online kernel sliced inverse regression.
method Introduces approximate linear dependence condition and dictionary variable sets to address the problem. Transforms into online generalized eigen-decomposition problem and uses stochastic optimization for updates.
result Achieves close performance to batch processing kernel sliced inverse regression.

Study shows past market trends reduce or increase correlations between futures contracts.

problem Estimating and managing risk in non-stationary futures markets.
method Applied Principal Regression Analysis (PRA) to quantify past market movements' effect on correlations.
result Past up or down 10-day trends reduce or increase instantaneous correlations, respectively.

This paper introduces a new unsupervised method for dimensionality reduction via regression (DRR). The algorithm belongs to the family of invertible transforms that generalize Principal Component Analysis (PCA) by using curvilinear instead of linear features. DRR identifies the nonlinear features through multivariate r…

2016-01-31abs ↗pdf ↗

We revisit the index leverage effect, that can be decomposed into a volatility effect and a correlation effect. We investigate the latter using a matrix regression analysis, that we call `Principal Regression Analysis' (PRA) and for which we provide some analytical (using Random Matrix Theory) and numerical benchmarks.…

2010-11-26abs ↗pdf ↗

This study analyzes prediction risk for PCR method in latent factor regression models.

problem Prediction risk analysis in latent factor regression models.
method Adaptive PCR method with risk bounds established under factor regression model.
result Unified framework for analyzing various linear prediction methods under factor regression.

Principal component regression (PCR) is a two-stage procedure that selects some principal components and then constructs a regression model regarding them as new explanatory variables. Note that the principal components are obtained from only explanatory variables and not considered with the response variable. To addre…

2014-02-26abs ↗pdf ↗

We compare the risk of ridge regression to a simple variant of ordinary least squares, in which one simply projects the data onto a finite dimensional subspace (as specified by a Principal Component Analysis) and then performs an ordinary (un-regularized) least squares regression in this subspace. This note shows that …

2011-05-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Survey of SDR methods for high-dimensional regression and embedding.

problem Reducing dimensionality in high-dimensional data.
method Involves both statistical and machine learning approaches, covering inverse and forward regression methods.
result Supervised Kernel Dimension Reduction is equivalent to supervised PCA.

CPCR mitigates bias in PCR for overparameterized models.

problem Bias in Principal Component Regression (PCR) for overparameterized models.
method Calibrated Principal Component Regression (CPCR) learns a low-variance prior in the PC subspace and calibrates the model in the original feature space.
result CPCR outperforms standard PCR in overparameterized settings, improving prediction across multiple problems.

Novel F2NARX model improves surrogate modeling for stochastic dynamical systems.

problem Challenges in constructing accurate and efficient surrogate models for stochastic dynamical systems.
method Function-on-Function Nonlinear AutoRegressive model with eXogenous inputs (F2NARX) combining PCA and Gaussian process regression.
result F2NARX outperforms state-of-the-art NARX models in efficiency and accuracy.

Study reduces financial dynamics complexity using PCA for NASDAQ, oil, gold, and USD.

problem Understanding complex financial interactions among multiple assets.
method Time-delay embedding and PCA for dimensionality reduction, followed by linear regression.
result Limited number of principal components capture dominant dynamics of each asset.

We study least squares linear regression over NN uncorrelated Gaussian features that are selected in order of decreasing variance. When the number of selected features pp is at most the sample size nn, the estimator under consideration coincides with the principal component regression estimator; when p>np>n, the esti…

2019-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

PLS-Lasso integrates dimension reduction into regression for financial index tracking.

problem Dimension reduction and regression are traditionally treated separately in multivariate data analysis.
method PLS-Lasso integrates dimension reduction directly into the regression process, presenting two formulations: PLS-Lasso-v1 and PLS-Lasso-v2.
result PLS-Lasso-v1 and PLS-Lasso-v2 outperform Lasso in financial index tracking.

In the multiple linear regression setting, we propose a general framework, termed weighted orthogonal components regression (WOCR), which encompasses many known methods as special cases, including ridge regression and principal components regression. WOCR makes use of the monotonicity inherent in orthogonal components …

2017-09-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Novel Fréchet regression method handles errors-in-variables with low-rank covariates.

problem Regression with noisy and limited covariate data.
method Combines global Fréchet regression and principal component regression for low-rank structure.
result Improved efficiency and accuracy in high-dimensional and noisy data settings.

Stochastic principal component analysis (SPCA) has become a popular dimensionality reduction strategy for large, high-dimensional datasets. We derive a simplified algorithm, called Lazy SPCA, which has reduced computational complexity and is better suited for large-scale distributed computation. We prove that SPCA and …

2017-09-21abs ↗pdf ↗

New statistical methods for analyzing distributions using Wasserstein metric.

problem Statistical analysis of probability distributions on the real line.
method Projected methods exploiting Wasserstein metric and Riemannian structure.
result Projected PCA and regression methods are faster and more flexible.

We identify and validate a model for PCR in high dimensions, improving prediction guarantees.

problem Model identification and out-of-sample prediction in high-dimensional error-in-variables settings.
method Analysis of principal component regression (PCR) in fixed design settings, introducing a linear algebraic condition.
result Consistent model identification and improved out-of-sample prediction guarantees.

A new model explains relative spreads between economies using dynamic Nelson-Siegel and functional regression.

problem Analyzing and predicting relative spreads between economies in fixed income markets.
method State-space functional regression model incorporating dynamic Nelson-Siegel model and kernel PCA.
result The new model outperforms the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model in explaining relative spreads.

This paper tackles distributed estimation of the top-L eigenspace in PCA for large data sets.

problem Challenges in estimating the top-L eigenspace in principal component analysis for large data sets.
method Proposes a novel multi-round algorithm using shift-and-invert preconditioning and convex optimization.
result Achieves a fast convergence rate and covers the targeted top-L eigenspace without explicit eigengap assumption.

Improved fMRI analysis models enhance classification performance and select relevant brain regions.

problem Inaccurate selection of relevant brain components in MVPA models.
method Hybrid Sparsity-Ranked LASSO (JSRL) method integrating component-level and voxel-level activity.
result JSRL models achieve up to 51.7% improvement in cross-validated deviance R2R^2 and 7.3% improvement in cross-validated AUC.

A new method improves target selection for manipulating complex systems like the brain.

problem Improper incorporation of low-variance outcomes into latent space of predictive models.
method Developed a novel objective based on supervised variational autoencoders (SVAEs) for PPCA (Probabilistic Principal Component Analysis).
result gPCR (Generative Principal Component Regression) dramatically improves target selection in manipulation compared to standard PCR and SVAEs.

Ridge regression analysis under varying sample size and dimensionality.

problem Prediction error analysis in asymptotic ridge regression.
method Characterization of prediction error based on covariance and parameter structure.
result Interpolation can be optimal even with bounded SNR if true parameter coefficients are larger on high-variance directions.

The paper proposes differentially private sliced inverse regression algorithms for high-dimensional data.

problem Privacy concerns in high-dimensional data analysis.
method Differentially private sliced inverse regression algorithms designed for privacy preservation.
result Achieves minimax lower bounds up to logarithmic factors.

This tutorial explains Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) and Quadratic Discriminant Analysis (QDA) as two fundamental classification methods in statistical and probabilistic learning. We start with the optimization of decision boundary on which the posteriors are equal. Then, LDA and QDA are derived for binary and mul…

2019-06-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces a method for interpretable principal component analysis of high-dimensional time series.

problem Inconsistent and difficult-to-interpret principal component estimates in high-dimensional regimes.
method Localized sparse principal component analysis of spectral density matrices in frequency domain.
result Efficient algorithm for sparse-localized estimates of principal subspaces.

Study shows interpolating predictor's risk is optimal in low-dimensional factor regression models.

problem Understanding the risk of interpolating predictors in high-dimensional factor regression models.
method Detailed finite-sample analysis of minimum-norm interpolating predictor's risk in factor regression models.
result The risk of the minimum-norm interpolating predictor approaches optimal benchmarks in low-dimensional factor regression models.